CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
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14259: How do machine learning and non-traditional data affect credit scoring? New evidence from a Chinese fintech firm

Leonardo Gambacorta, Yiping Huang, Han Qiu and Jingyi Wang

14258: A Theory of Participation in OTC and Centralized Markets

Pierre-Olivier Weill, Jérôme Dugast and Semih Üslü

14257: Incentive Constrained Risk Sharing, Segmentation, and Asset Pricing

Pierre-Olivier Weill, Bruno Biais and Johan Hombert

14256: Intellectual Property and the Organization of the Global Value Chain

Gianmarco Ottaviano, Stefano Bolatto, Alireza Naghavi and Kejžar, Katja Zajc

14255: Can Global Uncertainty Promote International Trade?

Laura Veldkamp, Isaac Baley and Michael Waugh

14254: Title of Paper: Diversity, Immigration, and Redistribution

Stefanie Stantcheva and Alberto Alesina

14253: The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty

Tarek Hassan, Stephan Hollander, Laurence van Lent and Ahmed Tahoun

14252: How Monetary Policy Shaped the Housing Boom

Philipp Schnabl and Alexi Savov

14251: RISKY MOMS, RISKY KIDS? FERTILITY AND CRIME AFTER THE FALL OF THE WALL

Olivier Marie and Arnaud Chevalier

14250: Reconsidering the Market Size Effect in Innovation and Growth

Kiminori Matsuyama and Hélène Latzer

14249: Automating Labor: Evidence from Firm-level Patent Data

Hémous, David, Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Morten Olsen and Carlo Zanella

14248: Deterministic Debt Cycles in Open Economies with Flow Collateral Constraints

Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie and Uribe, Martín

14247: Monetary Policy Strategies for the Federal Reserve

Lars Svensson

14246: Firm and Worker Dynamics in a Frictional Labor Market

Giovanni Violante, ,, Niklas Engbom and Simon Mongey

14245: Household Balance Sheet Channels of Monetary Policy: A Back of the Envelope Calculation for the Euro Area

Giovanni Violante, , and Oreste Tristani

14244: Optimal Forbearance of Bank Resolution

Linda Schilling

14243: Too many Voters to Fail: Influencing and Political Bargaining for Bailouts

Linda Schilling

14242: Refugees and Foreign Direct Investment: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from U.S. Resettlements

Anna Maria Mayda, Christopher Parsons, Hannah Pham and Pierre-Louis Vézina

14241: Valuing Private Equity Strip by Strip

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Arpit Gupta

14240: Earnings Dynamics and Firm-Level Shocks

Costas Meghir, Benjamin Friedrich, Lisa Laun and Luigi Pistaferri

14239: Minimum Wage Employment Effects and Labor Market Concentration

Azar, José, Emiliano Huet-Vaughn, Ioana Marinescu, Bledi Taska and Till von Wachter

14238: Local Exposure to School Shootings and Youth Antidepressant Use

Hannes Schwandt, Maya Rossin-Slater, Molly Schnell, Sam Trejo and Lindsey Uniat

14237: Do Firms Respond to Gender Pay Gap Transparency?

Elena Simintzi, Morten Bennedsen, Margarita Tsoutsoura and Daniel Wolfenzon

14236: The Impact of the Opioid Crisis on Firm Value and Investment

Elena Simintzi, Paige Ouimet and Kailei Ye

14235: Market Efficiency in the Age of Big Data

Ian Martin and Stefan Nagel

14234: An Improved Method to Predict Assignment of Stocks into Russell Indexes

Francesco Franzoni, Rabih Moussawi and Itzhak Ben-David

14233: Expansionary Yet Different: Credit Supply and Real Effects of Negative Interest Rate Policy

Andrea Polo, Margherita Bottero, Camelia Minoiu, Peydró, José-Luis, , and Enrico Sette

14232: Global Market Inefficiencies

Söhnke Bartram and Mark Grinblatt

14231: Granular Search, Market Structure, and Wages

Gregor Jarosch and Jan Sebastian Nimczik

14230: Global Risk Sharing through Trade in Goods and Assets: Theory and Evidence

Inga Heiland

14229: Who's Paying for the U.S. Tariffs? A Longer-Term Perspective

Stephen Redding, Mary Amiti and David Weinstein

14228: Trade, Transportation and the Environment

Rikard Forslid

14227: Measuring Productivity: Lessons from Tailored Surveys and Productivity Benchmarking

