Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus

Eric Leeper
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Troy Davig

No 7509, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: Increases in government spending trigger substitution effects - both inter- and intra-temporal - and a wealth effect. The ultimate impacts on the economy hinge on current and expected monetary and fiscal policy behavior. Studies that impose active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy typically find that government consumption crowds out private consumption: higher future taxes create a strong negative wealth effect, while the active monetary response increases the real interest rate. This paper estimates Markov-switching policy rules for the United States and finds that monetary and fiscal policies fluctuate between active and passive behavior. When the estimated joint policy process is imposed on a conventional new Keynesian model, government spending generates positive consumption multipliers in some policy regimes and in simulated data in which all policy regimes are realized. The paper reports the model?s predictions of the macroeconomic impacts of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act?s implied path for government spending under alternative monetary-fiscal policy combinations.

Keywords: Multipliers; Fiscal stimulus; Zero interest rate bound (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E62 E63 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (44)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Monetary-fiscal policy interactions and fiscal stimulus (2011)
Working Paper: Monetary-fiscal policy interactions and fiscal stimulus (2009)
Working Paper: MONETARY-FISCAL POLICY INTERACTIONS AND FISCAL STIMULUS (2009)
Working Paper: Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus (2009)
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