CEPR Discussion Papers

From C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
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12308: Connections and Applicants' Self-Selection: Evidence from a Natural Randomized Experiment

Manuel Bagues, Natalia Zinovyeva and Mauro Sylos Labini

12307: Strategic Default in the International Coffee Market

Rocco Macchiavello and Arthur Blouin

12306: German Robots – The Impact of Industrial Robots on Workers

Südekum, Jens, Wolfgang Dauth, Sebastian Findeisen and Nicole Woessner

12305: The Long-Term Consequences of Short-Term Incentives

Alex Edmans, Vivian Fang and Allen Huang

12304: Managing the UK National Debt 1694-2017

Martin Ellison and Andrew Scott

12303: Global Value Chains, Trade Shocks And Jobs: An Application to Brexit

Hylke Vandenbussche, William Connell Garcia and Wouter Simons

12302: Playing Favorites: How Firms Prevent the Revelation of Bad News

Dong Lou, Lauren Cohen and Christopher Malloy

12301: Brexit: The Economics of International Disintegration

Thomas Sampson

12300: Measuring Aggregate Economic Activity

Akos Valentinyi, Georg Duernecker and Berthold Herrendorf

12299: Macro Needs Micro

Fabio Ghironi

12298: Keynesian Economics without the Phillips Curve

Roger Farmer

12297: Attention Manipulation and Information Overload

Petra Persson

12296: The Effect of Superstar Firms on College Major Choice

Dong Lou, Darwin Choi and Abhiroop Mukherjee

12295: Offsetting Disagreement and Security Prices

Dong Lou, Byoung-Hyoun Hwang and Chengxi Yin

12294: Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find?

John van Reenen, Nicholas Bloom, Charles Jones and Michael Webb

12293: Signaling to Experts

Florian Scheuer and Pablo Kurlat

12292: Taxes and Market Hours -- the Role of Gender and Skill

L. Rachel Ngai, Duval-Hernández, Robert and Lei Fang

12291: Engineering Crises: Favoritism and Strategic Fiscal Indiscipline

Gilles Saint-Paul, Davide Ticchi and Andrea Vindigni

12290: The Political Economy of International Finance Corporation Lending

Axel Dreher and Katharina Richert

12289: Corporate Debt Maturity Profiles

Josef Zechner, Jaewon Choi and Dirk Hackbarth

12288: Altruism and strategic giving in children and adolescents

Isabelle Brocas, Juan D. Carrillo and Niree Kodaverdian

12287: A Property Rights Approach to Temporary Work Visas

Alessandra Casella and Adam Cox

12286: Two Great Trade Collapses: The Interwar Period & Great Recession Compared

Kevin O'Rourke

12285: Impact of Managerial Commitment on Risk Taking with Dynamic Fund Flows

Ron Kaniel, Stathis Tompaidis and Ti Zhou

12284: Firm Volatility in Granual Networks

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Hanno Lustig, Bryan Kelly and Bernard Herskovic

12283: Out-of-town Home Buyers and City Welfare

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Jack Favilukis

12282: A Macroeconomic Model with Financially Constrained Producers and Intermediaries

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Tim Landvoigt and Vadim Elenev

12281: Why Are REITS Currently So Expensive?

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

12280: Sequential Banking: Direct and Externality Effects on Delinquency

Giacomo De Giorgi, Andres Drenik and Enrique Seira Bejarano

12279: How Efficient is Dynamic Competition? The Case of Price as Investment

Ulrich Doraszelski, David Besanko and Yaroslav Kryukov

12278: Flowers of Evil? Industrialization and Long Run Development

Oded Galor and Raphael Franck

12277: Aid Effectiveness: Revisiting the Trade-off Between Needs and Governance

Jean-Philippe Platteau and François Bourguignon

12276: Optimal income taxation with composition effects

Etienne Lehmann and Laurence Jacquet

12275: Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation

Francesco Bianchi, Martin Lettau and Sydney Ludvigson

12274: Performance-induced CEO turnover

Dirk Jenter and Katharina A. Lewellen

12273: Measuring Productivity Dispersion: Lessons From Counting One-Hundred Million Ballots

Ethan Ilzetzki and Saverio Simonelli

12272: A Central Bank’s Optimal Balance Sheet Size?

