CEPR Discussion Papers

From C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
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16825: Monetary Policy and Endogenous Financial Crises

Frédéric Boissay, Fabrice Collard, Galí, Jordi and Cristina Manea

16824: Idiosyncratic Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Emerging Market

Damiano Sandri, Francesco Grigoli and Emiliano Luttini

16823: Minimum Wages and Insurance within the Firm

Emircan Yurdagul, Effrosyni Adamopoulou, Francesco Manaresi and Omar Rachedi

16822: The Unattractiveness of Indeterminate Dynamic Equilibria

Martin Ellison, Julian Ashwin and Paul Beaudry

16821: Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections

Gordon Dahl, Runjing Lu and William Mullins

16820: Forced Displacement and Human Capital: Evidence from Separated Siblings

Sandra Sequeira, Giorgio Chiovelli, Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou

16818: Comment on Giacomini, Kitagawa and Read’s ‘Narrative Restrictions and Proxies’

Lutz Kilian

16817: Sovereign Debt Sustainability and Central Bank Credibility

Jeromin Zettelmeyer and Tim Willems

16816: Monetary Policy Communication: Perspectives from Former Policy Makers at the ECB

Michael Ehrmann, Sarah Holton, Danielle Kedan and Gillian Phelan

16815: The Dynamic Consequences of State-Building: Evidence from the French Revolution

Benjamin Marx, Cédric Chambru and Emeric Henry

16814: A Note on Temporary Supply Shocks with Aggregate Demand Inertia

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

16813: Supply shocks in supply chains: Evidence from the early lockdown in China

Julien Martin, Raphael Lafrogne-Joussier and Isabelle Mejean

16812: Rational Inattention and the Business Cycle Effects of Productivity and News Shocks

Bartosz Maćkowiak and Mirko Wiederholt

16811: Information, Intermediaries, and International Migration

Samuel Bazzi, Lisa Cameron, Simone Schaner and Firman Witoelar

16810: Randomization for Causality, Ethnography for Mechanisms: Illiquid Savings for Liquor in an Autarkic Society

Ricardo Godoy, Dean Karlan and Jonathan Zinman

16809: A Wake-Up Call Theory of Contagion

Toni Ahnert and ,

16808: Opening Heaven’s Door: Public Opinion and Congressional Votes on the 1965 Immigration Act

Timothy Hatton, Giovanni Facchini and Max Steinhardt

16807: Keeping the Agents in the Dark: Private Disclosures in Competing Mechanisms

Thomas Mariotti, Andrea Attar, Eloisa Campioni and Alessandro Pavan

16806: Superstar Returns

Moritz Schularick, Francisco Amaral, Sebastian Kohl and Martin Dohmen

16805: In Medio Stat Virtus? Effective Communication and Preferences for Redistribution in Hard Times

Massimo Morelli, Paola Bertoli, , and Anna Rosso

16804: Skewness and Time-Varying Second Moments in a Nonlinear Production Network: Theory and Evidence

Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, Ian Dew-Becker and Andrea Vedolin

16803: Deals That Start When You Sign Them

Robert Gibbons

16802: Building an Equilibrium: Rules versus Principles in Relational Contracts

Robert Gibbons, Manuel Grieder, Holger Herz and Christian Zehnder

16801: Cross-verification and Persuasive Cheap Talk

Ludovic Renou, Alp Atakan and Mehmet Ekmekci

16800: On the Efficiency of Large Resale Networks

Ludovic Renou, Daniele Condorelli and Andrea Galeotti

16799: Corporate Legacy Debt, Inflation, and the Efficacy of Monetary Policy

Charles Goodhart, Udara Peiris, Dimitrios Tsomocos and Xuan Wang

16798: The Real Effects of Banking the Poor: Evidence from Brazil

Adrien Matray and Julia Fonseca

16797: Optimal Taxation with Multiple Incomes and Types

Kevin Spiritus, Etienne Lehmann, Sander Renes and Floris Zoutman

16796: Price-Cost Margins and Fixed Costs

Jozef Konings, Filip Abraham, Yannick Bormans and ,

16795: The Premia on State-Contingent Sovereign Debt Instruments

Taehoon Kim and Antoine Levy

16794: Cities and Technological Waves

Martí Mestieri, Enrico Berkes and Ruben Gaetani

16793: The Financial Origins of Non-Fundamental Risk

Sushant Acharya, Keshav Dogra and Sanjay Singh

16792: Time Use and Gender in Africa in Times of Structural Transformation

L. Rachel Ngai and Taryn Dinkelman

16791: When Reality Bites: Local Deaths and Vaccine Take-Up

Yves Zenou, Corrado Giulietti and Michael Vlassopoulos

16790: Information hierachies

Emir Kamenica, Benjamin A Brooks and Alexander Frankel

16789: Dispersed Behavior and Perceptions in Assortative Societies

Mira Frick, , and Yuhta Ishii

16788: Belief Convergence under Misspecified Learning: A Martingale Approach

Mira Frick, , and Yuhta Ishii

16787: The Anatomy of a Hospital System Merger: The Patient Did Not Respond Well to Treatment

Raffaella Sadun, Martin Gaynor, Adam Sacarny, Chad Syverson and Shruthi Venkatesh

16786: Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting?

