CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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10915: The Welfare Gains from Macro-Insurance Against Natural Disasters

Olivier Jeanne, Eduardo Borensztein and Eduardo Cavallo

10914: Demand-Driven Integration and Divorcement Policy

Andrew Newman

10913: Treatment Versus Regime Effects of Carrots and Sticks

Gerard van den Berg, Rafael Lalive and Patrick Arni

10912: Voting and contributing when the group is watching

Charles Louis-Sidois

10911: Incentive Fees and Competition in Pension Funds: Evidence from a Regulatory Experiment in Israel

Yishay Yafeh, Eugene Kandel, Assaf Hamdani and Yevgeny Mugerman

10910: Forecasting Unemployment across Countries: the Ins and Outs

Régis Barnichon and Paula Garda

10909: Are Capital Inflows Expansionary or Contractionary? Theory, Policy Implications, and Some Evidence

Jonathan Ostry, Atish Ghosh, Olivier Blanchard and Marcos Chamon

10908: Trading Votes for Votes. A Decentralized Matching Algorithm

Alessandra Casella and Thomas Palfrey

10907: Beyond Truth-Telling: Preference Estimation with Centralized School Choice and College Admissions

Gabrielle Fack, Julien Grenet and YingHua He

10906: Price Dispersion and Informational Frictions: Evidence from Supermarket Purchases

Pierre Dubois and Helena Perrone

10905: Global Imbalances and Currency Wars at the ZLB

Ricardo Caballero, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Emmanuel Farhi

10904: Monetary Policy in Turkey after Central Bank Independence

Gürkaynak, Refet, Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil, Mustafa Anil Tas and Zeynep Kantur

10903: Comparative Advantage, International Trade, and Fertility

Andrei Levchenko, Quy-Toan Do and Claudio Raddatz

10902: The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations

Lawrence Summers and Fatás, Antonio

10901: Lending-of-last-resort is as lending-of-last-resort does: Central bank liquidity provision and interbank market functioning in

Florian Heider, Simone Manganelli, Marie Hoerova and Carlos Garcia-de-Andoain

10900: Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty

Steven Davis, Nicholas Bloom and Scott Baker

10899: Income Inequality and Asset Prices under Redistributive Taxation

Pietro Veronesi and Pástor, Luboš

10898: The Pitfalls of External Dependence: Greece, 1829-2015

Carmen Reinhart and Christoph Trebesch

10897: Distributional Consequences of Asset Price Inflation in the Euro Area

Klaus Adam and Panagiota Tzamourani

10896: Marginal Tax Rates and Income: New Time Series Evidence

Karel Mertens

10895: The Optimal Coordination of Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Framework

David Vines and Paul Luk

10894: Monetary and fiscal policy in the Great Moderation and the Great Recession

Christopher Allsopp and David Vines

10893: Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis

Michael Woodford and Mariana Garcia-Schmidt

10892: Speculation and the Bond Market: An Empirical No-arbitrage Framework

Kristoffer Nimark and Francisco Barillas

10891: Ripple effects from industry defaults

Christian Wolff, Dennis Bams and Magdalena Pisa

10890: Leverage and risk in US commercial banking in the light of the current financial crisis

Christian Wolff and Nikolaos Papanikolaou

10889: Credit risk characteristics of US small business portfolios

Christian Wolff, Dennis Bams and Magdalena Pisa

10888: Electoral Competition with Rationally Inattentive Voters

Guido Tabellini and Matějka, Filip

10887: Demographics and the Secular Stagnation Hypothesis in Europe

Carlo Favero and Vincenzo Galasso

10886: Trade and Towns: Heterogeneous Adjustment to a Border Shock

Brülhart, Marius, Frederic Robert-Nicoud and Carrère, Céline

10885: Migration State and Welfare State: Competition vs. Coordination in Economic Unions

Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka

10884: Going to Extremes: Politics after Financial Crises, 1870-2014

Moritz Schularick, Christoph Trebesch and Manuel Funke

10883: Partial Identification in Applied Research: Benefits and Challenges

Kate Ho and Adam Rosen

10882: The National Wealth of Sweden, 1810?2014

Daniel Waldenström

10881: The Role of Women in Traditional Agriculture: Evidence From Italy

Giovanni Federico and Pablo Martinelli

10880: Virtuous Circles and the Case for Aid

Jonathan Temple and Patrick Carter

10879: Bobos in Paradise: Urban Politics and the New Economy

Gilles Saint-Paul

10878: Wealth-income ratios in a small, late-industrializing, welfare-state economy: Sweden, 1810?2014

