Time, Spatial and Component Characteristics of Agricultural Carbon Emissions of China

Shulong Li () and Zhizhang Wang
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Shulong Li: College of Economics and Management, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China
Zhizhang Wang: College of Economics and Management, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China

Agriculture, 2023, vol. 13, issue 1, 1-16

Abstract: In this study, the time trend, regional distribution and component characteristics of the agricultural carbon emissions (ACEs) of China are analyzed. The estimation methods of each component of the ACE are introduced. According to the annually provincial panel data set with the 31 provinces from 1996 to 2019, the time trend, regional distribution and component characteristics are empirically discussed. Meanwhile, since it is also worthwhile to explore the effect of the ACE on economic growth, econometric models such as the pooled ordinary least squares (OLS) and fixed effect (FE) models are employed to examine the inverted “U”-shape effect of ACE on both of the agricultural GDP and GDP under the control of other variables. The results show that (1) the carbon emission started to fall after 2015; (2) the majority source of the agricultural carbon emission is caused by chemical fertilizer, which is approximately half of the total; (3) the current provincial ACE levels (0.287 × 10 10 kg in 2019) are significantly smaller than the estimated optimal level for agricultural GDP as well as GDP (respectively, 1.003 × 10 10 kg and 1.256 × 10 10 kg). In light of this, environmental protection and agricultural development are currently conflicted. Therefore, we suggest that the government should accept a trade-off between economic growth and the quality of the environment.

Keywords: agricultural carbon emission; agricultural GDP per capita; panel data analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q1 Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16 Q17 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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