EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

The Effect of Containment Measures on the COVID-19 Pandemic

Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri (), Jonathan Ostry () and Nour Tawk

No 15086, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: Countries have implemented several containment measures to halt the spread of the 2019 coronavirus disease, but it remains unclear the extent to which these unprecedented measures have been successful. We examine this question using daily data on the number of coronavirus disease cases as well as on real-time containment measures implemented by countries. Results suggest that these measures have been very effective in flattening the "pandemic curve", but there is significant heterogeneity across countries. Effectiveness is enhanced when measures are implemented quickly, where de facto mobility is curtailed, in countries with lower temperatures and population density, as well as in countries with a larger share of the elderly in total population and stronger health systems. We also find that easing of containment measures has resulted in an increase in the number of cases, but the effect has been lower (in absolute value) than that from a tightening of measures.

Keywords: containment measures; COVID-19; Pandemics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D43 E52 E58 L11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-07
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=15086 (application/pdf)
CEPR Discussion Papers are free to download for our researchers, subscribers and members. If you fall into one of these categories but have trouble downloading our papers, please contact us at subscribers@cepr.org

Related works:
Working Paper: The Effect of Containment Measures on the COVID-19 Pandemic (2020) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:15086

Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
http://www.cepr.org/ ... rs/dp.php?dpno=15086

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().

 
Page updated 2021-01-05
Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:15086