CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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15953: Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers

Christian Siegel and Michael Boehm

15952: The Smoot-Hawley Trade War

Kirsten Wandschneider, Kris Mitchener and Kevin O'Rourke

15951: Bayesian Estimation of Epidemiological Models: Methods, Causality, and Policy Trade-Offs

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, Jonas Arias, Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco and Minchul Shin

15949: Reducing Parent-School Information Gaps and Improving Education Outcomes: Evidence from High-Frequency Text Messages

Taryn Dinkelman, Samuel Berlinski, Matias Busso and Claudia Martinez A.

15948: Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Firm Leverage

Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem, Xiaoxi Liu and Ilhyock Shim

15947: Inflation and Individual Investors’ Behavior: Evidence from the German Hyperinflation

Fabio Braggion, Felix von Meyerinck and Nic Schaub

15946: Institutional Investors and Infrastructure Investing

Aleksandar Andonov, Kräussl, Roman and Joshua Rauh

15945: Sustainability or Performance? Ratings and Fund Managers’ Incentives

Nickolay Gantchev, Mariassunta Giannetti and Rachel Li

15944: Asymmetries in Monetary Policy

Pierpaolo Benigno and Lorenza Rossi

15943: Estimating General Equilibrium Spillovers of Large-Scale Shocks

Kilian Huber

15942: The Rise of Agribusinesses and its Distributional Consequences

Swati Dhingra and Silvana Tenreyro

15941: Smart Cap

Christian Traeger and Larry Karp

15940: Public debt and the political economy of reforms

Pierre Boyer, Christoph Esslinger and Brian Roberson

15939: When to Lock, Not Whom: Managing Epidemics Using Time-Based Restrictions

Eran Yashiv, Yinon Bar-On, Tatiana Baron and Ron Milo

15938: Reconciliation Narratives: The Birth of a Nation after the US Civil War

Elena Esposito, Elena Esposito, Alessandro Saia and Mathias Thoenig

15937: The Effects of Child Tax Benefits on Poverty and Labor Supply: Evidence from the Canada Child Benefit and Universal Child Care

Mark Stabile, Michael Baker and Derek Messacar

15936: Accounting for the Great Divergence: Recent Findings from Historical National Accounting

Stephen Broadberry

15935: Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century: Looking Backward, Looking Forward

Kris Mitchener and Christoph Trebesch

15934: Information and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy

Kurt Mitman, Tobias Broer, Alexandre Kohlhas and Kathrin Schlafmann

15933: Diversity in Schools: Immigrants and the Educational Performance of U.S. Born Students

Paola Giuliano, David Figlio, Riccardo Marchingiglio, Umut Ozek and Paola Sapienza

15932: The Voice of Monetary Policy

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Tho Pham and Oleksandr Talavera

15931: Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies

Luis Brandao-Marques, Thomas Harjes, Ratna Sahay, Yi Xue and R. Gaston Gelos

15930: Dispersion in Financing Costs and Development

Cezar Santos, Tiago Cavalcanti, Joseph Kaboski and Bruno Martins

15929: The Costs of Populism for the Bureaucracy and Government Performance

Massimo Morelli, Luca Bellodi and Matia Vannoni

15928: Taxes and Turnout: When the decisive voter stays at home

Felix Bierbrauer, Aleh Tsyvinski and Nicolas Werquin

15927: Welfare Effects of Property Taxation

Sebastian Siegloch and Löffler, Max

15926: Advances in Nowcasting Economic Activity: Secular Trends, Large Shocks and New Data

Ivan Petrella, Juan Antolin-Diaz and Thomas Drechsel

15925: Sharing the Pie: An Analysis of Undernutrition and Individual Consumption in Bangladesh

Rossella Calvi, Caitlin Brown and Jacob Penglase

15924: The More the Poorer? Resource Sharing and Scale Economies in Large Families

Rossella Calvi, Jacob Penglase, Denni Tommasi and Alexander Wolf

15923: SVARs With Occasionally-Binding Constraints

Frank Schorfheide, S. Boragan Aruoba, Marko Mlikota and Sergio Villalvazo

15922: Historical gender discrimination does not explain comparative Western European development: evidence from Portugal, 1300-1900

