Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Carbon Emission Efficiency of Apple Production in China from 2003 to 2022

Dejun Tan, Juanjuan Cheng, Jin Yu, Qian Wang and Xiaonan Chen ()
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Dejun Tan: School of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Xianyang 712100, China
Juanjuan Cheng: College of Horticulture, Northwest A&F University, Xianyang 712100, China
Jin Yu: School of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Xianyang 712100, China
Qian Wang: School of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Xianyang 712100, China
Xiaonan Chen: School of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Xianyang 712100, China

Agriculture, 2025, vol. 15, issue 15, 1-27

Abstract: Understanding the carbon emission efficiency of apple production ( APCEE ) is critical for promoting green and low-carbon agricultural development. However, the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving factors of APCEE in China remain inadequately explored. This study employs life cycle assessment, super-efficiency slacks-based measures, and a panel Tobit model to evaluate the carbon footprint, APCEE , and its determinants in China’s two major production regions from 2003 to 2022. The results reveal that: (1) Producing one ton of apples in China results in 0.842 t CO 2 e emissions. Land carbon intensity and total carbon emissions peaked in 2010 (28.69 t CO 2 e/ha) and 2014 (6.52 × 10 7 t CO 2 e), respectively, exhibiting inverted U-shaped trends. Carbon emissions from various production areas show significant differences, with higher pressure on carbon emission reduction in the Loess Plateau region, especially in Gansu Province. (2) The APCEE in China exhibits a W-shaped trend (mean: 0.645), with overall low efficiency loss. The Bohai Bay region outperforms the Loess Plateau and national averages. (3) The structure of the apple industry, degree of agricultural mechanization, and green innovation positively influence APCEE , while the structure of apple cultivation, education level, and agricultural subsidies negatively impact it. Notably, green innovation and agricultural subsidies display lagged effects. Moreover, the drivers of APCEE differ significantly between the two major production regions. These findings provide actionable pathways for the green and low-carbon transformation of China’s apple industry, emphasizing the importance of spatially tailored green policies and technology-driven decarbonization strategies.

Keywords: carbon emission efficiency; life cycle assessment; regional differences; apple; influencing factors (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q1 Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16 Q17 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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