CEPR Discussion Papers

From C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
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15316: Financial Constraints and Propagation of Shocks in Production Networks

Banu Demir, Beata Javorcik, Tomasz Michalski and Evren Örs

15315: Expanding the Measurement of Culture with a Sample of Two Billion Humans

Edmond Awad, Manuel Cebrián, Angel Cuevas Rumin, Ruben Cuevas Rumin, Klaus Desmet, Ignacio Martín, Nick Obradovich, Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín, Ömer Özak and Iyad Rahwan

15314: Firm-level Risk Exposures and Stock Returns in the Wake of COVID-19

Steven Davis, Stephen Hansen and Cristhian Seminario-Amez

15313: The Economics of Currency Risk

Tarek Hassan and Tony Zhang

15312: A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model

Alexander Chudik, Raissi Mehdi, Kamiar Mohaddes, M Pesaran and Alessandro Rebucci

15311: Appointed Learning for the Common Good: Optimal Committee Size and Efficient Rewards

Hans Gersbach, Akaki Mamageishvili and Oriol Tejada

15310: Economics and Epidemics: Evidence from an Estimated Spatial Econ-SIR Model

Mark Bognanni, Douglas Hanley, Daniel Kolliner and Kurt Mitman

15309: On Public Spending and Economic Unions

Fernando Broner, Alberto Martín and Jaume Ventura

15308: Urban economics in a historical perspective: Recovering data with machine learning

Pierre-Philippe Combes, Laurent Gobillon and Yanos Zylberberg

15307: Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Edward Knotek and Raphael Schoenle

15306: Prospect Theory and Currency Returns: Empirical Evidence

Roman Kozhan, Mark P Taylor and Qi Xu

15305: Exchange Rate Prediction with Machine Learning and a Smart Carry Trade Portfolio

Ilias Filippou, David Rapach, Mark P Taylor and Guofu Zhou

15304: Regional Inequalities and the West-East Divide in Turkey since 1880

Gunes Asik, Ulas Karakoç and Sevket Pamuk

15303: History and Urban Economics

W Hanlon and Stephan Heblich

15302: The Social Determinants of Choice Quality: Evidence from Health Insurance in the Netherlands

Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan Kolstad, Thomas Minten and Johannes Spinnewijn

15301: Patent Screening, Innovation, and Welfare

Mark Schankerman and Florian Schuett

15300: Shipwrecked by Rents

Fernando Arteaga, Desiree Desierto and Mark Koyama

15299: Monetary Capacity

Roberto Bonfatti, Adam Brzezinski, Kıvanç Karaman and Nuno Palma

15298: The Great Lockdown: pandemic response policies and bank lending conditions

Carlo Altavilla, Francesca Barbiero, Miguel Boucinha and Lorenzo Burlon

15297: Globalization and Pandemics

Pol Antràs, Stephen Redding and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

15296: Implications of Cheap Oil for Emerging Markets

Alain Kabundi and Franziska Ohnsorge

15295: Institutional Change and Institutional Persistence

Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

15294: The Impact of Financial Education of Managers on Medium and Large Enterprises - A Randomized Controlled Trial in Mozambique

Cláudia Custódio, Diogo Mendes and Daniel Metzger

15293: All-Pay Matching Contests

Aner Sela

15292: Bombs, Broadcasts and Resistance: Allied Intervention and Domestic Opposition to the Nazi Regime during World War II

Maja Adena, Ruben Enikolopov, Maria Petrova and Hans-Joachim Voth

15291: Evading Corporate Responsibilities: Evidence from the Shipping Industry

Guillaume Vuillemey

15290: The Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: Evidence from Owners, Managers, and Employees

Georgij Alekseev, Safaa Amer, Manasa Gopal, Theresa Kuchler, Jw Schneider, Johannes Ströbel and Nils Wernerfelt

15289: Monetary Policy Surprises and Exchange Rate Behavior

Refet S. Gürkaynak, A. Hakan Kara, Burçin Kisacikoglu and Sang Seok Lee

15288: A Model of Infrastructure Financing

Viral V. Acharya, Cecilia Parlatore Siritto and Suresh M Sundaresan

15287: The Great Depression as a Saving Glut

Victor Degorce and Eric Monnet

15286: Do Old Habits Die Hard? Central Banks and the Bretton Woods Gold Puzzle

Eric Monnet and Damien Puy

15285: Choice in Insurance Markets: A Pigouvian Approach to Social Insurance Design

Nathaniel Hendren, Camille Landais and Johannes Spinnewijn

15284: Social Mobility and Social Regimes: Intergenerational Mobility in Hungary, 1949-2017

