CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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16766: News and uncertainty about COVID-19: Survey evidence and short-run economic impact

Alexander Dietrich, Keith Kuester, Müller, Gernot and Raphael Schoenle

16765: Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households

Heiner Mikosch, Christopher Roth, Samad Sarferaz and Johannes Wohlfart

16764: Macroeconomic Dynamics with Rigid Wage Contracts

Tobias Broer, Karl Harmenberg and Öberg, Erik

16763: Product Market Competition, Creative Destruction and Innovation

Rachel Griffith and John van Reenen

16762: Poor Substitutes? Counterfactual methods in IO and Trade compared

Keith Head and Thierry Mayer

16761: The Gender Gap at the Top: How Network Size and Composition Impact CEO Pay

Sharmin Sazedj and Tavares, José

16760: Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic

Frank Schorfheide and Dongho Song

16759: Production Networks and War: Evidence from Ukraine

Vasily Korovkin and Alexey Makarin

16758: Inflation Narratives

Peter Andre, Ingar Haaland, Christopher Roth and Johannes Wohlfart

16757: How education and GDP drive the COVID-19 vaccination campaign

Vu Minh Ngo, Klaus Zimmermann, Phuc V. Nguyen, Luu Duc Toan Huynh and Huan Huu Nguyen

16756: Covid-19 and the Forces Behind Social Unrest

Mario Lackner, Uwe Sunde and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

16755: Did The Australian JobKeeper Program Save Jobs by Subsidizing Temporary Layoffs?

Jeff Borland and Jennifer Hunt

16754: Fiscal Multipliers in the COVID19 Recession

Alan Auerbach, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Peter McCrory and Daniel Murphy

16753: Price Authority and Information Sharing with Competing Principals

Enrique Andreu, Damien Neven and Salvatore Piccolo

16752: Distributed Ledgers and the Governance of Money

Raphael Auer, Cyril Monnet and Hyun Song Shin

16751: Non-Standard Errors

Anna Dreber, Felix Holzmeister, Juergen Huber, Magnus Johannesson, Michael Kirchler, Albert Menkveld, Neusüess, Sebastian, Michael Razen, Utz Weitzel and Christian Wolff

16750: Sovereign Risk and Financial Risk

Simon Gilchrist, Bin Wei, Vivian Yue and Zakrajšek, Egon

16749: What Types of Capital Flows Help Improve International Risk Sharing?

Ergys Islamaj and Ayhan Kose

16748: Ambiguity with Machine Learning: An Application to Portfolio Choice

Eric Ghysels, Yan Qian and Steve Raymond

16747: The Geography of Investor Attention

Stefano Mengoli, Marco Pagano and Pierpaolo Pattitoni

16746: The impact of 2020 French municipal elections on the spread of COVID-19

Guilhem Cassan and Marc Sangnier

16745: Carbon Taxes and the Geography of Fossil Lending

Luc Laeven and Alexander Popov

16744: CDS and Credit: After the Bangs Cheaper Credit Insurance, More Lending and Hedging

Gündüz, Yalin, Steven Ongena, Tümer-Alkan, Günseli and Yuejuan Yu

16743: Rooted to the Soil: The impact of social housing on population in Ireland since 1911

Alan de Bromhead and Ronan Lyons

16742: A Primer on Trade and Inequality

Dani Rodrik

16741: Globalization and the Ladder of Development: Pushed to the Top or Held at the Bottom?

David Atkin, Arnaud Costinot and Masao Fukui

16740: The Gender Gap in Preferences: Evidence from 45,397 Facebook Interests

Angel Cuevas Rumin, Ruben Cuevas Rumin, Klaus Desmet and Ortuño-Ortin, Ignacio

16739: The Other Great Migration: Southern Whites and the New Right

Samuel Bazzi, Andreas Ferrara, Martin Fiszbein, Thomas Pearson and Patrick Testa

16738: The Travel Shock

Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti

16737: Short-term political memory and the inevitability of polarisation

Gilat Levy and Ronny Razin

16736: Gender inequality and caste: Field experimental evidence from India

Asad Islam, Debayan Pakrashi, Soubhagya Sahoo, Liang Wang and Yves Zenou

16735: Equilibrium Worker-Firm Allocations and the Deadweight Losses of Taxation

Jesper Bagger, Espen Rasmus Moen and Rune Vejlin

16734: Transportation Costs in the Age of Highways: Evidence from United States 1955-2010

Sylvain Barde and Alexander Klein

16733: Equilibrium Job Turnover and the Business Cycle

Carlos Carrillo-Tudela, Alex Clymo and Melvyn G Coles

16732: Does Organized Crime Attract EU Funding? Evidence from the Sicilian Mafia

Marlene Thomas, João Pereira Dos Santos and Tavares, José

16731: Social Media and Collective Action in China

Bei Qin, Strömberg, David and Yanhui Wu

16730: The Health Effects of Universal Early Childhood Interventions: Evidence from Sure Start

Sarah Cattan, Gabriella Conti, Christine Farquharson, Rita Ginja and Maud Pecher

16729: Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations

Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Dmitriy Sergeyev

16728: International Evidence on Vaccines and the Mortality to Infections Ratio in the Pre-Omicron Era

Joshua Aizenman, Alex Cukierman, Yothin Jinjarak and Weining Xin

16727: Loan Guarantees, Bank Lending and Credit Risk Reallocation

Carlo Altavilla, Andrew Ellul, Marco Pagano, Andrea Polo and Thomas Vlassopoulos

16726: The Effects of Fiscal Measures During COVID-19

Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri, Jonathan Ostry, Nour Tawk and Naihan Yang

16725: Firm-Level Upgrading in Developing Countries

Eric Verhoogen

16724: Search Direction: Position Externalities and Position Auction Bias

Simon Anderson and Renault, Régis

16723: Deindustrialization and demographic change: Evidence from big plant closures and downsizing

Kristian Behrens, Drabo, Manassé and Florian Mayneris

16722: Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes

Ethan Ilzetzki, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff

16721: Labor Unions and the Electoral Consequences of Trade Liberalization

Pedro Ogeda, Emanuel Ornelas and Rodrigo Soares

16720: Falling Interest Rates and Credit Reallocation: Lessons from General Equilibrium

Vladimir Asriyan, Luc Laeven, Martín, Alberto, Alejandro Van der Ghote and Victoria Vanasco

16719: Democracy, Growth, Heterogeneity, and Robustness

Markus Eberhardt

16718: Discrimination and State Capacity: Evidence from WWII U.S. Army Enlistment

Nancy Qian and Marco Tabellini

16717: Rounding the Corners of the Trilemma: A Simple Framework

Olivier Jeanne

16716: Lockdowns, Keyworkers and Covid-19 Infections and Mortality

Filipa Sã¡,

16715: On the Interaction between Patent Screening and its Enforcement

Gerard Llobet, Alvaro Parra and Javier Suarez

16714: A Theory of Socially-Inefficient Patent Holdout

Gerard Llobet and Jorge Padilla

16713: Who should bear the burden of COVID-19 related ï¬ scal pressure? An optimal income taxation perspective

Mehmet Ayaz, Lea Fricke, Clemens Fuest and Dominik Sachs

16712: Scrambling for Dollars: International Liquidity, Banks and Exchange Rates

Javier Bianchi, Saki Bigio and Charles Engel

16711: Informality and Financial Development: A Literature Reviews

Salvatore Capasso, Franziska Ohnsorge and Shu Yu

16710: The Effects of Forward Guidance: Theory with Measured Expectations

Christopher Roth, Mirko Wiederholt and Johannes Wohlfart

16709: Asylum Recognition Rates in Europe: Persecution, Policies and Performance

Timothy Hatton

16708: Demographic Transitions Across Time and Space

Matthew Delventhal, Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús and Nezih Guner

16707: Score Disclosure

Levent Celik and Mikhail Drugov

16706: Price Discrimination and Big Data: Evidence from a Mobile Puzzle Game

Louis Pape, Christian Helmers, Alessandro Iaria, Stefan Wagner and Julian Runge

16705: Assessing EU Merger Control through Compensating Efficiencies

Pauline Affeldt, Tomaso Duso, Klaus Gugler and Joanna Piechucka

16704: Shining with the stars: competition, screening, and concern for coworkers' quality

Francesca Barigozzi and Helmuth Cremer

16703: AI-tocracy

Martin Beraja, Andrew Kao, David Yang and Noam Yuchtman

16702: Profit Taxation, R&D Spending, and Innovation

Andreas Lichter, Löffler, Max, Ingo Isphording, Thu-Van Nguyen, Felix Poege and Sebastian Siegloch

16701: The Dark Side of Stakeholder Influence: The Surprising Effect of Customer Fraud on Suppliers

Shantanu Banerjee, Sudipto Dasgupta and Rui Shi

16700: Escaping Air Pollution: Do Chinese Students and Immigrants Drive Property Prices and Economic Activity Abroad?

