CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
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15364: Capital in Spain, 1850-2019

Leandro Prados de la Escosura

15363: Rise of the central bank digital currencies: drivers, approaches and technologies

Raphael Auer, Giulio Cornelli and Jon Frost

15362: Historical Data: Where to Find Them, How to Use Them

Paola Giuliano and Andrea Matranga

15361: (S)Cars and the Great Recession

Orazio Attanasio, Kieran Larkin, Morten Ravn and Mario Padula

15360: Bottom-up Markup Fluctuations

Ariel Burstein, Vasco Carvalho and Basile Grassi

15359: An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan

Stefano Caria, Grant Gordon, Maximilian Kasy, Simon Quinn, Soha Shami and Alexander Teytelboym

15358: Work, care and gender during the Covid-19 crisis

Claudia Hupkau and Barbara Petrongolo

15357: Fintech and big tech credit: a new database

Giulio Cornelli, Jon Frost, Leonardo Gambacorta, Raghavendra Rau, Robert Wardrop and Tania Ziegler

15356: Task Allocation and On-the-job Training

Mariagiovanna Baccara, SangMok Lee and Leeat Yariv

15355: Is Environmentalism the Right Strategy to Decarbonize the World?

Marco Marini, Ornella Tarola and Jacques Thisse

15354: Priority Roads: the Political Economy of Africa's Interior-to-Coast Roads

Roberto Bonfatti, Yuan Gu and Steven Poelhekke

15353: Grandparents, Moms, or Dads? Why children of teen mothers do worse in life

Anna Aizer, Paul Devereux and Kjell G Salvanes

15352: Finance and Technology: What is changing and what is not

Stephen Cecchetti and Kermit Schoenholtz

15351: The Stable Transformation Path

Francisco Buera, Joseph Kaboski, Martí Mestieri and Daniel O'Connor

15350: Trade Unions and the Welfare of Rural-Urban Migrant Workers in China

Alison Booth, Richard Freeman, Xin Meng and Jilu Zhang

15349: Collateral Damage: The Legacy of the Secret War in Laos

Riaño, Juan Felipe and Felipe Valencia Caicedo

15348: Money, Banking, and Old-School Historical Economics

Eric Monnet and Francois Velde

15347: The History and Politics of Public Debt Accounting

Eric Monnet and Truong-Loï, Blaise

15346: Deep Learning Classification: Modeling Discrete Labor Choice

Lilia Maliar and Serguei Maliar

15345: The Ancient Origins of the Wealth of Nations

Quamrul Ashraf, Oded Galor and Marc Klemp

15344: The Political Economics of Non-democracy

Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

15343: Institutional fragility, breakdown of trust: a model of social unrest in Chile

Robert Funk and Velasco, Andrés

15342: Regulatory Measures to Dismantle Pyramidal Business Groups: Evidence from the United States, Japan, Korea and Israel

Assaf Hamdani, Konstantin Kosenko and Yishay Yafeh

15341: A q Theory of Internal Capital Markets

Min Dai, Xavier Giroud, Wei Jiang and Neng Wang

15340: Imported or Home Grown? The 1992-3 EMS Crisis

Barry Eichengreen and Alain Naef

15339: Dominant Currencies: How firms choose currency invoicing and why it matters

Mary Amiti, Oleg Itskhoki and Jozef Konings

15338: Occupational Licensing and the Gender Wage Gap

Maria Koumenta, Mario Pagliero and Davud Rostam-Afschar

15337: The Global Factor Structure of Exchange Rates

Sofonias Alemu Korsaye, Fabio Trojani and Andrea Vedolin

15336: Legal Air Cover

Patrick Bolton, Mitu Gulati and Ugo Panizza

15335: Central bank digital currency in an open economy

Massimo Ferrari Minesso, Arnaud Mehl and Livio Stracca

15334: The Crisis and Job Guarantees in Urban India

Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin

15333: Recruitment, Effort, and Retention Effects of Performance Contracts for Civil Servants: Experimental Evidence from Rwandan Primary Schools

Clare Leaver, Owen Ozier, Pieter Serneels and Andrew Zeitlin

15332: Who Should Work from Home during a Pandemic? The Wage-Infection Trade-off

Sangmin Aum, Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee and Yongseok Shin

15331: De-globalization: Driven by Global Crises?

Assaf Razin

15330: Should we trust cross sectional multiplier estimates?

Fabio Canova

15329: The Optimal Allocation of Covid-19 Vaccines

Ana Babus, Sanmay Das and SangMok Lee

15328: Global Financial Cycle and Liquidity Management

Olivier Jeanne and Damiano Sandri

15327: Colonial legacies: Shaping African cities

Neeraj Baruah, J. Vernon Henderson and Cong Peng

15326: Distance, Empire, and British Exports over Two Centuries

David Jacks, Kevin O'Rourke, Alan Taylor and Yoto Yotov

15325: The Indirect Fiscal Benefits of Low-Skilled Immigration

Mark Colas and Dominik Sachs

15324: Collective Information Acquisition

Ran Eilat and Kfir Eliaz

15323: SME Failures Under Large Liquidity Shocks: An Application to the COVID-19 Crisis

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Veronika Penciakova and Nick Sander

15322: Monetary Policy with a Central Bank Digital Currency: The Short and the Long Term

Böser, Florian and Hans Gersbach

15321: The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area

Giovanni Pellegrino, Federico Ravenna and Züllig, Gabriel

15320: The German Federal Constitutional Court Ruling and the European Central Bank's Strategy

Lars Feld and Volker Wieland

15319: Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks: Theory and Applications

Kirill Borusyak and Peter Hull

15318: Tapping into Talent: Coupling Education and Innovation Policies for Economic Growth

Ufuk Akcigit, Jeremy Pearce and Marta Prato

15317: The 'Great Lockdown': Inactive Workers and Mortality by Covid-19

Nicola Borri, Francesco Drago, Chiara Santantonio and Francesco Sobbrio

15316: Financial Constraints and Propagation of Shocks in Production Networks

Banu Demir, Beata Javorcik, Tomasz Michalski and Evren Örs,

15315: Expanding the Measurement of Culture with a Sample of Two Billion Humans

Nick Obradovich, Özak, Ömer, Martín, Ignacio, Ortuño-Ortin, Ignacio, Edmond Awad, Cebrían, Manuel, Ruben Cuevas Rumin, Klaus Desmet, Iyad Rahwan and Angel Cuevas Rumin

15314: Firm-level Risk Exposures and Stock Returns in the Wake of COVID-19

Steven Davis, Stephen Hansen and Cristhian Seminario-Amez

15313: The Economics of Currency Risk

Tarek Hassan and Tony Zhang

15312: A Counterfactual Economic Analysis of Covid-19 Using a Threshold Augmented Multi-Country Model

Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mohammad Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi and Alessandro Rebucci

15311: Appointed Learning for the Common Good: Optimal Committee Size and Efficient Rewards

Hans Gersbach, Akaki Mamageishvili and Oriol Tejada

15310: Economics and Epidemics: Evidence from an Estimated Spatial Econ-SIR Model

Mark Bognanni, Douglas Hanley, Daniel Kolliner and Kurt Mitman

15309: On Public Spending and Economic Unions

Fernando Broner, Martín, Alberto and Jaume Ventura

15308: Urban economics in a historical perspective: Recovering data with machine learning

Pierre-Philippe Combes, Laurent Gobillon and Yanos Zylberberg

15307: Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Edward Knotek and Raphael Schoenle

15306: Prospect Theory and Currency Returns: Empirical Evidence

Qi Xu, Roman Kozhan and Mark Taylor

15305: Exchange Rate Prediction with Machine Learning and a Smart Carry Trade Portfolio

Ilias Filippou, David Rapach, Mark Taylor and Guofu Zhou

15304: Regional Inequalities and the West-East Divide in Turkey since 1880

Gunes Asik, Karakoç, Ulaş and Sevket Pamuk

15303: History and Urban Economics

W Hanlon and Stephan Heblich

15302: The Social Determinants of Choice Quality: Evidence from Health Insurance in the Netherlands

Benjamin R. Handel, Jonathan Kolstad, Thomas Minten and Johannes Spinnewijn

15301: Patent Screening, Innovation, and Welfare

Mark Schankerman and Florian Schuett

15300: Shipwrecked by Rents

Fernando Arteaga, Desiree Desierto and Mark Koyama

15299: Money for taxes

Roberto Bonfatti, Adam Brzezinski, Kıvanç Karaman and Nuno Palma

15298: The Great Lockdown: pandemic response policies and bank lending conditions

Carlo Altavilla, Francesca Barbiero, Miguel Boucinha and Lorenzo Burlon

15297: Globalization and Pandemics

Pol Antrà s, Stephen Redding and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

15296: Implications of Cheap Oil for Emerging Markets

Alain Kabundi and Franziska Ohnsorge

15295: Institutional Change and Institutional Persistence

Daron Acemoglu, Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

15294: The Impact of Financial Education of Managers on Medium and Large Enterprises - A Randomized Controlled Trial in Mozambique