David Atkin, Amit Khandelwal and Adam Osman

14226: The Economic Value of Breaking Bad: Misbehavior, Schooling and the Labor Market

Yu Zheng and Nicholas Papageorge

14225: Too Much Data: Prices and Inefficiencies in Data Markets

Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Asuman Ozdaglar and Azarakhsh Malekian

14224: Macroprudential and monetary policy: loan-level evidence from reserve requirements

Peydró, José-Luis, Cecilia Dassatti, Francesc Rodriguez Tous and Sergio Vicente

14223: The Wrong Kind of AI? Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Labor Demand

Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo

14222: Unravelling Trade Integration: Local Labour Market Effects of the Brexit Vote

Beata Javorcik, Ben Kett, Katherine Stapleton and Layla O'Kane

14220: Does a Currency Union Need a Capital Market Union? Risk Sharing via Banks and Markets

Joseba Martinez and Markus Sihvonen

14219: The Failure of Free Entry

German Gutierrez

14218: Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Limited Enforcement

Marina Halac and Pierre Yared

14217: The Long-Term Effects of California’s 2004 Paid Family Leave Act on Women’s Careers: Evidence from U.S. Tax Data

Martha Bailey, Tanya Byker, Elena Patel and Shanthi Ramnath

14216: Monetary Union and Financial Integration

Luca Fornaro

14215: Urban growth and its aggregate implications

Diego Puga and Gilles Duranton

14214: Historical Social Contracts and their Legacy: A Disaggregated Analysis of the Medieval Republics

Paolo Buonanno, Matteo Cervellati, Sara Lazzaroni and Giovanni Prarolo

14213: Inputs, Incentives, and Self-selection At the Workplace

Francesco Amodio and Miguel Martinez-Carrasco

14212: Foreign Currency Loans and Credit Risk: Evidence from U.S. Banks

Friederike Niepmann and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr

14211: Immigration and Preferences for Redistribution in Europe

Alberto Alesina, Elie Murard and Hillel Rapoport

14210: Electoral Competition with Fake News

Elhanan Helpman and Gene Grossman

14209: Reservation Raises: The Aggregate Labor Supply Curve at the Extensive Margin

Benjamin Schoefer and Preston Mui

14208: Jobs and Matches: Quits, Replacement Hiring, and Vacancy Chains

Benjamin Schoefer and Yusuf Mercan

14207: The Banking View of Bond Risk Premia

David Sraer and Valentin Haddad

14206: Atlantic Trade and the Decline of Conflict in Europe

Reshad Ahsan, Laura Panza and Yong Song

14205: High School Rank in Math and English and the Gender Gap in STEM

Paul Devereux and Judith Delaney

14204: Markups, Quality, and Trade Costs

Natalie Chen and Luciana Juvenal

14203: Trade, Productivity and (Mis)allocation

Kalina Manova, Antoine Berthou, Charlotte Sandoz and John Jong-Hyun Chung

14202: Trust in the Central Bank and Inflation Expectations

Dimitris Christelis, Dimitris Georgarakos and Maarten van Rooij

14201: The Natural Rate Puzzle: Global Macro Trends and the Market-Implied r*

Alan Taylor, Josh Davis and Cristian Fuenzalida

14200: How the Wealth Was Won: Factor Shares as Market Fundamentals

Martin Lettau, Sydney Ludvigson and Daniel Greenwald

14199: All You Need is Cash: Corporate Cash Holdings and Investment after the Financial Crisis

Andreas Joseph, Christiane Kneer and Neeltje Van Horen

14198: African institutions under colonial rule

Jutta Bolt and Leigh Gardner

14197: Spatial Wage Gaps in Frictional Labor Markets

Tommaso Porzio and Sebastian Heise

14196: Are marriage-related taxes and Social Security benefits holding back female labor supply?

Mariacristina De Nardi, Margherita Borella and Fang Yang

14195: Inflation Dynamics: Dead, Dormant, or Determined Abroad?