Yuk-Ying Chang and Sudipto Dasgupta

16699: Economic Interests, Worldviews, and Identities: Theory and Evidence on Ideational Politics

Elliott Ash, Sharun Mukand and Dani Rodrik

16698: The Great Expansion. The Exceptional Spread of Bank Branches in Interwar France

Emilie Bonhoure, Hadrien Clausse, Eric Monnet and Angelo Riva

16697: Contracts versus Communication

Andreas Blume, Inga Deimen and Sean Inoue

16696: Institutional Integration and Productivity Growth: Evidence from the 1995 Enlargement of the European Union

Nauro Campos, Fabrizio Coricelli and Emanuele Franceschi

16695: Without liberty and justice, what extremes to expect? Two contemporary perspectives

Marcus Miller and Benjamin Zissimos

16694: The Psychological Gains from COVID-19 Vaccination: Who Benefits the Most?

Manuel Bagues and Velichka Dimitrova

16693: Bank Credit and Market-based Finance for Corporations: The Effects of Minibond Issuances

Steven Ongena, Sara Pinoli, Paola Rossi and Alessandro Scopelliti

16692: Too-big-to-strand? Bond versus bank financing in the transition to a low-carbon economy

Winta Beyene, Manthos Delis, Kathrin De Greiff and Steven Ongena

16691: Urban Public Works in Spatial Equilibrium: Experimental Evidence from Ethiopia

Simon Franklin, Clément Imbert, Girum Abebe and Carolina Mejia-Mantilla

16690: A Temporary VAT Cut as Unconventional Fiscal Policy

Ruediger Bachmann, Benjamin Born, Olga Goldfayn-Frank, Georgi Kocharkov, Ralph Luetticke and Michael Weber

16689: Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms’ Subjective Beliefs

Ruediger Bachmann, Kai Carstensen, Stefan Lautenbacher, Manuel Menkhoff and Martin Schneider

16688: On the Persistence of the China Shock

David Autor, David Dorn and Gordon Hanson

16687: The Debt Capacity of a Government

Bernard Dumas, Paul Ehling and Chunyu Yang

16686: Women in Economics: Europe and the World

Emmanuelle Auriol, Guido Friebel, Alisa Weinberger and Sascha Wilhelm

16685: Zombie Lending: Theoretical, International, and Historical Perspectives

Viral Acharya, Matteo Crosignani, Tim Eisert and Sascha Steffen

16684: The Real Effects of FinTech Lending on SMEs: Evidence from Loan Applications

Eça, Afonso, Miguel Ferreira, Melissa Prado and Emanuele Rizzo

16683: Dynamic coordination in efficient and fair strategies: a developmental perspective

Isabelle Brocas and Juan D. Carrillo

16682: The Effects of COVID-19 Vaccines on Economic Activity

Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri, Jiménez, Daniel, Siddharth Kothari, Jonathan Ostry and Nour Tawk

16681: Determinants of COVID-19 Vaccine Rollouts and Their Effects on Health Outcomes

Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri, Jiménez, Daniel, Siddharth Kothari, Jonathan Ostry and Nour Tawk

16680: Misdiagnosing Bank Capital Problems

Jeremy Bulow and Paul Klemperer

16679: The Central Bank, the Treasury, or the Market: Which One Determines the Price Level?

Barthélemy, Jean, Eric Mengus and Guillaume Plantin

16678: Competition and Misconduct

John Thanassoulis

16677: Business Groups as Knowledge-Based Hierarchies of Firms

Carlo Altomonte, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Armando Rungi and Tommaso Sonno

16676: A Note on the Global Distribution of Authorship in Economics Journals

Jacob Greenspon and Dani Rodrik

16675: Multinationals’ Sales and Profit Shifting in Tax Havens

Sébastien Laffitte and Farid Toubal

16674: Alone and Lonely. The economic cost of solitude for regions in Europe

Chiara Burlina and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

16673: The effects of financial incentives and disincentives on teachers' retirement decisions: Evidence from the 2003 French pension reform

Fougère, Denis and Gouëdard, Pierre

16672: Risks and global supply chains: What we know and what we need to know

Richard Baldwin and Rebecca Freeman

16671: Understanding the role of firms in the gender wage gap over time, over the life cycle, and across worker types

Marco Palladino, Alexandra Roulet and Mark Stabile

16670: A q-theory of banks

Juliane Begenau, Saki Bigio, Jeremy Majerovitz and Matias Vieyra

16669: What are the likely macroeconomic effects of the EU Recovery plan?

Fabio Canova and Evi Pappa

16668: FinTech Lending

Tobias Berg, Andreas Fuster and Manju Puri

16667: On the Possibility of Krusell-Smith Equilibria

Tobias Broer, Alexandre Kohlhas, Kurt Mitman and Kathrin Schlafmann