CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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21451: Dynamic Recommendation Bias

Mikhail Drugov and Doh-Shin Jeon

21450: On the Political Economy of Urbanization: Experimental Evidence from Mozambique

Alex Armand, Mendonça, Frederica, Wayne Sandholtz and Pedro Vicente

21449: Authority Figures and the Polarization of Gender Norms

Ali Abboud, Samuel Bazzi, Serena Canaan, Antoine Deeb and Pierre Mouganie

21448: Money Uniformity and Retail CBDC

Alistair Milne, Dirk Niepelt and David Skeie

21447: Living in a Ghost Town: The Geography of Depopulation and Aging

Elisa Giannone, Yuhei Miyauchi, Paixão, Nuno, Xinle Pang and Yuta Suzuki

21446: The Effect of Phasing out Energy-Inefficient Dwellings from the Housing Market: A Housing Demand Approach

Edouard Civel, Anna Creti, Gabrielle Fack and Daniel Herrera-Araujo

21445: Firms' Inflation and Wage Expectations During the Inflation Surge

Erwan Gautier, Frédérique Savignac and Olivier Coibion

21444: Customs Agents in International Trade

Wanyu Chung, Robert Elliott and Yangjun Han

21443: Understanding Support for Inefficient Environmental Policy Instruments

Chenxi Jiang, Maximiliano Lauletta, Ro'ee Levy, Joseph Shapiro and Dmitry Taubinsky

21442: The Buy-In Effect: When Increasing Initial Effort Encourages Follow-Through

Holly Dykstra, Shibeal O' Flaherty and Ashley Whillans

21441: Corporate Net Zero Targets: Have They Achieved Anything?

Simon Dietz and Nikolaus Hastreiter

21440: Optimal Climate Policy as if the Transition Matters

Emanuele Campiglio, Simon Dietz and Frank Venmans

21439: Economic Incentives or Social Norms? Labor Supply Differentials between East and West German Mothers

Chabé-Ferret, Bastien, Zainab Iftikhar and JungJae Park

21438: Tracing Sanctions through the Value Chain: Evidence from the US Cotton Ban

Jean-Francois Maystadt, Kampui Tsang and Johannes Van Biesebroeck

21437: The Political Impact of Refugees in Africa

Cansu Demir, Anna Maria Mayda and Jean-Francois Maystadt

21436: Understanding the Transatlantic Divide in Labor Income Shares

Drago Bergholt, Francesco Furlanetto, Maffei Faccioli, Nicolò and Evi Pappa

21435: A Political Economy Approach to State Religion and Holy Wars

Emmanuelle Auriol, Jean-Philippe Platteau and Thierry Verdier

21434: The Sisyphean Pursuit of Evidence for Poverty Traps

Dean Karlan, Amol Raswan and Christopher Udry

21433: Carbon Pricing and Investors’ Reactions: Evidence from Washington State

Marc-Philipp Bohnet, Stefano Carattini and Suphi Sen

21432: The Social Media Externality

Sarit Markovich and Luis Rayo

21431: Motherhood and Constraints during Job Search

Arnaud Philippe and Daphne Skandalis

21430: The Extreme Points of Mean-Preserving Contractions

Andreas Kleiner, Benny Moldovanu, Philipp Strack and Mark Withmeyer

21429: Extreme Points and Majorization

Andreas Kleiner, Benny Moldovanu and Philipp Strack

21428: Violence, Political Selection, and State Formation: Evidence from Post-Unification Italy

Paolo Buonanno, Giampaolo Lecce, Laura Ogliari and Giacomo Plevani

21427: When Do Secondary Stakeholder Attacks Matter to Financial Analysts? The Role of Analysts’ Political Ideology

Mohammad Sadri, Ali Mohammadi and Pooyan Khashabi

21426: Inflexibility and the Stalled Progress of American Women in the Labor Market

Stefania Albanesi

21425: The State-Contingent Debt Premium: Evidence from French Public Bonds

Kris Mitchener and Pina, Gonçalo

21424: Price and Prejudice: Preferences and Incentives in the Dynamics of Racial Residential Segregation

David Dorn

21423: The Misallocation Cost of Inflation: A Sufficient Statistics Approach

Klaus Adam, Andrey Alexandrov and Henning Weber

21422: Monetary Policy and Supply-Side Turnover

Klaus Adam and Henning Weber

21421: The Impact of Trade Wars on Firms in Third Countries

Francesco Paolo Conteduca, Marco Errico, Fabrizio Leone, Ludovic Panon and Giacomo Romanini

21420: Mergers, Lobbying, and Elections: Is there a "Curse of Bigness"?

