CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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19743: Violent Conflict and Cross-Border Lending

Ralph De Haas, Mikhail Mamonov, Alexander Popov and Iliriana Shala

19742: On Anticompetitive Third-Degree Price Discrimination

Eugenio Miravete

19741: Inflation Surprises and Election Outcomes

Jonathan Federle, Cathrin Mohr and Moritz Schularick

19740: On Estimates of Insider Trading in Sports Betting

Karl Whelan

19739: End-of-life liquidity

Neha Bairoliya, Giovanni Gallipoli and Kathleen McKiernan

19738: Gender-Based Violence in Schools and Girls’ Education: Experimental Evidence from Mozambique

Sofia Amaral, Aixa Garcia-Ramos, Selim Gulesci, Oré, Sarita, Alejandra Ramos and Maria Micaela Sviatschi

19737: Procuring Medical Devices: The Price Effect of Mergers Among Orthopedic Prostheses Producers

Vincenzo Atella, Nicola Ceschin and Francesco Decarolis

19736: The Colonial State in the Middle East and North Africa

Laura Maravall Buckwalter and Laura Panza

19735: Transportation Costs in the Antebellum U.S.: A New County-Level Dataset with Time, Region, and Direction Specific Freight Rates

Alexander Klein and Peter Matthews

19734: Are Men’s Preferences for Couple Equity Misperceived? Evidence from Six Countries

Teodora Boneva, Ana Bras-Monteiro, Marta Golin and Christopher Rauh

19733: Minimum Legal Drinking Age and Educational Outcomes

Manuel Bagues and Carmen Villa

19732: Never-ending Search for Innovation

Jean-Michel Benkert and Igor Letina

19731: The Trouble with Rational Expectations in Heterogeneous Agent Models: A Challenge for Macroeconomics

Benjamin Moll

19730: Filling the Gap: The Consequences of Collaborator Loss in Corporate R&D

Felix Poege, Fabian Gaessler, Karin Hoisl, Dietmar Harhoff and Matthias Dorner

19729: Similar Investors

Co-Pierre Georg, Diane Pierret and Sascha Steffen

19728: Assortative Matching and Wages: The Role of Selection

BoroviÄ ková, Katarína and Robert Shimer

19727: Systemic Risk Measures: From the Panic of 1907 to the Banking Stress of 2023

Viral Acharya, Markus Brunnermeier and Diane Pierret

19726: Dividing Housework between Partners: Individual Preferences and Social Norms

Danilo Cavapozzi, Marco Francesconi and Cheti Nicoletti

19725: How Business Income Measures Affect Income Inequality and the Tax Burden

Rolf Aaberge, Marco Francesconi, Jørgen Modalsli and Ola Vestad

19724: The Power of Faith: Effects of an Imam-led Information Campaign on Labor Supply and Social Interactions

Alexandra Avdeenko, Gärtner, Jakob, Marc Gillaizeau, Ghida Karbala, Laura Montenbruck, Giulia Montresor, Atika Pasha and Galina Zudenkova

19723: Macroprudential Policy and Capital Flows

Margaret Davenport, Filipa Sã¡, and Tomasz Wieladek

19722: Child Penalties, Child Outcomes, and Family Culture

Eric Gould and Guy Lichtinger

19721: Initial Match and Career Outcomes: Evidence from the NFL Draft

Pablo Casas-Arce, Stephen Hansen, Miguel Martinez-Carrasco and Asis Martinez-Jerez

19720: Spanish Labour Market, Mobility and Labour Shortages

Carlos Carrillo-Tudela, Alex Clymo, Cristina La Fuente, Ludo Visschers and David Zentler-Munro

19719: From Labor to Intermediates: Firm Growth, Input Substitution, and Monopsony

Matthias Mertens and Benjamin Schoefer

19718: Roots of Cultural Diversity

Oded Galor, Marc Klemp and Daniel C. Wainstock

19717: Is Swedish Household Debt Too High? Solvency, Liquidity, and Debt-Financed Overconsumption

Lars E.O. Svensson

19716: Inventories, Demand Shocks Propagation, and Amplification in Supply Chains

Alessandro Ferrari

19715: Ethnofederalism: Subnational Borders and the Salience of Ethnicity in Politics

Richard Bluhm, Roland Hodler and Paul Schaudt

19714: Milk Wars: Cooperation, Contestation, Conflict and the Irish War of Independence

Eoin McLaughlin, Paul Sharp, Christian Skovsgaard and Christian Vedel

19713: Fertility and Family Labor Supply

Katrine Jakobsen, Jørgensen, Thomas H. and Hamish Low

19712: Gradual Policy Reforms

Alexander K Koch and Julia Nafziger

19711: Why Has Construction Productivity Stagnated? The Role of Land-Use Regulation

