CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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17958: Searching Online and Product Returns

Maarten Janssen and Cole Williams

17957: Assessing the Impact of International Sanctions on Russian Oil Exports

Tania Babina, Benjamin Hilgenstock, Oleg Itskhoki, Maxim Mironov and Elina Ribakova

17956: Attention Spillovers from News to Ads: Evidence from an Eye-Tracking Experiment

Andrey Simonov, Tommaso Valletti and Andre Veiga

17955: Indirect Persuasion

Rahul Deb, Mallesh Pai and Maher Said

17954: Manufacturer Certification in Second-Hand Markets

Marium Ashfaq and Flavio Toxvaerd

17953: Consumption Tax Cuts in a Recession

Francesca Parodi

17952: Pandemics, Public Policy, and Peltzman Effects

Alexander Dietrich, Wilhelm Kohler and Müller, Gernot

17951: Organizing for Collective Action: Olson Revisited

Marco Battaglini and Thomas Palfrey

17950: From the Manufacturing Belt to the Rust Belt. Spatial Inequalities in the United States: An Interdisciplinary Literature Review

Alexander Klein

17949: Forecasting Soccer Matches With Betting Odds: A Tale of Two Markets

Tadgh Hegarty and Karl Whelan

17948: Calculating The Bookmaker's Margin: Why Bets Lose More On Average Than You Are Warned

Tadgh Hegarty and Karl Whelan

17947: Data Linkage between Markets: Does the Emergence of an Informed Insurer Cause Consumer Harm?

Claudia Herresthal, Tatiana Mayskaya and Arina Nikandrova

17946: Cross-Border Investment in Emerging Market Bonds: Stylized Facts and Security-Level Evidence from Europe

Katharina Bergant, Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti and Martin Schmitz

17945: Innovation, productivity and firm performance

Abigail Watt, James McCann and Jeremy Lawson

17944: A Bespoke, probabilistic approach to climate scenario analysis

Jeremy Lawson, Anna Moss, Alexandre Popa, Eva Cairns and Craig Mackenzie

17943: The Changing Value of Employment and Its Implications

Davide Alonzo and Giovanni Gallipoli

17942: Bid Coordination in Sponsored Search Auctions: Detection Methodology and Empirical Analysis

Francesco Decarolis, Maris Goldmanis, Antonio Penta and Ksenia Shakhgildyan

17941: A two sample size estimator for large data sets

Martin O'Connell, Howard Smith and Oyvind Thomassen

17940: The Global Dollar Cycle

Maurice Obstfeld and Haonan Zhou

17939: A Welfare Analysis of Gambling in Video Games

Tomomichi Amano and Andrey Simonov

17938: Social environment as a barrier to treatment and innovation adoption

Laura Grigolon and Laura Lasio

17937: Strategic Tier Design in Health Insurance: The Case of Medicare Part D

Léa Bignon, Alessandro Iaria and Laura Lasio

17936: The Tripartite Auction Folk Theorem

David Levine, Andrea Mattozzi and Salvatore Modica

17935: The Prospect Capital Asset Pricing Model: Theory and Empirics

Xiang Gao, Kees Koedijk, Maurizio Montone and Zhan Wang

17934: How important are user-generated data for search result quality?

Tobias Klein, Madina Kurmangaliyeva, Prüfer, Jens and Prüfer, Patricia

17933: Mitigating Fire Sales with a Central Clearing Counterparty

Guillaume Vuillemey

17932: Non-tariff measures and competitiveness

Giorgio Barba Navaretti, Giulia Felice, Emanuele Forlani and Paolo Garella

17931: Measuring the Temporal Dimension of Text: An Application to Policymaker Speeches

David Byrne, Robert Goodhead, Michael McMahon and Conor Parle

17930: The Central Bank Crystal Ball: Temporal information in monetary policy communication

David Byrne, Robert Goodhead, Michael McMahon and Conor Parle

17929: MPC monetary communication: Children of the revolution(s)

Delia Sih Chien Macaluso and Michael McMahon

17928: Investment Treaty Reforms to Prevent Developing Country Regulatory Chill from Causing Global Warming

Henrik Horn

17927: Spurious Precision in Meta-Analysis

Zuzana Irsova, Pedro Bom, Tomas Havranek and Heiko Rachinger

17926: Import Competition, Trade Credit, and Financial Frictions in General Equilibrium

