CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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14163: Monetary Policy, Price Setting, and Credit Constraints

Almut Balleer and Peter Zorn

14162: Consumer information and the limits to competition

Mark Armstrong and Jidong Zhou

14161: Hitting the Elusive Inflation Target

Francesco Bianchi, Leonardo Melosi and Matthias Rottner

14160: Public Liquidity Demand and Central Bank Independence

Barthélemy, Jean, Eric Mengus and Guillaume Plantin

14159: Monetary Policy Transmission with Endogenous Central Bank Responses in TANK

Lilia Maliar and Christopher Naubert

14158: Micro and Macro Effects of UI Policies: Evidence from Missouri

Fatih Karahan, Kurt Mitman and Brendan Moore

14157: The Shrinking Advantage of Market Potential

Brülhart, Marius, Klaus Desmet and Gian-Paolo Klinke

14156: The political economy of protection in GVCs: Evidence from Chinese micro data

Rodney Ludema, Anna Maria Mayda, Zhi Yu and Miaojie Yu

14155: Climate Regulation and Emissions Abatement: Theory and Evidence from Firms’ Disclosures

Tarun Ramadorai and Federica Zeni

14154: More (or Less) Economic Limits of the Blockchain

Joshua Gans and Neil Gandal

14153: The Low-Minus-High Portfolio and the Factor Zoo

Daniel Andrei, Julien Cujean and Mathieu Fournier

14152: Knowledge Cycles and Corporate Investment

Maria Cecilia Bustamante, Julien Cujean and Frésard, Laurent

14151: Labor in the Boardroom

Jäger, Simon, Benjamin Schoefer and Joerg Heining

14150: The Great Convergence. Skill Accumulation and Mass Education in Africa and Asia, 1870-2010

Ewout Frankema and Marlous van Waijenburg

14149: Avoiding Judgement by Recommending Inaction: Beliefs Manipulation and Reputational Concerns

Fanny Camara

14148: Altruism, Insurance, And Costly Solidarity Commitments1

Vesall Nourami, Christopher Barrett, Eleonora Patacchini and Thomas Walker

14147: Reference Dependence in the Housing Market

Steffen Andersen, Cristian Badarinza, Lu Liu, Julie Marx and Tarun Ramadorai

14146: Equilibrium Counterfactuals

Gilles Chemla and Christopher Hennessy

14145: The Intellectual Spoils of War? Defense R&D, Productivity and International Spillovers

Enrico Moretti, Claudia Steinwender and John van Reenen

14144: Optimal Taxation with Homeownership and Wealth Inequality

Nicola Borri and Pietro Reichlin

14143: Tech Clusters

William Kerr and Frederic Robert-Nicoud

14142: Raising the Inflation Target: How Much Extra Room Does It Really Give?

Jean-Paul L'Huillier and Raphael Schoenle

14141: Social Interaction Methods

Chih-Sheng Hsieh, Xu Lin and Eleonora Patacchini

14140: Checking if the Straitjacket Fits

Adrian Pagan and Michael R. Wickens

14139: Labor Market Frictions and Lowest Low Fertility

Nezih Guner, Ezgi Kaya and Sánchez-Marcos, Virginia

14138: The Wheels of Change: Technology Adoption, Millwrights, and Persistence in Britain’s Industrialization

Joel Mokyr, Assaf Sarid and Karine van der Beek

14137: Globalization, Redistribution, and the Size of Government

Raphael Espinoza, Jonathan Ostry and Xiaoxiao Zhang

14136: Technology Boom, Labor Reallocation, and Human Capital Depreciation

Johan Hombert and Adrien Matray

14135: The Mental Health Effects of Retirement

Matteo Picchio and Jan C. van Ours

14134: Bond Funds and Credit Risk

Jaewon Choi, Amil Dasgupta and Ji Yeol Jimmy Oh

14133: IO for Export(s)

Monika Mrazova and J. Peter Neary

14132: Beveridgean Unemployment Gap

Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez

14131: Do Temporary Demand Shocks have Long-Term Effects for Startups?

