CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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11563: Self-Control and Peer Groups: An Empirical Analysis

Marco Battaglini, Carlos Díaz and Eleonora Patacchini

11562: On the Origins of Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Sibling Correlations

Matthew Lindquist, Joeri Sol, Mirjam Praag and Theodor Vladasel

11561: Frictional Unemployment with Stochastic Bubbles

Guillaume Vuillemey and Etienne Wasmer

11560: Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs: A Non-Parametric Approach

George Kapetanios, Massimiliano Marcellino and Fabrizio Venditti

11559: Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models

Angela Abbate and Massimiliano Marcellino

11558: Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis?

Knut Are Aastveit, Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark and Massimiliano Marcellino

11557: On the Economics and Politics of Refugee Migration

Christian Dustmann, Francesco Fasani, Tommaso Frattini, Luigi Minale and Schönberg, Uta

11556: Occupational choice in early industrializing societies: Experimental evidence on the income and health effects of industrial and entrepreneurial work

Christopher Blattman and Stefan Dercon

11555: Global Firms

Andrew Bernard, J. Jensen, Stephen Redding and Peter Schott

11554: Labor Markets and Poverty in Village Economies

Oriana Bandiera, Robin Burgess, Narayan Das, Selim Gulesci, Imran Rasul and Munshi Sulaiman

11553: Shifting Frontiers in Global Resource Wealth: The Role of Policies and Institutions

Rabah Arezki, Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Frederik Toscani

11552: Second-Best Renewable Subsidies to De-Carbonize the Economy: Commitment and the Green Paradox

Armon Rezai and Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg

11551: What drives employment growth and social inclusion in EU regions?

Marco Di Cataldo and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

11550: The Effect of a Merger on Investments

Massimo Motta and Emanuele Tarantino

11549: Financing Smallholder Agriculture: An Experiment wth Agent-Intermediated Microloans in India

Pushkar Maitra, Sandip Mitra, Dilip Mookherjee, Alberto Motta and Sujata Visaria

11548: Asymmetric Information and Middleman Margins: An Experiment with Indian Potato Farmers

Sandip Mitra, Dilip Mookherjee, Maximo Torero and Sujata Visaria

11547: Income Differences and Input-Output Structure

Harald Fadinger, Christian Ghiglino and Mariya Teteryatnikova

11546: Globalization, Inequality and Welfare

Pol Antrà s, Alonso de Gortari and Oleg Itskhoki

11545: Securing Property Rights

Arnold Behrer, Edward Glaeser, Giacomo Ponzetto and Andrei Shleifer

11544: Financial Frictions, Asset Prices, and the Great Recession

Zhen Huo and Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor

11543: Reputation Cycles

Boyan Jovanovic and Julien Prat

11542: Incentivizing Safer Sexual Behavior: Evidence from a Lottery Experiment on HIV Prevention

Björkman Nyqvist, Martina, Lucia Corno, Damien de Walque and Jakob Svensson

11541: Aggregate Recruiting Intensity

Alessandro Gavazza, Simon Mongey and Giovanni L. Violante

11540: On the heterogeneous effect of trade on unemployment

Celine Carrere, Marco Fugazza, Marcelo Olarreaga and Frederic Robert-Nicoud

11539: Multiproduct-Firm Oligopoly: An Aggregative Games Approach

Volker Nocke and Nicolas Schutz

11538: Relative Pay for Non-Relative Performance: Keeping up with the Joneses with Optimal Contracts

Peter DeMarzo and Ron Kaniel

11537: ESBies: Safety in the Tranches

Markus Brunnermeier, Sam Langfield, Marco Pagano, Ricardo Reis, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh and Dimitri Vayanos

11536: Long-Term Orientation and Educational Performance

David Figlio, Paola Giuliano, Umut Ozek and Paola Sapienza

11535: Has Inflation Targeting Become Less Credible? Oil Prices, Global Aggregate Demand and Inflation Expectations during the Global Financial Crisis

Nathan Sussman and Osnat Zohar

11534: Volatility in the Small and in the Large: The Lack of Diversification in International Trade

Francis Kramarz, Julien Martin and Méjean, Isabelle

11533: A comedy of errors: misguided policy, mis-sold mortgages, and more

Marcus Miller, Lei Zhang and Songklod Rastapana

11532: Why Do Estimates of the EMU Effect On Trade Vary so Much?

