CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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13763: The Role of Electoral Incentives for Policy Innovation: Evidence from the U.S. Welfare Reform

Andreas Bernecker, Pierre Boyer and Christina Gathmann

13762: The Macroeconomics of the Greek Depression

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Loukas Karabarbounis and Rohan Kekre

13761: A Rational Inattention Unemployment Trap

Martin Ellison and Alistair Macaulay

13760: Do Unemployment Benefit Extensions Explain the Emergence of Jobless Recoveries?

Kurt Mitman and Stanislav Rabinovich

13759: Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy

Carlo Altavilla, Luca Brugnolini, Gürkaynak, Refet, Roberto Motto and Giuseppe Ragusa

13758: Affordable Housing and City Welfare

Jack Favilukis and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

13757: Immigrant Communities and Knowledge Spillovers: Danish-Americans and the Development of the Dairy Industry in the United States

Nina Boberg-Fazlic and Paul Sharp

13756: Abatement Strategies and the Cost of Environmental Regulation: Emission Standards on the European Car Market

Mathias Reynaert

13755: Who Benefits When Firms Game Corrective Policies?

Mathias Reynaert and James Sallee

13754: Girls, Boys, and High Achievers

Angela Cools, Fernández, Raquel and Eleonora Patacchini

13753: The Economic Consequences of Hospitalizations for Older Workers across Countries

Corina Mommaerts, Syed Hassan Raza and Yu Zheng

13752: Monetary Policy and Bank Profitability in a Low Interest Rate Environment: A Follow-up and a Rejoinder

Charles Goodhart and Ali Kabiri

13751: The Industry Anatomy of the Transatlantic Productivity Growth Slowdown

Robert J. Gordon and Hassan Sayed

13750: Trust, Investment and Competition: Theory and Evidence from German Car Manufacturers

Giacomo Calzolari, Leonardo Felli, Johannes Koenen, Giancarlo Spagnolo and Konrad Stahl

13749: Coming Out in America: AIDS, Politics, and Cultural Change

Fernández, Raquel, Sahar Parsa and Martina Viarengo

13748: The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention

Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh

13747: Hurricanes, Climate Change Policies and Electoral Accountability

Stefano Gagliarducci, M. Daniele Paserman and Eleonora Patacchini

13746: Comparing Forecasting Performance with Panel Data

Allan Timmermann and Yinchu Zhu

13745: The Indeterminacy School in Macroeconomics

Roger Farmer

13744: Human Development in the Age of Globalisation

Leandro Prados de la Escosura

13743: Jihadi Attacks, Media and Local Hate Crime

Ria Ivandic, Tom Kirchmaier and Stephen Machin

13742: Unhedgeable Inflation Risk within Pension Schemes

Damiaan Chen, Roel Beetsma and Sweder van Wijnbergen

13741: The Geographic Flow of Bank Funding and Access to Credit: Branch Networks, Local Synergies, and Competition

Victor Aguirregabiria, Robert Clark and Hui Wang

13740: Fiscal Policies in Booms and Busts

Paul De Grauwe, Pasquale Foresti and Yuemei Ji

13739: International Business Travel and Technology Sourcing

Nune Hovhannisyan and Wolfgang Keller

13738: Preemption Contests Between Groups

Stefano Barbieri, Kai Konrad and David A. Malueg

13737: How to Alleviate Correlation Neglect

Christine Laudenbach, Michael Ungeheuer and Martin Weber

13736: Consumer Myopia in Vehicle Purchases: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Kenneth Gillingham, Sebastien Houde and Arthur van Benthem

13735: The Motives to Borrow

Fatás, Antonio, Atish Ghosh and Ugo Panizza

13734: Liquidation, bailout, and bail-in: Insolvency resolution mechanisms and bank lending

Bart Lambrecht and Alex Tse

13733: How to Improve Tax Compliance? Evidence from Population-wide Experiments in Belgium

Jan-Emmanuel De Neve, Clément Imbert, Johannes Spinnewijn, Teodora Tsankova and Maarten Luts

13732: Motherhood Timing and the Child Penalty: Bounding the Returns to Delay

Anikó Bíró, Steven Dieterle and Andreas Steinhauer

13731: Peer Effects in Product Adoption

Michael Bailey, Drew Johnston, Theresa Kuchler, Ströbel, Johannes and Arlene Wong

