CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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9119: Protectionism during the crisis: Tit-for-tat or chicken games?

Marcelo Olarreaga and Mauro Boffa

9118: What Central Bankers Need to Know about Forecasting Oil Prices

Lutz Kilian and Christiane Baumeister

9117: Young immigrant children and their educational attainment

Jan C. van Ours and Asako Ohinata

9116: Malthus in the Bedroom: Birth Spacing as a Preventive Check Mechanism in Pre-Modern England

Jacob Weisdorf, Francesco Cinnirella and Marc Klemp

9115: Taxation and Labor Supply of Married Couples across Countries: A Macroeconomic Analysis

Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola and Alexander Bick

9114: Can Good Products Drive Out Bad? Evidence from Local Markets for (Fake?) Antimalarial Medicine in Uganda

Jakob Svensson, Björkman Nyqvist, Martina and David Yanagizawa-Drott

9113: Can't We All Be More Like Scandinavians? Asymmetric Growth and Institutions in an Interdependent World

Thierry Verdier, Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson

9112: Now-casting and the real-time data flow

Lucrezia Reichlin, Domenico Giannone, Michele Modugno and Marta Banbura

9111: Sources of Comparative Advantage in Polluting Industries

Fernando Broner, Vasco Carvalho and Paula Bustos

9110: A Citation-Analysis of Economic Research Institutes

Klaus Zimmermann and Rolf Ketzler

9109: Credit Constraints and Growth in a Global Economy

Stéphane Guibaud, Nicolas Coeurdacier and Keyu Jin

9108: Bond Ratings Matter: Evidence from the Lehman Brothers Index Rating Redefinition

Schürhoff, Norman, Zhihua Chen, Aziz Lookman and Duane J Seppi

9107: Complexity and Monetary Policy

Athanasios Orphanides and Volker Wieland

9106: On two-part tariff competition in a homogeneous product duopoly

Nikolaos Vettas and Krina Griva

9105: The output effect of fiscal consolidations

Francesco Giavazzi, Alberto Alesina and Carlo Favero

9104: Cannabis use and suicidal ideation

Jan C. van Ours, Jenny Williams, David Fergusson and John Horwood

9103: Global supply chains: Why they emerged, why they matter, and where they are going

Richard Baldwin

9102: Immigration and Voting for the Far Right

Zweimüller, Josef, Alexander Wagner and Martin Halla

9101: A Tear in the Iron Curtain: The Impact of Western Television on Consumption Behavior

Davide Cantoni and Leonardo Bursztyn

9100: Hoping to Win, Expected to Lose: Theory and Lessons on Micro Enterprise Development

Christopher Udry, Dean Karlan and Ryan Knight

9099: Competition, Cooperation, and Collective Choice

Jean-Robert Tyran, Ernesto Reuben and Thomas Markussen

9098: The Dark Side of the Vote: Biased Voters, Social Information, and Information Aggregation Through Majority Voting

Jean-Robert Tyran, Rebecca Morton and Marco Piovesan

9097: Direct and Indirect Network Effects are Equivalent: A Comment on Direct Direct and Indirect Network Effects are Equivalent: A C

Neil Gandal and Jeffrey Church

9096: Optimal Combination of Survey Forecasts

Domenico Giannone, Christine De Mol and Cristina Conflitti

9095: A Role Model for the Conduct of Fiscal Policy? Experiences from Sweden

Martin Flodén

9094: There goes gravity: how eBay reduces trade costs

Marcelo Olarreaga, Andreas Lendle, Pierre-Louis Vézina and Simon Schropp

9093: Mismatch Unemployment

Giovanni Violante, Giorgio Topa, Aysegul Sahin and Joseph Song

9092: Animal Spirits in the Euro Area Sovereign CDS Market

Sylvester Eijffinger, Hans Blommestein and Zongxin Qian

9091: A framework for analyzing language and welfare

Jacques Melitz

9090: The Value of Control and the Costs of Illiquidity

Rui Albuquerque and Enrique Schroth

9089: Time to ship during financial crises

Philippe Martin, Thierry Mayer, José De Sousa and Nicolas Berman

9088: Public Debt and Redistribution with Borrowing Constraints

Roberto Perotti, Tommaso Monacelli and Florin Bilbiie

9087: Is Monetary Policy in an Open Economy Fundamentally Different?

