CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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14560: Hipsters vs. Geeks? Creative workers, STEM and innovation in US cities

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Neil Lee

14559: Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered

Alan Taylor, Oscar Jorda and Moritz Schularick

14558: Innovate to Lead or Innovate to Prevail: When do Monopolistic Rents Induce Growth?

Yu Zheng and Roberto Piazza

14557: Aggregate Risk or Aggregate Uncertainty? Evidence from UK Households

Luigi Paciello and Claudio Michelacci

14556: The Macroeconomic Stabilization of Tariff Shocks: What is the Optimal Monetary Response?

Giancarlo Corsetti and Paul Bergin

14555: The Economics of Helicopter Money

Pierpaolo Benigno and Salvatore Nisticò

14554: No Line Left Behind: Assortative Matching Inside the Firm

Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham, Jorge Tamayo and Achyuta Adhvaryu

14553: Productivity dispersion and persistence among the world’s most numerous firms

Kyle Emerick, Marshall Burke and Casey Maue

14552: The Response to Dynamic Incentives in Insurance Contracts with a Deductible: Evidence from a Differences-in-Regression-Disconti

Tobias Klein, Martin Salm and Suraj Upadhyay

14551: A World Divided: Refugee Centers, House Prices, and Household Preferences

Hans Koster and Dröes, Martijn

14550: Measuring Welfare and Inequality with Incomplete Price Information

Thibault Fally, David Atkin, Benjamin Faber and Marco Gonzalez-Navarro

14549: Testing predictions on supplier governance from the global value chains literature

Johannes Van Biesebroeck and Alexander Schmitt

14548: 25 Years of European Merger Control

Tomaso Duso, Pauline Affeldt and Szücs, Florian

14547: Educational Inequality, Assortative Mating and Women Empowerement

Ester Faia

14546: The Welfare Effects of Greenbelt Policy: Evidence from England

Hans Koster

14545: Estimating Macroeconomic Models of Financial Crises: An Endogenous Regime-Switching Approach

Alessandro Rebucci, Gianluca Benigno, Andrew Foerster and Christopher Otrok

14544: Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier

Alan Taylor, James Cloyne and Oscar Jorda

14543: Longer-run economic consequences of pandemics

Alan Taylor, Oscar Jorda and Sanjay Singh

14542: Trade, Slavery, and State Coercion of Labor: Egypt During the First Globalization Era

Mohamed Saleh

14541: Cash Transfer Programs and Household Labor Supply

Daniela Del Boca, Chiara Pronzato and Giuseppe Sorrenti

14540: Should central banks be forward-looking?

Paul De Grauwe and Yuemei Ji

14539: Cognition, Optimism and the Formation of Age-Dependent Survival Beliefs

Alexander Ludwig, Nils Grevenbrock, Max Groneck and Alexander Zimper

14538: Higher-Order Income Risk over the Business Cycle

Alexander Ludwig and Christopher Busch

14537: How Political Insiders Lose Out When International Aid Underperforms: Evidence from a Participatory Development Experiment in G

Dean Karlan, Katharine Baldwin, Christopher Udry and Ernest Appiah

14536: Police Response Times and Injury Outcomes

Gregory DeAngelo, Marina Toger and Sarit Weisburd

14535: Market Competition and Discrimination

Yves Zenou, Abu Siddique and Michael Vlassopoulos

14534: Why do people stay poor?

Oriana Bandiera, Maitreesh Ghatak, Clare Balboni and Anton Heil

14533: The Global Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy

Giovanni Ricco, Riccardo Degasperi and Seokki Hong

14532: Credit Provision and Stock Trading: Evidence from the South Sea Bubble

Fabio Braggion, Rik Frehen and Emiel Jerphanion

14531: Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Fatás, Antonio, Valerie Cerra and Sweta Saxena

14530: Risk-Taking, Competition and Uncertainty: Do CoCo Bonds Increase the Risk Appetite of Banks?

