CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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21742: Exorbitant Privilege of the Periodic Table? Geoeconomics, Endogenous Centrality and Strategic Minerals for the Green Transition

Josh Kirk, Evgenia Passari and Rey, Hélène

21741: Evaluation and Assignment with Networked Competition and Spillovers

Antonio Cabrales and Wenhao Cheng

21740: A Simple Model of Government Decision-Making and Plurilateral Cooperation on Critical Materials

Spiros Bougheas, Bernard Hoekman and Douglas R. Nelson

21739: Investment Targets as Reference Points

Pitkäjärvi, Aleksi, Matteo Vacca and Petra Vokata

21738: Household Responses to Phantom Riches

Knüpfer, Samuli, Ville Rantala, Vihriälä, Erkki and Petra Vokata

21737: Anecdotes or Statistics?

Arjada Bardhi and Nina Bobkova

21736: Artisanal and Small-Scale Mines in Africa: Where, When and Why

Mathieu Couttenier

21735: Partisan Media Ownership, News Content, and Policy Preferences

Mathieu Couttenier, Sophie Hatte, Thomas Taylor and Stephanos Vlachos

21734: Backlash and Culture Wars: A Political Economy Model

Alessandro Riboni

21733: The Alpha Political Male

Mario Francesco Carillo and Marta Reynal-Querol

21732: The Political Economy of Imperial Trade Policies

Roberto Bonfatti, Giovanni Facchini, Peri A Silva and Ling Zhou

21731: Globalisation, Income, and Welfare: Imported Goods Variety and Quality

Azémar, Céline, Rodolphe Desbordes and Markus Eberhardt

21730: The Information Channel of Asset Purchases

Gaetano Gaballo and Carlo Galli

21729: Bank Runs, Lender of Last Resort, and Liquidity Regulation

Toni Ahnert, Kartik Anand and Guillem Ordonez-Calafi

21728: Digitalization and Credit Markets: Evidence from eInvoicing

Alejandro Casado, Marco Giometti, Jose Gutierrez, David Martinez-Miera, Alexandra Matyunina and Tammaro Terracciano

21727: How Social Learning Overcomes Confirmation Bias

Aislinn Bohren and Daniel Hauser

21726: Retrieval Failures and Consumption Smoothing: A Field Experiment on Seasonal Poverty

Ned Augenblick, Kelsey Jack, Supreet Kaur, Felix Masiye and Nicholas Swanson

21725: Firm Exit and Financial Frictions

Gideon Bornstein and Laura Castillo-Martinez

21724: Supply Shocks in a Heterogeneous-Firm New Keynesian Model: The Entry Multiplier

Florin Bilbiie and Marc J Melitz

21723: From Stocks to Flows: Debt Service and Fiscal Sustainability

Barry Eichengreen, Maxime Menuet and Gregory Donnat

21722: Global Pension Asset Allocations and Debt Markets

Ding Ding, Xiang Fang, Bryan Hardy and Karen K. Lewis

21721: Planning Against Disasters in Dynamic Production Networks

Vasco Carvalho, Matias Covarrubias and Nuño, Galo

21720: What Oral Traditions Are About and What They Say

Marc Klemp

21719: Biased Promotions

Daniel Ferreira, Radoslawa Nikolowa and Elena S. Pikulina

21718: ESG is Dead, They Say. Long Live TERRA

Patrick Bolton, Alison LaFrance and Beatrice Weder di Mauro

21717: Private Equity Ownership and Firm Performance: A Framework for Interpreting the Evidence

Strömberg, Per and Christian Thomann

21716: Carbon Pricing and Investment

James R Brown, Gustav Martinsson, Strömberg, Per and Christian Thomann

21715: Macroprudential Policy and Innovation: Evidence from European Countries

Xuan Viet Ho, Brigitte Granville, Luu Duc Toan Huynh and Steven Ongena

21714: Can there be Too Much Finance? A Complex Answer to a Simple Question

Thorsten Beck

21713: Uptown Worlds: Directional Bias and House Prices in U.S. Cities

Ferdinand Rauch and Schömann, Simon

21712: Shadow Discounts

Tomy Lee, Isacco Lotti, Florian Nagler, Giorgio Ottonello and Chaojun Wang

21711: Enforcement Spillovers and the Efficiency Costs of Means-Tested Transfers: Evidence from Workplace Networks

Vilá, Joan, Marcelo Bergolo and Guillermo Cruces

21710: Expanding Opportunities: New Facts about the Placement of PhD Economists

Markus Eberhardt, Giovanni Facchini and Valeria Rueda

21709: Addressing the EU’s Fiscal Dilemma: From ex-post Transfers to ex-ante Resilience

Georg Kirchsteiger and Martin Larch

21708: Causal Inference for Social Network Formation

Maximilian Kasy, Elizabeth Linos and Sanaz Mobasseri

21707: Literature Review and Evidence Aggregation: A Toolkit for Applied Micro

Peter Ganong, Avik Garg and Maximilian Kasy

21706: Making Teenagers Read Newspapers. A Nationwide Experiment in French High Schools

Simon Briole, Julia Cage and Andrea Prat

21705: Location Effects or Sorting? Evidence from Firm Relocation

Pauline Carry, Benny Kleinman and Elio Nimier-David

21704: Measuring the Value of Disability Insurance from Take-Up Decisions

Andreas Haller and Stefan Staubli

21703: Banking on a Corporate Rebrand

Matthew Jaremski, Kris Mitchener and Kilian Rieder

21702: Multi-Project Collaborations

Charles Angelucci and Roi Orzach

21701: Psychosocial Health and Well-Being After A Mortality Shock

Elizabeth Frankenberg, Cecep Sumantri and Duncan Thomas

21700: Does Automation Lower the Labor Share?

Zsofia Barany, Aseem Patel and Christian Siegel

21699: Job Ads as Signals: Evidence from a Priced Amenity and Worker Beliefs

Pawel Adrjan, Balgová, Mária, Jäger, Simon, Jonas Jessen and Jason Sockin

21698: The Anatomy of Censorship and Propaganda: Evidence from Russian Wikipedias

Ekaterina Zhuravskaya, Ulrich Matter, Ruben Durante and Vladimir Avetian

21697: Protectionism and Platform Revenues

Massimo Morelli, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Tommaso Sonno

21696: Detecting Skilled Bond Fund Managers

Ron Kaniel, Markus Pelger, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Luofeng Zhou

21695: Taxing Labor: Firm R&D, Automation and the Labor Share

Hyejin Ku, Schönberg, Uta and Ragnhild Schreiner

21694: The Power of Persistence: How Demand Shocks and Monetary Policy Shape Macroeconomic Outcomes

Fabrice Collard, Patrick Feve and Philipp Wangner

21693: Ports, Technology and Inter-City Trade: The Economics and Geopolitics of Evolving Maritime Transport Networks

Juhász, Réka, Nagy, Dávid Krisztián, Claudia Steinwender and Woan Foong Wong

21692: The Missing Surprise: Transmission Protection in Central Bank Announcements

Christoph Grosse Steffen, Daniel Lewis and Lhuissier, Stéphane

21691: Louder than Rates: The Systematic Nature of Central Bank Communication

Tiziana Assenza, Fabrice Collard, Dogukan Guney and Philipp Wangner

21690: Prime vs. Subprime: Asymmetric Information and Equilibrium Securitization in a Business Cycle Model

Federico Ravenna

21689: Transportation Infrastructure and Urban and Regional Development

Gilles Duranton and Matthew Turner

21688: Tariff Confusion

Kalina Manova, Dennis Novy, Thomas Sampson and Aaron Tang

21687: Friends or Neighbors? Advice Networks, Geographic Proximity, and the Transmission of Health Knowledge

Nicholas Christakis, Michael Vlassopoulos and Yves Zenou

21686: Market Power in the Securities Lending Market

Shuaiyu Chen, Ron Kaniel and Christian Opp

21685: Expectation Conformity in Strategic Cognition

Alessandro Pavan and Jean Tirole

21684: The Long Tail Wags the Dog: Platform Design and Bargaining with Majors

Gaston Llanes and Martin Peitz

21683: The international RBC model finally works!

Sushant Acharya, Edouard Challe and Louphou Coulibaly

21682: Canst Thou Beggar Thy Neighbour? Evidence from the 1930s

Paul Bouscasse

21681: The Effect of Reminders for Self-Set Goals on Productivity

Martin Abel, Tomoko Harigaya, Michael Kremer and S. Jessica Zhu

21680: The Economics of Marriage Payments: Bride Price, Dowry, and Dower

Siwan Anderson

21679: The Value(s) of Women Artists

Adams, Renée

21678: When Competition Needs Awareness: Regulating Social Media with Naive Users

Martino Banchio, Francesco Decarolis, Carl-Christian Groh, Jiménez-Durán, Rafael and Miguel Risco

21677: International Trade in an Uncertain World

Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu, Stephen Redding and David Xu

21676: Competition or Collusion? Entry Decisions in the Swedish Pharmaceutical Market

Hung Le and Otto Toivanen

21675: Design of Partial Population Experiments with an Application to Spillovers in Tax Compliance

Guillermo Cruces, Dario Tortarolo and Gonzalo Vazquez-Bare

21674: Assessing the Benefits of Optimized Agentic AI Systems for Asset Pricing

Ralph Koijen and Bradford Levy

21673: Baby Busts and Growth Booms: Demographic Change and the Macroeconomy

Daron Acemoglu, David Autor, Keelan Beirne and Andrew Scott

21672: Capital Taxation, Income Shifting, and Retained Earnings: Evidence from Dividend Tax Reforms

Yonatan Berman and Esteban Klor

21671: Do Not Drain The Swamp! Populism, Bureaucracy and Economic Performance

Massimo Morelli, Dmitrii Petrukhin and Matia Vannoni

21670: Toward a New World Order: Conceiving The New Alignment

Dennis Snower

21669: Employment Stability, Earnings Dynamics, and Life-Cycle Savings

Moritz Kuhn, Leanne Nam and Gasper Ploj

21668: Immigration, Innovation, and the Geography of Growth

Costas Arkolakis, Sun Kyoung Lee and Michael Peters

21667: Climate Targets and Sectoral Risk Premia

Eric Jondeau

21666: Navigating Geopolitical Risk: Evidence from U.S. Mutual Funds

Matteo Crosignani, Lina Han and Marco Macchiavelli

21665: Screening and Segmenting: A Consumer Surplus Perspective

Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann and Michael Wang

21664: Does Increasing Financial Access to Contraception in the U.S. Reduce Unintended Pregnancies? Evidence from the M-CARES Random

Martha Bailey, Emilia Brito, Deniz Gorgulu, Kelsey Figone, Vanessa Wanner Lang, Alexa Prettyman and Vanessa K. Dalton

21663: A missed opportunity? Labor demand and workforce diversity

Anna Bindler, Barbara Boelmann, Lena Janys and Luisa Santiago Wolf

21662: Bank Deposit Pricing in the Euro Area

Ugo Albertazzi, Finn Faber, Alessandro Gavazza, Oana-Maria Georgescu and Ernest Lecomte

21661: How do Ransomware Groups Choose their Targets? An Empirical Analysis

Dmytro Kashchuk, Tyler Moore and Neil Gandal

21660: Promotion through Connections: Favors or Information?

Bramoullé, Yann and Kenan Huremovic

21659: Plastic Dumping Grounds: The International Incidence of Environmental Regulation

Deniz Atalar, Banu Demir and Swati Dhingra

21658: Can AI Replace Human Counselors at Scale? A Nationwide Experiment to Reduce Teacher Shortages

Nicolas Ajzenman, Ana Teresa Del Toro Mijares, Gregory Elacqua, Catalina Hermosilla and Santiago Veleda

21657: Getting There and Getting In: How Mobility and Sorting Keep Women out of Top Startup Accelerators

Chuan Chen, Michele Fioretti, Junnan He and Yanrong Jia

21656: Governance and Management of Autonomous Organizations

Daniel Ferreira and Jin Li

21655: Other People’s Votes: The Law and Economics of Proxy Advice

Edwin Hu, Nadya Malenko and Jonathon Zytnick

21654: Fragmentation of Shareholder Power

Andrey Malenko, Nadya Malenko and Anton Tsoy

21653: To Catch a Thief: Endogenous Policing and Choice of Location by Criminals

Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay, Antonio Cabrales and Kaustav Das

21652: Market Power Is Power

Gabriele Gratton and Barton Lee

21651: Does the Import Invasion Explain the Mysterious Disappearance of Productivity Growth in U.S. Manufacturing?

Robert J. Gordon and Kenneth Ryu

21650: How Times Have Changed: The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on the U.S. Economy

Lutz Kilian, Michael Plante and Alexander Richter

21649: Importing Aggregate Demand

Chen Lian, Dmitry Mukhin and Christian Wolf

21648: Refineries, Pipelines and Petroleum Fields - The Impact of Oil on Conflict Around the World

Axel Dreher, Jingke Pan and Maximilian Herrmann

21647: Morals and the Political Economy of Corrective Taxes

Felix Bierbrauer, Mattias Polborn, Marten Ritterrath and Weizsäcker, Georg

21646: New Evidence on the Health-Status Gradient from Imperial China

Wolfgang Keller, Carol Shiue and Karen Eggleston

21645: Pension Income and Post-Retirement Labor Supply

Fabian Kindermann, Carla Krolage, Sebastian Kunz, Manuel Pannier and Ströhlein, Karoline

21644: Housing Search and Liquidity in Spatial Equilibrium

Tuuli Vanhapelto and Thierry Magnac

21643: Consumption responses to rising mortgage rates: Unpacking the cash-flow channel of monetary policy

Asger Lau Andersen, Andreas Jakobsen, Rahbek Jørgensen, Mads and Niels Johannesen