Kristin Forbes

14194: Settlement Location Shapes Refugee Integration: Evidence from Post-war Germany

Nadja Dwenger and Sebastian Braun

14193: Trade From Space: Shipping Networks and The Global Implications of Local Shocks

Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe, Inga Heiland, Andreas Moxnes and Yuan Zi

14192: Three different tribes: how the relationship between economics and economic history has evolved in the 21st century

Giovanni Federico, Martina Cioni and Michelangelo Vasta

14191: Conceptual Aspects of Global Value Chains

Pol Antrà s

14190: Does Scarcity of Female Instructors Create Demand for Diversity among Students? Evidence from an M-Turk Experiment

Patricia Funk, Nagore Iriberri and Giulia Savio

14189: Estimating the Costs and Benefits of Fuel-Economy Standards

Arthur van Benthem, Antonio Bento, Mark Jacobsen and Christopher Knittel

14188: Mergers and Innovation Portfolios

Moraga-González, José-Luis, Evgenia Motchenkova and Saish Nevrekar

14187: Capital Flows, Real Estate, and Local Cycles: Evidence from German Cities, Banks, and Firms

Alessandro Rebucci, Peter Bednarek, Daniel te Kaat and Chang Ma

14186: Capital Controls: A Survey of the New Literature

Alessandro Rebucci and Chang Ma

14185: The importance of beliefs in shaping macroeconomic outcomes

Roger Farmer

14184: Housing insecurity, homelessness and populism: Evidence from the UK

Thiemo Fetzer, Srinjoy Sen and Pedro CL Souza

14183: Abortions, Brexit and Trees

Benny Moldovanu and ,

14182: Ethnic Conflicts and the Informational Dividend of Democracy

Mathias Thoenig, Jérémy Laurent-Lucchetti and Dominic Rohner

14181: Services Trade Policies and Economic Integration: New Evidence for Developing Countries

Ben Shepherd

14180: Why are Average Hours Worked Lower in Richer Countries?

Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola, Alexander Bick, David Lagakos and Hitoshi Tsujiyama

14179: Marriage, Fertility, and Cultural Integration in Italy

Alberto Bisin and Giulia Tura

14178: Rural Transformation, Inequality, and the Origins of Microfinance

Nikolaus Wolf and Marvin Suesse

14177: Actors in the Child Development Process

Daniela Del Boca, Christopher Flinn, Ewout Verriest and Matthew Wiswall

14176: Exchange Rates and Consumer Prices: Evidence from Brexit

Dennis Novy, Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain and Thomas Sampson

14175: Labour Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys

Dani Rodrik and Rafael Di Tella

14174: Signaling Safety

Stefano Rossi, Michael Weber and Roni Michaely

14173: Trade Networks and Firm Value: Evidence from the US-China Trade War

Yi Huang, Chen Lin, Sibo Liu and Heiwai Tang

14172: Acquisition for Sleep

Lars Persson, Norbäck, Pehr-Johan and Charlotta Olofsson

14171: Sustainable Investing in Equilibrium

Pástor, Luboš, Robert Stambaugh and Lucian Taylor

14170: The Employment Effects of Ethnic Politics

Francesco Amodio, Giorgio Chiovelli and Sebastian Hohmann

14169: Disability Insurance: Error Rates and Gender Differences

Luigi Pistaferri and Hamish Low

14168: Decoupling the CES distribution circle with quality and beyond: equilibrium distributions and the CES-Logit nexus

Simon Anderson and André de Palma

14167: Betting on the Lord: Lotteries and Religiosity in Haiti

Emmanuelle Auriol, Diego Delissaint, Maleke Fourati, Josepa Miquel-Florensa and Paul Seabright

14166: Merger Policy in Digital Markets: An Ex-Post Assessment

Tomaso Duso, Elena Argentesi, Paolo Buccirossi, Emilio Calvano, Alessia Marrazzo and Salvatore Nava

14165: The Effects of Immigration on the Economy: Lessons from the 1920s Border Closure

Philipp Ager, Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan, Elior Cohen and Casper Hansen

14164: The U.S.-Chinese Trade War: An Event Study of Stock-Market Responses

Peter Egger and Jiaqing Zhu

14163: Monetary Policy, Price Setting, and Credit Constraints

Almut Balleer and Peter Zorn

14162: Consumer information and the limits to competition

Mark Armstrong and Jidong Zhou

14161: Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target

Leonardo Melosi, Francesco Bianchi and Matthias Rottner

14160: Public Liquidity Demand and Central Bank Independence

Guillaume Plantin, Barthélemy, Jean and Eric Mengus

14159: Monetary Policy and Redistribution: A Look under the Hatch with TANK

Christopher Naubert