Sweder van Wijnbergen, Mahmoud Fatouh and Ioana Neamtu

14529: Covid-19 Coronavirus and Macroeconomic Policy

Luca Fornaro and ,

14528: Can This Time Be Different? Policy Options in Times of Rising Debt

Franziska Ohnsorge, Ayhan Kose, Peter Nagle and Naotaka Sugawara

14527: Subdued Potential Growth: Sources and Remedies

Franziska Ohnsorge, Sinem Kilic Celik and Ayhan Kose

14526: Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception

Aureo de Paula, Grant Miller and Christine Valente

14525: Artificial Intelligence in Asset Management

Söhnke Bartram, Branke, Jürgen and Mehrshad Motahari

14524: The aggregate demand for bank capital

Marcus Opp, Milton Harris and Christian Opp

14523: The Causal Impact of Socio-Emotional Skills Training on Educational Success

Zölitz, Ulf, Giuseppe Sorrenti, Denis Ribeaud and Manuel Eisner

14522: The Effects of Land Redistribution: Evidence from the French Revolution

Raphael Franck, Theresa Finley and Noel Johnson

14521: Search, Information and Prices

Stephen Morris, Dirk Bergemann and Benjamin Brooks

14520: The Macroeconomics of Epidemics

Rebelo, Sérgio, Martin Eichenbaum and Mathias Trabandt

14519: Intergenerational ties and case fatality rates: A cross-country analysis

Moritz Kuhn and Christian Bayer

14518: The Virus of Fear: The Political Impact of Ebola in the U.S

Filipe Campante, Emilio Depetris-Chauvin and Ruben Durante

14517: Paying Outsourced Labor: Direct Evidence from Linked Temp Agency-Worker-Client Data

Benjamin Schoefer, Andres Drenik, Jäger, Simon and Pascuel Plotkin

14516: Two Centuries of U.S. Banking Concentration: 1820-2019

Caroline Fohlin and Matthew Jaremski

14515: The price of remoteness: Product availability and local cost of living in Ethiopia

Florian Mayneris, Julien Martin and William Theophile Ewane

14513: Politics and Gender in the Executive Suite

Moshe Hazan, Alma Cohen and David Weiss

14512: Set-up Costs and the Financing of Young Firms

Guillaume Vuillemey, Francois Derrien and Mésonnier, Jean-Stéphane

14511: Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19

Alexander Wagner and Stefano Ramelli

14510: Contagion of Fear

Kris Mitchener and G Gary Richardson

14509: The Academic Market and the Rise of Universities in Medieval and Early Modern Europe (1000-1800)

David de la Croix, Frédéric Docquier, Alice Fabre and Robert Stelter

14508: Redrawing the Map of Global Capital Flows: The Role of Cross-Border Financing and Tax Havens

Matteo Maggiori, Antonio Coppola, Brent Neiman and Jesse Schreger

14507: Macroeconomic Conditions and Health in Britain: Aggregation, Dynamics and Local Area Heterogeneity

Carol Propper, Katharina Janke, Kevin Lee, Kalvinder Shields and Michael Shields

14506: Geographic Clustering and Resource Reallocation Across Firms in Chinese Industries

Cheng-Gang Xu, Di Guo, Kun Jiang and Xiyi Yang

14505: Intergenerational Transmission of Unemployment - Causal Evidence from Austria

Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, Grübl, Dominik and Mario Lackner

14504: Foreign Banks, Liquidity Shocks, and Credit Stability

Leonardo Gambacorta, Daniel Belton, , and Raoul Minetti

14503: Public Attention to Gender Equality and the Demand for Female Directors

Mariassunta Giannetti and Tracy Yue Wang

14502: Household Finance

Michael Haliassos and Francisco Gomes

14501: Populism and War

Massimo Morelli, Andrea Mattozzi and ,

14500: GENDER AND CREDIT RISK: A VIEW FROM THE LOAN OFFICER'S DESK

Marta Reynal-Querol and García-Montalvo, José

14499: Bureaucrats under Populism

Massimo Morelli and Greg Sasso

14498: Copyright and Creativity. Evidence from Italian Opera During the Napoleonic Age

Petra Moser and Michela Giorcelli

14497: A century of arbitrage and disaster risk pricing in the foreign exchange market

Giancarlo Corsetti and Emile Marin

14496: Should I stay or should I go? Migrating away from an incumbent platform

Gary Biglaiser, Crémer, Jacques and Andre Veiga

14495: Network Topology and Market Structure

Yves Zenou, Ying-Ju Chen and Junjie Zhou

14494: Media Competition and News Diets

Cagé, Julia, Charles Angelucci and Michael Sinkinson

14493: Male-biased Sex Ratios and Masculinity Norms: Evidence from Australia's Colonial Past

Ralph De Haas, Victoria Baranov and Pauline Grosjean

14492: Growth-and-Risk Trade-off

Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel, Maria Dolores Gadea Rivas and Luc Laeven

14491: Frontiers of Mobility: Was Australia 1870-2017 a more Socially Mobile Society than England?

