CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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12763: A Dialogue between a Populist and an Economist

Tito Boeri, Prachi Mishra, Chris Papageorgiou and Antonio Spilimbergo

12762: Beauty Contests and the Term Structure

Martin Ellison and Andreas Tischbirek

12761: The Capital Markets Union: Key Challenges

Franklin Allen and Pástor, Luboš

12760: Expected Correlation and Future Market Returns

Adrian Buss, Schönleber, Lorenzo and Grigory Vilkov

12759: Horizontal Mergers and Product Innovation

Giulio Federico, Gregor Langus and Tommaso Valletti

12758: Global Alcohol Markets: Evolving Consumption Patterns, Regulations and Industrial Organizations

Kym Anderson, Giulia Meloni and Johan Swinnen

12757: Learning from Nationally Determined Contributions

Joseph Aldy, William Pizer, Keigo Akimoto, Lara Aleluia Reis, Carlo Carraro and Massimo Tavoni

12756: Government education expenditures, pre-primary education and school performance: A cross-country analysis

Daniela Del Boca, Chiara Monfardini and Sarah See

12755: Financial Policy

Dirk Niepelt

12754: Early Gender Gaps Among University Graduates

Marco Francesconi and Matthias Parey

12753: Ramsey Taxation in the Global Economy

Varadarajan Chari, Juan Pablo Nicolini and Pedro Teles

12752: Firm performance and participation in public procurement: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Bernard Hoekman and Marco Sanfilippo

12751: Preventives Versus Treatments Redux: Tighter Bounds on Distortions in Innovation Incentives with an Application to the Global Demand for HIV Pharmaceuticals

Michael Kremer and Christopher Snyder

12750: Sovereign Default: The Role of Expectations

Joao Ayres, Gaston Navarro, Juan Pablo Nicolini and Pedro Teles

12749: Regional Economic Development in Europe, 1900-2010: a description of the Patterns

Rosés, Joan R. and Nikolaus Wolf

12748: Firm-Specific Training

Leonardo Felli and Christopher J Harris

12747: Computerizing Industries and Routinizing Jobs: Explaining Trends in Aggregate Productivity

Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee and Yongseok Shin

12746: War of the Waves: Radio and Resistance During World War II

Stefano Gagliarducci, Francesco Sobbrio, Massimiliano Onorato and Guido Tabellini

12745: Roman Roads to Prosperity: Persistence and Non-Persistence of Public Goods Provision

Carl-Johan Dalgaard, Nicolai Kaarsen, Ola Olsson and Pablo Selaya

12744: Childless Aristocrats. Inheritance and the extensive margin of fertility

Paula Gobbi and Goñi, Marc

12743: How Much Market Access? A Case study of Jordan’s Exports to the EU

Brunelin, Stéphanie, Jaime de Melo and Alberto Portugal-Perez

12742: Loan Contract Structure and Adverse Selection: Survey Evidence from Uganda

Selim Gulesci, Andreas Madestam, Miri Stryjan and Christian Ahlin

12741: The Effects of Foreign Aid on Refugee Flows

Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs and Sarah Langlotz

12740: The culture of overconfidence

V Bhaskar and Caroline Thomas

12739: Price Level Targeting with Evolving Credibility

Seppo Honkapohja and Kaushik Mitra

12738: Do Dutch dentists extract monopoly rents?

Nadine Ketel, Edwin Leuven, Hessel Oosterbeek and Bas van der Klaauw

12737: Liquidity Regimes and Optimal Dynamic Asset Allocation

Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Kent Daniel and Mehmet Saglam

12736: The Effect of the H-1B Quota on the Employment and Selection of Foreign-Born Labor

Anna Maria Mayda, Francesc Ortega, Giovanni Peri, Kevin Shih and Chad Sparber

12735: The labor market integration of refugees to the United States: Do entrepreneurs in the network help?

Olivier Dagnelie, Anna Maria Mayda and Jean-François Maystadt

12734: Monetary Policy and Inequality under Labor Market Frictions and Capital-Skill Complementarity

Juan Dolado, Gergő Motyovszki and Evi Pappa

12733: Learning When to Quit: An Empirical Model of Experimentation

Bernhard Ganglmair, Timothy S. Simcoe and Emanuele Tarantino

12732: Does the Potential to Merge Reduce Competition?

Dirk Hackbarth and Bart Taub

12731: The Greek Justice System: Collapse and Reform

Elias Papaioannou and Stavroula Karatza

12730: Coordinated Capacity Reductions and Public Communication in the Airline Industry

Gaurab Aryal, Federico Ciliberto and Benjamin Leyden

12729: Unclogging the Credit Channel: on the Macroeconomics of Banking frictions

Egle Jakucionyte and Sweder van Wijnbergen

12728: Exports and labor costs: Evidence from a French Policy

Clément Malgouyres and Thierry Mayer

12727: Misallocation: Markups and Technology

Christian Bayer, Ariel Mecikovsky and Matthias Meier

12726: Understanding the Effects of Granting Work Permits to Undocumented Immigrants

Joan Monras, Vázquez-Grenno, Javier and Ferran Elias

12725: Regional lobbying and Structural funds. Do regional representation offices in Brussels deliver?

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Julie Courty

12724: Waiting for the payday? The market for startups and the timing of entrepreneurial exit

Ashish Arora, Andrea Fosfuri and Rønde, Thomas

12723: The Optimal Inflation Target and the Natural Rate of Interest

Philippe Andrade, Galí, Jordi, Hervé Le Bihan and Julien Matheron

12722: Firms' Expectations of New Orders, Employment, Costs and Prices: Evidence from Micro Data

Lena Boneva, James Cloyne, Martin Weale and Tomasz Wieladek

12721: AI as the next GPT: a Political-Economy Perspective

Manuel Trajtenberg

12720: Agency Conflicts over the Short and Long Run: Short-termism, Long-termism, and Pay-for-Luck

Sebastian Gryglewicz, Simon Mayer and Erwan Morellec

12719: Perceived Wages and the Gender Gap in STEM Fields

Aderonke Osikominu and Gregor Pfeifer

12718: (The Struggle for) Refugee Integration into the Labour Market: Evidence from Europe

Francesco Fasani, Tommaso Frattini and Luigi Minale

12717: Optimal Taxes on Capital in the OLG Model with Uninsurable Idiosyncratic Income Risk

Dirk Krueger and Alexander Ludwig

12716: Quantile Factor Models

Liang Chen, Juan Dolado and Jesus Gonzalo

12715: Banker My Neighbour: Matching and Financial Intermediation in Savings Groups

Rachel Cassidy and Marcel Fafchamps

12714: Intuitive Donating: Testing One-Line Solicitations for $1 Donations in a Large Online Experiment

Samantha Horn and Dean Karlan

12713: Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective

Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi, Mohammad Pesaran and Alessandro Rebucci

12712: The Price of Gold: Dowry and Death in India

Sonia Bhalotra, Abhishek Chakravarty and Selim Gulesci

12711: “Since you’re so rich, you must be really smartâ€: Talent and the Finance Wage Premium

Böhm, Michael, Daniel Metzger and Strömberg, Per

12710: What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data

Ruediger Bachmann and Peter Zorn

12709: Communication in Context: Interpreting Promises in an Experiment on Competition and Trust

Alessandra Casella, Navin Kartik, Luis Sanchez and Turban, Sébastien

12708: Differentiated Durable Goods Monopoly: A Robust Coase Conjecture

Francesco Nava and Pasquale Schiraldi

12707: Decomposing Firm-Product Appeal: How important is Consumer Taste?

Bee Yan Aw-Roberts, Yi Lee and Hylke Vandenbussche

12706: Delegated Expertise, Authority, and Communication

Inga Deimen and Dezsoe Szalay

12705: The cost of non-TTIP: A Global Value Chain Approach

Hylke Vandenbussche, William Connell Garcia and Wouter Simons

12704: Taste for Science, Academic Boundary Spanning and Inventive Performance of Scientists and Engineers in Industry

Sam Arts and Reinhilde Veugelers

12703: What Do Trade Agreements Really Do?

Dani Rodrik

12702: Talent Development and Labour Market Integration: The Case of EU Football

Norbäck, Pehr-Johan, Martin Olsson and Lars Persson

12701: Shift-Share Instruments and the Impact of Immigration

David Jaeger, Joakim Ruist and Jan Stuhler

12700: Evaluating the case for supporting renewable electricity

David M Newbery

12699: Dynamic Contracting with Limited Commitment and the Ratchet Effect

Dino Gerardi

12698: Wage Inequality and Establishment Heterogeneity

In Kim and Jozef Konings

12697: The Effect of Minority Veto Rights on Controller Tunneling

Jesse Fried, Ehud Kamar and Yishay Yafeh

12696: Global Financial Cycles and the Exchange Rate Regime: A Perspective from Emerging Markets

Maurice Obstfeld, Jonathan Ostry and Mahvash Qureshi

12695: Creative and science-oriented employees and firm-level innovation

Stephan Brunow, Antonia Birkeneder and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

12694: Safe Haven CDS Premiums

Sven Klinger and David Lando

12693: Protectionism and the Business Cycle

Alessandro Barattieri, Matteo Cacciatore and Fabio Ghironi

12692: Forecasting Methods in Finance

Allan Timmermann

12691: On the Empirical (Ir)Relevance of the Zero Lower Bound Constraint

Davide Debortoli, Galí, Jordi and Luca Gambetti

12690: Principle or Opportunism? Discretion, Capital, and Incentives

Josef Falkinger and Michel Habib

12689: Market Discipline and Systemic Risk

Alan Morrison and Ansgar Walther

12688: The corporate structure of multinational banks

Lóránth, Gyöngyi and Alan Morrison

12687: Risk Everywhere: Modeling and Managing Volatility

Tim Bollerslev, Benjamin Hood, John Huss and Lasse Pedersen

12686: Betting Against Correlation: Testing Theories of the Low-Risk Effect

Clifford S. Asness, Andrea Frazzini, Niels Gormsen and Lasse Pedersen

12685: Deep Value

Clifford S. Asness, John M. Liew, Lasse Pedersen and Ashwin K Thapar

12684: Size Matters, if You Control Your Junk

Clifford S. Asness, Andrea Frazzini, Ronen Israel and Lasse Pedersen

12683: Turbulence and Unemployment in Matching Models

Isaac Baley, Lars Ljungqvist and Thomas Sargent

12682: Consistent non-Gaussian pseudo maximum likelihood estimators

Gabriele Fiorentini and Enrique Sentana

12681: Monetary Policy and Financial Conditions: A Cross-Country Study

Tobias Adrian, Fernando Duarte, Federico Grinberg and Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli

12680: Financial Vulnerability and Monetary Policy

Tobias Adrian and Fernando Duarte

12679: ‘Getting to Denmark’: the Role of Elites for Development

Peter Jensen, Markus Lampe, Paul Sharp and Christian Skovsgaard

12678: Financial spillovers of international monetary policy: Six hypotheses on the Latin American case, 2010-2016

Sylvester Eijffinger and Jonathan Malagon

12677: Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy

Tobias Adrian, Arturo Estrella and Hyun Song Shin

12676: A Leverage-Based Measure of Financial Stability

Tobias Adrian, Karol Borowiecki and Alexander Tepper

12675: Does Early Child Care Affect Children's Development?

Christina Felfe and Rafael Lalive

12674: Common Ownership, Competition, and Top Management Incentives

Antón, Miguel, Florian Ederer, Giné, Mireia and Martin Schmalz

12673: The Reform Dilemma in Polarized Democracies

Hans Gersbach and Oriol Tejada

12672: Balanced Voting

Hans Gersbach and Kamali Wickramage

12671: Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation

Francesco Bianchi, Martin Lettau and Sydney Ludvigson

12670: The Nature of Firm Growth

Benjamin Pugsley, SedlÃ¡Ä ek, Petr and Vincent Sterk

12669: Supply Shocks in the Market for Apprenticeships: Evidence from a German High School Reform

Samuel Muehlemann, Gerard Pfann, Harald Pfeifer and Hans Dietrich

12668: Can Technology Undermine Macroprudential Regulation? Evidence from Peer-to-Peer Credit in China

Fabio Braggion, Alberto Manconi and Haikun Zhu

12667: Integrability and Generalized Separability

Thibault Fally

12666: Debt Traps? Market Vendors and Moneylender Debt in India and the Philippines

Dean Karlan, Sendhil Mullainathan and Benjamin N. Roth

12665: Generalized Recovery

Christian Skov Jensen, David Lando and Lasse Pedersen

12664: Efficiently Inefficient Markets for Assets and Asset Management

Nicolae Bogdan Garleanu and Lasse Pedersen