CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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21008: From Moderates to Extremes: How Immigration Polarizes American Politics

Johannes Matzat, Axel Dreher, Sarah Langlotz and Christopher Parsons

21007: Can Sanctions Deter Wars? The Russia-Ukraine Case

Thierry Mayer, Méjean, Isabelle and Mathias Thoenig

21006: Geographic Mobility over the Life Cycle

Díaz, Antonia, Jáñez, à Lvaro and Felix Wellschmied

21005: When Decisions Require Consideration, People Give Up Control

Holly Dykstra, Christine Exley, Muriel Niederle and Heather Wong

21004: Household Finance in Retrospect and Prospect

John Campbell and Tarun Ramadorai

21003: Financial Market Effects of FOMC Communication: Evidence from a New Event-Study Database

Miguel Acosta, Andrea Ajello, Michael Bauer, Francesca Loria and Silvia Miranda-Agrippino

21002: Optimally Designing Purpose and Meaning at Work

Antonio Cabrales and Esther Hauk

21001: Fiscal Seigniorage and Price Level Determination in a Currency Union

Sebastian Schmidt

21000: You Only Live Twice: Financial Inflows and Growth in a Westward-Facing Ukraine

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Maurice Obstfeld

20999: Does Partisanship or Arguing Activate Political Motivated Reasoning?

Andrew T. Little and Salvatore Nunnari

20998: Reciprocity and Democratic Accountability

Benjamin Blumenthal and Salvatore Nunnari

20997: Credit Constraints and the Redistribution of Housing Wealth

Belinda Tracey and Neeltje van Horen

20996: The Work-from-Home Wage Premium

Huiyu Li, Julien Sauvagnat and Tom Schmitz

20995: Can Cash Transfers Save Lives? Evidence from a Large-Scale Experiment in Kenya

Michael Walker, Nick Shankar, Edward Miguel, Dennis Egger and Grady Killeen

20994: Calibrated Mechanism Design

Laura Doval and Alex Smolin

20993: Firm Emissions and Credit Allocation

Grace Gu, Galina Hale, Bhavyaa Sharma and Jinhong Wu

20992: Artificial Intelligence and Growth in Advanced and Emerging Economies: Short-Run Impact

Leonardo Gambacorta, Enisse Kharroubi, Aaron Mehrotra and Tommaso Oliviero

20991: Ratcheting up Paris

Humberto Llavador, John E Roemer and Thomas Stoerk

20990: Weak Instrument Bias in Impulse Response Estimators

Daniel Lewis and Karel Mertens

20989: Size Distribution of All Italian Cities

Marianna Belloc

20988: Decoding Regional Dynamics: Institutions, Innovation, and Regional Development in the EU

Kamila Borsekova, Samuel Korony, Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Michal Styk and Hans Westlund

20987: A World Trading System For Whom? Evidence from Global Tariffs

Rodrigo Adao, John Becko, Arnaud Costinot and Dave Donaldson

20986: Mergers and R&D Investment: A Unified Approach

Moraga-González, José-Luis and Evgenia Motchenkova

20985: Tariff War Shock and the Convenience Yield of US Treasuries — A Hedging Perspective

Viral Acharya and Toomas Laarits

20982: Employment Impacts of the CHIPS Act

Bilge Erten, Joseph Stiglitz and Eric Verhoogen

20981: Quality Upgrading in Global Supply Chains: Evidence from Colombian Coffee

Rocco Macchiavello, Josepa Miquel-Florensa, Nicolás de Roux, Eric Verhoogen, Mario Bernasconi and Patrick Farrell

20980: Structural Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomics

Yucheng Yang, Chiyuan Wang, Andreas Schaab and Benjamin Moll

20979: The Global (Mis)Allocation of Capital

Carol Bertaut, Stephanie E. Curcuru, Ester Faia and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

20978: Topography of the FX Derivatives Market: A View from London

Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem, Daniel Ostry, Helene Rey, Adrien Rousset Planat, Vania Stavrakeva and Jenny Tang

20977: From Tweets to Transactions: High-Frequency Inflation Expectations, Consumption, and Stock Returns

Benjamin Born, Nora Lamersdorf, Jana-Lynn Schuster and Sascha Steffen

20976: New Keynesian Economics with Household and Firm Heterogeneity

Thomas Winberry, Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

20975: Testing Shock Independence in Gaussian Structural VARs

Dante Amengual, Gabriele Fiorentini and Enrique Sentana

20974: Eligibility to the Central Bank in Times of Crises: Evidence from France, 1863–1890

Vincent Bignon and Clemens Jobst

20973: Multibrand Price Dispersion

Mark Armstrong and John Vickers

20972: The Departed: Italian Migration and the American Mafia

Massimo Anelli, Paolo Pinotti and Zachary Porreca

20971: Pricing in Crisis

Reyer Gerlagh, Matti Liski and Vehviläinen, Iivo

20970: Finding Stars: Mapping the Geography of the World’s Scientific Elites

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Leiboyu Xiang and Neil Lee

20969: How Institutions Shape the Economic Returns to Investment in European Regions