13730: Hedging Climate Change News

Robert Engle, Stefano Giglio, Heebum Lee, Bryan Kelly and Ströbel, Johannes

13729: The Maturity of Sovereign Debt Issuance in the Euro Area

Roel Beetsma, Massimo Giuliodori, Jesper Hanson and Frank de Jong

13728: Welfare and Political Economy Aspects of a Central Bank Digital Currency

Alex Cukierman

13727: Implications of the permanent-transitory confusion for New-Keynesian modeling, inflation forecasts and the post-crisis era

Alex Cukierman

13726: The Impact of CEOs in the Public Sector: Evidence from the English NHS

Katharina Janke, Carol Propper and Raffaella Sadun

13725: Are Estimates of Early Education Programs Too Pessimistic? Evidence from a Large-Scale Field Experiment that Causally Measures Neighbor Effects

John List, Fatemeh Momeni and Yves Zenou

13724: Blockchain Characteristics and the Cross-Section of Cryptocurrency Returns

Siddharth Bhambhwani, Stefanos Delikouras and George Korniotis

13723: Persuasion on Networks

Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin

13722: Banks as Patient Lenders: Evidence from a Tax Reform

Elena Carletti, Filippo De Marco, Vasso Ioannidou and Enrico Sette

13721: Structural change in the Chinese economy and changing trade relations with the world

Eddy Bekkers, Robert Koopman and Carolina Lemos

13720: Family and Government Insurance: Wage, Earnings, and Income Risks in the Netherlands and the U.S

Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella, Marike Knoef, Gonzalo Paz-Pardo and Raun van Ooijen

13719: An Economic Theory of the Evolution of the States System, and Evidence for Europe 1000-1800

Matteo Cervellati, Sara Lazzaroni, Giovanni Prarolo and Paolo Vanin

13718: Optimally solving banks' legacy problems

Anatoli Segura and Javier Suarez

13717: Before the Cult of Equity: New Monthly Indices of the British Share Market, 1829-1929

Gareth Campbell, Richard Grossman and John Turner

13716: Trade Blocs and Trade Wars during the Interwar Period

David Jacks and Dennis Novy

13715: Bank Risk Dynamics and Distance to Default

Stefan Nagel and Amiyatosh Purnanandam

13714: The International Monetary and Financial System

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Helene Rey and Maxime Sauzet

13713: Housing, urban growth and inequalities: The limits to deregulation and upzoning in reducing economic and spatial inequality

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Michael Storper

13712: Institutional change and the development of lagging regions in Europe

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Tobias Ketterer

13711: Sharing Guilt: How Better Access to Information May Backfire

Roman Inderst

13710: The Politics of CEOs

Alma Cohen, Moshe Hazan, Roberto Tallarita and David Weiss

13709: Risky Bank Guarantees

Mäkinen, Taneli, Lucio Sarno and Gabriele Zinna

13708: Discounting the Future: on Climate Change, Ambiguity Aversion and Epstein-Zin Preferences

Stan Olijslagers and Sweder van Wijnbergen

13707: Demand and Welfare Analysis in Discrete Choice Models with Social Interactions

Debopam Bhattacharya, Pascaline Dupas and Shin Kanaya

13706: Corporate Control around the World

Gur Aminadav and Elias Papaioannou

13705: Taxing Identity: Theory and Evidence from Early Islam

Mohamed Saleh and Jean Tirole

13704: Multinational Expansion in Time and Space

Stefania Garetto, Lindsay Oldenski and Natalia Ramondo

13703: Do High-Quality Local Institutions Shape Labour Productivity in Western European Manufacturing Firms?

Roberto Ganau and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

13702: After the Panic: Are Financial Crises Demand or Supply Shocks? Evidence from International Trade

Felipe Benguria and Alan Taylor

13701: Israel’s Struggle Towards Macroeconomic Stability: Historical-Analytical Essay