Tommaso Monacelli

9086: Agricultural trade distortions during the global financial crisis

Kym Anderson and Signe Nelgen

9085: Market Access in Global and Regional Trade

Thierry Mayer, José De Sousa and Soledad Zignago

9084: Loan Sales and Screening Incentives

Thomas Gehrig, Helmut Bester and ,

9083: Estimating effects of price-distorting policies using alternative distortions databases

Kym Anderson, Dominique van der Mensbrugghe and Will Martin

9082: The Great Leveraging

Alan Taylor

9081: Can Pro-Marriage Policies Work? An Analysis of Marginal Marriages

Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, Martin Halla and Wolfgang Frimmel

9080: The Evolution of Endogenous Business Cycles

Roger Farmer

9079: Advertising and the Distribution of Content

Helen Weeds

9078: Income Taxation of U.S. Households: Facts and Parametric Estimates

Nezih Guner, Gustavo Ventura and Remzi Kaygusuz

9077: Capital Regulation and Credit Fluctuations

Jean Rochet and Hans Gersbach

9076: International trade and institutional change: Medieval Venice's response to globalization

Diego Puga and Daniel Trefler

9075: National Institutions and African Development: Evidence from Partitioned Ethnicities

Elias Papaioannou and Stelios Michalopoulos

9074: The Impact of Urban Enterprise Zones on Establishments' Location Decisions: Evidence from French ZFUs

Thierry Mayer, Florian Mayneris and Loriane Py

9073: The Anatomy of French Production Hierarchies

Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, Lorenzo Caliendo and Ferdinando Monte

9072: The Clan and the City: Sustaining Cooperation in China and Europe

Guido Tabellini and Avner Greif

9071: Incentives in the Public Sector: Evidence from a Government Agency

Simon Burgess, Carol Propper, Marisa Ratto and Emma Tominey

9070: On the International Transmission of Shocks: Micro-Evidence From Mutual Fund Portfolios

Sergio Schmukler and Claudio Raddatz

9069: Market Size, Division of Labor, and Firm Productivity

Thomas Chaney and Ralph Ossa

9068: Pre-colonial Ethnic Institutions and Contemporary African Development

Elias Papaioannou and Stelios Michalopoulos

9067: Carry-Along Trade

Andrew Bernard, Hylke Vandenbussche, Emily Blanchard and Ilke Van Beveren

9066: Estimating equilibrium effects of job search assistance

Pieter Gautier, Bas van der Klaauw, Michael Rosholm and Michael Svarer

9065: Public goods and the hold-up problem under asymmetric information

Patrick Schmitz

9064: De Jure and de Facto Determinants of Power: Evidence from Mississippi

Graziella Bertocchi and Arcangelo Dimico

9063: UK Innovation Index: Productivity and Growth in UK Industries

Jonathan Haskel, Gavin Wallis and Peter Goodridge

9062: The German Transfer Problem, 1920-1933: A Sovereign Debt Perspective

Albrecht Ritschl

9061: Intangible Capital and Growth in Advanced Economies: Measurement and Comparative Results

Jonathan Haskel and Massimiliano Iommi

9060: The Spread of Manufacturing to the Poor Periphery 1870-2007

Jeffrey Williamson, Kevin O'Rourke and ,

9059: Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting

Justin Wolfers, Eric Zitzewitz and Erik Snowberg

9058: Testing macroeconomic models by indirect inference on unfiltered data

A. Patrick Minford, Michael Wickens and David Meenagh

9057: What causes banking crises? An empirical investigation

A. Patrick Minford, David Meenagh and Vo Phuong Mai Le

9056: Testing DSGE models by Indirect inference and other methods: some Monte Carlo experiments

A. Patrick Minford, Michael Wickens, David Meenagh and Vo Phuong Mai Le

9055: Green innovations and organisational change: making better use of environmental technology