Hans Hvide and Tom G. Meling

14130: Equity Issue Methods and dilution

Mike Burkart and Hongda Zhong

14129: Delineating urban areas using building density

Marie-Pierre De Bellefon, Pierre-Philippe Combes, Gilles Duranton, Laurent Gobillon and Clément Gorin

14128: The Effect of U.S. Stress Tests on Monetary Policy Spillovers to Emerging Markets*

Emily Liu, Friederike Niepmann and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr

14127: Priority Rules

Hans Degryse and Nikolaos Karagiannis

14126: Political Connections and Financial Constraints: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe

Maurizio Bussolo, Francesca de Nicola, Ugo Panizza and Richard Varghese

14125: The methane footprint of nations: Stylized facts from a global panel dataset

Fernández-Amador, Octavio, Joseph Francois, Doris Oberdabernig and Patrick Tomberger

14124: Comparative European Institutions and the Little Divergence, 1385-1800

Antonio Henriques and Nuno Palma

14123: Learning About Demand Abroad From Wholesalers: a B2B Analysis

William Connell Garcia, Emmanuel Dhyne and Hylke Vandenbussche

14122: Matched trade at the firm level and the micro origins of international business-cycle comovement

Richard Friberg and Mark Sanctuary

14121: A Theory of Economic Unions

Gino Gancia, Giacomo Ponzetto and Jaume Ventura

14120: Learning from House Prices: Amplification and Business Fluctuations

Ryan Chahrour and Gaetano Gaballo

14119: All the bottles in one basket? Diversification and product portfolio composition

Richard Friberg

14118: Capital and Income Inequality: An Aggregate-Demand Complementarity

Florin Bilbiie, Känzig, Diego and Paolo Surico

14117: Cash Flow News and Stock Price Dynamics

Davide Pettenuzzo, Riccardo Sabbatucci and Allan Timmermann

14116: Social Insurance, Information Revelation, and Lack of Commitment

Mikhail Golosov and Luigi Iovino

14115: The Leverage Factor: Credit Cycles and Asset Returns

Josh Davis and Alan Taylor

14114: Using Cost Minimization to Estimate Markups

Ulrich Doraszelski and Jordi Jaumandreu

14113: A Generalized Model of Advertised Sales

Sandro Shelegia and Christopher Wilson

14112: Do Any Economists Have Superior Forecasting Skills?

Ritong Qu, Allan Timmermann and Yinchu Zhu

14111: The Interplay of Economic, Social and Political Fragmentation

Dennis Snower

14110: The Wife's Protector: A Quantitative Theory Linking Contraceptive Technology with the Decline in Marriage

Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner and Karen Kopecky

14109: Affirmative Action and Pre-College Human Capital

Mitra Akhtari, Natalie Bau and P. Laliberté, Jean-William

14108: Consumption Insurance Against Wage Risk: Family Labor Supply and Optimal Progressive Income Taxation

Chunzan Wu and Dirk Krueger

14107: Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: a Score Driven State Space Model

Davide Delle Monache, Ivan Petrella and Fabrizio Venditti

14106: Local Autonomy and Government Spending Multipliers: Evidence from European Regions

Markus Brueckner, Evi Pappa and Akos Valentinyi

14105: Benchmark interest rates when the government is risky

Patrick Augustin, Mikhail Chernov, Lukas Schmid and Dongho Song

14104: On the Relationship Between Domestic Saving and the Current Account: Evidence and Theory for Developing Countries

Markus Brueckner, Wojtek Paczos and Evi Pappa

14103: Searching Forever After

Yair Antler and Benjamin Bachi

14102: The innovation premium to soft skills in low-skilled occuptions

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Richard Blundell and Rachel Griffith

14101: Brexit: Dynamic Voting with an Irreversible Option

Benny Moldovanu and Frank Rosar

14100: Cheating with (recursive) models

Kfir Eliaz, Ran Spiegler and Yair Weiss

14099: Unconventional Monetary Policy and Auction Cycles of Eurozone Sovereign Debt

Josha van Spronsen and Roel Beetsma

14098: Does Money Talk? Market Discipline through Selloffs and Boycotts

Nickolay Gantchev, Mariassunta Giannetti and Rachel Li

14097: Fluctuations in Economic Uncertainty and Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence Using Daily Surveys from Brazil