Mathias Hoffmann, Emanuel Moench, Lora Pavlova and Guido Schultefrankenfeld

16785: Uncovering the Roots of Obesity-based Wage Discrimination: The Role of Job Characteristics

Juan Dolado and Airam Guerra

16784: Price Dispersion in Wines

Katharine Rockett, Jean-Marie Cardebat, Olivier Gergaud and Régibeau, Pierre

16783: Network Externalities and Market Dominance

Robert Akerlof, Richard Holden and Luis Rayo

16782: Individual and Collective Information Acquisition: An Experimental Study

Leeat Yariv, Pellumb Reshidi, Alessandro Lizzeri, Jimmy Chan and Wing Suen

16781: Larger transfers financed with more progressive taxes? On the optimal design of taxes and transfers

Axelle Ferriere, Grübener, Philipp, Gaston Navarro and Oliko Vardishvili

16780: Trade and Inequality in Europe and the US

David Dorn and Peter Levell

16779: The Effects of Policy Interventions to Limit Illegal Money Lending

Kaiwen Leong, Huailu Li, Nicola Pavanini and Christoph Walsh

16778: Carbon Emissions and the Bank-Lending Channel

Peydró, José-Luis and Marcin Kacperczyk

16777: Controlling Irregular Migration: Can a Market for Temporary Foreign Work Permits Help?

Emmanuelle Auriol, Alice Mesnard and Tiffanie Perrault

16776: The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on U.S. Inflation and Inflation Expectations in 2020-23

Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou

16775: What Has Been the Impact of COVID-19 on Debt? Turning a Wave into a Tsunami

Franziska Ohnsorge, Ayhan Kose, Peter Nagle and Naotaka Sugawara

16774: Corporate Donations and Political Rhetoric: Evidence from a National Ban

Julia Cagé, Caroline LePennec and Elisa Mougin

16773: Identifying Empty Creditors with a Shock and Micro-Data

Hans Degryse, ,, , and Steven Ongena

16772: Can Sticky Portfolios Explain International Capital Flows and Asset Prices?

Philippe Bacchetta, Margaret Davenport and Eric van Wincoop

16771: OPTIMAL ASSIGNMENT OF BUREAUCRATS: EVIDENCE FROM RANDOMLY ASSIGNED TAX COLLECTORS IN THE DRC

Jonathan Weigel, Augustin Bergeron, Pedro Bessone Tepedino , John Kabeya Kabeya and Gabriel Tourek

16770: Discontinuities in the Age-Victimization Profile and the Determinants of Victimization

Anna Bindler, Randi Hjalmarsson, Nadine Ketel and Andreea Mitrut

16769: Resilience, Adaptability and Transformability: Danish Butter Factories in the Face of Coal Shortages

Paul Sharp, Sofia Henriques, Xanthi Tsoukli and Christian Vedel

16768: Organizing Data Analytics

Ricardo Alonso and Câmara, Odilon

16767: Adams and Eves: The Gender Gap in Economics Majors

Graziella Bertocchi, Luca Bonacini and Marina Murat

16766: News and uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey evidence and short-run economic impact

Müller, Gernot, Alexander Dietrich, Keith Kuester and Raphael Schoenle

16765: Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households

Christopher Roth, Heiner Mikosch, Samad Sarferaz and Johannes Wohlfart

16764: Macroeconomic Dynamics with Rigid Wage Contracts

Tobias Broer, Karl Harmenberg and Öberg, Erik

16763: Product Market Competition, Creative Destruction and Innovation

Rachel Griffith and John van Reenen

16762: Poor Substitutes? Counterfactual methods in IO and Trade compared

Thierry Mayer and Keith Head

16761: The Gender Gap at the Top: How Network Size and Composition Impact CEO Pay

Tavares, José and Sharmin Sazedj

16760: Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic

Frank Schorfheide and Dongho Song

16759: Production Networks and War: Evidence from Ukraine

Alexey Makarin and Vasily Korovkin

16758: Inflation Narratives

Christopher Roth, Ingar Haaland and Johannes Wohlfart

16757: How education and GDP drive the COVID-19 vaccination campaign

Klaus Zimmermann, Vu Minh Ngo, Phuc V. Nguyen, Luu Duc Toan Huynh and Huan Huu Nguyen

16756: Covid-19 and the Forces Behind Social Unrest

Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, Uwe Sunde and Mario Lackner

16755: Did The Australian JobKeeper Program Save Jobs by Subsidizing Temporary Layoffs?

