CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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14563: Collusive Market Allocations

Elisabetta Iossa, Simon Loertscher, Leslie Marx and Patrick Rey

14562: Should Germany Have Built a New Wall? Macroeconomic Lessons from the 2015-18 Refugee Wave

Christopher Busch, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, Irina Popova and Zainab Iftikhar

14561: Islam and Human Capital in Historical Spain

Francesco Cinnirella, Alireza Naghavi and Giovanni Prarolo

14560: Hipsters vs. Geeks? Creative workers, STEM and innovation in US cities

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Neil Lee

14559: Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered

Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

14558: Innovate to Lead or Innovate to Prevail: When do Monopolistic Rents Induce Growth?

Roberto Piazza and Yu Zheng

14557: Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households

Claudio Michelacci and Luigi Paciello

14556: The Macroeconomic Stabilization of Tariff Shocks: What is the Optimal Monetary Response?

Paul Bergin and Giancarlo Corsetti

14555: The Economics of Helicopter Money

Pierpaolo Benigno and Salvatore Nisticò

14554: No Line Left Behind: Assortative Matching Inside the Firm

Achyuta Adhvaryu, Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham and Jorge Tamayo

14553: Productivity dispersion and persistence among the world’s most numerous firms

Casey Maue, Marshall Burke and Kyle Emerick

14552: The Response to Dynamic Incentives in Insurance Contracts with a Deductible: Evidence from a Differences-in-Regression-Discontinuities Design

Tobias Klein, Martin Salm and Suraj Upadhyay

14551: A World Divided: Refugee Centers, House Prices, and Household Preferences

Dröes, Martijn and Hans Koster

14550: Measuring Welfare and Inequality with Incomplete Price Information

David Atkin, Benjamin Faber, Thibault Fally and Marco Gonzalez-Navarro

14549: Testing predictions on supplier governance from the global value chains literature

Johannes Van Biesebroeck and Alexander Schmitt

14548: 25 Years of European Merger Control

Pauline Affeldt, Tomaso Duso and Szücs, Florian

14547: Educational Inequality, Assortative Mating and Women Empowerement

Ester Faia

14546: The Welfare Effects of Greenbelt Policy: Evidence from England

Hans Koster

14545: Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crises: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Approach

Gianluca Benigno, Andrew Foerster, Christopher Otrok and Alessandro Rebucci

14544: Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier

James Cloyne, Oscar Jorda and Alan Taylor

14543: Longer-run economic consequences of pandemics

Oscar Jorda, Sanjay Singh and Alan Taylor

14542: Trade, Slavery, and State Coercion of Labor: Egypt During the First Globalization Era

Mohamed Saleh

14541: Cash Transfer Programs and Household Labor Supply

Daniela Del Boca, Chiara Pronzato and Giuseppe Sorrenti

14540: Should central banks be forward-looking?

Paul De Grauwe and Yuemei Ji

14539: Cognition, Optimism and the Formation of Age-Dependent Survival Beliefs

Nils Grevenbrock, Max Groneck, Alexander Ludwig and Alexander Zimper

14538: Higher-Order Income Risk over the Business Cycle

Christopher Busch and Alexander Ludwig

14537: How Political Insiders Lose Out When International Aid Underperforms: Evidence from a Participatory Development Experiment in Ghana

Katharine Baldwin, Dean Karlan, Christopher Udry and Ernest Appiah

14536: Police Response Times and Injury Outcomes

Gregory DeAngelo, Marina Toger and Sarit Weisburd

14535: Market Competition and Discrimination

Abu Siddique, Michael Vlassopoulos and Yves Zenou

14534: Why do people stay poor?

Oriana Bandiera, Robin Burgess, Maitreesh Ghatak, Clare Balboni and Anton Heil

14533: The Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy

Riccardo Degasperi, Seokki Hong and Giovanni Ricco

14532: Credit Provision and Stock Trading: Evidence from the South Sea Bubble

Fabio Braggion, Rik Frehen and Emiel Jerphanion

14531: Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Valerie Cerra, Fatás, Antonio and Sweta Saxena

14530: Risk-Taking, Competition and Uncertainty: Do CoCo Bonds Increase the Risk Appetite of Banks?