Claudia Custodio, Diogo Mendes and Daniel Metzger

15293: All-Pay Matching Contests

Aner Sela

15292: Bombs, Broadcasts and Resistance: Allied Intervention and Domestic Opposition to the Nazi Regime during World War II

Maja Adena, Ruben Enikolopov, Maria Petrova and Hans-Joachim Voth

15291: Evading Corporate Responsibilities: Evidence from the Shipping Industry

Guillaume Vuillemey

15290: The Effects of COVID-19 on U.S. Small Businesses: Evidence from Owners, Managers, and Employees

Georgij Alekseev, Safaa Amer, Manasa Gopal, Theresa Kuchler, Jw Schneider, Ströbel, Johannes and Nils Wernerfelt

15289: Monetary Policy Surprises and Exchange Rate Behavior

Gürkaynak, Refet, Hakan Kara, Kısacıkoğlu, Burçin and Sang Seok Lee

15288: Financing Infrastructure in the Shadow of Expropriation

Viral Acharya, Cecilia Parlatore and Suresh Sundaresan

15287: The Great Depression as a Saving Glut

Victor Degorce and Eric Monnet

15286: Do Old Habits Die Hard? Central Banks and the Bretton Woods Gold Puzzle

Eric Monnet and Damien Puy

15285: Choice in Insurance Markets: A Pigouvian Approach to Social Insurance Design

Nathan Hendren, Camille Landais and Johannes Spinnewijn

15284: Social Mobility and Social Regimes: Intergenerational Mobility in Hungary, 1949-2017

Pawel Bukowski, Gregory Clark, Gáspár, Attila and Pető, Rita

15283: Optimal allocations to heterogeneous agents with an application to stimulus checks

Vegard Nygaard, Sørensen, Bent E and Fan Wang

15282: Debt Sustainability in a Low Interest Rate World

Neil Mehrotra and Dmitriy Sergeyev

15281: Key Sectors in Endogeneous Growth

Jingong Huang and Yves Zenou

15280: Ballot or Bullet: The Impact of UK's Representation of the People Act on Peace and Prosperity

Dominic Rohner and Alessandro Saia

15279: Pricing above value: selling to an adverse selection market

Jan Boone

15278: Forward looking loan provisions: Credit supply and risk-taking

Bernardo Morais, Gaizka Ormazabal, Jose-Luis Peydro, Monica Roa and Miguel Sarmiento

15277: Production and financial networks in interplay: Crisis evidence from supplier-customer and credit registers

Kenan Huremović, Jiménez, Gabriel, Enrique Moral-Benito, Jose-Luis Peydro and Fernando Vega-Redondo

15276: Credit demand vs. supply channels: Experimental- and administrative-based evidence

Valentina Michelangeli, Jose-Luis Peydro and Enrico Sette

15275: Macroprudential Policy, Mortgage Cycles and Distributional Effects: Evidence from the UK

Jose-Luis Peydro, Francesc Rodríguez Tous, Jagdish Tripathy and Arzu Uluc

15274: Countercyclical Liquidity Policy and Credit Cycles: Evidence from Macroprudential and Monetary Policy in Brazil

Jose-Luis Peydro, Rodrigo Gonzalez, João Barroso and Bernardus Van Doornik

15273: Global Liquidity and Impairment of Local Monetary Policy

Salih Fendoglu, Eda Gulsen and Jose-Luis Peydro

15272: Reassessing the Resource Curse using Causal Machine Learning

Roland Hodler, Michael Lechner and Paul Raschky

15271: Good mine, bad mine: Natural resource heterogeneity and Dutch disease in Indonesia

Paul Pelzl and Steven Poelhekke

15270: Abstentions and Social Networks in Congress

Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza and Eleonora Patacchini

15269: Risk-Sharing and the Creation of Systemic Risk

Viral Acharya, Aaditya M. Iyer and Rangarajan K Sundaram

15268: Trade and Geography

Stephen Redding

15267: The Nonlinear Relationship Between Public Debt and Sovereign Credit Ratings

Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov and Luca Ricci

15266: Precaution, Information and Time-Inconsistency: On The Value of the Precautionary Principle

Louise Guillouet and David Martimort

15265: Cognitive Ability and Employee Mobility: Evidence from Swedish Microdata

Pooyan Khashabi, Tobias Kretschmer, Ali Mohammadi and Joseph Raffiee