Development of Organic Milk Production in Poland on the Background of the EU

Piotr Bórawski, Marek Bartłomiej Bórawski, Andrzej Parzonko, Ludwik Wicki, Tomasz Rokicki, Aleksandra Perkowska and James William Dunn
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Piotr Bórawski: Department of Agrotechnology and Agribusiness, Faculty of Agriculture and Forestry, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, 10-719 Olsztyn, Poland
Marek Bartłomiej Bórawski: Faculty of Law and Administration, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, 10-725 Olsztyn, Poland
Andrzej Parzonko: Department of Economics and Organization of Enterprises, Institute of Economics and Finance, Warsaw University of Life Science—SGGW-Warsaw, 02-787 Warszawa, Poland
Ludwik Wicki: Department of Economics and Organization of Enterprises, Institute of Economics and Finance, Warsaw University of Life Science—SGGW-Warsaw, 02-787 Warszawa, Poland
Tomasz Rokicki: Department of Logistics, Institute of Economics and Finance, Warsaw University of Life Science—SGGW-Warsaw, 02-787 Warszawa, Poland
Aleksandra Perkowska: Department of Logistics, Institute of Economics and Finance, Warsaw University of Life Science—SGGW-Warsaw, 02-787 Warszawa, Poland
James William Dunn: Department of Agricultural Economics, Sociology, and Education, Faculty of Agricultural Sciences, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA

Agriculture, 2021, vol. 11, issue 4, 1-25

Abstract: Organic milk production is an environmentally friendly production system based on local forage and a ban on using chemical fertilizers and certain other rules. Organic milk is considered to be healthier and is gaining attention worldwide. The market for organic products is increasing. The aim of the paper was to analyze changes in the development of organic dairy production in Poland in the context of the EU. We analyzed the changes on the European Union (EU) level and the Poland level. To analyze the changes in organic milk production on European Union level, we used the autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA). Our results show that both organic milk production and the farm area used for organic production will increase. Moreover, we analyzed the organic dairy farms running rural accountancy within the Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) in Poland in the years 2007–2018. We used tabular and graphic methods to present the data. In the analysis the methods of correlation and regression were used. Germany, France, Austria, and Great Britain are the countries with the largest numbers of organic dairy cows. Our prognosis examined the development of organic milk production in the European Union (EU). The number of cows on dairy organic farms will increase in most countries in the EU. Then, we analyzed the impact of the chosen factors on three dependent variables: organic milk production, total production of organic dairy farms, and income from family farms. The most important independent variables were cow numbers, the value of fixed assets, the value of current assets, long-term debt, and short-term debt.

Keywords: ecological milk production; environment; farmland; ARIMA model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q1 Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16 Q17 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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