CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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21867: AI in a Fragmenting World

Barry Eichengreen, Jingyuan Cui, Asmaa El-Ganainy, Yevgeniya Korniyenko, Elyad Shojaei, Li Zeng and Shihangyin Zhang

21866: Incomplete Insurance and Open-Economy Spillovers of Labor Market Reforms

Brigitte Hochmuth, Christian Merkl and Stüber, Heiko

21865: Coal Supply Chains and Electricity Reliability

Imelda Imelda and Suchita Srinivasan

21864: Falling Fertility: The Changing Value of Freedom, Fulfillment, and Family

Fernández, Raquel, Inés Berniell and Milagros Onofri

21863: Changing Gender Norms across Generations: Evidence from a Paternity Leave Reform

Farré, Lidia, Christina Felfe, Libertad Gonzalez and Patrick Schneider

21862: Survival and Financial Literacy in Investment Decisions Later in Life

Chiara Dal Bianco, Francesco Maura, Francesca Parodi and Guglielmo Weber

21861: Cautious Careers: Job Mobility under Incomplete Markets

Alex Clymo, Piotr Denderski, Yusuf Mercan and Benjamin Schoefer

21860: Cognitive Training for Jobseekers: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Benghalem, Hélène, Bächli, Mirjam, Doriana Tinello, Sascha Zuber, Mauro Cherubini, Damaris Aschwanden, Matthias Kliegel, Rafael Lalive and Michele Pellizzari

21859: The Power of Substitution: Short-Run Electricity Demand Flexibility

Martin Holm and Katinka Holtsmark

21858: Free to Choose: Bank Capital in Britain, 1878-1939

Gareth Campbell, Lyndon Moore and John Turner

21857: Small-Group Interactions Reduce Homophily by Muting Directed Search

Andrea Galeotti, Reem Qamar and Adam Szeidl

21856: Deceptive Science Maps: Organizational Affiliation and Data Manipulation in Alzheimer's Research

Matteo Tranchero, Christian Fons-Rosen and Lee Fleming

21855: The U.S.-China Trade War and the Geography of Global Production

Harald Fadinger, Lei Li, Sophia Praetorius and Jan Schymik

21854: Large-Load Electricity Customers and Spillovers on Household Prices: Evidence from U.S. Data Centers

Cameron Scalera, Valentina Bosetti and Filippo Pecci

21853: There is no Forward Guidance Puzzle

SeHyoun Ahn and Martin Holm

21852: Monetary Transmission to Firm-level R&D

Ruslana Datsenko and Martin Holm

21851: The Data Revolution, and Its Uses, in International Trade

David Atkin and Benjamin Faber

21850: Dust in the Wind: Causes and Consequences of Managerial Replacements

Jan C. van Ours

21849: Innovation, Industry Equilibrium, and Discount Rates

Maria Cecilia Bustamante, Francesco D'Acunto and Francesca Zucchi

21848: Credit Cycles and Creditor Rights

Martin Kornejew, Shohini Kundu and Müller, Karsten

21847: Broad and Focused Learning

Wolf Wagner and Shuo Zhao

21846: Subordinates in Charge: Does Delegation Improve Bank Supervision?

Wouter Dessein, Di Gong, Thomas Lambert and Wolf Wagner

21845: Improving Financial Literacy: From Corporate Finance to Personal Finance

Annamaria Lusardi

21844: Offshoring and Voting Patterns in the US

Anna Maria Mayda, Lindsay Oldenski and Walter Steingress

21843: Perceived Budget Constraint of the Government

Gabriele Maugeri and Dmitriy Sergeyev

21842: Building Resilience through Psychological Intervention

Michelle Escobar Carias, Victoria Baranov, Sonia Bhalotra, Pietro Biroli and Joanna Maselko

21841: Common Ownership and Collusion

Vincent Abraham, Florian Ederer and Marvão, Catarina

21840: Trust, Rule of Law, and the Size Premium: Evidence from a Meta-Analysis

Jiří Schwarz, Tomas Havranek, Zuzana Irsova and Jiri Novak

21839: The Evolving Nexus: Sovereigns, Banks and NBFIs

Stefan Avdjiev, Bryan Hardy and Maximilian Jager

21838: Microcredit Made to Measure: Experimental Evidence from Rural Morocco

Crepón, Bruno, Ralph De Haas, Tim Deisemann, Florencia Devoto and Parienté, William