Rafael Burjack, Ritong Qu and Allan Timmermann

14096: Taxation and the External Wealth of Nations: Evidence from Bilateral Portfolio Holdings

Harry Huizinga, Maximilian Todtenhaupt, Johannes Voget and Wolf Wagner

14095: Embedded supervision: how to build regulation into blockchain finance

Raphael Auer

14094: A Theory of Falling Growth and Rising Rents

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Timo Boppart, Peter J. Klenow and Huiyu Li

14093: In Praise of Snapshots

Ravi Kanbur

14092: From Secular Stagnation to Robocalypse? Implications of Demographic and Technological Changes

Henrique Basso and Juan F Jimeno

14091: Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election?

Emily Blanchard, Chad Bown and Davin Chor

14090: Extracting Implicit Country Weights in ECB’s Monetary Policy

Silva-Pereira, Márcia and Tavares, José

14089: The vagaries of the sea: evidence on the real effects of money from maritime disasters in the Spanish Empire

Adam Brzezinski, Yao Chen, Nuno Palma and Felix Ward

14088: Naivete and Sophistication in Initial and Repeated Play in Games

García-Pola, Bernardo and Nagore Iriberri

14087: Imperfect Information, Social Norms, and Beliefs in Networks

Theodoros Rapanos, Marc Sommer and Yves Zenou

14086: School Tracking and Mental Health

Rikhard Petri Bôckerman, Mika Haapanen, Christopher Jepsen and Alexandra Roulet

14085: Rules and Commitment in Communication

Alessandro Lizzeri, Guilaume Frechette and Jacopo Perego

14084: The causal effect of education on chronic health conditions in the UK

Katharina Janke, David Johnston, Carol Propper and Michael Shields

14083: Reported MPC and Unobserved Heterogeneity

Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri

14082: Gender Gaps in Education

Graziella Bertocchi and Monica Bozzano

14081: Economic growth, sectoral structures, and environmental methane footprints

Fernández-Amador, Octavio, Joseph Francois, Doris Oberdabernig and Patrick Tomberger

14080: Sector and Importer Determinants of Prices for Traded Intermediates

Eddy Bekkers, Joseph Francois and Miriam Manchin

14079: Trade Wars: Nobody Expects the Spanish Inquisition

Eddy Bekkers, Joseph Francois, Douglas R. Nelson and Hugo Rojas-Romagosa

14078: Bargaining at Retail Stores: Evidence from Vienna

Sandro Shelegia and Joshua Sherman

14077: Taxing Billionaires: Estate Taxes and the Geographical Location of the Ultra-Wealthy

Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson

14076: WTO'ing a Resolution to the China Subsidy Problem

Chad Bown and Jennifer Hillman

14075: Overcoming Free-Riding in Bandit Games

Hörner, Johannes, Nicolas Klein and Sven Rady

14074: Inflation at Risk

López-Salido, J David and Francesca Loria

14073: Mr. Keynes meets the Classics: Government Spending and the Real Exchange Rate

Benjamin Born, Francesco D'Ascanio, Müller, Gernot and Johannes Pfeifer

14072: Austerity and Public debt Dynamics

Carlo Favero and Pierfrancesco Mei

14071: Aristocratic Privilege. Exploiting “Good†Institutions

Kim Oosterlinck, Loredana Ureche-Rangau and Jacques-Marie Vaslin

14070: High-Quality Versus Low-Quality Growth in Turkey - Causes and Consequences

Daron Acemoglu and Üçer, Murat

14069: Understanding school management with public data: A new measurement approach and applications

Clare Leaver, Renata Lemos and Daniela Scur

14068: The Impact of the First Professional Police Forces on Crime

Anna Bindler and Randi Hjalmarsson

14067: The Persistence of the Criminal Justice Gender Gap: Evidence from 200 Years of Judicial Decisions

Anna Bindler and Randi Hjalmarsson

14066: Competing Models

Montiel Olea, José Luis, Pietro Ortoleva, Mallesh Pai and Andrea Prat

14065: Chinese Financial Conditions and their Spillovers to the Global Economy and Markets

Abigail Watt, Carolina Martinez, Jeremy Lawson and Rong Fu

14064: Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: How to Do It And What Have We Learned?

Barbara Rossi