Assaf Razin

13700: Firm Size, Quality Bias and Import Demand

Joaquin Blaum, Claire Lelarge and Michael Peters

13699: The Comparative Advantage of Firms

Johannes Boehm, Swati Dhingra and John Morrow

13698: Micro-equity for Microenterprises

Suresh De Mel, David McKenzie and Christopher Woodruff

13697: Patronage and Selection in Public Sector Organizations

Emanuele Colonnelli, Mounu Prem and Edoardo Teso

13696: Global Declining Competition

Díez, Federico, Jiayue Fan and Carolina Villegas-Sanchez

13695: The 2018 US-China Trade Conflict After 40 Years of Special Protection

Chad Bown

13694: Income redistribution and self-selection of immigrants

Giacomo Corneo and Guido Neidhöfer

13693: The transmission channels of unconventional monetary policy: Evidence from a change in collateral requirements in France

Anne-Laure Delatte, Pranav Garg and Jean Imbs

13692: The Seniority Structure of Sovereign Debt

Matthias Schlegl, Christoph Trebesch and Mark Wright

13691: Small Firms and Domestic Bank Dependence in Europe's Great Recession

Mathias Hoffmann, Egor Maslov and Sørensen, Bent E

13690: Resolving the Missing Deflation Puzzle

Lindé, Jesper and Mathias Trabandt

13689: Market Frictions, Arbitrage, and the Capitalization of Amenities

Amine Ouazad and Romain Ranciere

13688: Taking State-Capacity Research to the Field: Insights from Collaborations with Tax Authorities

Dina Pomeranz and Vila-Belda, José

13687: The Extensive Margin of Aggregate Consumption Demand

Claudio Michelacci, Luigi Paciello and Andrea Pozzi

13686: Consumer Privacy and Serial Monopoly

Venkataraman Bhaskar and Nikita Roketskiy

13685: Discrimination in Hiring Based on Potential and Realized Fertility: Evidence from a Large-Scale Field Experiment

Sascha Becker, Ana Fernandes and Doris Weichselbaumer

13684: Welfare State, Inequality, and Globalization: Role of International-capital-flow Direction

Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

13683: Has the Swedish Business Sector Become More Entrepreneurial than the US Business Sector?

Fredrik Heyman, Norbäck, Pehr-Johan and Lars Persson

13682: Risk-Mitigating Technologies: the Case of Radiation Diagnostic Devices

Alberto Galasso and Hong Luo

13681: Gender Differences in Tournament Performance Over Time: Can Women Catch-Up with Men?

Alison Booth, Ryohei Hayashi and Eiji Yamamura

13680: Liquidity Risk After 20 Years

Pástor, Luboš and Robert Stambaugh

13679: Credit Cycles, Expectations, and Corporate Investment

Huseyin Gulen, Mihai Ion and Stefano Rossi

13678: The Gender Promotion Gap: Evidence from Central Banking

Laura Hospido, Luc Laeven and Ana Lamo

13677: Blood Donations and Incentives: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Lorenz Goette and Alois Stutzer

13676: Job Displacement Insurance and (the Lack of) Consumption-Smoothing

Francois Gerard and Joana Naritomi

13675: Having it all, for all: child-care subsidies and income distribution reconciled

Francesca Barigozzi, Helmuth Cremer and Kerstin Roeder

13674: Trade, Technology, and the Great Divergence

Kevin O'Rourke, Ahmed Rahman and Alan Taylor

13673: When Governments Promise to Prioritize Public Debt: Do Markets Care?

Mitu Gulati, Ugo Panizza, Mark Weidemaier and Grace Willingham

13672: Social Connections and the Sorting of Workers to Firms

Marcus Eliason, Lena Hensvik, Francis Kramarz and Oskar Skans

13671: Anticompetitive Vertical Merger Waves

Johan Hombert, Jerome Pouyet and Nicolas Schutz

13670: Opening the Floodgates: Industry and Occupation Adjustments to Labor Immigration

Bernt Bratsberg, Andreas Moxnes, Oddbjørn Raaum and Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe

13669: What Happened to U.S. Business Dynamism?

Ufuk Akcigit and Sina T. Ates

13668: Ten Facts on Declining Business Dynamism and Lessons from Endogenous Growth Theory

Ufuk Akcigit and Sina T. Ates

13667: Product-Mix Auctions

Paul Klemperer

13666: Distance Learning in Higher Education: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Maria Paula Cacault, Christian Hildebrand, Jérémy Laurent-Lucchetti and Michele Pellizzari

13665: Art Auctions

Orley Ashenfelter and Kathryn Graddy

13664: Public Procurement as a Demand-side Policy: Project Competition and Innovation Incentives

Alessandro De Chiara and Elisabetta Iossa