CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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10715: What is the Expected Return on the Market?

Ian Martin

10714: The supply side of household finance

Luigi Guiso, Paolo Emilio Mistrulli, Leonardo Gambacorta and Gabriele FoÃ

10713: Like Me, Buy Me: The Effect of Soft Power on Exports

Andrew Rose

10712: Not Working At Work: Loafing, Unemployment and Labor Productivity

Daniel Hamermesh, Michael Burda and Katie R. Genadek

10711: Employment and Wage Insurance within Firms: Worldwide Evidence

Marco Pagano, Andrew Ellul and Fabiano Schivardi

10710: Means testing versus basic income: the (lack of) political support for a universal allowance

Helmuth Cremer and Kerstin Roeder

10709: Multiple Activities for Socially-Connected Criminals

Yves Zenou, Ying-Ju Chen and Junjie Zhou

10708: Endogenous Intermediation in Over-the-Counter Markets

Ana Babus and Tai-Wei Hu

10707: Property crime and private protection allocation within cities: theory and evidence

Tanguy van Ypersele, Steeve Mongrain and Bruno Decreuse

10706: Asymmetries and Portfolio Choice

Magnus Dahlquist, Tédongap, Roméo and Adam Farago

10705: The Antecedents and Aftermath of Financial Crises as told by Carlos F. Díaz Alejandro

Carmen Reinhart

10704: Aid on Demand: African Leaders and the Geography of China's Foreign Assistance

Axel Dreher, Roland Hodler, Andreas Fuchs, Bradley C. Parks, Paul Raschky and Michael Tierney

10703: Eliciting and Utilizing Willingness to Pay: Evidence from Field Trials in Northern Ghana

James Berry, Greg Fischer and Raymond Guiteras

10702: Capital Markets in China and Britain, 18th and 19th Century: Evidence from Grain Prices

Wolfgang Keller, Carol Shiue and Xin Wang

10701: The Optimal Timing of UI Benefits: Theory and Evidence from Sweden

Camille Landais, Peter Nilsson, Johannes Spinnewijn and Jonas Kolsrud

10700: Optimally Vague Contracts and the Law

Nicola Gennaioli and Giacomo Ponzetto

10699: Roads Leading to Self-Employment: Comparing Transgenerational Entrepreneurs and Self-Made Start-Ups

Gerard Pfann and Boris Blumberg

10698: The Consumption Response to Liquidity-Enhancing Transfers: Evidence from Italian Earthquakes

Giancarlo Corsetti, Saverio Simonelli and Antonio Acconcia

10697: A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation

Martín Uribe, Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie, Vivian Yue and Seunghoon Na

10696: The Importance of Geographic Access for the Impact of Microfinance

Randall Filer, Jan Hanousek and Nargiza Alimukhamedova

10695: Healthy(?), Wealthy and Wise: Birth Order and Adult Health

Kjell G Salvanes, Sandra Black and Paul Devereux

10694: On the Origins of Risk-Taking

Sandra Black, Paul Devereux, Kaveh Majlesi and Petter Lundborg

10692: Trade and frictional unemployment in the global economy

Frederic Robert-Nicoud, Carrère, Céline and Anja Grujovic-Vischer

10691: Human Capital and the Dynamic Effects of Trade

Raphael Auer

10690: Governance and the Effectiveness of Public Health Subsidies

Pascaline Dupas, Jonathan Robinson and Rebecca Dizon-Ross

10689: The Effect of Savings Accounts on Interpersonal Financial Relationships: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Rural Kenya

Pascaline Dupas, Jonathan Robinson and Anthony Keats

10688: Early Maternal Time Investment and Early Child Outcomes

Marco Francesconi, Emilia Del Bono, Yvonne Kelly and Amanda Sacker

10687: Coercive Trade Policy

Giovanni Facchini and Vincent Anesi

10686: Government versus private ownership of public goods: The role of bargaining frictions

Patrick Schmitz

10685: What Do Stock Markets Tell Us About Exchange Rates?