21837: Reserves and the Buyer of Last Resort

Frederic Boissay and Harald Uhlig

21836: Conflicts of Interest in Banks: Evidence from Proprietary Trading

Rainer Haselmann, Christian Leuz and Sebastian Schreiber

21835: Strong Wills, Strong Outcomes? Bank Resolvability and Credit Supply

Irem Erten and Steven Ongena

21834: Overconfidence and Financial Behavior in Online Betting Markets

Lucas Belleza, Tiago Cavalcanti and Daniel Da Mata

21833: Variety and Agglomeration in Financial Markets

Ana Babus

21832: Local Trade Wars

Wei Li, Jie Ouyang, Bin Qiu, Zi Wang and Yuan Zi

21831: Communities of Commerce: The Legacy of Chinese Immigration on Java

Quoc-Anh Do, Sebastian Ellingsen and Gedeon Lim

21830: Coping with weather shocks

Marco Alfano and Görlach, Joseph-Simon

21829: World Agricultural Prices and the Onset of Civil War

Antonio Ciccone

21828: Social Clubs and Political Office

Julien Labonne, Pablo Querubin, Martín Rossi, Sebastian Saiegh, Ivan San Miguel and Shanker Satyanath

21827: Are Firms' and Governments' Emission Reduction Commitments Aligned? The European Case

Charles Goodhart, Maria Nieto and Ly Hoang Vu

21826: Fixed-Point Utilitarianism

Maya Eden

21825: Female-Targeted Hiring Subsidies, Firm Learning, and Women’s Employment

Mimosa Distefano, Lorenzo Incoronato and Anna Raute

21824: A DSGE Model for a Small Open Economy with a CBDC Option

Michael Kumhof, Mohammed Mikou and Yassine Slaoui

21823: Regulated Prices, Global Capacity, and Drug Shortages

Pierre Dubois, Gosia Majewska and Valentina Reig

21822: Wealth Tax, Entrepreneurship, and the Legal Form of Business Organization

Alessandro Di Nola, Almuth Scholl and Haomin Wang

21821: From Social Savings to Spatial Equilibrium: Evaluating Transportation Improvements in Quantitative Spatial Models

Treb Allen, Simon Fuchs and Woan Foong Wong

21820: Covered Interest Parity: The Long Run Evidence

Olivier Accominotti, David Chambers, Jason Cen and Victor Degorce

21819: Dynamic Effects of Trade

Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Stephen Redding

21818: Refutation-Resistant Beliefs

Lydia Mechtenberg, Dimitrios Xefteris and Galina Zudenkova

21817: Ideas and Firm Dynamics When It Takes Two to Tango

Seula Kim, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey and Honghao Wang

21816: A Currency Premium Puzzle

Tarek Hassan, Thomas Mertens and Jingye Wang

21815: Openness, Integration, and the International Monetary Order

Tarek Hassan, Thomas Mertens, Jingye Wang and Tony Zhang

21814: Meritocracy and the Networks It Forged: China's Imperial Examination

Ying Bai and Ruixue Jia

21813: Administrative litigation and public procurement outcomes: Evidence from Italy

Enza Maltese and Gabriele Rovigatti

21812: Balancing Growth in a Warming World

Adrien Bilal, Thibault Ingrand and Känzig, Diego

21811: Unfree Wills: Inheritance Rules, Bequest Motives, and Wealth Diffusion

Brülhart, Marius and Laia Soler

21810: Taxes and Transfers with Nonlinear Wage Dynamics

Nezih Guner, Eugenio Renedo and Emre Enes Yavuz

21809: Personal Holding Companies, Tax Progressivity, and Inequality

Marius Ring, David Seim and Gabriel Zucman

21808: Solar Adoption by Mandates

Stefano Carattini, Wade Davis, Figge, Béla and Anton Heimerdinger

21807: The Anatomy of Tariff Pass-through into Consumer Prices

Mary Amiti, Sebastian Heise and David Weinstein

21806: Chaste Widowhood

Melanie Meng Xue

21805: Political Capture and Bureaucratic Behavior. Evidence from Mafia-Infiltrated Municipalities

Maria Carreri, Davide Cipullo, Marco Le Moglie and Alberto Perego

21804: Understanding Firms' AI Efforts and Their Economic Impact

Tania Babina

21803: Objective vs. Perceived Corporate Greenness: Do Individuals Understand Corporate Sustainability Information?

Kornelia Fabisik and Sebastian Rink

21802: Robustness? Range Tests for Equality and Equivalence Across Specifications

David Jaeger

21801: How did Trump’s 2025 trade war affect the decoupling of US–China supply chains?

Chad Bown

21800: Sovereign Risk Shocks and Fiscal Rules

Aurélien Eyquem, Céline Poilly and Guillaume Schwegler

21799: The Labor Demand Implications of Brand Capital: Evidence from Trademark Transactions

Jaime Arellano-Bover, Carolina Bussotti, Matteo Paradisi and Liangjie Wu

21798: Tariff Incidence and Market Power: Evidence from the 2025 US Tariff Shock

Caroline Freund

21797: Observability and Social Interactions in Consumption

Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri

21796: Robust Signal Maximization in Spillover Experiments

Kirill Borusyak, Peter Hull and Evan Munro

21795: Creative Destruction through Innovation Bursts

Giuseppe Berlingieri, Maarten De Ridder, Danial Lashkari and Davide Rigo

21794: Coherent shocks: External identification and internal validation with an application to geopolitical risk

Schüler, Yves, Sarah Arndt, Yevheniia Bondarenko, Vivien Lewis and Matthias Rottner

21793: Identification and Estimation of Demand Models with Endogenous Product Entry and Exit

Victor Aguirregabiria, Alessandro Iaria and Senay Sokullu

21792: Salt Wars

Desiree Desierto, Patrick Fitzsimmons and Mark Koyama

21791: The Equilibrium Impact of Credit Frictions: Evidence from Default Risk Using Firm-Level Data

Tim Besley, Peter John Lambert, Isabelle Roland and John van Reenen

21790: Majority Lost: Global Evidence and Field Experiments on Electoral Miscoordination

Francesco Capozza, Ruben Durante and Siddharth Eapen George

21789: Platform Power in News Aggregation

Andrey Simonov, Daniil Mikhailov, Ruben Enikolopov and Ruben Durante

21788: An Autopsy of the Voluntary Carbon Market

Ugo Panizza, Francesco Tripoli and Beatrice Weder di Mauro

21787: The China Backlash: Quantifying the Narrative Discourse on China

Mert Geyiktepe and Dani Rodrik

21786: An Empirical Framework for Platform Markets

Lapo Filistrucchi and Tobias Klein

21785: Free Banking with Tokenized Money

Hans Gersbach and Sebastian Zelzner

21784: When Skills Are Specific: Labor Market Entry and Occupational Mismatch for Apprenticeship Graduates

Dita Eckardt

21783: Courts of Tomorrow: Evidence from a Nationwide Rollout of Generative AI

Elliott Ash, Sultan Mehmood and Christoph Goessmann

21782: Long-Run Effects of Universal Pre-Primary Education Expansion: Evidence from Argentina

Samuel Berlinski, Guillermo Cruces, Sebastian Galiani, Paul Gertler and Fabian Gonzalez

21781: Immigrants' Regularization and Native Workers' Response

Gianluca Orefice, Giovanni Peri and Gianluca Santoni

21780: Life After Divorce: Effects of Joint Custody on Parents and Children

Stella Canessa, Gordon Dahl, Anna Hasselqvist, Costas Meghir, Susan Niknami, Marten Palme, Helmut Rainer, Olof Rosenqvist and Pengpeng Xiao

21779: Policy Thresholds as Growth Barriers: Theory and Evidence from a Payroll Tax Notch

Jysmä, Sami, Youssef Benzarti and Jarkko Harju

21778: Spillovers from Science

Dennis Verhoeven, Anna Valero, Ralf Martin and Arjun Shah

21777: Taxi Market Deregulation: Effects on Market Outcomes, Tax Evasion and Crime

Jarkko Harju, Ida Kankaanranta and Kaisa Kotakorpi

21776: Global Robots

Fabrizio Leone

21775: Payday and the Monthly Attention Cycle of Low-Wage Workers

Claire Lelarge

21774: Not Wearing Prada: Do Private Sanctions Reinforce Official Sanctions?

Maxim Chupilkin, Beata Javorcik, Alexander Plekhanov and Aleksandra Peeva

21773: The Perils of Narrowing Fiscal Spaces

Hanno Kase, Leonardo Melosi, Sebastian Rast and Matthias Rottner

21772: Preference Shocks and Policy Responses to Transition Risk

Stefano Carattini, Givi Melkadze and Mourelon, Inès

21771: Platform Tying and its Effects

Leonardo Madio, Fabio Manenti and Massimo Motta

21770: Ambiguous Attribution: Theory and Evidence

Ricardo Alonso, Monica Martinez-Bravo, Gerard Padro i Miquel, Carlos Sanz and Silvia Vannutelli

21769: Measuring the Culture of Useful Knowledge and the Roots of Innovation

Marc Klemp

21768: Spillover Effects in Complementary Markets: A Study of the Indian Cell Phone and Wireless Service Markets

Chirantan Chatterjee, Ying Fan and Debi Prasad Mohapatra