Inmaculada C. à lvarez, Javier Barbero, Luis Orea and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

20968: How Monetary Policy Is Made: Lessons from Historical FOMC Discussions

Cooper Howes, Marc Dordal i Carreras, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

20967: Investment in Emerging and Developing Economies

Amat Adarov, Ayhan Kose and Dana Vorisek

20966: Multilateral Contracting in Stage Financing

Paolo Fulghieri, Yunzhi Hu and Felipe Varas

20965: What Drives Corporate Savings

Nan Chen, Xavier Giroud, Ling Qin and Neng Wang

20964: Making Suptech Work: Evidence on the Key Drivers of Adoption

Leonardo Gambacorta, Nico Lauridsen, Kiuhan-Vásquez, Samir and Jermy Prenio

20963: Subsidiary Financing: Risk-Shifting as a Commitment Device

Lóránth, Gyöngyi, Alan Morrison and Jing Zeng

20962: Education Fever: Inequality, Fertility, and Growth, with Application to China

Mark Gradstein

20961: Inefficient Debt Relief: Evidence from a Foreign Currency Loan Repayment Program

Lóránth, Gyöngyi, Oláh, Zsolt and Ibolya Schindele

20960: Doux Commerce: Markets, Culture, and Cooperation in 1850-1920 U.S

Max Posch and Itzchak Tzachi Raz

20959: The Effects of Immigration on Places and People: Identification and Interpretation

Christian Dustmann, Sebastian Otten, Schönberg, Uta and Jan Stuhler

20958: The Ins & Outs of Chinese Monetary Policy Transmission

Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, Tsvetelina Nenova and Helene Rey

20957: Digital News Consumption: Evidence from Smartphone Content in the 2024 US Elections

Guy Aridor, Tevel Dekel, Jiménez-Durán, Rafael, Ro'ee Levy and Lena Song

20956: Pros and Cons of Globalization: Income-Based Attitudes

Assaf Razin

20955: Inward and Outward Migration under Shifting Legal-Democratic Regimes

Assaf Razin

20954: Voting with Their Feet: Democratic Backsliding and Market-Minded Migration - Evidence from Israel and Europe

Assaf Razin

20953: Brexit and Migration: Germany-Benchmarked Evidence on Structural and Reallocation Shifts

Assaf Razin

20952: Building Capacity in the Public Administration: Evidence from German Reunification

Nadja Dwenger and Anna Gumpert

20951: A Stairway to Success: How Parenting Shapes Culture and Social Stratification

Francesco Agostinelli, Matthias Doepke, Giuseppe Sorrenti and Fabrizio Zilibotti

20950: Talent is Everywhere, Opportunity is Not: Online Role Model Mentoring and Students’ Aspirations

Pietro Biroli, Amalia Di Girolamo, Giuseppe Sorrenti and Maddalena Totarelli

20949: Closing the Border: The Impact of U.S. Migration and Trade Policy

Cruz, José-Luis and Julian di Giovanni

20948: Experiencing Carbon Pricing

Stefano Carattini, Ian Fletcher, Chad Kendall, Michael K. Price and Arthur Vu

20947: The Role of Dispersed Information in Maintaining Low Interest Rates

Marco Bassetto, Carlo Galli and Jason Hall

20946: Measuring Land Use Changes by (Machine) Learning from Historical Maps

Clement Gorin, Pierre-Philippe Combes, Gilles Duranton and Laurent Gobillon

20945: The Color of Knowledge: Impacts of Tutor Race on Learning and Performance

Bartoš, Vojtěch, Ulrich Glogowsky and Johannes Rincke

20944: Heterogeneous Firm Expectations and Misallocation

Erwan Gautier, Paul Hubert and Martin-Baillon, Alaïs

20943: The Great Leveler According to HANK

Ralph Luetticke, Timothy Meyer, Müller, Gernot and Moritz Schularick

20942: Economic Progress in Twentieth-Century Portugal: Revisiting the Evidence

Cermeño, Alexandra L., Nuno Palma and Renato Pistola

20941: A Lifecycle Estimator of Intergenerational Income Mobility

Ursula Mello, Martin Nybom and Jan Stuhler

20940: Automation, AI, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Knowledge

Enrique Ide

20939: Reintegrating Older Long-Term Unemployed Workers: The Impact of Temporary Job Guarantees

Alexander Ahammer, Martin Halla, Pia Heckl and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

20938: Women’s Power in the Household

Seema Jayachandran and Alessandra Voena

20937: The Environmental Footprint and Risk Exposure of a National Financial System