Matteo Broso and Tommaso Valletti

21419: Has the Regulatory Cycle Weakened? Evidence from a Century of Financial Legislation

Thilo Nils Hendrik Albers, Nützenadel, Alexander and Tobias Scheib

21418: Workforce Quality and Early Childhood Development at Scale

Sarah Cattan, Gabriella Conti and Christine Farquharson

21417: Payment Needs and the Size of the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet

Ricardo Reis

21416: Evidence, Beliefs, and the Design of Judicial Mechanisms

Alberto Galasso and Gabor Virag

21415: Till the IRS Do Us Part: (Optimal) Taxation of Households

Hans Holter, Dirk Krueger and Serhiy Stepanchuk

21414: Early Childcare Attendance and Cognitive Skills in Adolescence

Almås, Ingvild, Nina Drange, Costas Meghir and Henrik Daae Zachrisson

21413: How CCyBs travel – Internal Capital Markets & Domestic Borrowing

Imbierowicz, Björn, Axel Loeffler, Steven Ongena and Ursula Vogel

21412: Macroeconomic Policies for AI

Luca Fornaro and Martin Wolf

21411: Educational Mobility Across Multiple Generations in Indonesia

Sarah Cattan, Antonio Dalla-Zuanna, Jan Stuhler and Po Yin Wong

21410: Financial Liberalizations, Booms, and Crashes

Maximilian Grimm, Moritz Schularick and Emil Verner

21409: Geopolitical Risk in the Euro Area: Measurement and Transmission

Yevheniia Bondarenko, Nayeon Kang, Vivien Lewis, Matthias Rottner and Schüler, Yves

21408: Monetary Policy According to Households: Perceptions, Reactions, and Channels

Francesco Grigoli, Damiano Sandri, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion

21407: Assortative Mating, Inequality, and Rising Educational Mobility in Spain

Jan Stuhler, Ricard Grebol, Margarita Machelett and Ernesto Villanueva

21406: Market Power in Mortgage Pricing: the Role of Referral Lending

Dayin Zhang, Lu Han, Panle Barwick and Jon Kroah

21405: Who Bears the Costs of Technology Sanctions? Evidence from Global Smartphone Markets

Ambre Elsas-Nicolle, Shiyuan Li and Frank Verboven

21404: The Regional and Demographic Profile of Housing Affordability: Evidence from Greek Households

Georgios Gatopoulos, Alexandros Louka, Antonis Mavropoulos, Sotiris Saperas and Nikolaos Vettas

21403: Quarterly GDP for Ireland since 1950

Sean Kenny and Rebecca Stuart

21401: Sticky Traditions: Origin, Persistence, and Evolution of Cultural Norms

Paola Giuliano

21400: Identifying Relationship-level Effects Using Covariance Restrictions

Olivier De Jonghe and Daniel Lewis

21399: Intellectual Property Protection for AI-Generated Output

Döttling, Robin, Logan P. Emery and Shuo Zhao

21398: Mitigating the Consequences of Job Loss in Lower-Income Countries: Evidence from Ethiopia

Lukas Hensel, Girum Abebe, Francois Gerard and Stefano Caria

21397: Aging at the Very Top

Valentin Kecht, Alessandro Lizzeri and Farzad Saidi

21396: Farmers as Voters: Land Redistribution and Regime Consolidation in Zimbabwe

Rob Davies, Halvor Mehlum, Kalle Moene and Ragnar Torvik

21395: Whataboutism

Kfir Eliaz and Ran Spiegler

21394: Is Knowledge Enough? Financial Literacy, Marriage, and Gender Differences in Wealth

Marta Cota, Maria Frech, Marta Morazzoni and Michael Tallent

21393: Sorting into Entrepreneurial Teams

Edoardo Maria Acabbi, Andrea Alati, Luca Mazzone and Marta Morazzoni

21392: Matching People to Properties: A Matching Function for the Housing Market

L. Rachel Ngai, Felix Iglhaut, Kevin Sheedy, Fei Wu and Shuang Zhang

21391: The Employment Concentration Channel of Monetary Policy

Guido Ascari, Andrea Colciago and Marco Membretti

21390: Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks in Newspapers using GPT

Felix Betz, Peter Bofinger, Jonas Dix and Leonie Streit

21389: Imperfect Information, Composition of Demand Shocks, and the Flattening of the Phillips Curve

Tatsushi Okuda, Tomohiro Tsuruga and Francesco Zanetti

21388: The Math-Verbal Divide: Unequal Returns to Cognitive Skills in Education and Work

Judith Delaney and Paul Devereux

21387: The Catalytic Effect of Blended Finance

Ugo Panizza

21386: More Trade, Less Diffusion: Technology Transfers and the Dynamic Effects of Import Liberalization

Gustavo de Souza, Ruben Gaetani and Marti Mestieri

21385: AI Unbound: Digital Infrastructure, AI Adoption, and Firm Performance

Nuriye Melisa Bilgin and Gianmarco Ottaviano

21384: Risk Preferences and the Willingness to Relocate to Danger: Evidence from Wartime Ukraine