Mahmoud Fatouh, Ioana Neamtu and Sweder van Wijnbergen

14529: Covid-19 Coronavirus and Macroeconomic Policy

Luca Fornaro and Martin Wolf

14528: Can This Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

Ayhan Kose, Peter Nagle, Franziska Ohnsorge and Naotaka Sugawara

14527: Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

Sinem Kilic Celik, Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

14526: Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception

Grant Miller, Aureo de Paula and Christine Valente

14525: Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

Söhnke Bartram, Branke, Jürgen and Mehrshad Motahari

14524: The aggregate demand for bank capital

Milton Harris, Christian Opp and Marcus Opp

14523: The Causal Impact of Socio-Emotional Skills Training on Educational Success

Giuseppe Sorrenti, Zölitz, Ulf, Denis Ribeaud and Manuel Eisner

14522: The Effects of Land Redistribution: Evidence from the French Revolution

Theresa Finley, Raphael Franck and Noel Johnson

14521: Search, Information and Prices

Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks and Stephen Morris

14520: The Macroeconomics of Epidemics

Martin Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo and Mathias Trabandt

14519: Intergenerational ties and case fatality rates: A cross-country analysis

Christian Bayer and Moritz Kuhn

14518: The Virus of Fear: The Political Impact of Ebola in the U.S

Filipe Campante, Emilio Depetris-Chauvin and Ruben Durante

14517: Paying Outsourced Labor: Direct Evidence from Linked Temp Agency-Worker-Client Data

Andres Drenik, Jäger, Simon, Pascuel Plotkin and Benjamin Schoefer

14516: Two Centuries of U.S. Banking Concentration: 1820-2019

Caroline Fohlin and Matthew Jaremski

14515: The price of remoteness: Product availability and local cost of living in Ethiopia

Julien Martin, Florian Mayneris and William Theophile Ewane

14514: Store expensiveness and consumer saving: Insights from a new decomposition of price dispersion

Sofronis Clerides, Pascal Courty and Yupei Ma

14513: Politics and Gender in the Executive Suite

Alma Cohen, Moshe Hazan and David Weiss

14512: Set-up Costs and the Financing of Young Firms

Francois Derrien, Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier and Guillaume Vuillemey

14511: Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19

Stefano Ramelli and Alexander Wagner

14510: Contagion of Fear

Kris Mitchener and G Gary Richardson

14509: The Academic Market and the Rise of Universities in Medieval and Early Modern Europe (1000-1800)

David de la Croix, Frédéric Docquier, Alice Fabre and Robert Stelter

14508: Redrawing the Map of Global Capital Flows: The Role of Cross-Border Financing and Tax Havens

Antonio Coppola, Matteo Maggiori, Brent Neiman and Jesse Schreger

14507: Macroeconomic Conditions and Health in Britain: Aggregation, Dynamics and Local Area Heterogeneity

Katharina Janke, Kevin Lee, Carol Propper, Kalvinder Shields and Michael Shields

14506: Geographic Clustering and Resource Reallocation Across Firms in Chinese Industries

Di Guo, Kun Jiang, Cheng-Gang Xu and Xiyi Yang

14505: Intergenerational Transmission of Unemployment - Causal Evidence from Austria

Grübl, Dominik, Mario Lackner and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

14504: Foreign Banks, Liquidity Shocks, and Credit Stability

Daniel Belton, Leonardo Gambacorta, Sotirios Kokas and Raoul Minetti

14503: Public Attention to Gender Equality and the Demand for Female Directors

Mariassunta Giannetti and Tracy Yue Wang

14502: Household Finance

Francisco Gomes, Michael Haliassos and Tarun Ramadorai

14501: Populism and War

Massimo Morelli, Andrea Mattozzi and Marcos Y. Nakaguma

14500: GENDER AND CREDIT RISK: A VIEW FROM THE LOAN OFFICER'S DESK

García-Montalvo, José and Marta Reynal-Querol

14499: Bureaucrats under Populism

Greg Sasso and Massimo Morelli

14498: Copyright and Creativity. Evidence from Italian Opera During the Napoleonic Age

Michela Giorcelli and Petra Moser

14497: A century of arbitrage and disaster risk pricing in the foreign exchange market