Jennifer Hunt and Jeff Borland

16754: Fiscal Multipliers in the COVID19 Recession

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Alan Auerbach, Peter McCrory and Daniel Murphy

16753: Price Authority and Information Sharing with Competing Principals

Damien Neven, Salvatore Piccolo and Enrique Andreu

16752: Distributed Ledgers and the Governance of Money

Raphael Auer, Hyun Song Shin and Cyril Monnet

16751: Non-Standard Errors

Christian Wolff, Albert Menkveld, Anna Dreber, Felix Holzmeister, Juergen Huber, Magnus Johannesson, Michael Kirchler, Neusüess, Sebastian, Michael Razen and Utz Weitzel

16750: Sovereign Risk and Financial Risk

Egon Zakrajšek, Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei and Vivian Yue

16749: What Types of Capital Flows Help Improve International Risk Sharing?

Ayhan Kose and Ergys Islamaj

16748: Ambiguity with Machine Learning: An Application to Portfolio Choice

Eric Ghysels, Yan Qian and Steve Raymond

16747: The Geography of Investor Attention

Marco Pagano, Stefano Mengoli and Pierpaolo Pattitoni

16746: The impact of 2020 French municipal elections on the spread of COVID-19

Guilhem Cassan and Marc Sangnier

16745: Carbon Taxes and the Geography of Fossil Lending

Luc Laeven and Alexander Popov

16744: CDS and Credit: After the Bangs Cheaper Credit Insurance, More Lending and Hedging

Steven Ongena, ,, Tümer-Alkan, Günseli and Yuejuan Yu

16743: Rooted to the Soil: The impact of social housing on population in Ireland since 1911

Alan de Bromhead and Ronan Lyons

16742: A Primer on Trade and Inequality

Dani Rodrik

16741: Globalization and the Ladder of Development: Pushed to the Top or Held at the Bottom?

Arnaud Costinot, David Atkin and Masao Fukui

16740: The Gender Gap in Preferences: Evidence from 45,397 Facebook Interests

Klaus Desmet, Angel Cuevas Rumin, Ruben Cuevas Rumin and Ortuño-Ortin, Ignacio

16739: The Other Great Migration: Southern Whites and the New Right

Samuel Bazzi, Andreas Ferrara, Martin Fiszbein, Thomas Pearson and Patrick Testa

16738: The Travel Shock

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti

16737: Short-term political memory and the inevitability of polarisation

Ronny Razin and Gilat Levy

16736: Gender inequality and caste: Field experimental evidence from India

Yves Zenou, Asad Islam, Debayan Pakrashi, Soubhagya Sahoo and Liang Wang

16735: Equilibrium Worker-Firm Allocations and the Deadweight Losses of Taxation

Espen R. Moen, Jesper Bagger and Rune Vejlin

16734: Transportation Costs in the Age of Highways: Evidence from United States 1955-2010

Alexander Klein and Sylvain Barde

16733: Equilibrium Job Turnover and the Business Cycle

Carlos Carrillo-Tudela, Alex Clymo and Melvyn G Coles

16732: Does Organized Crime Attract EU Funding? Evidence from the Sicilian Mafia

Tavares, José, Marlene Thomas and João Pereira Dos Santos

16731: Social Media and Collective Action in China

Yanhui Wu and Strömberg, David

16730: The Health Effects of Universal Early Childhood Interventions: Evidence from Sure Start

Gabriella Conti, Sarah Cattan, Christine Farquharson, Rita Ginja and Maud Pecher

16729: Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations

Dmitriy Sergeyev and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

16728: International Evidence on Vaccines and the Mortality to Infections Ratio in the Pre-Omicron Era

Joshua Aizenman, Alex Cukierman, Yothin Jinjarak and Weining Xin

16727: Loan Guarantees, Bank Lending and Credit Risk Reallocation

Andrea Polo, Carlo Altavilla, Andrew Ellul, Marco Pagano and Thomas Vlassopoulos

16726: The Effects of Fiscal Measures During COVID-19

Jonathan Ostry, Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri, Nour Tawk and Naihan Yang

16725: Firm-Level Upgrading in Developing Countries

Eric Verhoogen