Daniel Waldenström

10877: Store Brands and the Role of Advertising

Rachel Griffith, Kate Smith and Michal Krol

10876: Does institutional quality matter for trade? Institutional conditions in a sectoral trade framework

José Zofío, Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Javier Barbero and Inmaculada C. à lvarez

10875: QE and the Bank Lending Channel in the United Kingdom

Michael McMahon, Arpad Morotz, Nicholas Butt, Jochen Schanz and Rohan Churm

10874: The Hidden Cost of Globalization: Import Competition and Mental Distress

Italo Colantone, Crinò, Rosario and Laura Ogliari

10873: Electoral Incentives, Term Limits and the Sustainability of Peace

Nicolas Sahuguet, Maurizio Zanardi and Paola Conconi

10872: Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Games when Players' Beliefs Are Not in Equilibrium

Victor Aguirregabiria and Arvind Magesan

10871: How Firms Export: Processing vs. Ordinary Trade with Financial Frictions

Zhihong Yu and Kalina Manova

10870: Non-Cooperative and Cooperative Responses to Climate Catastrophes in the Global Economy: A North-South Perspective

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Aart de Zeeuw

10869: Endogenous Sector-Biased Technological Change and Industrial Policy

Berthold Herrendorf and Akos Valentinyi

10868: Investment strategy and selection bias: An equilibrium perspective on overconfidence

Philippe Jehiel

10867: Gender Gaps in Performance: Evidence from Young Lawyers

Ghazala Azmat and Rosa Ferrer

10866: Structural Demand Estimation with Borrowing Constraints

Rancière, Romain and Amine Ouazad

10865: Household Debt and Crises of Confidence

Winfried Koeniger and Thomas Hintermaier

10864: Offshoring and Skill-upgrading in French Manufacturing: A Heckscher-Ohlin-Melitz View

Cuñat, Alejandro, Harald Fadinger, Christian Fons-Rosen and Juan Carluccio

10863: A big-picture socioeconomic perspective of Israel: the story of two nations in one

Dan Ben-David

10862: Price Competition in Product Variety Networks

Yves Zenou and Philip Ushchev

10861: Loss aversion on the phone

Tommaso Valletti, Christos Genakos and Costas Roumanias

10860: Love conquers all but nicotine; spousal peer effects on the decision to quit smoking

Jan C. van Ours and Ali Palali

10859: Long-Term Direct and Spillover Effects of Job Training: Experimental Evidence from Colombia

Adriana Kugler, Maurice Kugler, Juan Saavedra and Luis Omar Herrera Prada

10858: Researcher's Dilemma

Thomas Mariotti, Catherine Bobtcheff and Jérôme Bolte

10857: Competitive pricing strategies in social networks

Yves Zenou, Ying-Ju Chen and Junjie Zhou

10856: Beggar-thy-neighbor? The international effects of ECB unconventional monetary policy measures

Fabio Canova and Kristina Bluwstein

10855: Offshoring and the Geography of Jobs in Great Britain

Simona Iammarino, Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Luisa Gagliardi

10854: The Benefits of Forced Experimentation: Striking Evidence from the London Underground Network

Tim Willems, Ferdinand Rauch and Shaun Larcom

10853: EC ? Seal Products: The Tension between Public Morals and International Trade Agreements

Paola Conconi and Tania Voon

10852: What Drives Home Market Advantage?