Charles Goodhart

12271: Information Design under Falsification

Vasiliki Skreta and Eduardo Perez

12270: Household Debt and Monetary Policy: Revealing the Cash-Flow Channel

Martin Flodén, Kilström, Matilda, Sigurdsson, Jósef and Roine Vestman

12269: Inefficient Short-Time Work

Pierre Cahuc and Sandra Nevoux

12268: Network-Mediated Knowledge Spillovers: A Cross-Country Comparative Analysis of Information Security Innovations

Neil Gandal, Lee Branstetter and Nadav Kunievsky

12267: Relational Contracts, Competition and Innovation: Theory and Evidence from German Car Manufacturers

Giancarlo Spagnolo, Giacomo Calzolari, Leonardo Felli, Johannes Koenen and Konrad Stahl

12266: Police Patrols and Crime

Jordi Blanes i Vidal and Giovanni Mastrobuoni

12265: The Mortgage Rate Conundrum

Giorgio Primiceri, Alejandro Justiniano and Andrea Tambalotti

12264: Buy As You Need: Nutrition and Food Storage Imperfections

Jean-Philippe Platteau, Catherine Guirkinger and Jeremie Gross

12263: Innovation Adoption and Liquidity Constraints in the Presence of Grassroots Extension Agents: Evidence from the Peruvian Highla

Jean-Philippe Platteau, Isabelle Bonjean and Vincenzo Verardi

12262: Tractable Likelihood-Based Estimation of Non-Linear DSGE Models

Robert Kollmann

12261: Measuring Productivity and Absorptive Capacity Evolution in OECD Economies

Markus Eberhardt, Gerdie Everaert and Stef De Visscher

12260: Whistleblower Rewards, False Reports, and Corporate Fraud

Giancarlo Spagnolo, Paolo Buccirossi and Giovanni Immordino

12259: The Ostrich in Us: Selective Attention to Financial Accounts, Income, Spending, and Liquidity

Michaela Pagel and Arna Olafsson

12258: Incomplete Contracts, Shared Ownership, and Investment Incentives

Patrick Schmitz

12257: A Long-Run Perspective on the Spatial Concentration of Manufacturing Industries in the United States

Nicholas Crafts and Alexander Klein

12256: Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion Of Sparsity

Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Giorgio Primiceri

12255: Citizenship, Migration and Opportunity

Ravi Kanbur

12254: Stress induces contextual blindness in lotteries and coordination games

Isabelle Brocas, Juan D. Carrillo and Ryan Kendall

12253: The Determinants of Strategic Thinking in Preschool Children

Isabelle Brocas and Juan D. Carrillo

12252: Sovereign Bond Prices, Haircuts and Maturity

Rancière, Romain, , and Tamon Asonuma

12251: Labor Clauses in Trade Agreements: worker protection or protectionism?

Marcelo Olarreaga, Carrère, Céline and Damian Raess

12250: Aid for Trade and International Transactions in Goods and Services

Anirudh Shingal

12249: Leaning Against the Wind: The Role of Different Assumptions About the Costs

Lars Svensson

12248: Market Liquidity after the Financial Crisis

Tobias Adrian, Michael Fleming, Or Shachar and Erik Vogt

12247: Liquidity Policies and Systemic Risk

Tobias Adrian and Nina Boyarchenko

12246: Dealer Balance Sheets and Bond Liquidity Provision

Tobias Adrian, Nina Boyarchenko and Or Shachar

12245: Intraday Market Making with Overnight Inventory Costs

Tobias Adrian, Agostino Capponi, Erik Vogt and Hongzhong Zhang

12244: Return on trust is lower for immigrants

Sigrid Suetens and Elena Cettolin

12243: The Cyclicality of International Public Sector Borrowing in Developing Countries: Does the Lender Matter?

Ugo Panizza and Arturo Galindo

12242: Cognitive Bias in Insurance: Evidence from India

Jean-Philippe Platteau and Darwin Ugarte Ontiveros

12241: Are Mutual Fund Managers Paid For Investment Skill?

