Evaluation of Temporal Changes in Evapotranspiration and Crop Water Requirements in the Context of Changing Climate: Case Study of the Northern Bucharest–Ilfov Development Region, Romania

Florentina Iuliana Mincu, Daniel Constantin Diaconu, Dana Maria Oprea Constantin and Daniel Peptenatu ()
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Florentina Iuliana Mincu: National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, 97 București-Ploiești Street, 013686 Bucharest, Romania
Daniel Constantin Diaconu: Interdisciplinary Center for Advanced Studies (CISA-ICUB), University of Bucharest, 90-92 Panduri Road, Sector 5, 050663 Bucharest, Romania
Dana Maria Oprea Constantin: Faculty of Geography, University of Bucharest, 1 Nicolae Bălcescu Boulevard, 010041 Bucharest, Romania
Daniel Peptenatu: Interdisciplinary Center for Advanced Studies (CISA-ICUB), University of Bucharest, 90-92 Panduri Road, Sector 5, 050663 Bucharest, Romania

Agriculture, 2025, vol. 15, issue 11, 1-18

Abstract: Climate change has a complex impact on the agricultural crop system, with knowledge of the processes being necessary to assist decisions that guide the adaptation of society to profound structural changes. This study aims to highlight the main changes generated by the modification of climatic parameters (increasing air temperature, humidity and precipitation and decreasing wind speed) on agricultural crops in a region with important changes in its economic profile due to urban extension and land use modification. The analysis methodology is based on the Cropwat software to highlight the temporal variability of crop evapotranspiration, effective rain and water requirements for different crops—strawberry, sunflower and pea—and the possibility of using other types of crops with higher yield and lower water needs. The methodology used highlights this fact, showing that major changes are needed in the choice of crop schemes and future technological processes in the current context of climate change. The current results of the study, conducted over a period of 30 years (1991–2020), showed that the climatic, land use and economic changes in the study area have led to a decrease in evapotranspiration and crop water requirements due to the amounts of precipitation that can provide for the water needs of strawberry, sunflower and pea crops. The irrigation requirements during the analysis period 1991–2020 varied from <10 mm/year to 120 mm/year for strawberry crops, and can exceed 300 mm/year for sunflower and pea crops, having higher values in years with a precipitation deficit (effective rain less than 100 mm). Analyzing the irrigation requirements during the vegetation growing seasons shows that for pea and strawberry the trend is decreasing, but without a significance level. Only for the sunflower crop is an increasing trend recorded in the initial and late stages. The results obtained provide a methodological framework as well as concrete information for decision-makers in the field of agriculture who must build adaptation mechanisms for climate challenges.

Keywords: climate change; sustainable future; agricultural water management; water requirement trend; evapotranspiration changes (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q1 Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16 Q17 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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