CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
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20614: Career Paths with a Two-Body Problem: Colocation and Gendered Professional Crossroads

Valeria Rueda and Guillaume Wilemme

20613: Membership Turnover and Policy Disagreement at the FOMC

Alessandro Riboni and Francisco Ruge-Murcia

20612: What Makes Depositors Tick? Bank Data Insights into Households’ Liquid Asset Allocation

Fernando Cirelli and Arna Olafsson

20611: Innovation and the Great Divergence

Stephen Broadberry and Runzuo Zhai

20610: Are People Systematically Inactive Across Financial Decisions? Linking Evidence from Mortgage and Retirement Saving Decisions

Henrik Yde Andersen, Camilla Skovbo Christensen, Claus Kreiner and Leth-Petersen, Søren

20609: Effective Tax Rates, Firm Size and the Global Minimum Tax

Pierre Bachas, Anne Brockmeyer, Roel Dom and Camille Semelet

20608: Algorithms and Bureaucrats: Evidence from Tax Audit Selection in Senegal

Pierre Bachas, Anne Brockmeyer, Alipio Ferreira and Bassirou Sarr

20607: International Climate News

Arteaga-Garavito, María José, Ric Colacito, Mariano Croce and Biao Yang

20606: The Effect of Education Policy on Crime: An Intergenerational Perspective

Ulrika Ahrsjo, Costas Meghir, Palme, MÃ¥rten and Marieke Schnabel

20605: Business Cycles with Pricing Cascades

Mishel Ghassibe and Anton Nakov

20604: The Dynamics of Informality and Fiscal Policy under Sovereign Risk

Francesco Pappadà and Yanos Zylberberg

20603: Misperception and Informativeness in Statistical Discrimination

Escudé, Matteo, Paula Onuchic, Ludvig Sinander and Valenzuela-Stookey, Quitzé

20602: Management and Firm Dynamism

Raffaella Sadun, Rachel Schuh, Jonathan Hartley, John van Reenen and Nicholas Bloom

20601: Export Sanctions: Rerouting, Disruption, and the Reach of Economic Warfare

Konstantin Egorov, Vasily Korovkin, Alexey Makarin and Dzhamilya Nigmatulina

20600: Structural Transformation and Productivity in Asia: An Overview

León-Ledesma, Miguel

20599: Fiscal Requirements for Price Stability When Households are not Ricardian

Dupraz, Stéphane and Anna Rogantini Picco

20598: The political extremes and innovation: how support for extreme parties shapes overall and green scientific research and technological innovation in Europe

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Zhuoying You and Peter Teirlinck

20597: Does the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Help to Explain the US Economy?

Vo Phuong Mai Le, David Meenagh, Patrick Minford and Michael R. Wickens

20596: The Future of Foreign Trade

Elhanan Helpman

20595: Firm Ownership and Pollution

Tsz Chun Kwok, Daniel Spiro and Arthur van Benthem

20594: Does Risk Shape Economies? Income Volatility and Structural Change

Fenicia Cossu, Alessio Moro and Andrea Mottola

20593: Unpacking the Distributional Implications of the Energy Crisis: Lessons from the Iberian Electricity Market

Natalia Fabra, Clement Leblanc and Mateus Souza

20592: An Anatomy of Urbanization in Sub-Saharan Africa

Pierre-Philippe Combes, Clement Gorin, Shohei Nakamura and Mark Roberts

20591: The First Numbers of the Americas

Leticia Arroyo Abad and Jose-Antonio Espin-Sanchez

20590: General Laws and the Emergence of Durable Political Parties: The Case of Pennsylvania

Naomi Lamoreaux and John Wallis

20589: The Price of Delay: Supply Chain Disruptions and Pricing Dynamics

Salome Baslandze and Simon Fuchs

20588: Speaking of Debt: Framing, Guilt, and Economic Choices

Cevat Giray Aksoy, Mathias Dolls, Justyna Klejdysz, Andreas Peichl and Lisa Windsteiger

20587: Skewness Risk Premia and the Cross-Section of Currency Returns

Junye Li, Lucio Sarno and Gabriele Zinna

20586: Maternal Investments in Children: The Role of Expected Effort and Returns

Sonia Bhalotra, Adeline Delavande, Paulino Font and Joanna Maselko

20585: Antidepressant Treatment in Childhood

Sonia Bhalotra, Meltem Daysal and Mircea Trandafir

20584: Corporate Hierarchy

Michael Ewens and Xavier Giroud

20583: Stablecoins and the Future of Money: Economic Principles and Policy Implications

Peter Bofinger

20582: Monopsony, Income Risk and R∗ Multiplicity

Federica Romei, Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi, Sergio de Ferra, Andrea Ferrero, Alexandre Kohlhas, Michael McMahon and Giovanni Rosso

20581: Religion in Emerging and Developing Regions

Sara Lowes, Benjamin Marx and Eduardo Montero

20580: Foreign Currency Debt and Disagreement

Kenza Benhima, Isabella Blengini and Ouarda Merrouche

20579: Hyperbolic Discounting with Random Gratification

Facundo Piguillem and Liyan Shi

20578: Climate Politics in the United States

Matilde Bombardini, Frederico Finan, Nicolas Longuet-Marx, Suresh Naidu and Francesco Trebbi

20577: Granular Markups and Inflation Surge: The Role of Managerial Incentives

Yuchen Chen, Juliana Salomao, Varun Sharma and Yicheng Wang

20576: A Simple Theory of Economic Development at the Extensive Industry Margin

Dario Diodato, Ricardo Hausmann and Ulrich Schetter

20575: How do you Identify a Good Manager?

Ben Weidmann, Joseph Vecci, Farah Said, Sonia Bhalotra, Achyut Adharvyu, Anant Nyshadham, Jorge Tamayo and David Deming

20574: Inflation Factors

Danilo Leiva-Leon, Slavik Sheremirov, Jenny Tang and Zakrajšek, Egon

20573: Optimal Merger Remedies

Volker Nocke and Andrew Rhodes

20572: Trajectories of Early Childhood Skill Development and Maternal Mental Health

Dilek Sevim, Victoria Baranov, Sonia Bhalotra, Joanna Maselko and Pietro Biroli

20571: Optimal Tariffs with Geopolitical Alignment

John Becko, Gene M. Grossman and Elhanan Helpman

20570: Leaving the “Fourth Shoreâ€: The Effect of Italian Farmers’ Expulsions from Post-Colonial Libya, 1930-2005

Mattia Bertazzini

20569: Flora, Cosmos, Salvatio: Pre-modern Academic Institutions and the Spread of Ideas

David De La Croix, Rossana Scebba and Chiara Zanardello

20568: The Rise of Discounters and its Impact on Concentration, Market Power and Welfare

Martin O'Connell, Howard Smith and Oyvind Thomassen

20567: Bitcoin Arbitrage: The Role of a Single Exchange

Ethan Flowerday, Neil Gandal, Hanna Halaburda, Eric Olson and Gabriela Ardel

20566: How Does Wage Inequality Affect The Labor Movement?

Barbara Biasi, Cullen, Zöe, Julia Gilman and Nina Roussille

20565: Accounting Under Pressure: How Accounting Rules Shape Bond Prices and Firm Investment Post Crises

John Barrios, Andreas Neuhierl and Linda Schilling

20564: The Fragmentation Paradox: De-Risking Trade and Global Safety

Thierry Mayer, Méjean, Isabelle and Mathias Thoenig

20563: Tastes, Geography and Culture

Eve Colson-Sihra, José De Sousa and Thierry Mayer

20562: A Cost-Benefit Approach to Optimizing Security Precaution Adoption

Noa Barnir, Neil Gandal, Tyler Moore and Vincent Scott

20561: Supply Chain Disruptions: the Propagation and Economic Costs of ESG Shocks

Vicente Bermejo, Erfan Ghofrani and Carolina Villegas-Sanchez

20560: Uncovering Economic Policy Uncertainty During Conflict

Sophie Brochet, Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh

20559: Breaking the Echo Chamber: Social Media Networks and Political Conflict

Menéndez, Luis, Daniel Montolio, Hannes Mueller and Francesco Slataper

20558: From Tailwinds to Headwinds: Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century

Mirco Balatti, Ayhan Kose, Kate Frances Mckinnon, Edoardo Palombo, Naotaka Sugawara, Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos and Dana Vorisek

20557: What Do (Thousands of) Union Do? Union-Specific Pay Premia and Inequality

Ellora Derenoncourt, Francois Gerard, Lorenzo Lagos and Claire Montialoux

20556: Transplanting Craft Guilds to Colonial Latin America: A Large Language Model Analysis

Niclas Griesshaber and Sheilagh Ogilvie

20555: Sudden Stops, Productivity, and the Exchange Rate

Laura Castillo-Martinez

20554: The Global Gender Distortions Index (GGDI)

Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg, Charles Gottlieb, Somik Lall, Meet Mehta, Michael Peters and Aishwarya Lakshmi Ratan

20553: Shifting Preferences. Prices for den Oude and den Helschen Breughel during the Long Eighteenth century

Anne-Sophie Radermecker and Kim Oosterlinck

20552: Tradition Meets Innovation: Monasteries and the Adoption of Printing Technology

Guillaume Wegmueller and Nathan Sussman

20551: Measuring Democracy Using the Wisdom of the Crowds

Nathan Canen and Anujit Chakraborty

20550: When is Less More? Bank Arrangements for Liquidity vs Central Bank Support

Viral Acharya, Raghuram Rajan and Shu, Zhi Quan (Bill)

20549: Masculinity Norms and Their Economic Implications

Ieda Matavelli, Pauline Grosjean, Ralph De Haas and Victoria Baranov

20548: Cooperation When Surrounded by Exploiters: The Role of Outside Options

Omer Moav, Luigi Pascali and Ady Pauzner

20547: Does High Involvement Management Drive Affective Commitment? Causal Tests on System Coherence and Complementarity

Michael Beckmann, Philipp Grunau, Tobias Kretschmer and Elena Shvartsman

20546: Protected but Punished? Wage Effects of Whistleblower Protection

Jae Cho, Jinju Rhee and Tobias Kretschmer

20545: Carbon Pricing and Inequality: A Normative Perspective

Saki Bigio, Känzig, Diego, Sánchez, Pablo and Conor Walsh

20544: Ruin Probabilities for Strategies with Asymmetric Risk

Karl Whelan

20543: Gender Inequality in Expenditure: Great Britain 1978 to 2019 

Richard Blundell, Heidi Karjalainen, Lechene, Valérie and Krishna Pendakur

20542: Understanding Cultural Change

Fernández, Raquel

20541: Parental Leave: Economic Incentives and Cultural Change

James Albrecht, Per-Anders Edin, Fernández, Raquel, Jiwon Lee, Peter Thoursie and Susan Vroman

20540: The Present Value of Future Market Power

Thummim Cho, Marco Grotteria, Lukas Kremens and Howard Kung

20539: Labor Market Institutions and Wage-Setting Power: Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean

Francesco Amodio, Emanuele Brancati, Nicolás de Roux and Michele Di Maio

20538: Market Access Uncertainty and Trade in Services

Peter Egger, Joseph Francois, Garcés, Irene and Miriam Manchin

20537: Designing Vertical Differentiation with Information

Christoph Carnehl, Anton Sobolev, Konrad Stahl and Andre Stenzel

20536: Successful Entrepreneurs Come From the Top of the Earned Income Distribution

Niklas Garnadt, Füner, Lena, Konrad Stahl and Tåg, Joacim

20535: Price Parity Clauses and Platform Data Acquisition

Andreea Enache and Andrew Rhodes

20534: Regulatory Arbitrage in the Market for Player Rights: Evidence from European Soccer

Federico Ciliberto, Davide Scotti and Silvio Vismara

20533: Extrapolation and Rational Inattention: Evidence from Chinese Mutual Funds

Antonio Guarino, Gang Wang and Yang Yu

20532: Talk and the City: How Far to Trust Bankers (Not) Calling for Bailouts

Diemo Dietrich and Thomas Gehrig

20531: Understanding the Pricing of Carbon Emissions: New Evidence from the Stock Market

Matteo Crosignani, Emilio Osambela and Matt Pritsker

20530: Training for Adverse Selection

Heski Bar-Isaac and Raphaël Levy

20529: Losing Grip? The Quantity Theory of Money under Currency Competition

Jasmina Arifovic, Isabelle Salle and Linda Schilling

20528: When Parents Get to Decide: Choice of Secondary School Track and Student Outcomes

Aderonke Osikominu, Gregor Pfeifer and Kristina Strohmaier

20527: Oligopoly, Complementarities, and Transformed Potentials

Volker Nocke and Nicolas Schutz

20526: GenAI Misinformation, Trust, and News Consumption: Evidence from a Field Experiment

Filipe Campante, Ruben Durante, Felix Hagemeister and Ananya Sen

20525: The Long-Lasting Protection of a Defunct Industrial Policy

Eugenio Miravete and Maria Moral

20524: Visual Bias in the Brexit Referendum: A Quantitative Analysis of Newspaper Images

Wanyu Chung, Duiyi Dai and Robert Elliott

20523: The Impact of Shared Telecom Infrastructure on Digital Connectivity and Inclusion

Georges V. Houngbonon, Marc Ivaldi, Emil Palikot and Davide Strusani

20522: Can Mass Purges Root out Corruption?

Stephane Wolton, Pinda Wang and Lützenrath, Johannes

20521: Rural-Urban Migration and Market Integration

Dennis Egger, Benjamin Faber, Ming Li and Wei Lin

20520: Banks’ Climate Sentiments and Credit Risk: Do they Matter for the Low-Carbon Transition?

Andrea Mazzocchetti, Irene Monasterolo and Andrea Vismara

20519: From Chalkboards to Steam Engines: Early Adoption of Compulsory Schooling, Innovation, and Industrialization

Francesco Cinnirella and Elona Harka

20518: Coarse Categories in a Complex World

Thomas Graeber, Christopher Roth and Marco Sammon

20517: Is This Really Kneaded? Identifying and Eliminating Potentially Harmful Forms of Workplace Control

Guido Friebel, Matthias Heinz, Mitchell Hoffman, Tobias Kretschmer and Nick Zubanov

20516: Losses from Natural Disasters: County-Level Data on Damages, Injuries, and Fatalities

Matteo Crosignani and Martin Hiti

20515: Welfare Implications of a Carbon Tax in a Long-Distance Passenger Market

Cherbonnier, Frédéric, Marc Ivaldi, Catherine Muller-Vibes and Karine Van Der Straeten