Key Parameters of Russia's Long-Term Economic Development: A Scenario Analysis
Dmitry Belousov and
Kirill Mikhailenko ()
Additional contact information
Kirill Mikhailenko: Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (Russia)
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Kirill Mikhaylenko
Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), 2010, vol. 4, issue 1, 4-18
Today both on the national and business levels the efforts are being made to tackle two different issues: implementation of anti-crisis measures and forming the ground for a policy aimed at changing technological profile of the Russian economy. Building long-term scenarios of economic development becomes the most challenging task. The paper investigates three possible trajectories of development, based on the standard methods of economic analysis and R&D forecasting as well as unique approaches and models. The authors describe conditions and liable results of the most promising — innovation-based — scenario and characterize factors which make alternative prognoses relevant. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.
Keywords: foresight; scenarios for Russia's development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O32 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hig:fsight:v:4:y:2010:i:1:p:4-18
Access Statistics for this article
More articles in Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015) from National Research University Higher School of Economics
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Nataliya Gavrilicheva () and Mikhail Salazkin ().