Eric Jondeau and Vallée, Lou-Salomé

20936: Polygyny and the Economic Determinants of Family Formation in Sub-Saharan Africa

Augustin Tapsoba

20935: Climate Shocks and Female Targeted Political Violence

Siwan Anderson and Daniel Jaramillo Calderon

20934: Electoral Margins and Political Competition

Clemence Tricaud and Romain Wacziarg

20933: Recession Detection Using Classifiers on the Anticipation-Precision Frontier

Pascal Michaillat

20932: Risk-On Risk-Off: A Multifaceted Approach to Measuring Global Investor Risk Aversion

Anusha Chari, Karlye Dilts Stedman and Christian Lundblad

20931: The Social Rate of Return on Road Infrastructure Investments

Anusha Chari, Peter Blair Henry and Pablo Picardo

20930: Distinct but Linked: Spillovers Between Pension and Non-Pension Investments

Alina Bartscher and Katja Mann

20929: What Will It Take to Stabilise Debt in Advanced Countries?

Zsolt Darvas, Gonzalo Huertas, Lennard Welslau and Jeromin Zettelmeyer

20928: Household Borrowing and Monetary Policy Transmission: Post-Pandemic Insights from Nine European Credit Registers

Olivier De Jonghe, Konstantins Benkovskis, Karolis Bielskis, Diana Bonfim, Margherita Bottero, Briglevics, Tamás, Martin Cesnak, Mantas Dirma, Marina Emiris, Palma Filep-Mostberger, Valentin Jouvanceau, Nicholas Kaiser, Dmitry Khametshin, Tibor Lalinsky, Viola Grolmusz, Laura Moretti, Arturs Nikitins, Angelo Nunnari, Maria Rodriguez Moreno, Elitsa Stefanova, Lajos Tamas Szabo, KÄ rlis Vilerts and Zhao, Sujiao (Emma)

20927: Covered Interest Parity in Emerging Markets: Measurement and Drivers

Mai Chi Dao and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

20926: Agglomeration, Segregation and Imperial Origins

Ester Faia, Edward Glaeser, Martina Viarengo and Saverio Simonelli

20925: Why do Governments Overpromise and Underdeliver? Evidence from India's National Clean Air Programme

Archana Dhinakar Bala, Martin Mattsson and Sangita Vyas

20924: Improving Financial Literacy: From Corporate Finance to Personal Finance

Annamaria Lusardi

20923: Learning and the Emergence of Nonlinearity in Financial Markets

Ian Dew-Becker, Stefano Giglio and Pooya Molavi

20922: Hacking Anti-Immigration Attitudes and Stereotypes: A Field Experiment in Italian High Schools

Sara Giunti, Andrea Guariso, Mariapia Mendola and Irene Solmone

20921: Inflation Uncertainty: Measurement, Causes, and Consequences

Viral Acharya, Sebastian Hillenbrand, Venky Venkateswaran and Margaret Underwood

20920: Aircraft Ownership Dynamics: Patterns of Duration and Transition in U.S. Commercial Aviation

Federico Ciliberto and Olivia Richine

20919: The Geographical Origins of the Wealth of Regions

Cermeño, Alexandra L., Carla Salvo and Jacob Weisdorf

20918: Self-Insurance in Turbulent Labor Markets

Isaac Baley, Ana Figueiredo, Cristiano Mantovani and Alireza Sepahsalari

20917: Horizontal Minority Stake Acquisitions and Patent Activity

Emilie Feyler, Sven Heim, Szücs, Florian and Yossi Spiegel

20916: How to Attract Talent? Field-Experimental Evidence on Emphasizing Flexibility and Career Opportunities in Job Advertisements

Larissa Fuchs, Matthias Heinz, Pia Pinger and Max Thon

20915: Mentoring and Schooling Decisions: Causal Evidence

Armin Falk, Fabian Kosse and Pia Pinger

20914: The End of DEI

Alex Edmans

20913: Shopping Versus Shipping: The Strategic Choice of Retail Format

Toshitaka Gokan, Thisse, Jacques-François and Xiwei Zhu

20912: Branching Out: Capital Mobility and Long-Run Growth

Sarah Quincy and Chenzi Xu

20911: Strategic Confusopoly: Evidence from the UK mobile telecommunications market

Ambre Elsas-Nicolle, Christos Genakos and Tobias Kretschmer

20910: How Global Are Local Value Chains?

Alessandro Borin, Francesco Paolo Conteduca, Fabrizio Leone, Michele Mancini and Patrick Zoi

20909: The Impact of Higher Education on Employer Perceptions

Renske Stans, Laura Ehrmantraut, Malin Siemers and Pia Pinger

20908: Monopolistic Data Dumping

Kfir Eliaz and Ran Spiegler

20907: Wasonian Persuasion

Kfir Eliaz and Ariel Rubinstein