CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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9409: Why is hedge fund activism procyclical?

Mike Burkart and Amil Dasgupta

9408: Subjective and Objective Indicators of Racial Progress

Justin Wolfers and Betsey Stevenson

9407: Bond Market Clienteles, the Yield Curve, and the Optimal Maturity Structure of Government Debt

Dimitri Vayanos, Stéphane Guibaud and Yves Nosbusch

9406: Consumption Growth, the Interest Rate, and Financial Literacy

Tullio Jappelli and Mario Padula

9405: Firm Heterogeneity and Aggregate Welfare

Stephen Redding and Marc Melitz

9404: Political Credit Cycles: The Case of the Euro Zone

Luis Garicano, Tano Santos and Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús

9403: The Market for OTC Derivatives

Andrew Atkeson, Andrea Eisfeldt and Pierre-Olivier Weill

9402: The Macroeconomics of Modigliani-Miller

Hans Gersbach, Hans Haller and Müller, Jürg

9401: Do large departments make academics more productive? Agglomeration and peer effects in research

Pierre-Philippe Combes and Clement Bosquet

9400: How Much do Bank Shocks Affect Investment? Evidence from Matched Bank-Firm Loan Data

David Weinstein and Mary Amiti

9399: Life Expectancy, Schooling, and Lifetime Labor Supply: Theory and Evidence Revisited

Uwe Sunde and Matteo Cervellati

9398: Trade Theory with Numbers: Quantifying the Consequences of Globalization

Rodríguez-Clare, Andres and Arnaud Costinot

9397: Screening-Based Competition

Thomas Gehrig and ,

9396: Investments in physical capital, relationship-specificity, and the property rights approach

Patrick Schmitz

9395: Rational Inattention and Organizational Focus

Wouter Dessein, Tano Santos and ,

9394: Firewood Collections and Economic Growth in Rural Nepal 1995-2010: Evidence from a Household Panel

Dilip Mookherjee, Jean-Marie Baland and François Libois

9393: Roads and Trade: Evidence from the US

Gilles Duranton, Matthew Turner and Peter Morrow

9392: What causes banking crises? An empirical investigation for the world economy

A. Patrick Minford, David Meenagh, Vo Phuong Mai Le and Zhirong Ou

9391: What's Holding Back EU Exports to China?

Simon Evenett, Martin Wermelinger and Johannes Fritz

9390: Demographic Dividends Revisited

Jeffrey G. Williamson

9389: Search and Work in Optimal Welfare Programs

Giovanni Violante, Nicola Pavoni and Ofer Setty

9388: Identification and Inference Using Event Studies

Jonathan Wright and Gürkaynak, Refet

9387: The Trade Impact of the Zollverein

Wolfgang Keller and Carol Shiue

9386: Sectoral Technology and Structural Transformation

Berthold Herrendorf, Akos Valentinyi and Christopher Herrington

9385: Selling to a cartel of retailers: a model of hub-and-spoke collusion

Nicolas Sahuguet and Alexis Walckiers

9384: Deception detection and the role of self-selection

Kai Konrad, Salmai Qari and Tim Lohse

9383: Spending-based austerity measures and their effects on output and unemployment

Evi Pappa, Dimitrios Bermperoglu and Eugenia Vella

9382: Do Institutions and Culture Matter for Business Cycles?

Fabio Canova and Sumru Altug

9381: Choosing the variables to estimate singular DSGE models

Fabio Canova, Filippo Ferroni and Christian Matthes

9380: Panel Vector Autoregressive Models: A Survey

Fabio Canova and Matteo Ciccarelli

9379: Bridging DSGE Models and the raw data

Fabio Canova

9378: Is the UK triple-A?

Michael Wickens and Vito Polito

9377: Forecasting Stock Returns under Economic Constraints

Allan Timmermann, Davide Pettenuzzo and Rossen Valkanov

9376: Cooperative Investment, Uncertainty and Access

Steffen Hoernig and Carlo Cambini

9375: Worker Matching and Firm Value

Eran Yashiv and Espen Moen

9374: Search Costs, Demand-Side Economies and the Incentives to Merge under Bertrand Competition

Moraga-González, José-Luis and Vaiva Petrikaite

9373: Winning by Losing: Incentive Incompatibility in Multiple Qualifiers

Konstantin Sonin and Dmitry Dagaev

9372: In the Name of the Son (and the Daughter): Intergenerational Mobility in the United States, 1850-1930

Claudia Olivetti and M. Daniele Paserman

9371: Persistent effects of empires: Evidence from the partitions of Poland

Irena Grosfeld and Ekaterina Zhuravskaya

9370: Growth and Structural Transformation

Richard Rogerson, Berthold Herrendorf and Akos Valentinyi

9369: Three Sisters: The Interlinkage between Sovereign Debt, Currency and Banking Crises

Sylvester Eijffinger and Bilge Karataş

9368: Fiscal Discoveries and Sudden Decouplings

Rancière, Romain, Catão, Luís and Ana Fostel

9367: Commodity prices and the business cycle in Latin America: Living and dying by commodities?

Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel and Maximo Camacho

9366: Peer Effects: Social Multiplier or Social Norms?

Yves Zenou, Eleonora Patacchini and Xiaodong Liu

9365: Income and schooling

Mark Gradstein and Brückner, Markus

9364: The Commodity Export, Growth, and Distribution Connection in Southeast Asia 1500-1940

Jeffrey G. Williamson

9363: Did Muhammad Ali Foster Industrialization in Early 19th Century Egypt?