Federico Esposito and Fadi Hassan

17925: Testing Marx. Capital Accumulation, Income Inequality, and Socialism in Late Nineteenth-Century Germany

Charlotte Bartels, Felix Kersting and Nikolaus Wolf

17924: Favoritism under Multiple Sources of Social Pressure

Békés, Gábor, Endre Borza and Marton Fleck

17923: Language Models and Cognitive Automation for Economic Research

Anton Korinek

17922: Liquidity, Debt Denomination, and Currency Dominance

Antonio Coppola, Arvind Krishnamurthy and Chenzi Xu

17921: Climate Risk Stress Testing: A Conceptual Review

Henk Jan Reinders, Dirk Schoenmaker and Mathijs Van Dijk

17920: Political Determinants of the News Market: Novel Data and Quasi-Experimental Evidence from India

Julia Cagé, Guilhem Cassan and Francesca Jensenius

17919: Goldilocks: American precious metals and the Rise of the West

Yao Chen, Nuno Palma and Felix Ward

17918: The Implementation of Central Bank Policy in China: The Roles of Commercial Bank Ownership and CEO Faction Membership

Michel Habib, Yushi Peng, Yanjie Wang and Zexi Wang

17917: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Children’s Learning and Wellbeing: Evidence from India

Andrea Guariso and Björkman Nyqvist, Martina

17916: A Mother’s Voice: Impacts of Spousal Communication Training on Child Health Investments

Björkman Nyqvist, Martina, Seema Jayachandran and Zipfel, Céline

17915: Corporate Taxation and Carbon Emissions

Luigi Iovino, Thorsten Martin and Julien Sauvagnat

17914: Hypergamy Revisited: Marriage in England, 1837-2021

Gregory Clark and Neil Cummins

17913: The Nature of Long-Term Unemployment: Predictability, Heterogeneity and Selection

Andreas Mueller and Johannes Spinnewijn

17912: Cash and Conflict: Large-Scale Experimental Evidence from Niger

Patrick Premand and Dominic Rohner

17911: Innovation Networks and Business-Stealing

Philippe Aghion, Matthew Jackson, Antoine Mayerowitz and Abhijit Tagade

17910: The Origins of Limited Liability: Catering to Safety Demand with Investors' Irresponsibility

Guillaume Vuillemey

17909: Climate, Amenities and Banking: El Nino in the US

Filippo De Marco and Nicola Limodio

17908: Applying Economics – Not Gut Feel – To ESG

Alex Edmans

17907: Coasian Dynamics in Sequential Search

Eeva Mauring and Cole Williams

17906: Is the Green Transition Inflationary?

Marco Del Negro, Julian di Giovanni and Keshav Dogra

17905: Parental Education and Invention: The Finnish Enigma

Philippe Aghion, Ufuk Akcigit, Ari Hyytinen and Otto Toivanen

17904: Gender and Electoral Incentives: Evidence from Crisis Response

Juan Chauvin and Clemence Tricaud

17903: State-Dependent Local Projections: Understanding Impulse Response Heterogeneity

James Cloyne, Jordà , Òscar and Alan Taylor

17902: Output Divergence in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes: Is the Euro Area Growing Apart?

Yao Chen and Felix Ward

17901: Ideas Mobilize People: The Diffusion of Communist Ideology in China

Ying Bai, Ruixue Jia and Runnan Wang

17900: Hobbesian Wars and Separation of Powers

Weijia Li, Gérard Roland and Yang Xie

17899: Reporting Peers’ Wrongdoing: Evidence on the Effect of Incentives on Morally Controversial Behavior

Stefano Fiorin

17898: Screening with Persuasion

Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann and Stephen Morris

17897: The Optimality of Constant Mark-Up Pricing

Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann and Stephen Morris

17896: Loose monetary policy and financial instability

Maximilian Grimm, Jordà , Òscar, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor

17895: Ethnic Remoteness Reduces the Peace Dividend from Trade Access

Klaus Desmet and Joseph Gomes

17894: Is Secessionism Mostly About Income or Identity? A Global Analysis of 3,003 Subnational Regions

Klaus Desmet, Özak, Ömer and Ortuño-Ortin, Ignacio

17893: Families, Labor Markets and Policy

Stefania Albanesi, Claudia Olivetti and Barbara Petrongolo

17892: Exchange Rates, Tariffs and Prices in 1930s’ Britain

Jagjit Chadha, Jason Lennard, Solomos Solomou and Ryland Thomas

17891: Hiring Difficulties and Firm Growth

Thomas Le Barbanchon, Maddalena Ronchi and Julien Sauvagnat

17890: Exploiting Growth Opportunities: The Role of Internal Labor Markets

Giacinta Cestone, Chiara Fumagalli, Francis Kramarz and Giovanni Pica

17889: Household Finance at the Origin: Home Ownership as a Cultural Heritage from Agriculture

Guillaume Vuillemey

17888: Identification of Time-Inconsistent Models: The Case of Insecticide Treated Nets

Aprajit Mahajan, Christian Michel and Alessandro Tarozzi

17887: Timing is Everything: Labor Market Winners and Losers during Boom-Bust Cycles

Erik Katovich, Dominic Parker and Steven Poelhekke

17886: External Instrument SVAR Analysis for Noninvertible Shocks

Mario Forni, Luca Gambetti and Giovanni Ricco

17885: Incentivizing Research with (Un)conditional Teaching Duties: Punishment or Rent Extraction?

Patrick Schmitz

17884: The Behavioral Foundations of Model Misspecification

Aislinn Bohren and Daniel Hauser

17883: International Unions and Integration

Elias Papaioannou and Oguzhan Celebi

17882: Rules of Origin and Exporters' Value-Added

Dzmitry Kniahin and Marcelo Olarreaga

17881: Fighting for Growth: Labor Scarcity and Technological Progress During the British Industrial Revolution

Hans-Joachim Voth, Bruno Caprettini and Alex Trew

17880: What Policy Combinations Worked? The Effect of Policy Packages on Bank Lending during COVID-19

Divya Kirti, Martínez Pería, Maria Soledad, Prachi Mishra and Stráský, Jan

17879: Tracking Economic and Financial Policies During COVID-19: An Announcement-Level Database

Divya Kirti, Yang Liu, Martínez Pería, Maria Soledad, Prachi Mishra and Stráský, Jan

17878: Did seismic activity lead to the rise of religions?

Jeanet Bentzen and Eric Force

17877: Growth and Risk: A View from International Trade

Pravin Krishna, Andrei Levchenko, Lin Ma and William Maloney

17876: The WTO and vaccine supply chain resilience during a pandemic

Chad Bown

17875: A Nominal Demand-Augmented Phillips Curve: Theory and Evidence

Marcus Hagedorn

17874: Panic Politics in the US West Coast

Nicolas Berman, Björn Brey and Jérémy Laurent-Lucchetti

17873: Public procurement as an innovation policy: Where do we stand?

Olga Chiappinelli, Leonardo Maria Giuffrida and Giancarlo Spagnolo

17872: The Trickling Up of Excess Savings

Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

17871: Dividend Taxation and Firm Performance with Heterogeneous Payout Responses

Katarzyna Bilicka, Güçeri, Irem and Evangelos Koumanakos

17870: Child Poverty Among Refugees

Theresa Beltramo, Rossella Calvi, Giacomo De Giorgi and Ibrahima Sarr

17869: Bank Branching Strategies in the 1997 Thai Financial Crisis and Local Access to Credit

Marc Rysman, Robert Townsend and Christoph Walsh

17868: Carbon Policy Surprises and Stock Returns: Signals from Financial Markets

Martina Hengge, Ugo Panizza and Richard Varghese

17867: Beyond Hawks and Doves: can inequality ease coordination?

Maria Bigoni, Blázquez de Paz, Mario and Le Coq, Chloé

17866: The Sequential Search Model: A Framework for Empirical Research

Raluca Ursu, Stephan Seiler and Elisabeth Honka

17865: Digital Hermits

Jeanine Miklos-Thal, Avi Goldfarb, Avery Haviv and Catherine Tucker

17864: Capital Supply Shocks and Investment

Olivier Darmouni and Andrew Sutherland

17863: The green metamorphosis of a small open economy

Florencia Airaudo, Evi Pappa and Hernan D. Seoane

17862: Towards an enhanced lender of last resort and market maker of last resort

Willem Buiter

17861: The Globalization of Corporate Control

Luís Fonseca, Katerina Nikalexi and Elias Papaioannou

17860: Globalization and Firm Performance

Catão, Luís, Pedro de Faria, Martins, António and Miguel Portela

17859: Decrypting New Age International Capital Flows

Clemens Graf von Luckner, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff