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Last updated 2018-05-31. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pda131


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Working Papers

2017

  1. Communicating Monetary Policy Rules
    2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads
    Also in Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2017) Downloads

2016

  1. Recession forecasting using Bayesian classification
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Downloads View citations (2)

2015

  1. Is Optimal Monetary Policy Always Optimal?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2015) Downloads View citations (8)
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2015) Downloads View citations (9)
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2015) Downloads View citations (8)

    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Central Banking (2015)
  2. Uncertainty and Fiscal Cliffs
    2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2014) Downloads View citations (10)
    2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2014) View citations (4)

2011

  1. Temporarily Unstable Government Debt and Inflation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Journal Article in IMF Economic Review (2011)

2010

  1. "Unfunded Liabilities" and Uncertain Fiscal Financing
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (44)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2010)
  2. Inflation and the Fiscal Limit
    2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) Downloads View citations (6)

    See also Journal Article in European Economic Review (2011)
  3. \\"Unfunded liabilities\\" and uncertain fiscal financing
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Downloads View citations (36)

2009

  1. Decomposing the declining volatility of long-term inflation expectations
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (2011)
  2. Monetary Policy Regime Shifts and Inflation Persistence
    2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (3)
    Also in Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2008) Downloads View citations (46)

    See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (2014)
  3. Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (24)
    Also in Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2009) Downloads View citations (23)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2009) Downloads View citations (55)

    See also Journal Article in European Economic Review (2011)
  4. Reply to "Generalizing the Taylor Principle: A Comment"
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Reply to \\"Generalizing the Taylor principle\\": a comment
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Downloads

2008

  1. An empirical assessment of the relationships among inflation and short- and long-term expectations
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Downloads View citations (13)

2007

  1. Expectational stability in regime-switching rational expectations models
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Downloads
  2. Phillips curve instability and optimal monetary policy
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2016)

2006

  1. Endogenous Monetary Policy Regime Change
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (22)
    Also in Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2006) Downloads View citations (11)
    CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington (2006) Downloads View citations (10)

    See also Chapter (2008)
  2. Generalizing the Taylor Principle
    CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) Downloads View citations (31)
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (2005) Downloads View citations (19)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2007)
  3. Monetary Policy, the Bond Market, and Changes in FOMC Communication Policy
    Working Papers, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary Downloads

2005

  1. An Interpretation of Fluctuating Macro Policies
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics Downloads
  2. Fluctuating Macro Policies and the Fiscal Theory
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (74)
    See also Chapter (2007)
  3. Monetary and fiscal policy switching
    Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings, Econometric Society (2004) Downloads View citations (15)
    Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics (2004) Downloads View citations (18)
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2004) Downloads View citations (23)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2007)

Journal Articles

2017

  1. Forecasting the Stance of Monetary Policy under Balance Sheet Adjustments
    Macro Bulletin, 2017, 1-4 Downloads

2016

  1. Phillips Curve Instability and Optimal Monetary Policy
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2016, 48, (1), 233-246 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
  2. Tracking Consumer Credit Trends
    Macro Bulletin, 2016, 1-4 Downloads

2015

  1. Bank consolidation and merger activity following the crisis
    Economic Review, 2015, (Q I), 31-49 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Evaluating a Year of Oil Price Volatility
    Economic Review, 2015, (Q III), 5-30 Downloads
    Also in Macro Bulletin, 2015, 1-3 (2015) Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Is Optimal Monetary Policy Always Optimal?
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2015, 11, (4), 353-382 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2015)

2014

  1. Accounting for changes in the U.S. budget deficit
    Economic Review, 2014, (Q IV), 5-28 Downloads
    Also in Macro Bulletin, 2014, 1-2 (2014) Downloads
  2. Consumer debt dynamics: an update
    Macro Bulletin, 2014, 1-2 Downloads
  3. Monetary Policy Regime Shifts and Inflation Persistence
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2014, 96, (5), 862-875 Downloads View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  4. The wage cycle and shadow labor supply
    Macro Bulletin, 2014, 1-2 Downloads

2013

  1. ADAPTIVE LEARNING IN REGIME-SWITCHING MODELS
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2013, 17, (5), 998-1022 Downloads View citations (8)
  2. The shadow labor supply and its implications for the unemployment rate
    Macro Bulletin, 2013, 1-2 Downloads
    Also in Economic Review, 2013, (Q III), 5-29 (2013) Downloads

2012

  1. The changing policy landscape: an introduction to the 2012 “Economic Policy Symposium”
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2012, xxiii-xxxi Downloads

2011

  1. Decomposing the declining volatility of long-term inflation expectations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2011, 35, (7), 981-999 Downloads View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  2. Inflation and the fiscal limit
    European Economic Review, 2011, 55, (1), 31-47 Downloads View citations (64)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  3. Monetary-fiscal policy interactions and fiscal stimulus
    European Economic Review, 2011, 55, (2), 211-227 Downloads View citations (174)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  4. Temporarily Unstable Government Debt and Inflation
    IMF Economic Review, 2011, 59, (2), 233-270 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2010

  1. "Unfunded liabilities" and uncertain fiscal financing
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2010, 57, (5), 600-619 Downloads View citations (54)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  2. Generalizing the Taylor Principle: Reply
    American Economic Review, 2010, 100, (1), 618-24 Downloads View citations (10)
  3. What is the effect of financial stress on economic activity
    Economic Review, 2010, 95, (Q II), 35-62 Downloads View citations (42)

2008

  1. Detecting recessions in the Great Moderation: a real-time analysis
    Economic Review, 2008, 93, (Q IV), 5-33 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions under Implementable Monetary Policy Rules
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2008, 40, (5), 1095-1102 View citations (10)

2007

  1. Change-Points in U.S. Business Cycle Durations
    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2007, 11, (2), 1-23 Downloads View citations (9)
  2. Generalizing the Taylor Principle
    American Economic Review, 2007, 97, (3), 607-635 Downloads View citations (211)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
  3. Monetary and Fiscal Policy Switching
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2007, 39, (4), 809-842 View citations (87)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2006

  1. Middle-income tax rates: trends and prospects
    Economic Review, 2006, 91, (Q IV), 5-30 Downloads
  2. State-Dependent Stock Market Reactions to Monetary Policy
    International Journal of Central Banking, 2006, 2, (4) Downloads View citations (9)

2005

  1. Periodically expanding discounted debt: a threat to fiscal policy sustainability?
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2005, 20, (7), 829-840 Downloads View citations (36)

2004

  1. Regime-switching debt and taxation
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2004, 51, (4), 837-859 Downloads View citations (90)

Chapters

2008

  1. Endogenous Monetary Policy Regime Change
    A chapter in NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2006, 2008, pp 345-391 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2007

  1. Fluctuating Macro Policies and the Fiscal Theory
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, Volume 21, 2007, pp 247-316 Downloads View citations (60)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
 
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