Giancarlo Corsetti and Emile Marin

14496: Should I stay or should I go? Migrating away from an incumbent platform

Gary Biglaiser, Crémer, Jacques and Andre Veiga

14495: Network Topology and Market Structure

Ying-Ju Chen, Yves Zenou and Junjie Zhou

14494: Media Competition and News Diets

Charles Angelucci, Julia Cagé and Michael Sinkinson

14493: Male-biased Sex Ratios and Masculinity Norms: Evidence from Australia's Colonial Past

Victoria Baranov, Ralph De Haas and Pauline Grosjean

14492: Growth-and-Risk Trade-off

Maria Dolores Gadea Rivas, Luc Laeven and Pérez Quirós, Gabriel

14491: Frontiers of Mobility: Was Australia 1870-2017 a more Socially Mobile Society than England?

Gregory Clark, Andrew Leigh and Mike Pottenger

14490: Trade Liberalization and the Great Labor Reallocation

Yuan Zi

14489: How Important is the Yellow Pages? Experimental Evidence from Tanzania

Brian Dillon, Jenny Aker and Joshua Blumenstock

14488: Harry Johnson’s “Case for Flexible Exchange Rates†– 50 Years Later

Maurice Obstfeld

14487: Robots, Tasks, and Trade

Erhan Artuc, Paulo Bastos and Bob Rijkers

14486: Made and Created in China: The Role of Processing Trade

Zhiyuan Chen, Aksel Erbahar and Yuan Zi

14485: Heterogeneous Globalization: Offshoring and Reorganization

Andrew Bernard, Teresa Fort, Valerie Smeets and Frédéric Warzynski

14484: Real-Time Weakness of the Global Economy: A First Assessment of the Coronavirus Crisis

Leiva-León, Danilo, Pérez Quirós, Gabriel and Eyno Rots

14483: Direct Standard Errors for Regressions with Spatially Autocorrelated Residuals

Morgan Kelly

14482: Misallocation in the Market for Inputs: Enforcement and the Organization of Production

Johannes Boehm and Ezra Oberfield

14481: Elite Capture of Foreign Aid: Evidence from Offshore Bank Accounts

Jørgen Andersen, Niels Johannesen and Bob Rijkers

14480: Investor-State vs. State-State Dispute Settlement

Henrik Horn and Tangerås, Thomas

14479: Growth Recurring in Preindustrial Spain: Half A Millennium Perspective

Carlos à lvarez-Nogal, Leandro Prados de la Escosura and Carlos Santiago-Caballero

14478: Mis-allocation Within Firms: Internal Finance and International Trade

Sebastian Doerr, Dalia Marin, Davide Suverato and Thierry Verdier

14477: Why Trump Shot the Sheriffs: The End of WTO Dispute Settlement 1.0

Chad Bown and Soumaya Keynes

14476: Encouraging Others: Punishment and Performance in the Royal Navy

Hans-Joachim Voth and Guo Xu

14475: European Privacy Law and Global Markets for Data

Christian Peukert, Stefan Bechtold, Michail Batikas and Tobias Kretschmer

14474: Why some places are left-behind: urban adjustment to trade and policy shocks

Anthony Venables

14473: Gravity without Apologies: The Science of Elasticities, Distance, and Trade

Celine Carrere, Monika Mrazova and J. Peter Neary

14472: Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them

Barbara Rossi

14471: Effects of Passive Smoking on Prenatal and Infant Development: Lessons from the Past

Carlo Ciccarelli, Gianni De Fraja and Daniela Vuri

14470: The Separation and Reunification of Germany: Rethinking a Natural Experiment Interpretation of the Enduring Effects of Communism

Sascha Becker, Lukas Mergele and Ludger Woessmann

14469: A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting

Yiannis Dendramis, George Kapetanios and Massimiliano Marcellino

14468: The Big Bang: Stock Market Capitalization in the Long Run

Dmitry Kuvshinov and Kaspar Zimmermann

14467: The market events of mid-September 2019

Gara Afonso, Marco Cipriani, Adam Copeland, Anna Kovner, Gabriele La Spada and Antoine Martin

14466: The Economics of Social Data

Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti and Tan Gan

14465: Across-Country Wage Compression in Multinationals

Jonas Hjort, Xuan Li and Heather Sarsons

14464: Information Sharing in a Competitive Microcredit Market

Ralph De Haas, Matteo Millone and J. Bos