ECONOMIC-MATHEMATICAL BASES OF FORECAST MODELS OF AGRI-FOOD PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION IN ROMANIA

Ciprian Ioan Rujescu (), Andrea Feher, Adrian Băneş and Păun Ion Otiman
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Ciprian Ioan Rujescu: “King Michael I of Romania” Banat University of Agricultural Sciences and Veterinary Medicine from Timişoara, Faculty of Agricultural Management, Timişoara, Romania
Andrea Feher: Romanian Academy – Timisoara Branch, Research Centre for Sustainable Rural Development of Romania
Adrian Băneş: Romanian Academy – Timisoara Branch, Research Centre for Sustainable Rural Development of Romania
Păun Ion Otiman: Romanian Academy – Timisoara Branch, Research Centre for Sustainable Rural Development of Romania

Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, 2016, vol. 13, issue 2, 135-145

Abstract: The time that has elapsed after 1989 until now represents a distinct period in the evolution of our country’s economy, characterized by a clearly outlined evolution path. In statistical terms, this period provides data that makes it possible to approximate future trends in Romania’s agri-food market size in the coming years. Specifically, the aim of this study is to establish a mathematical model describing the evolution of the twentieth century agriculture in France – a country that throughout the last century had a well-defined development tendency and has many similarities with our country in terms of agricultural potential. By transposing certain sequences of the mathematical model specific to the development trend in France, in the sense of completing the statistical data from 1990 onwards in Romania, we are going to anticipate our country’s agri-food market possible evolution, at the 2035 time horizon.

Keywords: mathematical modeling; forecasting; food production. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C50 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:iag:reviea:v:13:y:2016:i:2:p:135-145

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