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Marianna Kudlyak, Sophia Lobozynska, Iryna Skomorovych, Ulyana Vladychyn, Andriy Kovalyuk and Iryna Snovydovych

21383: Family Managers and Investment Decisions

González, Xulia, Saul Lach, Daniel Miles and Pazó Martínez, María Consuelo

21382: Robust Delegation

Ricardo Alonso, Tan Gan and Ju Hu

21381: The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Insights from 180 Years of U.S. Trade Policy

Tamar den Besten, Regis Barnichon, Känzig, Diego and Aayush Singh

21380: Cities in Flight: The Role of Airports in Urban Development

Miren Lafourcade and Nicholas Sheard

21379: Monetary Policy and Business Cycles in the Data Economy

Carl-Christian Groh, Pfäuti, Oliver and Farzad Saidi

21378: The Effects of Geopolitical Oil Price Shocks

Guillermo Verduzco-Bustos and Francesco Zanetti

21377: Work from Home and Disability Employment

Nicholas Bloom, Gordon Dahl and Dan-Olof Rooth

21376: Birthright Citizenship and Youth Crime

Leander Andres, Stefan Bauernschuster, Gordon Dahl, Helmut Rainer and Schüller, Simone

21375: Job Mismatch and Early Career Success

Julie Berry Cullen, Gordon Dahl and Richard De Thorpe

21374: Rounding Up: Complexity, Satisficing, and Bias in Inflation Expectations

Michael McMahon, Luba Petersen and Ryan Rholes

21373: The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on U.S. Inflation: A Scenario Analysis

Lutz Kilian, Michael D. Plante, Alexander W. Richter and Xiaoqing Zhou

21372: From Dollar Dominance to Dollar Discontent

Barry Eichengreen

21371: The Macroeconomic Effects of Bank Regulation: New Evidence from a High-Frequency Approach

Thomas Drechsel and Ko Miura

21370: Together We Tip the Scale: Social Norms and Body Mass

Panos Margaris and Johanna Wallenius

21369: Subjective Earnings and Employment Dynamics

Manuel Arellano, Orazio Attanasio, Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi and Gonzalo Paz-Pardo

21368: To Change, or Not to Change the Inflation Target: Credibility is the Question

Gene Ambrocio, Andrea Ferrero, Esa Jokivuolle, Nigel McClung and Kim Ristolainen

21367: The Aggregate Consequences of Local Capital Taxation

Antonin Bergeaud, Brouillette, Jean-Félix, Louis de Lachapelle and Malgouyres, Clément

21366: Monetary Policies in a World of Biased Agents

Paul De Grauwe and Yuemei Ji

21365: Trend Inflation Shocks and Financial Heterogeneity

Evi Pappa, Sebastian Rast and Alejandro Vicondoa

21364: Development Interventions in Africa’s Historical Borderlands: Evidence from Colonial Missions

Cermeño, Alexandra L., Alessandra Quintigliano and Jacob Weisdorf

21363: The Impact of Social Mixing at School: Evidence From a French Desegregation Program

Ghazala Azmat, Julien Grenet, Elise Huillery, Youssef Souidi and Yann Algan

21362: Industrialization, Wealth Concentration, and Elite Turnover

Thilo Nils Hendrik Albers, Felix Kersting and Timo Stieglitz

21361: Gaming the Giants: How Startups Shape Innovation to Spark Acquisition Wars

Ozlem Bedre Defolie, Gary Biglaiser and Bruno Jullien

21360: Strategic Communication with Negative Reciprocity and Endogenous Preferences

Ran Eilat and Kfir Eliaz

21359: Sticky Gravity

Mario Larch, Leandro Navarro and Dennis Novy

21358: Bad News and Policy Views: Expectations, Disappointment, and Opposition to Affirmative Action

Louis-Pierre Lepage, Heather Sarsons and Michael Thaler

21357: Regulating Inaction: The Case of Price Walking

Jamie Coen, Alessandro Gavazza, Daniel Gottlieb and Tarun Ramadorai

21356: The Contribution of Foreign Master's Students to US Start-Ups

Michel Beine, Giovanni Peri and Morgan Raux

21355: Carbon Pricing and Inflation Expectations

Michael Bauer, Känzig, Diego and Glenn Rudebusch

21354: The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Evidence From U.S. Historical Data

Tamar den Besten and Känzig, Diego

21353: When the State Takes Over: Nationalization, Firm Performance, and Political Backlash

Felipe Gonzalez and Mounu Prem

21352: Him Too? Analyzing the Effects of Epstein Connections

Marina Gertsberg, Michaela Pagel and Ekaterina Volkova

21351: Learning in a Correlated World

Arjada Bardhi and Steven Callander