Lucio Sarno, Richard Payne, Giorgio Valente and Gino Cenedese

10684: Dismissal Disputes and Endogenous Sorting

Gerard Pfann and Pietro Garibaldi

10683: Inattention and Inertia in Household Finance: Evidence from the Danish Mortgage Market

John Campbell and Kasper Meisner Nielsen

10682: Leniency and Damages

Giancarlo Spagnolo, Paolo Buccirossi and Catarina Marvao

10681: An Intertemporal CAPM with Stochastic Volatility

John Campbell, Christopher Polk, Stefano Giglio and Robert Turley

10680: The Consumption and Wealth Effects of an Unanticipated Change in Lifetime Resources

Tullio Jappelli and Mario Padula

10679: Patent Boxes Design, Patents Location and Local R&D

Salvador Barrios, Alstadsæter, Annette, Nicodème, Gaëtan, Agnieszka Skonieczna and Antonio Vezzani

10678: Applications for Asylum in the Developed World: Modelling Asylum Claims by Origin and Destination

Timothy Hatton and Joe Moloney

10677: Import Competition and the Great U.S. Employment Sag of the 2000s

Daron Acemoglu, Gordon Hanson, David Autor, David Dorn and Brendan Price

10676: The Economics of Television and Online Video Markets

Gregory Crawford

10675: Stature and Sibship: Historical Evidence

Timothy Hatton

10674: Optimal Fiscal Policy with Endogenous Product Variety

Fabio Ghironi and Sanjay Chugh

10673: Agglomeration Economies and Productivity Growth: U.S. Cities, 1880-1930

Nicholas Crafts and Alexander Klein

10672: Is the WTO Passé?

Robert Staiger, Kyle Bagwell and Chad Bown

10671: Joint Design of Emission Tax and Trading Systems

Bernard Caillaud and Gabrielle Demange

10670: Income effects and the welfare consequences of tax in differentiated product oligopoly

Rachel Griffith, Lars Nesheim and Martin O'Connell

10669: Forward Guidance

Lars Svensson

10668: Redistribution and Insurance with Simple Tax Instruments

Sebastian Findeisen and Dominik Sachs

10667: Economic and Social Impacts of the Media

Eliana La Ferrara and Stefano DellaVigna

10666: Can Innovation Help U.S. Manufacturing Firms Escape Import Competition from China?

Johan Hombert and Adrien Matray

10665: Opacity and Liquidity

Wolf Wagner and Andre Stenzel

10664: Securitization and Economic Activity: The Credit Composition Channel

Wolf Wagner, Ata Bertay and Di Gong

10663: Central Bank Collateral Frameworks

Kjell Nyborg

10662: Recruitment and Selection in Organizations

Ricardo Alonso

10661: Determinants and Valuation Effects of the Home Bias in European Banks' Sovereign Debt Portfolios

Harry Huizinga, Vasso Ioannidou and Horváth, Bálint

10660: Asymmetric information, security design, and the pecking (dis)order

Paolo Fulghieri, Dirk Hackbarth and Diego Garcia

10659: Innovation and Top Income Inequality

Richard Blundell, Philippe Aghion, Hémous, David, Ufuk Akcigit and Antonin Bergeaud

10658: Airport Prices in a Two-Sided Market Setting: Major US Airports

Marc Ivaldi, Senay Sokullu and Tuba Toru Delibaşı

10657: Prices and Heterogeneous Search Costs

Moraga-González, José-Luis, Matthijs Wildenbeest and Sándor, Zsolt

10656: The performance of school assignment mechanisms in practice

Hessel Oosterbeek, Pieter Gautier, Bas van der Klaauw and Monique De Haan

10655: How Important Are Terms Of Trade Shocks?

Martín Uribe and Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie

10654: The Long-Term Determinants of Female HIV Infection in Africa: The Slave Trade, Polygyny, and Sexual Behavior

Graziella Bertocchi and Arcangelo Dimico

10653: Norwegian Rhapsody? The Political Economy Benefits of Regional Integration

Fabrizio Coricelli, Nauro Campos and Luigi Moretti

10652: Debt into Growth: How Sovereign Debt accelerated the First Industrial Revolution

Jaume Ventura and Hans-Joachim Voth

10651: A Model of Financialization of Commodities

Suleyman Basak and Anna Pavlova

10650: Direct and indirect effects of training vouchers for the unemployed

Michael Lechner, Martin Huber and Anthony Strittmatter

10649: Explaining the Unexplained: Residual Wage Inequality, Manufacturing Decline, and Low-Skilled Immigration

Eric Gould

10648: Financial Frictions, Financial Shocks and Unemployment Volatility

Tito Boeri, Pietro Garibaldi and Espen Moen

10647: The Changing Returns to Crime: Do Criminals Respond to Prices?