Leonardo D'Amico, Edward Glaeser, Joseph Gyourko, William Kerr and Giacomo Ponzetto

19710: Agricultural Trade and Deforestation: The Role of New Roads

Douglas Gollin and Julien Wolfersberger

19709: New Evidence on the US Excess Return on Foreign Portfolios

Carol Bertaut, Stephanie E. Curcuru, Ester Faia and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas

19708: AI-Generated Production Networks: Measurement and Applications to Global Trade

Thiemo Fetzer, Peter John Lambert, Bennet Feld and Prashant Garg

19707: Comrades and Cause: Peer Influence on West Point Cadets' Civil War Allegiances

Yuchen Guo, Matthew O. Jackson and Ruixue Jia

19706: Does Climate Change Adaptation Matter? Evidence from the City on the Water

Matteo Benetton, Simone Emiliozzi, Elisa Guglielminetti, Michele Loberto and Alessandro Mistretta

19705: Conversations at Scale: Robust AI-led Interviews with a Simple Open-Source Platform

Friedrich Geiecke and Xavier Jaravel

19704: Fiscal Policy’s Role in Economic Resilience to Climate Shocks

Armon Rezai, Franz Ruch, Rishabh Choudhary and John Nana Darko Francois

19703: The Costs of Being Sustainable

Emanuele Chini, Kräussl, Roman and Denitsa Stefanova

19702: Housing and Macroprudential Policy

John Muellbauer

19701: Causal Claims in Economics

Prashant Garg and Thiemo Fetzer

19700: Under Pressure: Electoral Competition and Women’s Representation

Pamela Campa, Perihan Saygin and Semih Tumen

19699: Supply Chain Disruption and Precautionary Industrial Policy

Massimo Motta and Michele Polo

19698: Uncovering the Effects of Government Spending through Tax Foresight

Guido Ascari, Anna Florio and Alessandro Gobbi

19697: The Federal Reserve’s Evolving Interpretation and Implementation of Its Mandate

Athanasios Orphanides

19696: Dispersed Information, Nominal Rigidities and Monetary Business Cycles: A Hayekian Perspective

Christian Hellwig and Venky Venkateswaran

19695: "If You Only Have a Hammer": Optimal Dynamic Prevention Policy

Hannes Mueller, Christopher Rauh, Alessandro Ruggieri and Ben Seimon

19694: The Perceived Marital Returns to Education and the Demand for Girls' Schooling

Rossella Calvi, Hira Farooqi and Eeshani Kandpal

19693: What Makes Industrial Policy Work?

Ann Harrison

19692: Firm Heterogeneity, Market Power and Macroeconomic Fragility

Alessandro Ferrari and Francisco Queiros

19691: Getting the Picture

Robert Akerlof, Richard Holden and Hongyi Li

19690: Foundations of Double Auctions from Theory and Practice

Simon Jantschgi, Heinrich H.Nax, Bary Pradelski and Marek Pycia

19689: The Random Priority Mechanism is Uniquely Simple, Efficient, and Fair

Marek Pycia and Peter Troyan

19688: When Should a Firm Employ its Workers? A Relational Contracting Approach

Schöttner, Anja and Harvey Upton

19687: First-Party Complements in Platform Markets: The Role of Competition

Alexey Rusakov and Tobias Kretschmer

19686: Fractional Ownership and Copyright Licensing: Evidence from the Music Industry

El Hadi Caoui and Alberto Galasso

19685: Modeling the Economy as a Watch or as a Cloud. How do these Models Predict the Effects of Supply Shocks?

Paul De Grauwe and Yuemei Ji

19684: Nonparametric Local Projections

Silvia Goncalves, Ana Maria Herrera, Lutz Kilian and Elena Pesavento

19683: Fiscal Policy and Inflation in the Euro Area

Guido Ascari, Dennis Bonam, Lorenzo Mori and Andra Smadu

19682: High Temperature Shocks are Supply Shocks. Evidence from One Century of Monthly Data

Jules Baleyte, Guillaume Bazot, Eric Monnet and Matthias Morys

19681: Inventor Returns and Mobility

Dietmar Harhoff, David Heller and Paul Momtaz

19680: Economic Growth and Imperialism

Giacomo Corneo

19679: Monetary Policy, Information and Country Risk Shocks in the Euro Area

Giovanni Ricco, Emanuele Savini and Anshumaan Tuteja

19678: Monetary Policy with Persistent Supply Shocks

Nuño, Galo, Philipp Renner and Simon Scheidegger

19677: Robust Production Function Estimation when there is Market Power

Jordi Jaumandreu

19676: Rewiring Supply Chains Through Uncoordinated Climate Policy

Emanuela Benincasa, Olimpia Carradori, Miguel Ferreira and Emilia Garcia-Appendini

