EU27–Africa Agro-Food Product Trade: Exporting or Importing?

Oksana Kiforenko () and Małgorzata Bułkowska
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Oksana Kiforenko: Department of Agribusiness and Bioeconomy, Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics—National Research Institute, 00-002 Warsaw, Poland
Małgorzata Bułkowska: Department of Agribusiness and Bioeconomy, Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics—National Research Institute, 00-002 Warsaw, Poland

Agriculture, 2025, vol. 15, issue 22, 1-17

Abstract: Africa has always been among the top geopolitical priorities for the EU due to the continent’s close geographical proximity and long-standing economic ties. The agro-food trade between the EU27 and Africa is extremely important for both subjects and not only in terms of food security, as it is also a useful tool to secure a long-term partnership between the two continents, making them true and reliable allies ready to give support to each other, especially in the current unstable global situation. The analyzed data were taken from the official publications of the Eurostat (ESTAT). The time frame under analysis is 23 time periods—from 2002 to 2024 inclusive. Such methods and tools of scientific research as textual and tabular methods, empirical, statistical and comparative analyses, as well as the logical method, comprising deductive and inductive reasoning, time series analysis, modelling and forecasting, methods of time series data decomposition, etc. were used while conducting the research presented in the given article. The results for the time series analysis, modelling and forecasting assume the projections for the next four time periods for the EU27 to Africa agro-exports to be around their last observed value, slightly fluctuating or increasing with a delicateslope. The EU27 from Africa agro imports for the next four time periods are projected to increase, with a rather sharp slope. The research and its results can be of great help for public administrators, decision makers, academic community representatives, statisticians, and data analysts.

Keywords: agro-food products trade; EU27; Africa; exports; imports; time series analysis, modelling and forecasting; ARIMA; ETS; RWD (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q1 Q10 Q11 Q12 Q13 Q14 Q15 Q16 Q17 Q18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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