Nuno Palma, Jaime Brown Reis and Lisbeth Rodrigues

15921: The Lock-in Effects of Part-time Unemployment Benefits

Pierre Cahuc, Benghalem, Hélène and Pierre Villedieu

15920: On Immigration and Native Entrepreneurship

David Jaeger, Harriet Orcutt Duleep and Peter McHenry

15919: The cost-efficiency carbon pricing puzzle

Christian Gollier

15918: Less is More: Consumer Spending and the Size of Economic Stimulus Payments

Paolo Surico and Michele Andreolli

15917: Conditional Rotation Between Forecasting Models

Allan Timmermann and Yinchu Zhu

15916: Closing the Gender Profit Gap

Sandra Sequeira, Pedro Vicente and Catia Batista

15915: Forecasting the U.S. Dollar in the 21st Century

Charles Engel and Steve Pak Yeung Wu

15914: International Co-movements of Inflation, 1851-1913

Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart

15913: Fearless Woman: Financial Literacy and Stock Market Participation

Annamaria Lusardi, Tabea Bucher-Koenen, Rob Alessie and Maarten van Rooij

15912: Growing Like Germany: Local Public Debt, Local Banks, Low Private Investment

Iryna Stewen, Mathias Hoffmann and Michael Stiefel

15911: A Soul's View of the Optimal Population Problem

Matthias Doepke and David de la Croix

15910: Big Push in Distorted Economies

Francisco Buera, Hugo Hopenhayn, Yongseok Shin and Nicholas Trachter

15909: Unequal Jury Representation and Its Consequences

Randi Hjalmarsson, Patrick Bayer and Shamena Anwar

15908: Global Value Chains

Pol Antràs and Davin Chor

15907: Are Political and Charitable Giving Substitutes? Evidence from the United States

Maria Petrova, Pinar Yildirim, Andrei Simonov and Ricardo Perez-Truglia

15906: Trade Liberalization and the Extensive Margin of Differentiated Goods: Evidence from China

Johannes Van Biesebroeck, Yingting Yi and Elena Zaurino

15905: To be connected or not to be connected? The role of long-haul economies

Hans Koster and Jacques Thisse

15904: Addressing the COVID-19 Pandemic: Comparing Alternative Value Frameworks

David Bloom, Maddalena Ferranna and Jp Sevilla

15903: Contacts, Altruism and Competing Externalities

Flavio Toxvaerd

15902: Migration and Redistribution: Federal Governance of an Economic Union Matters

Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

15901: Why did bank stocks crash during COVID-19?

Viral Acharya, Robert Engle and Sascha Steffen

15900: “Long GFC†? The Global Financial Crisis, Health Care, and COVID-19 Deaths

Moreno Ibáñez, Antonio, Steven Ongena, Alexia Ventula Veghazy and Alexander Wagner

15898: World Management Survey at 18: lessons and the way forward

Daniela Scur, Raffaella Sadun, John van Reenen, Renata Lemos and Nicholas Bloom

15897: Rules of Origin and Market Power

Wanyu Chung and Carlo Perroni

15896: Government Policies in a Granular Global Economy

Oleg Itskhoki, Gaubert, Cécile and Maximilian Vogler

15895: Do macroprudential policies affect non-bank financial intermediation?

Leonardo Gambacorta, Stijn Claessens, Giulio Cornelli, Francesco Manaresi and Yasushi Shiina

15894: The Transmission Channels of Government Spending Uncertainty

Céline Poilly, Beliansk Anna and Aurélien Eyquem

15893: Do Looks Matter for an Academic Career in Economics?

Galina Hale, Tali Regev and Yona Rubinstein

15892: Initial Output Losses from the Covid-19 Pandemic: Robust Determinants

Jonathan Ostry, Davide Furceri, Michael Ganslmeier and Naihan Yang

15891: Corruption under Austerity

Gianmarco Daniele and Tommaso Giommoni

15890: Good connections: bank specialization and the tariff elasticity of exports

Thierry Mayer, Antoine Berthou and Mésonnier, Jean-Stéphane

15889: Capital and Economic Growth in Britain, 1270-1870: Preliminary Findings

Stephen Broadberry and Alexandra de Pleijt

15888: Gender and Psychological Pressure in Competitive Environments

Alison Booth and Patrick Nolen

15887: Average income, income inequality and export unit values

Florian Mayneris and Hélène Latzer

15886: Managerial and Financial Barriers to the Green Transition

Ralph De Haas, Ralf Martin, Mirabelle Muûls and Helena Schweiger

15885: Efficiency or resiliency? Corporate choice between financial and operational hedging

Viral Acharya, Heitor Almeida, Yakov Amihud and Ping Liu

15884: Contingent Contracts in Banking: Insurance or Risk Magnification?