Reinhilde Veugelers, Hanna Hottenrott and Rexhäuser, Sascha

9054: Tax Contracts and Elections

Hans Gersbach and Maik Schneider

9053: The Trade Effects of Skilled versus Unskilled Migration

Doug R Nelson, Peter Egger and Maximilian von Ehrlich

9052: A Theory of Countercyclical Government-Consumption Multiplier

Pascal Michaillat

9051: Trade Preferences and Bilateral Trade in Goods and Services: A Structural Approach

Peter Egger, Mario Larch and Kevin Staub

9050: The hold-up problem, innovations, and limited liability

Patrick Schmitz

9049: How Useful are DSGE Macroeconomic Models for Forecasting?

Michael Wickens

9048: Managing licensing in a market for technology

,, Andrea Fosfuri and Rønde, Thomas

9047: International Standards and International Trade: Empirical Evidence from ISO 9000 Diffusion

Joseph Clougherty and Michal Grajek

9046: Agglomeration,Trade and Selection

Gianmarco Ottaviano

9045: Gender Discrimination: The Role of Males and Per Capita Income

Jose Tavares and Fazeer Rahim

9044: Global Banks and Crisis Transmission

Fabrizio Perri, Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem and Elias Papaioannou

9043: Spread the News: How the Crisis Affected the Impact of News on the European Sovereign Bond Markets

Roel Beetsma, Frank de Jong, Massimo Giuliodori and Daniel Widijanto

9042: Cross-border media and nationalism: Evidence from Serbian radio in Croatia

Ekaterina Zhuravskaya, Stefano DellaVigna, Ruben Enikolopov, Maria Petrova and Vera Mironova

9041: Fiscal Consolidation Strategy

John Taylor, Volker Wieland, John F. Cogan and Maik Wolters

9040: Who Needs the Nation State?

Dani Rodrik

9039: Can the learnability criterion ensure determinacy in New Keynesian Models?

A. Patrick Minford and Naveen Srinivasan

9038: The Territorial Dynamics Of Innovation In China And India

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Michael Storper and Riccardo Crescenzi

9037: Globalization and Multiproduct Firms

Volker Nocke and Stephen Yeaple

9036: Services Versus Goods Trade: Are They The Same?

Andrea Ariu

9035: Durable Goods, Borrowing Constraints and Consumption Insurance

Josep Pijoan-Mas and Enzo Cerletti

9034: Bank ownership and credit over the business cycle: Is lending by state banks less procyclical?

Harry Huizinga, Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli and Ata Bertay

9033: Live aid revisited: long-term impacts of the 1984 Ethiopian famine on children

Stefan Dercon and Catherine Porter

9032: Undernutrition and Psychosocial Competencies: Evidence from Four Countries

Stefan Dercon and Sánchez, Alan

9031: School Meals as a Safety Net: An Evaluation of the Midday Meal Scheme in India

Stefan Dercon, Albert Park and Abhijeet Singh

9030: The Global Economics of Water: Is Water A Source of Comparative Advantage?

Peter Debaere

9029: Language, Ethnicity and Intra-firm Trade

Peter Debaere, Hongshik Lee and Joonhyung Lee

9028: Social insurance, work norms, and the allocation of talent

Giacomo Corneo

9027: Does Merger Simulation Work? A "Natural Experiment" in the Swedish Analgesics Market Market

Frank Verboven and Björnerstedt, Jonas

9026: Improving the Performance of Random Coefficients Demand Models: the Role of Optimal Instruments

Frank Verboven and Mathias Reynaert

9025: Time-Varying Fund Manager Skill

Laura Veldkamp, Marcin Kacperczyk and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

9024: The Cross-Section and Time-Series of Stock and Bond Returns

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Hanno Lustig and Ralph Koijen

9023: Too-Systemic-To-Fail: What Option Markets Imply About Sector-wide Government Guarantees

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Hanno Lustig and Bryan Kelly

9022: The Wealth-Consumption Ratio

Adrien Verdelhan, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Hanno Lustig

9021: Networks in Economics

Yves Zenou

9020: The Political Economy of Deforestation in the Tropics

Benjamin Olken, Stefanie Sieber, Matthew Hansen and Peter Potapov