, Rita, Bukowski,, Gregory Clark and Attila Gáspár

15283: Optimal Allocation of the COVID-19 Stimulus Checks

Vegard Nygaard, Bent E Sørensen and Fan Wang

15282: Debt Sustainability in a Low Interest Rate World

Neil Mehrotra and Dmitriy Sergeyev

15281: Key Sectors in Endogeneous Growth

Jingong Huang and Yves Zenou

15280: Ballot or Bullet: The Impact of UK's Representation of the People Act on Peace and Prosperity

Dominic Rohner and Alessandro Saia

15279: Pricing above value: selling to an adverse selection market

Jan Boone

15278: Forward looking loan provisions: Credit supply and risk-taking

Bernardo Morais, Gaizka Ormazabal, José Luis Peydró, Monica Roa and Miguel Sarmiento

15277: Production and financial networks in interplay: Crisis evidence from supplier-customer and credit registers

Gabriel Jiménez, Kenan Huremović, Enrique Moral-Benito, José Luis Peydró and Fernando Vega-Redondo

15276: Credit demand vs. supply channels: Experimental- and administrative-based evidence

Valentina Michelangeli, José Luis Peydró and Enrico Sette

15275: Macroprudential Policy, Mortgage Cycles and Distributional Effects: Evidence from the UK

José Luis Peydró, Francesc Rodríguez Tous, Jagdish Tripathy and Arzu Uluc

15274: Countercyclical Liquidity Policy and Credit Cycles: Evidence from Macroprudential and Monetary Policy in Brazil

Rodrigo Barbone Gonzalez, João Barroso, José Luis Peydró and Bernardus Van Doornik

15273: Global Liquidity and Impairment of Local Monetary Policy

Salih Fendoglu, Eda Gulsen and José Luis Peydró

15272: Reassessing the Resource Curse using Causal Machine Learning

Roland Hodler, Michael Lechner and Paul Raschky

15271: Good mine, bad mine: Natural resource heterogeneity and Dutch disease in Indonesia

Paul Pelzl and Steven Poelhekke

15270: Abstentions and Social Networks in Congress

Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza and Eleonora Patacchini

15269: Risk-Sharing and the Creation of Systemic Risk

Viral V. Acharya, Aaditya M. Iyer and Rangarajan K Sundaram

15268: Trade and Geography

Stephen Redding

15267: The Nonlinear Relationship Between Public Debt and Sovereign Credit Ratings

Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov and Luca Antonio Ricci

15266: Precaution, Information and Time-Inconsistency: On The Value of the Precautionary Principle

Louise Guillouet and David Martimort

15265: Cognitive Ability and Employee Mobility: Evidence from Swedish Microdata

Pooyan Khashabi, Tobias Kretschmer, Ali Mohammadi and Joseph Raffiee

15264: Anger and Strategic Behavior: A Level-k Analysis

Alessandro Castagnetti and Eugenio Proto

15263: Flexible Work Arrangements in Low Wage Jobs: Evidence from Job Vacancy Data

Abigail Adams, Maria Balgova and Matthias Qian

15262: Data vs collateral

Shu Chen, Leonardo Gambacorta, Yiping Huang, Zhenhua Li and Han Qiu

15261: The persistent consequences of adverse shocks: how the 1970s shaped UK regional inequality

Patricia Rice and Anthony Venables

15260: Media Capture by Banks

Ruben Durante, Andrea Fabiani and José Luis Peydró

15259: Golfing with Trump. Social capital, decline, inequality, and the rise of populism in the US

Neil Lee, Cornelius Lipp and Andrés Rodríguez-Pose

15258: The Fed Takes on Corporate Credit Risk: An Analysis of the Efficacy of the SMCCF

Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Yue and Egon Zakrajšek

15257: Gender Diversity Goals, Supply Constraints, and the Market for Seasoned Female Directors: The U.S. Evidence

Patricia Boyallian, Sudipto Dasgupta and Swarnodeep Homroy

15256: The Great Lockdown and the Big Stimulus: Tracing the Pandemic Possibility Frontier for the U.S

Greg Kaplan, Benjamin Moll and Giovanni L. Violante

15255: Information Spillovers in Experience Goods Competition

Chen, Zhuoqiong (Charlie), Christopher T. Stanton and Catherine Thomas

15254: The Persistence of Socio-Emotional Skills Life Cycle and Intergenerational Evidence

Orazio Attanasio, Aureo de Paula and Alessandro Toppeta

15253: Nonlinear Pricing in Oligopoly: How Brand Preferences Shape Market Outcomes

Renato Gomes, Jean-Marie Lozachmeur and Lucas Maestri

15252: Does Education Matter? Tests from Extensions of Compulsory Schooling in England and Wales 1919-22, 1947, and 1972