Gregory Clark, Andrew Leigh and Mike Pottenger

14490: Trade Liberalization and the Great Labor Reallocation

Yuan Zi

14489: How Important is the Yellow Pages? Experimental Evidence from Tanzania

Joshua Blumenstock, Brian Dillon and Jenny Aker

14488: Harry Johnson’s “Case for Flexible Exchange Rates†– 50 Years Later

Maurice Obstfeld

14487: Robots, Tasks, and Trade

Paulo Bastos, Erhan Artuc and Bob Rijkers

14486: Made and Created in China: The Role of Processing Trade

Yuan Zi, Zhiyuan Chen and Aksel Erbahar

14485: Heterogeneous Globalization: Offshoring and Reorganization

Andrew Bernard, Teresa Fort, Valerie Smeets and Frédéric Warzynski

14484: Real-Time Weakness of the Global Economy: A First Assessment of the Coronavirus Crisis

Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel, Leiva-León, Danilo and Eyno Rots

14483: Direct Standard Errors for Regressions with Spatially Autocorrelated Residuals

Morgan Kelly

14482: Misallocation in the Market for Inputs: Enforcement and the Organization of Production

Johannes Boehm and Ezra Oberfield

14481: Elite Capture of Foreign Aid: Evidence from Offshore Bank Accounts

Niels Johannesen and Bob Rijkers

14480: Investor-State vs. State-State Dispute Settlement

Henrik Horn and Tangerås, Thomas

14479: Growth Recurring in Preindustrial Spain: Half A Millennium Perspective

Leandro Prados de la Escosura, Carlos à lvarez-Nogal and Carlos Santiago-Caballero

14478: Mis-allocation Within Firms: Internal Finance and International Trade

Dalia Marin, Sebastian Doerr, Davide Suverato and Thierry Verdier

14477: Why Trump Shot the Sheriffs: The End of WTO Dispute Settlement 1.0

Chad Bown and Soumaya Keynes

14476: Encouraging Others: Punishment and Performance in the Royal Navy

Hans-Joachim Voth and Guo Xu

14475: European Privacy Law and Global Markets for Data

Tobias Kretschmer, Christian Peukert, Stefan Bechtold and Michail Batikas

14474: Why some places are left-behind: urban adjustment to trade and policy shocks

Anthony Venables

14473: Gravity without Apologies: The Science of Elasticities, Distance, and Trade

J. Peter Neary, Carrère, Céline and Mrázová, Monika

14472: Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them

Barbara Rossi

14471: Effects of Passive Smoking on Prenatal and Infant Development: Lessons from the Past

Gianni De Fraja, Carlo Ciccarelli and Daniela Vuri

14470: The Separation and Reunification of Germany: Rethinking a Natural Experiment Interpretation of the Enduring Effects of Communis

Sascha Becker, Lukas Mergele and Ludger Woessmann

14469: A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting

Massimiliano Marcellino, George Kapetanios and Yiannis Dendramis

14468: The Big Bang: Stock Market Capitalization in the Long Run

Dmitry Kuvshinov and Kaspar Zimmermann

14467: The market events of mid-September 2019

Marco Cipriani, Gara Afonso, Adam Copeland, Anna Kovner, Gabriele La Spada and Antoine Martin

14466: The Economics of Social Data

Alessandro Bonatti, Dirk Bergemann and Tan Gan

14465: Across-Country Wage Compression in Multinationals

Jonas Hjort, Xuan Li and Heather Sarsons

14464: Information Sharing in a Competitive Microcredit Market

Ralph De Haas and Matteo Millone

14463: How Do Taxpayers Respond to Public Disclosure and Social Recognition Programs? Evidence from Pakistan

Mazhar Waseem, Joel Slemrod and Obeid Ur Rehman

14462: The Overnight Drift

Nina Boyarchenko, Lars Larsen and Paul Whelan

14461: A New Approach to Quantifying, Reducing and Insuring Cyber Risk: Preliminary Analysis and Proposal for Further Research

Neil Gandal, Michael Riordan and Shalom Bublil

14460: The Econometrics of Oil Market VAR Models

Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou