CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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21842: Building Resilience through Psychological Intervention

Michelle Escobar Carias, Victoria Baranov, Sonia Bhalotra, Pietro Biroli and Joanna Maselko

21841: Common Ownership and Collusion

Vincent Abraham, Florian Ederer and Marvão, Catarina

21840: Trust, Rule of Law, and the Size Premium: Evidence from a Meta-Analysis

Jiri Schwarz, Tomas Havranek, Zuzana Irsova and Jiri Novak

21839: The Evolving Nexus: Sovereigns, Banks and NBFIs

Stefan Avdjiev, Bryan Hardy and Maximilian Jager

21838: Microcredit Made to Measure: Experimental Evidence from Rural Morocco

Crepón, Bruno, Ralph De Haas, Tim Deisemann, Florencia Devoto and Parienté, William

21837: Reserves and the Buyer of Last Resort

Frederic Boissay and Harald Uhlig

21836: Conflicts of Interest in Banks: Evidence from Proprietary Trading

Rainer Haselmann, Christian Leuz and Sebastian Schreiber

21835: Strong Wills, Strong Outcomes? Bank Resolvability and Credit Supply

Irem Erten and Steven Ongena

21834: Overconfidence and Financial Behavior in Online Betting Markets

Lucas Belleza, Tiago Cavalcanti and Daniel Da Mata

21833: Variety and Agglomeration in Financial Markets

Ana Babus

21832: Local Trade Wars

Wei Li, Jie Ouyang, Bin Qiu, Zi Wang and Yuan Zi

21831: Communities of Commerce: The Legacy of Chinese Immigration on Java

Quoc-Anh Do, Sebastian Ellingsen and Gedeon Lim

21830: Coping with weather shocks

Marco Alfano and Görlach, Joseph-Simon

21829: World Agricultural Prices and the Onset of Civil War

Antonio Ciccone

21828: Social Clubs and Political Office

Julien Labonne, Pablo Querubin, Martin Rossi, Sebastian Saiegh, Ivan San Miguel and Shanker Satyanath

21827: Are Firms' and Governments' Emission Reduction Commitments Aligned? The European Case

Charles Goodhart, Maria Nieto and Ly Hoang Vu

21826: Fixed-Point Utilitarianism

Maya Eden

21825: Female-Targeted Hiring Subsidies, Firm Learning, and Women’s Employment

Mimosa Distefano, Lorenzo Incoronato and Anna Raute

21824: A DSGE Model for a Small Open Economy with a CBDC Option

Michael Kumhof, Mohammed Mikou and Yassine Slaoui

21823: Regulated Prices, Global Capacity, and Drug Shortages

Pierre Dubois, Gosia Majewska and Valentina Reig

21822: Wealth Tax, Entrepreneurship, and the Legal Form of Business Organization

Alessandro Di Nola, Almuth Scholl and Haomin Wang

21821: From Social Savings to Spatial Equilibrium: Evaluating Transportation Improvements in Quantitative Spatial Models

Treb Allen, Simon Fuchs and Woan Foong Wong

21820: Covered Interest Parity: The Long Run Evidence

Olivier Accominotti, David Chambers, Jason Cen and Victor Degorce

21819: Dynamic Effects of Trade

Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Stephen Redding

21818: Refutation-Resistant Beliefs

Lydia Mechtenberg, Dimitrios Xefteris and Galina Zudenkova

21817: Ideas and Firm Dynamics When It Takes Two to Tango

Seula Kim, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey and Honghao Wang

21816: A Currency Premium Puzzle

Tarek Hassan, Thomas Mertens and Jingye Wang

21815: Openness, Integration, and the International Monetary Order

Tarek Hassan, Thomas Mertens, Jingye Wang and Tony Zhang

21814: Meritocracy and the Networks It Forged: China's Imperial Examination

Ying Bai and Ruixue Jia

21813: Administrative litigation and public procurement outcomes: Evidence from Italy

Enza Maltese and Gabriele Rovigatti

21812: Balancing Growth in a Warming World

Adrien Bilal, Thibault Ingrand and Känzig, Diego

21811: Unfree Wills: Inheritance Rules, Bequest Motives, and Wealth Diffusion

Brülhart, Marius and Laia Soler

21810: Taxes and Transfers with Nonlinear Wage Dynamics

Nezih Guner, Eugenio Renedo and Emre Enes Yavuz

21809: Personal Holding Companies, Tax Progressivity, and Inequality

Marius Ring, David Seim and Gabriel Zucman

21808: Solar Adoption by Mandates

Stefano Carattini, Wade Davis, Figge, Béla and Anton Heimerdinger

21807: The Anatomy of Tariff Pass-through into Consumer Prices

Mary Amiti, Sebastian Heise and David Weinstein

21806: Chaste Widowhood

Melanie Meng Xue

21805: Political Capture and Bureaucratic Behavior. Evidence from Mafia-Infiltrated Municipalities

Maria Carreri, Davide Cipullo, Marco Le Moglie and Alberto Perego

21804: Understanding Firms' AI Efforts and Their Economic Impact

Tania Babina

21803: Objective vs. Perceived Corporate Greenness: Do Individuals Understand Corporate Sustainability Information?

Kornelia Fabisik and Sebastian Rink

21802: Robustness? Range Tests for Equality and Equivalence Across Specifications

David Jaeger

21801: How did Trump’s 2025 trade war affect the decoupling of US–China supply chains?

Chad Bown

21800: Sovereign Risk Shocks and Fiscal Rules

Eyquem, Aurélien, Poilly, Céline and Guillaume Schwegler

21799: The Labor Demand Implications of Brand Capital: Evidence from Trademark Transactions

Jaime Arellano-Bover, Carolina Bussotti, Matteo Paradisi and Liangjie Wu

21798: Tariff Incidence and Market Power: Evidence from the 2025 US Tariff Shock

Caroline Freund

21797: Observability and Social Interactions in Consumption

Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri

21796: Robust Signal Maximization in Spillover Experiments

Kirill Borusyak, Peter Hull and Evan Munro

21795: Creative Destruction through Innovation Bursts

Giuseppe Berlingieri, Maarten De Ridder, Danial Lashkari and Davide Rigo

21794: Coherent shocks: External identification and internal validation with an application to geopolitical risk

Schüler, Yves, Sarah Arndt, Yevheniia Bondarenko, Vivien Lewis and Matthias Rottner

21793: Identification and Estimation of Demand Models with Endogenous Product Entry and Exit

Victor Aguirregabiria, Alessandro Iaria and Senay Sokullu

21792: Salt Wars

Desiree Desierto, Patrick Fitzsimmons and Mark Koyama

21791: The Equilibrium Impact of Credit Frictions: Evidence from Default Risk Using Firm-Level Data

Tim Besley, Peter John Lambert, Isabelle Roland and John Van Reenen

21790: Majority Lost: Global Evidence and Field Experiments on Electoral Miscoordination

Francesco Capozza, Ruben Durante and Siddharth Eapen George

21789: Platform Power in News Aggregation

Andrey Simonov, Daniil Mikhailov, Ruben Enikolopov and Ruben Durante

21788: An Autopsy of the Voluntary Carbon Market

Ugo Panizza, Francesco Tripoli and Beatrice Weder di Mauro

21787: The China Backlash: Quantifying the Narrative Discourse on China

Mert Geyiktepe and Dani Rodrik

21786: An Empirical Framework for Platform Markets

Lapo Filistrucchi and Tobias Klein

21785: Free Banking with Tokenized Money

Hans Gersbach and Sebastian Zelzner

21784: When Skills Are Specific: Labor Market Entry and Occupational Mismatch for Apprenticeship Graduates

Dita Eckardt

21783: Courts of Tomorrow: Evidence from a Nationwide Rollout of Generative AI

Elliott Ash, Sultan Mehmood and Christoph Goessmann

21782: Long-Run Effects of Universal Pre-Primary Education Expansion: Evidence from Argentina

Samuel Berlinski, Guillermo Cruces, Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler and Fabian Gonzalez

21781: Immigrants' Regularization and Native Workers' Response

Gianluca Orefice, Giovanni Peri and Gianluca Santoni

21780: Life After Divorce: Effects of Joint Custody on Parents and Children

Stella Canessa, Gordon Dahl, Anna Hasselqvist, Costas Meghir, Susan Niknami, Marten Palme, Helmut Rainer, Olof Rosenqvist and Pengpeng Xiao

21779: Policy Thresholds as Growth Barriers: Theory and Evidence from a Payroll Tax Notch

Jysmä, Sami, Youssef Benzarti and Jarkko Harju

21778: Spillovers from Science

Dennis Verhoeven, Anna Valero, Ralf Martin and Arjun Shah

21777: Taxi Market Deregulation: Effects on Market Outcomes, Tax Evasion and Crime

Jarkko Harju, Ida Kankaanranta and Kaisa Kotakorpi

21776: Global Robots

Fabrizio Leone

21775: Payday and the Monthly Attention Cycle of Low-Wage Workers

Claire Lelarge

21774: Not Wearing Prada: Do Private Sanctions Reinforce Official Sanctions?

Maxim Chupilkin, Beata Javorcik, Alexander Plekhanov and Aleksandra Peeva

21773: The Perils of Narrowing Fiscal Spaces

Hanno Kase, Leonardo Melosi, Sebastian Rast and Matthias Rottner

21772: Preference Shocks and Policy Responses to Transition Risk

Stefano Carattini, Givi Melkadze and Mourelon, Inès

21771: Platform Tying and its Effects

Leonardo Madio, Fabio Manenti and Massimo Motta

21770: Ambiguous Attribution: Theory and Evidence

Ricardo Alonso, Monica Martinez-Bravo, Gerard Padro i Miquel, Carlos Sanz and Silvia Vannutelli

21769: Measuring the Culture of Useful Knowledge and the Roots of Innovation

Marc Klemp

21768: Spillover Effects in Complementary Markets: A Study of the Indian Cell Phone and Wireless Service Markets

Chirantan Chatterjee, Ying Fan and Debi Prasad Mohapatra

21767: The Nature of Firm Financing and Growth

Martin Aragoneses, Chris Hansman, David Licher and Ramana Nanda

21766: Belief Disagreement, Instability, and Uncertainty under Stochastic Recall

Pei Kuang, Li Tang and Michael Weber

21765: Labour Rights Violations, Exports and Income Per Capita

Carrere, Céline, Marcelo Olarreaga and Camille Reverdy

21764: Information and Macroeconomic Expectations: Global Evidence

Francesco D'Acunto and Michael Weber

21763: What Makes a Safe-Haven Currency Safe?

Eyquem, Aurélien

21762: To be or not to be in Banking Union

Harris Dellas and Dimitris Papageorgiou

21761: Economic Models of Identity Formation and Cultural Transmission

Alberto Bisin and Thierry Verdier

21760: Detecting Critical Junctures as They Unfold: Foundations, Measurement, and Applications from 120 Years of Reporting

Michael Callen, Gregory Levy, Saipremnath Muthukumaran, Jonathan Weigel and Noam Yuchtman

21759: Information Comparison of Order Statistics, with Applications to Auctions and Voting

Alfredo Di Tillio, Marco Ottaviani and Sørensen, Peter

21758: Facing the Hard Truth: Evidence from Climate Change Ignorance

Pamela Campa and Ferenc Szucs

21757: Which Green Technology to Subsidize? Evidence from Electric Vehicles in South Korea

Youngjin Hong, In Kyung Kim and Frank Verboven

21756: Immigration's Effect on US Wages and Employment Redux

Alessandro Caiumi and Giovanni Peri

21755: How Wealth Across the Income Distribution Responds to Uncertainty: Insights from the Distributional Financial Accounts

Lilia Maliar and Christopher Naubert

21754: To Bid or Not to Bid? Entry, Bid Shading, and Bias in Sponsored Search Auctions

Eeva Mauring, Anastasiia Parakhonyak and Cole Williams

21753: Firms as Foragers

Vasco Carvalho and Lukas B. Freund

21752: Does Multi-Agent Debate Improve AI Feedback on Research Papers?

Tomas Havranek and Zuzana Irsova

21751: Inflation after the Iran war

Ricardo Reis

21750: Fiscal Multipliers during Natural Disasters

Andreas Dibiasi, Erica Perego and Poilly, Céline

21749: Worker Skills, Firm Dynamics, and Productivity

Ilhan Guner and Christian Siegel

21748: Prices and Monetary Policy: The Role of Financial Constraints

Michael Bauer, Alexander Czarnota and Mathias Klein

21747: Polarized Media and Inflation Expectations

Selva Demiralp, Orkun Saka and Michael Weber

21746: Structural Estimation with Unstructured Data

Sara Casella, Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, Stephen Hansen, Ryohei Oishi and Minchul Shin

21745: Where Do Technology Shocks Come From? Public Funding and Private Ownership

Andrea Gazzani, Joseba Martinez, Filippo Natoli and Paolo Surico

21744: The Role of College Education in the Rise of "New Work": Measurement and Evidence

Gueyon Kim, Cassandra Merritt and Giovanni Peri

21743: The Geography of Financial Frictions

Alexander Haas and Rustam Jamilov