Stephen Machin, Mirko Draca and Theodore Koutmeridis

10646: Extended Unemployment Benefits and Early Retirement: Program Complementarity and Program Substitution

Zweimüller, Josef, Stefan Staubli and Lukas Inderbitzin

10645: Reviving the Limit Cycle View of Macroeconomic Fluctuations

Franck Portier, Paul Beaudry and Dana Galizia

10644: Ancestry, Language and Culture

Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg

10643: Can helping the sick hurt the able? Incentives, information and disruption in a disability-related welfare reform

John van Reenen, Barbara Petrongolo and Nitika Bagaria

10642: Why does financial sector growth crowd out real economic growth?

Stephen Cecchetti and Enisse Kharroubi

10641: Gale-Nikaido-Debreu and Milgrom-Shannon: Market Interactions with Endogenous Community Structures

Alexey Savvateev, Shlomo Weber and Daniil Musatov

10640: Linguistic Distances and their Use in Economics

Victor Ginsburgh and Shlomo Weber

10639: Downside Risk Timing by Mutual Funds

Andrei Simonov, Andriy Bodnaruk and Bekhan Chokaev

10638: Media Coverage and Political Accountability: Theory and Evidence

Strömberg, David

10637: From Micro to Macro: Demand, Supply, and Heterogeneity in the Trade Elasticity

Thierry Mayer and Maria Bas

10636: Projection Equilibrium: Definition and Applications to Social Investment and Persuasion

Madarász, Kristóf

10635: Central Bank Balance Sheets: Expansion and Reduction since 1900

Moritz Schularick, Niall Ferguson and Andreas Schaab

10634: Strategic Experimentation with Private Payoffs

Sven Rady, Paul Heidhues and Philipp Strack

10633: The Term Structure of Returns: Facts and Theory

Ralph Koijen and Jules van Binsbergen

10632: Does Product Familiarity Matter for Participation?

Michael Haliassos and Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola

10631: Teams, Organization and Education Outcomes: Evidence from a field experiment in Bangladesh

Yves Zenou, Eleonora Patacchini and Asad Islam

10630: Leaving Home with a Partner

Samuel Bentolila, Ildefonso Mendez and Francisco Maeso

10629: Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices

Dimitri Vayanos, Matthew Rabin and Erik Eyster

10628: Natural Experiments in Macroeconomics

Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola and Tarek Hassan

10627: Immigration, Trade and Productivity in Services: Evidence from U.K. Firms

Gianmarco Ottaviano, Giovanni Peri and Greg Wright

10626: Trade in Tasks and the Organization of Firms

Dalia Marin, Alexander Tarasov and Jan Schymik

10625: Choosing between Protectionism and Free Trade in an Uncertain World

Gerald Willmann, Peter Debaere and Toni Glaser

10624: Networking, context and firm-level innovation: Cooperation through the regional filter in Norway

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Rune Fitjar

10623: Identifying Two Part Tariff Contracts with Buyer Power: Empirical Estimation on Food Retailing

Pierre Dubois and Céline Bonnet

10622: Education and Optimal Dynamic Taxation: The Role of Income-Contingent Student Loans

Sebastian Findeisen and Dominik Sachs

10621: Learning about Job Search: A Field Experiment with Job Seekers in Germany

Armin Falk, Steffen Altmann, Florian Zimmermann and Jäger, Simon

10620: Culture and Global Sourcing

Gérard Roland and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

10619: The Demographic Transition and the Position of Women: A Marriage Market Perspective

V Bhaskar

10618: Dynamic Factor Models with Infinite-Dimensional Factor Space: Asymptotic Analysis

Marco Lippi, Marc Hallin, Mario Forni and Paolo Zaffaroni

10617: Colonial Legacy, Polarization and Linguistic Disenfranchisement: The Case of the Sri Lankan War

Victor Ginsburgh, Shlomo Weber and Paul Castañeda Dower

10616: Debt Bias in Corporate Income Taxation and the Costs of Banking Crises

Nicodème, Gaëtan, Sven Langedijk, Alessandro Rossi and Andrea Pagano

10615: Currency Unions and Trade: A Post-EMU Mea Culpa

Andrew Rose and Reuven Glick