A. Kerem Coşar, Felix Tintelnot, Paul Grieco and Shengyu Li

10851: Merger Policy in a Quantitative Model of International Trade

Volker Nocke, Holger Breinlich and Nicolas Schutz

10850: On Competitive Nonlinear Pricing

Salanié, François, Thomas Mariotti and Andrea Attar

10849: Precautionary Savings, Illiquid Assets, and the Aggregate Consequences of Shocks to Household Income Risk

Christian Bayer, Volker Tjaden, Lien Pham-Do and Lütticke, Ralph

10848: Mobile Money, Trade Credit, and Economic Development: Theory and Evidence

Thorsten Beck, Burak Uras, Haki Pamuk and Ravindra Ramrattan

10847: Optimal Inflation with Corporate Taxation and Financial Constraints

Philippe Weil, Giovanni Lombardo, Caterina Mendicino and Daria Finocchiaro

10846: Structural Change with Long-run Income and Price Effects

Diego Comin, Martí Mestieri and Danial Lashkari

10845: On the roles of different foreign currencies in European bank lending

Cédric Tille and Signe Krogstrup

10844: Knocking on Tax Haven?s Door: Multinational Firms and Transfer Pricing

Farid Toubal, Ronald Davies, Julien Martin and Mathieu Parenti

10843: Islam, Inequality and Pre-Industrial Comparative Development

Alireza Naghavi, Stelios Michalopoulos and Giovanni Prarolo

10842: Economic Activity and the Spread of Viral Diseases: Evidence from High Frequency Data

Jerome Adda

10841: Liberty, Religiosity, and Effort

Joan Esteban, Gilat Levy and Laura Mayoral

10840: Liquidity, Innovation, and Endogenous Growth

Semyon Malamud and Francesca Zucchi

10839: Do Banks Pass Through Credit Expansions? The Marginal Profitability of Consumer Lending During the Great Recession

Sumit Agarwal, Ströbel, Johannes, Souphala Chomsisengphet and Neale Mahoney

10838: Politically Induced Regulatory Risk and Independent Regulatory Agencies

Roland Strausz

10837: Internalizing Global Value Chains: A Firm-Level Analysis

Paola Conconi, Pol Antrà s, Laura Alfaro and Davin Chor

10836: Entry Regulation in Retail Markets

Fabiano Schivardi and Andrea Pozzi

10835: Preference Externalities in Media Markets

Simon Anderson and Joel Waldfogel

10834: Services Trade Restrictiveness and Manufacturing Productivity: The Role of Institutions

Matteo Fiorini and Cosimo Beverelli

10833: Behavioral Responses to Local Tax Rates: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from a Foreigners' Tax Scheme in Switzerland

Kurt Schmidheiny and Michaela Slotwinski

10832: The Role of Cultural Leaders in the Transmission of Preferences

Thierry Verdier and Yves Zenou

10831: Measuring image concerns

Jan Sonntag

10830: Search for Yield

Rafael Repullo and David Martinez-Miera

10829: How to construct nationally representative firm level data from the ORBIS global database

Sørensen, Bent E, Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem, Vadym Volosovych, Carolina Villegas-Sanchez and Sevcan Yesiltas

10828: Country shocks, monetary policy expectations and ECB decisions. A dynamic non-linear approach

Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel, Maximo Camacho and Leiva-León, Danilo

10827: The choice of flexibility in targeting inflation during normal times and during disinflation

Alex Cukierman

10826: Capital Allocation and Productivity in South Europe

Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem, Loukas Karabarbounis, Gita Gopinath and Carolina Villegas-Sanchez

10825: The Great Moderation in historical perspective.Is it that great?

Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel, María Gadea and Ana Gómez-Loscos

10824: Investing in Systematic Factor Premiums

Philip Stork, Kees Koedijk and Alfred Slager

10823: Reference Point Formation

Kees Koedijk, Rachel Pownall, Charles Noussair and Ayse Terzi

10822: Earmarking and the political support of fat taxes

Helmuth Cremer and Kerstin Roeder

10821: Identification and Estimation of Preference Distributions When Voters Are Ideological

Antonio Merlo and Aureo de Paula

10820: Are retail traders compensated for providing liquidity?

David Sraer, Ron Kaniel and Barrot, Jean-Noël

10819: Money Creation: Tax or Public Liquidity?

Pietro Reichlin

10818: Fear of Liftoff: Uncertainty, Rules and Discretion in Monetary Policy Normalization

Athanasios Orphanides

10817: Exit expectations and debt crises in currency unions

Müller, Gernot, Alexander Kriwoluzky and Martin Wolf

10816: Urban Networks: Connecting Markets, People, and Ideas

Edward Glaeser, Giacomo Ponzetto and Yimei Zou