Hans Gersbach

15883: How do private equity fees vary across public pensions?

Juliane Begenau and Emil N Siriwardane

15882: A Model of QE, Reserve Demand and the Money Multiplier

Karl Whelan and Ellen Ryan

15881: Downside and Upside Uncertainty Shocks

Mario Forni, Luca Gambetti and Luca Sala

15880: Artificial intelligence and Pricing: The Impact of Algorithm Design

Chaim Fershtman, John Asker and Ariel Pakes

15879: Do Business-Friendly Reforms Boost GDP?

Karl Whelan and Tamanna Adhikari

15878: Local Global Watchdogs: Trade, Sourcing and the Internationalization of Social Activism

Thierry Verdier, Pamina Koenig, Sebastian Krautheim and Löhnert, Claudius

15877: Social Position and Fairness Views on Inequality

Claus Kreiner, Kristoffer Balle Hvidberg and Stefanie Stantcheva

15876: The Fetters of the Sib - An Experimental Study in Burkina Faso

Michael Kosfeld, Björn Vollan, Myriam Hadnes and Marco Nilgen

15875: Search and Predictability of Prices in the Housing Market

Allan Timmermann, Møller, Stig, Thomas Pedersen and Schütte, Erik Christian Montes

15874: Voice at Work

Benjamin Schoefer, Jarkko Harju and Jäger, Simon

15873: Centralized Matching with Incomplete Information

Leeat Yariv, Marcelo Ariel Fernandez and Kirill Rudov

15872: A Reconsideration of the Failure of Uncovered Interest Parity for the U.S. Dollar

Charles Engel, Ekaterina Kazakova, Mengqi Wang and Nan Xiang

15871: Social capital and economic growth in the regions of Europe

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Jonathan Muringani and Rune Fitjar

15870: Institutions and the Productivity Challenge for European Regions

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Roberto Ganau

15869: Are Banks Catching Corona? Effects of COVID on Lending in the U.S

Thorsten Beck and Jan Keil

15868: When distance drives destination, towns can stimulate development

Ravi Kanbur, Joachim De Weerdt and Luc Christiaensen

15867: Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession?

Massimiliano Marcellino, Dalibor Stevanovic and Philippe Goulet Coulombe

15866: The Expectations Channel of Climate Change: Implications for Monetary Policy

Alexander Dietrich, Müller, Gernot and Raphael Schoenle

15865: Human Capital Integration in Mergers and Acquisitions

Paolo Fulghieri and Merih Sevilir

15864: Credit, capital and crises: a GDP-at-Risk approach

Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem, David Aikman, Jonathan Bridges, Cian O'Neill and Akash Raja

15863: Evaluating Deliberative Competence: A Simple Method with an Application to Financial Choice

Annamaria Lusardi, Sandro Ambuehl and B. Douglas Bernheim

15862: Credit Constraints and Demand for Remedial Education: Evidence from Tanzania

Konrad Burchardi, Jonathan de Quidt, Selim Gulesci and Munshi Sulaiman

15861: Regulation and Security Design in Concentrated Markets

Ana Babus and Kinda Hachem

15860: Evaluating the impact of labour market reforms in Greece during 2010-2018

Nikolaos Vettas, Georgios Gatopoulos, Alexandros Louka and Ioannis Polycarpou

15859: Optimal Transport of Information

Semyon Malamud, Anna Cieslak and Andreas Schrimpf

15858: Investing in Crises

Luc Laeven, Matthew Baron, Julien Penasse and Yevhenii Usenko

15857: Short-term Momentum

Maik Schmeling and Mamdouh Medhat

15856: In Sickness and in Health: Job Displacement and Health Spillovers in Couples

,, Kristiina Huttunen, Jenström, Laura, Sääksvuori, Lauri and Robin Stitzing

15855: Optimal Sequential Contests

Toomas Hinnosaar

15854: Nowcasting with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions

Michele Lenza, Jacopo Cimadomo, Domenico Giannone, Francesca Monti and Andrej Sokol

15853: Inequality Beyond GDP: A Long View

Leandro Prados de la Escosura

15852: A Cross-verified Database of Notable People, 3500BC-2018AD

Etienne Wasmer, Morgane Laouenan, Palaash Bhargava, Jean Benoit Eymeoud and Guillaume Plique