Ron Kaniel, Markus Ibert, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Roine Vestman

12240: Dynamic Mechanism Design: An Introduction

Dirk Bergemann and Välimäki, Juuso

12239: Leverage and Deepening Business Cycle Skewness

Ivan Petrella, Henrik Jensen, Søren Hove Ravn and Emiliano Santoro

12238: Should Robots Be Taxed?

Rebelo, Sérgio, Pedro Teles and Joao Guerreiro

12237: Firm Size and the Intensive Margin of Import Demand

Claire Lelarge, Joaquin Blaum and Michael Peters

12236: Measuring the Spillovers of Venture Capital

Monika Schnitzer and Martin Watzinger

12235: P2P Lending: Information Externalities, Social Networks and Loans Substitution

Ester Faia and Michaela Pagel

12234: Optimal Management of Transfers: an Odd Paradox

Jean-Philippe Platteau and François Bourguignon

12233: Building Nations Through Shared Experiences: Evidence from African Football

Emilio Depetris-Chauvin and Filipe Campante

12232: Moral Hazard: Experimental Evidence from Tenancy Contracts

Konrad Burchardi, Selim Gulesci, Benedetta Lerva and Munshi Sulaiman

12231: The Puzzle, the Power, and the Dark Side: Forward Guidance Redux

Florin Bilbiie

12230: Credit Growth and the Financial Crisis: A New Narrative

Stefania Albanesi, Giacomo De Giorgi and Jaromir Nosal

12229: Choice of Majors: Are Women Really Different from Men?

Adriana Kugler, Catherine Tinsley and Olga Ukhaneva

12228: Official Sector Lending Strategies during the Euro Area Crisis

Giancarlo Corsetti, Aitor Erce and Timothy Uy

12227: The Real Effects of Improving Access to Capital Markets Financing: Evidence from European SMEs

Eric Nowak and Alexander Eisele

12226: Leaning Against the Wind: Costs and Benefits, Effects on Debt, Leaning in DSGE Models, and a Framework for Comparison of Result

Lars Svensson

12225: Trading Out of Sight: An Analysis of Cross-Trading in Mutual Fund Families

Kim Peijnenburg, Gianpaolo Parise, Tamara Nefedova and Alexander Eisele

12224: Heterogeneous Employment Effects of Job Search Programmes: A Machine Learning Approach

Michael Lechner, Anthony Strittmatter and Michael Knaus

12223: The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in sub-Saharan Africa: What Role for Governance?

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Gilles Cols

12222: Banks Defy Gravity in Tax Havens

Anne-Laure Delatte, Gunther Capelle-Blancard and Vincent Bouvatier

12221: The Rise of Market Power and the Macroeconomic Implications

Jan Eeckhout and Jan De Loecker

12220: Facts, Alternative Facts, and Fact Checking in Times of Post-Truth Politics

Sergei Guriev, Ekaterina Zhuravskaya and Oscar Barrera-Rodriguez

12219: Is Industrial Production Still the Dominant Factor for the US Economy?

Elena Andreou, Patrick Gagliardini, Eric Ghysels and Mirco Rubin

12218: Income and Wealth Inequality in America, 1949-2016

Moritz Schularick, Moritz Kuhn and Ulrike Steins

12217: Monetary Policy in the Capitals of Capital

Helene Rey and Elena Gerko

12216: Shopping externalities and retail concentration: Evidence from Dutch shopping streets

Hans Koster, Ilias Pasidis and Jos van Ommeren

12215: The Housing Boom and Bust: Model Meets Evidence

Giovanni Violante, Greg Kaplan and Kurt Mitman

12214: Media See-saws: Winners and Losers in Platform Markets

Martin Peitz and Simon Anderson

12213: Goods and Factor Market Integration: A Quantitative Assessment of the EU Enlargement

Luca David Opromolla, Fernando Parro, Alessandro Sforza and Lorenzo Caliendo

12212: Electoral Systems, Taxation and Immigration Policies: Which System Builds a Wall first?

Massimo Morelli and Margherita Negri

12211: Fertile Ground for Conflict

Nicolas Berman, Mathieu Couttenier and Raphael Soubeyran

12210: Beyond CES: Three Alternative Classes of Flexible Homothetic Demand Systems

Kiminori Matsuyama

12209: Firm Heterogeneity in Consumption Baskets: Evidence from Home and Store Scanner Data

Benjamin Faber and Thibault Fally