Andrew Rose

11531: The Booms and Busts of Beta Arbitrage

Shiyang Huang, Dong Lou and Christopher Polk

11530: Mainstreaming an Effective Intervention: Evidence from Randomized Evaluations of “Teaching at the Right Level†in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukerji, Marc Shotland and Michael Walton

11529: Ranking Languages in the European Union:Before and after Brexit

Victor Ginsburgh, Juan Moreno-Ternero and Shlomo Weber

11528: A simple characterization of the family of diversity indices

Denis Davydov and Shlomo Weber

11527: Valence influence in electoral competition with rank objectives

Alexander Shapoval, Shlomo Weber and Alexei Zakharov

11526: Immigration Policies, Labor Complementarities, Population Size and Cultural Frictions: Theory and Evidence

Thomas Osang and Shlomo Weber

11525: Environmental awareness: The case of climate change

Shlomo Weber and Hans Wiesmeth

11524: Spain’s Historical National Accounts: Expenditure and Output, 1850-2015

Leandro Prados de la Escosura

11523: Borrowing Requirements, Credit Access, and Adverse Selection: Evidence from Kenya

William Jack, Michael Kremer, Joost de Laat and Tavneet Suri

11522: Saving Alberta’s Resource Revenues: Role of Intergenerational and Liquidity Funds

Ton van den Bremer and Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg

11521: Growth expectations, undue optimism, and short-run fluctuations

Zeno Enders, Michael Kleemann and Müller, Gernot

11520: MACRO POLICY RESPONSES TO NATURAL RESOURCE WINDFALLS AND THE CRASH IN COMMODITY PRICES

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg

11519: Housing and macroeconomics

Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider

11518: Taking Orders and Taking Notes: Dealer Information Sharing in Treasury Markets

Nina Boyarchenko, David Lucca and Laura Veldkamp

11517: Narrative Sign Restrictions for SVARs

Antolín-Díaz, Juan and Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco

11516: Reading Between the Lines: Prediction of Political Violence Using Newspaper Text

Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh

11515: Effect of a micro entrepreneur-based community health delivery program on under-five mortality in Uganda: a cluster-randomized controlled trial

Björkman Nyqvist, Martina, Andrea Guariso, Jakob Svensson and David Yanagizawa-Drott

11514: Women ask for less (only from men): Evidence from alternating-offer bargaining in the field

Hernandez-Arenaz, Iñigo and Nagore Iriberri

11513: Reputation with Opportunities for Coasting

Heski Bar-Isaac and Joyee Deb

11512: Patent Pools in Input Markets

Markus Reisinger and Emanuele Tarantino

11511: Importing Political Polarization? The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure

David Autor, David Dorn, Gordon Hanson and Kaveh Majlesi

11510: Non-Precautionary Cash Hoarding and the Evolution of Growth Firms

Arnoud Boot and Vladimir Vladimirov

11509: Product Switching and the Business Cycle

Andrew Bernard and Toshihiro Okubo

11508: Non-rating revenue and conflicts of interest

Ramin Baghai and Bo Becker

11507: Wolf Pack Activism

Alon Brav, Amil Dasgupta and Richmond Mathews

11506: Better, Faster, Stronger: Global Innovation and Trade Liberalization

Federica Coelli, Andreas Moxnes and Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe

11505: Funding Quantitative Easing to Target Inflation

Ricardo Reis

11504: Once Bitten, Twice Shy: The Role of Inertia and Personal Experiences in Risk Taking

Steffen Andersen, Tobin Hanspal and Kasper Meisner Nielsen

11503: Real Interest Rates, Imbalances and the Curse of Regional Safe Asset Providers at the Zero Lower Bound

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Helene Rey

11502: Banks Interconnectivity and Leverage

Alessandro Barattieri, Laura Moretti and Vincenzo Quadrini

11501: What Are Uncertainty Shocks?

Nicholas Kozeniauskas, Anna Orlik and Laura Veldkamp

11500: Quantitative Spatial Economics

Stephen Redding and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

11499: Country Portfolios, Collateral Constraints and Optimal Monetary Policy

Ozge Senay and Alan Sutherland

11498: Exchange Rate Behavior with Negative Interest Rates: Some Early Negative Observations

Allaudeen Hameed and Andrew Rose

11497: Nonlinear Tax Incidence and Optimal Taxation in General Equilibrium

Dominik Sachs, Aleh Tsyvinski and Nicolas Werquin

11496: Malaria Risk and Civil Violence

Matteo Cervellati, Elena Esposito, Uwe Sunde and Simona Valmori

11495: Multinational firms and tax havens

Anna Gumpert, James Hines and Monika Schnitzer

11494: Preferential Liberalization, Antidumping, and Safeguards: Stumbling Block Evidence from MERCOSUR