Jeffrey G. Williamson and Laura Panza

9362: Anatomy of Cartel Contracts

Frode Steen, Otto Toivanen and Ari Hyytinen

9361: Fixed-Mobile Integration

Steffen Hoernig and Carlo Cambini

9360: Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow

Alessandro Beber, Michael Brandt and Maurizio Luisi

9359: Women, Medieval Commerce, and the Education Gender Gap

Graziella Bertocchi and Monica Bozzano

9358: The Mystery of the Printing Press: Self-fulfilling debt crises and monetary sovereignty

Giancarlo Corsetti and Luca Dedola

9357: Culture, Languages, and Economics

Victor Ginsburgh and Shlomo Weber

9356: Russian Fiscal Federalism: Impact of Political and Fiscal (De)centralization

Michael Alexeev and Shlomo Weber

9355: Monetary Policy and Rational Asset Price Bubbles

Galí, Jordi

9354: Measuring Unilateral Effects in Partial Acquisitions

Helder Vasconcelos, Duarte Brito and Ricardo Ribeiro

9353: The Settlement of the United States, 1800 to 2000: The Long Transition towards Gibrat's Law

Klaus Desmet and Jordan Rappaport

9352: Urbanisation and Migration Externalities in China

Pierre-Philippe Combes, Démurger, Sylvie and Shi Li

9351: Rational parasites

Jean-Pierre Benoit and Roberto Galbiati

9350: Local taxation of global corporations: a simple solution

Jean Hindriks, Susana Peralta and Shlomo Weber

9349: Skewness Risk Premium: Theory and Empirical Evidence

Christian Wolff, Thorsten Lehnert and Yuehao Lin

9348: Capital, Trust and Competitiveness in the Banking Sector

Thomas Gehrig

9347: Would less fiscal decentralization reduce public sector size across sectors in Europe?

Antonio Estache, Michele Cincera and Alexander Wolf

9346: Cost Efficiency and Subsidization in German Local Public Bus Transit

Maria Nieswand and Matthias Walter

9345: Towards an Efficient Use of R&D ? Accounting for Heterogeneity in the OECD

Astrid Cullmann and Petra Zloczysti

9344: Horizontal skills mismatch in the labor market: Protecting the past vs. protecting the future

Antonio Estache and Renaud Foucart

9343: The First Review of EU Antidumping Reviews

Maurizio Zanardi and Andreea Nita

9342: Geography and the Determinants of Firm Exports in Indonesia

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Vassilis Tselios, Deborah Winkler and Thomas Farole

9341: Heterogeneous Workers and International Trade

Gene Grossman

9340: Profitability of fertilizer: Experimental evidence from female rice farmers in Mali

Christopher Udry, Dean Karlan, Lori Beaman and Bram Thuysbaert

9339: Risk tolerance and entrepreneurship

Hans Hvide and Georgios Panos

9338: Finance, Governments, and Trade

Giuseppe Bertola and Anna Lo Prete

9337: The Economic and Demographic Transition, Mortality, and Comparative Development

Uwe Sunde and Matteo Cervellati

9336: Social Security, Unemployment Risk and Efficient Bargaining between Unions and Firms

Pietro Reichlin

9335: Does Supporting Passenger Railways Reduce Road Traffic Externalities?

Rafael Lalive, Armin Schmutzler and Simon Luechinger

9334: Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility

Massimiliano Marcellino, Fabrizio Venditti and Mario Porqueddu

9333: Fiscal Policy and MPC Heterogeneity

Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri

9332: The Internationalization Process of Firms: from Exports to FDI

Andre Sapir, Maurizio Zanardi and Paola Conconi

9331: Reallocation and Technology: Evidence from the U.S. Steel Industry

Jan De Loecker and Allan Collard-Wexler

9330: Place Based Policies with Unemployment

Enrico Moretti and Patrick Kline

9329: Financial Crises: Explanations, Types, and Implications

Stijn Claessens and Ayhan Kose

9328: Do Prices and Attributes Explain International Differences in Food Purchases?

Rachel Griffith, Aviv Nevo and Pierre Dubois

9327: Discount Pricing

Mark Armstrong and Yongmin Chen

9325: Competition, Equity and Quality in HealthCare

Carol Propper and Maija Halonen-Akatwijuka

9324: Suppliers of multinationals and the forced linkage effect: Evidence from firm level data

Görg, Holger and Olivier Godart

9323: All-Pay Auctions: Implementation and Optimality

Armin Schmutzler and Jönsson, Stefan

9322: Gravity Equations: Workhorse, Toolkit, and Cookbook

Thierry Mayer and Keith Head

9321: Financial Shocks, Unemployment, and Public Policy

Edward Driffill

9320: Efficiency and Equity Effects of Taxing the Financial Sector: Lessons from a CGE Model for Belgium

Antonio Estache, Nicodème, Gaëtan and Omar Chisari

9319: Gaming and Strategic Opacity in Incentive Provision

Margaret Meyer, Florian Ederer and Richard Holden

9318: The implications of natural resource exports for non-resource trade

Anthony Venables and Torfinn Harding

9317: Heterogeneous Firms and Trade

Stephen Redding and Marc Melitz

9316: Cable Regulation in the Internet Era

Gregory Crawford

9315: Common-Value All-Pay Auctions with Asymmetric Information

Aner Sela, Ori Haimanko, Ram Orzach and Ezra Einy

9314: Unraveling Short- and Farsightedness in Politics

Hans Gersbach and Oriana Ponta

9313: Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?

Massimiliano Marcellino, Laurent Ferrara and Matteo Mogliani

9312: Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility

Massimiliano Marcellino, Andrea Carriero and Todd Clark

9311: Credit Market Competition and Liquidity Crises

Elena Carletti and Agnese Leonello

9310: Understanding Financial Crises: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses

Stijn Claessens, Ayhan Kose, Luc Laeven and Fabian Valencia

9309: Geography and Intra-National Home Bias: U. S. Domestic Trade in 1949 and 2007

Nicholas Crafts and Alexander Klein