19675: Mechanism Design and Innovation Incentive for an Ad-Funded Platform

Shota Ichihashi, Doh-Shin Jeon and Byung-Cheol Kim

19674: Alternative Worldviews, Distrust and Populism

Helios Herrera and Federico Trombetta

19673: Government Demand and Firm Growth

Bernard Hoekman, Marco Sanfilippo, Filippo Santi and Rohit Ticku

19672: Nonlinear Pricing and Misallocation

Gideon Bornstein and Alessandra Peter

19671: A Theory of Perverse Redistribution in Higher Education and Income Tax Progressivity in Europe

Michele Gubello and Nora Strecker

19670: Learning from Local Analysts

Bartram, Söhnke, Vidhi Chhaochharia, Alok Kumar and Hongwei Mo

19669: Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time

Christiane Baumeister, Florian Huber, Thomas K. Lee and Francesco Ravazzolo

19668: Carbon Burden

Pástor, Luboš, Robert F. Stambaugh and Lucian Taylor

19667: Bank Geographic Diversification and Funding Stability

Sebastian Doerr

19666: Parallel Execution Fee Mechanisms

Abdoulaye Ndiaye

19665: Family Planning and Ethnic Heritage: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Graziella Bertocchi, Arcangelo Dimico and Chiara Falco

19664: Resolving Puzzles of Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets

Jongrim Ha, Dohan Kim, Ayhan Kose and Eswar Prasad

19663: Extend-and-Pretend in the U.S. CRE Market

Matteo Crosignani and Saketh Prazad

19662: Common Ownership and Competition: Evidence from Ultimate Owners of Private and Public Firms

Inga Heiland

19661: Geographic Fragmentation in a Knowledge Economy: Theory and Evidence from the United States

Yang Jiao and Lin Tian

19660: Industrial Policies and Innovation: Evidence from the Global Automobile Industry

Panle Barwick, Hyuk-soo Kwon, Shanjun Li, Yucheng Wang and Nahim Bin Zahur

19659: Product Recommendations and Price Parity Clauses

Martin Peitz and Anton Sobolev

19658: Tax Policy, Investment and Profit Shifting

Katarzyna Bilicka, Michael P Devereux and Güçeri, Irem

19657: Problem or Opportunity? Immigration, Job Search, Entrepreneurship and Labor Market Outcomes of Natives in Germany

Zainab Iftikhar and Anna Zaharieva

19656: Energy-Saving Technology Shocks, Emissions, and the Macroeconomy

Emanuel Moench and Soroosh Soofi Siavash

19655: On the Limits of Chronological Age

Rainer Kotschy, David Bloom and Andrew Scott

19654: Health Dynamics, Life Expectancy Heterogeneity, and the Racial Gap in Social Security Wealth

Richard Foltyn and Jonna Olsson

19653: Short-Time Work Extensions

Christina Brinkmann, Jäger, Simon, Moritz Kuhn, Farzad Saidi and Stefanie Wolter

19652: Monopsony in Growth Theory

Pietro Garibaldi and Enrico Duilio Turri

19651: Crime and the Labor Market

Randi Hjalmarsson, Stephen Machin and Paolo Pinotti

19650: A Few Bad Apples? Criminal Charges, Political Careers, and Policy Outcomes

Diogo Britto, Gianmarco Daniele, Paolo Pinotti, Marco Le Moglie and Breno Sampaio

19649: Small Children, Big Problems: Childbirth and Crime

Diogo Britto, Roberto Hsu Rocha, Paolo Pinotti and Breno Sampaio

19648: From Parents’ Cradle to Children’s Career: Intergenerational Effects of Parental Investments

Sander de Vries, Nadine Ketel and Maarten Lindeboom

19647: Reducing Transaction Taxes on Housing in Highly Regulated Economies

Christian Bontemps, Cherbonnier, Frédéric and Thierry Magnac

19646: Central Banks and the Absorption of International Shocks (1891-2019)

Guillaume Bazot, Eric Monnet and Matthias Morys

19645: Three Reasons to Price Carbon Under Uncertainty: Accuracy of Simple Rules

Ton van den Bremer, Christoph Hambel and Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg

19644: Firms' Supply Chain Adaptation to Carbon Taxes

Pierre Coster, Julian Di Giovanni and Isabelle Mejean