Gregory Clark and Neil Cummins

15251: Participation Constraints in Discontinuous Adverse Selection Models

David Martimort and Lars Stole

15250: Affinity, Trust, and Information

Luigi Guiso and Alexey Makarin

15249: The Social Value of Debt in the Market for Corporate Control

Mike Burkart, Samuel Lee and Henrik Petri

15248: Exchange Rate Shocks and Quality Adjustments

Daniel Goetz and Alexander Rodnyansky

15247: The Costs of Political Manipulation of Factor Markets in China

J. Vernon Henderson, Dongling Su, Qinghua Zhang and Siqi Zheng

15246: Understanding Persistence

Morgan Kelly

15245: How to Estimate a VAR after March 2020

Michele Lenza and Giorgio Primiceri

15244: Understanding the Estimation of Oil Demand and Oil Supply Elasticities

Lutz Kilian

15243: Are CEOs paid extra for riskier pay packages?

Ana Albuquerque, Rui Albuquerque, Mary Ellen Carter and Flora Dong

15242: International Evidence on Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Kristin Forbes, Ida Hjortsoe and Tsvetelina Nenova

15241: Let's Collude

Hamid Aghadadashli and Patrick Legros

15240: Network Centrality and Managerial Market Timing Ability

Theodoros Evgeniou, Joël Peress, Theo Vermaelen and Ling Yue

15239: Hedging macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and volatility

Ian Dew-Becker, Stefano Giglio and Bryan Kelly

15238: Doubling Down on Debt: Limited Liability as a Financial Friction

Jesse Perla, Carolin Pflueger and Michal Szkup

15237: Exposure to ethnic minorities changes attitudes to them

Sabine Albrecht, Elena Cettolin, Riccardo Ghidoni and Sigrid Suetens

15236: Superstar Exporters: An Empirical Investigation of Strategic Interactions in Danish Export Markets

Federico Ciliberto and Ina Charlotte Jäkel

15235: Fast and Slow Arbitrage: Fund Flows and Mispricing in the Frequency Domain

Xi Dong, Namho Kang and Joël Peress

15234: Organizing insurance supply for new and undiversifiable risks

David Alary, Catherine Bobtcheff and Carole Haritchabalet

15233: Culture, Institutions and Policy

Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini

15232: Rugged Individualism and Collective (In)action During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Samuel Bazzi, Martin Fiszbein and Mesay Gebresilasse

15231: Corporate Bond Liquidity During the COVID-19 Crisis

Mahyar Kargar, Benjamin Lester, David Lindsay, Shuo Liu, Pierre-Olivier Weill and Diego Zuniga

15230: Corporate governance in the presence of active and passive delegated investment

Adrian Aycan Corum, Andrey Malenko and Nadya Malenko

15229: Pandemic Control in ECON-EPI Networks

Marina Azzimonti, Alessandra Fogli, Fabrizio Perri and Mark Ponder

15228: Capital-Skill Complementarity and Inequality: Twenty Years After

Lilia Maliar, Serguei Maliar and Inna Tsener

15227: The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Effects of Covid-19 School Closures

Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig and Irina Popova

15226: Factions in Nondemocracies: Theory and Evidence from the Chinese Communist Party

Patrick Francois, Francesco Trebbi and Kairong Xiao

15225: Growing Like China: Firm Performance and Global Production Line Position

Davin Chor, Kalina Manova and Zhihong Yu

15224: Which firms benefit from corporate QE during the COVID-19 crisis? The case of the ECB's Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program

Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Balint Horvath and Harry Huizinga

15223: TBTs, Firm Organization and Labour Structure

Giorgio Barba Navaretti, Lionel Fontagné, Gianluca Orefice, Giovanni Pica and Anna Rosso

15222: Measuring Voters' Knowledge of Political News

Charles Angelucci and Andrea Prat

15221: How Can Bill and Melinda Gates Increase Other People's Donations to Fund Public Goods?

Dean S. Karlan and John List

15220: Social learning in agriculture: does smallholder heterogeneity impede technology diffusion in Sub-Saharan Africa?

Luc Behaghel, Jeremie Gignoux and Karen Macours

15219: Informational Barriers to Market Access: Experimental Evidence from Liberian Firms

Golvine De Rochambeau, Jonas Hjort and Vinayak Iyer

15218: The effect of gender-targeted transfers: Experimental Evidence from India

Ingvild Almås, Vincent Somville and Lore Vandewalle

15217: Comparing Forecast Performance with State Dependence

Florens Odendahl, Barbara Rossi and Tatevik Sekhposyan