State-Dependent Stock Market Reactions to Monetary Policy

Troy Davig and Jeffrey R. Gerlach
Additional contact information
Jeffrey R. Gerlach: College of William and Mary

International Journal of Central Banking, 2006, vol. 2, issue 4

Abstract: This paper presents a test of the response of stock prices to Federal Reserve policy shocks using a Markov-switching framework. The framework endogenously identifies two distinct regimes. The first is a state where the S&P 500 index exhibits a significantly negative response to unexpected changes in the target federal funds rate in the thirty-minute window bracketing FOMC announcements, a result consistent with previous work. However, the model identifies a second regime from September 1998 to September 2002, in which the response of stock prices to policy shocks is insignificant and over ten times more volatile relative to the other regime.

JEL-codes: E44 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.ijcb.org/journal/ijcb06q4a3.htm (application/pdf)
http://www.ijcb.org/journal/ijcb06q4a4.pdf (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2006:q:4:a:3

Access Statistics for this article

International Journal of Central Banking is currently edited by Loretta J. Mester

More articles in International Journal of Central Banking from International Journal of Central Banking
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Bank for International Settlements ().