Chad Bown and Patricia Tovar

11493: Competitive Pressure Widens the Gender Gap in Performance: Evidence from a Two-Stage Competition in Mathematics

Nagore Iriberri and Pedro Rey Biel

11492: Coalition Preclusion Contracts and Moderate Policies

Hans Gersbach, Maik Schneider and Oriol Tejada

11491: The Effects of the Early Retirement Age on Retirement Decisions

Dayanand Manoli and Andrea Weber

11490: Born with a silver spoon? Danish evidence on wealth inequality in childhood

Simon Boserup, Wojciech Kopczuk and Claus Kreiner

11489: Local Crowding Out in China

Yi Huang, Marco Pagano and Ugo Panizza

11488: Second-degree price discrimination by a two-sided monopoly platform

Doh-Shin Jeon, Byung-Cheol Kim and Domenico Menicucci

11487: The Effects of Pharmaceutical Innovation on Cancer Mortality

Pierre Dubois and Margaret Kyle

11486: Land Inequality, Education, and Marriage: Empirical Evidence from Nineteenth-Century Prussia

Francesco Cinnirella and Erik Hornung

11485: Informal Labor and the Efficiency Cost of Social Programs: Evidence from the Brazilian Unemployment Insurance Program

Francois Gerard and Gustavo Gonzaga

11484: A Leverage Theory of Tying in Two-Sided Markets

Jay Choi and Doh-Shin Jeon

11483: Hours Worked in Europe and the US: New Data, New Answers

Alexander Bick, Brüggemann, Bettina and Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola

11482: Fiscal Federalism, Taxation and Grants

Martin Gonzalez-Eiras and Dirk Niepelt

11481: Liquidity Runs

Rafael Matta and Enrico Perotti

11480: Overcoming Salience Bias: How Real-Time Feedback Fosters Resource Conservation

Verena Tiefenbeck, Lorenz Goette, Kathrin Degen, Vojkan Tasic, Elgar Fleisch, Rafael Lalive and Thorsten Staake

11479: Life-Cycle Consumption Patterns at Older Ages in the US and the UK: Can Medical Expenditures Explain the Difference?

James Banks, Richard Blundell, Peter Levell and James Smith

11478: Optimal Illusion of Control and Related Perception Biases

Olivier Gossner and Jakub Steiner

11477: Non-equilibrium Play in Centipede Games

Bernardo Garcia-Pola, Nagore Iriberri and Jaromír Kovářík

11476: Investor-Stock Decoupling in Mutual Funds

Miguel Ferreira, Massimo Massa and Pedro Pinto Matos

11475: The Impact of Sin Culture: Evidence from Earning Management and Alcohol Consumption in China

Zhe Li, Massimo Massa, Niahang Xu and Hong Zhang

11474: Culture vs. Bias: Can Social Trust Mitigate the Disposition Effect?

Jennifer Li, Massimo Massa and Hong Zhang

11473: Adjusting to The Information Environment: News Tangibility and Mutual Fund Performance

Oleg Chuprinin, Gaspar, Sérgio and Massimo Massa

11472: When is Good News Not Good News? Opening Up the Black Box of Innovation for Family Firms

Po-Hsuan Hsu, Sterling Huang, Massimo Massa and Hong Zhang

11471: Who is afraid of BlackRock?

Massimo Massa, David Schumacher and Yan Wang

11470: Busted! Now What? Effects of Cartel Enforcement on Firm Value and Corporate Policies

Ailin Dong, Massimo Massa and Alminas Zaldokas

11469: A Dynamic Equilibrium Model of ETFs

Semyon Malamud

11468: Market Integration and Global Crashes

Semyon Malamud and Aytek Malkhozov

11467: Reflections on the natural rate of interest, its measurement, monetary policy and the zero lower bound

Alex Cukierman

11466: Dynamic Leverage Asset Pricing

Tobias Adrian, Emanuel Moench and Hyun Song Shin

11465: The Effect of Gender-Targeted Conditional Cash Transfers on Household Expenditures: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Alex Armand, Orazio Attanasio, Pedro Carneiro and Lechene, Valérie

11464: Gender and Agency within the Household: Experimental Evidence from Pakistan

Uzma Afzal, Giovanna d Adda, Marcel Fafchamps and Farah Said