CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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20848: Strategic Avoidance and the Welfare Impacts of U.S. Solar Panel Tariffs

Todd Gerarden, Bryan Bollinger, Kenneth Gillingham and Daniel Yi Xu

20847: Optional Fee-Shifting

Winand Emons, Severin Lenhard and Francesco Parisi

20846: Biodiversity Impacts of Renewable Energy

Haozhou Gong, Chen Lin, Zacharias Sautner and Thomas Schmid

20845: Power Rivalry and Failures in International Cooperation

Anwesha Banerjee, Ottmar Edenhofer and Ulrike Kornek

20844: An Anatomy of the Great Reallocation in US Supply Chain Trade

Laura Alfaro and Davin Chor

20843: Demand for Carbon-Neutral Products

Stefano Carattini, Fabian Dvorak, Ivana Logar and Begum Ozdemir-Oluk

20842: Regulating Privacy Policies on Digital Platforms

Michele Bisceglia, Alessandro Bonatti and Fiona Scott Morton

20841: Public Acceptance of International Redistribution in High-Income Countries

Adrien Fabre

20840: Deliberation and Policy Outcomes: Evidence from the Textual Analysis of FOMC Transcripts

Alessandro Riboni, Francisco Ruge-Murcia and Linh Tran

20839: Monetary Policy Transmission to Household Credit: Evidence from Uganda's Credit Registry Data

Marina Conesa Martinez, Elizabeth N. Kasekende, Nan Li, Adam Mugume, Musoke Samuel Namwanja, Cedric Okou and Andrea Presbitero

20838: Do Test Scores Help Teachers Give Better Track Advice to Students? A Principal Stratification Analysis

Andrea Ichino, Fabrizia Mealli and Javier Viviens

20837: The Output Cost of Inheritance

Brülhart, Marius, Aurélien Eyquem, Martínez, Isabel Z. and Enrico Rubolino

20836: Socioeconomic Inequality in Longevity: A Multidimensional Approach

Paul Bingley, Claus Kreiner and Benjamin Ly Serena

20835: The Asymmetric and Heterogeneous Pass-through of Input Prices to Firms’ Expectations and Decisions

Fiorella De Fiore, Marco Lombardi and Giacomo Mangiante

20834: Equilibrium VIX in Inelastic Markets

Albert J. Menkveld

20833: Stablecoins: A Revolutionary Payment Technology with Financial Risks

Rashad Ahmed, Alessandro Rebucci, James Clouse, Fabio Natalucci and Geyue Sun

20832: Job Loss, Unemployment Insurance, and Health: Evidence from Brazil

Guilherme Amorim, Diogo Britto, Alexandre Fonseca and Breno Sampaio

20831: Cisterns, Climate Adaptation, and Economic Development

Yuri Barreto, Diogo Britto, Daniel Da Mata, Lucas Emanuel, Bladimir Carrillo and Breno Sampaio

20830: State Capacity and Subjective Well-Being in Early Modern Spain

Carlos à lvarez-Nogal and Leandro Prados de la Escosura

20829: Narrative Entanglement in Climate Policy

Adam Brzezinski and Luis Garicano

20828: Parsing the Pulse: Decomposing Macroeconomic Sentiment with LLMs

Byeungchun Kwon, Taejin Park, Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul and Frank Smets

20827: Family Institutions and the Global Fertility Transition

Paula Eugenia Gobbi, Anne Hannusch and Pauline Rossi

20826: Tariffs and Technological Hegemony

Luca Fornaro and Martin Wolf

20825: Unveiling the J-curve: How Intangibles Drive Productivity Mismeasurement

Gert Bijnens, Jozef Konings and Aaron Putseys

20824: Nothing to Hide? Gender and Age Differences in Willingness to Share Data

Olivier Armantier, Sebastian Doerr, Jon Frost, Andreas Fuster and Kelly Shue

20823: The Problem of Business Evil: Corporate Fraud, Rogue Trading and Pharmaceutical Misconduct

John Thanassoulis

20822: We Think That They Think: Political Affiliation and Higher-Order Beliefs

Rupal Kamdar, Walker Ray and Mauricio Ulate

20821: Debt and Taxes. Deferred Obligations and Immediate Demands in Fiscal History

Rui Esteves

20820: Optimal Climate Policy with Incomplete Markets

Thomas Douenne, Sebastian Dyrda, Albert Jan Hummel and Marcelo Pedroni

20819: Supply Chain Resilience, Interference and Competition with Geopolitical Tensions

Thomas Gehrig and Rune Stenbacka

20818: Beyond ESG: Executive Pay Metrics and Shareholder Support

Nickolay Gantchev, Mariassunta Giannetti and Marcus Hober

20817: The Sovereign Greenium: Big Promise but Small Price Effect

Ugo Panizza, Shuyang Shi, Beatrice Weder di Mauro and Mitu Gulati

20816: Crony Capitalism and Insider Trading: Insights from the Teapot Dome Scandal

Caroline Fohlin and Noah MacDonald

20815: Crowd-Sourced Chinese Genealogies as Data for Demographic and Economic History

Melanie Meng Xue

20814: Peer vs. Network Effects: Microfoundations, Identification, and Beyond

Yves Zenou

20813: The Race between Asset Supply and Asset Demand

Adrien Auclert, Hannes Malmberg, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

20812: Reaching for Beta

Egemen Genc, Emanuel Moench and Altan Pazarbasi

20811: The Effect of Western Technology on Soviet Industrial Development

Andrei Markevich and Torsten Santavirta

20810: Industrialization and the Return to Labor: Evidence from Prussia

Ann-Kristin Becker and Erik Hornung

20809: No Place Like Home? The Causal Effect of Forced Relocation from Central Addis Ababa

Gharad Bryan, Simon Franklin, Tigabu Getahun and Sarah Winton

20808: WHEN WE REBEL: Clashing Narratives and the Making of Subversive Identities

Matteo Cervellati, Elena Esposito, Giacomo Plevani and Alessandro Saia

20807: Aligning Competition Policy and Industrial Policy in the EU

Tomaso Duso and Martin Peitz

20806: Overconfidence in Private Information Explains Biases in Professional Forecasts

Klaus Adam, Pei Kuang and Shihan Xie

20805: Markups and Marginal Cost over the Firm Life

Klaus Adam, Tobias Renkin and Züllig, Gabriel

20804: Complementarity, Heterogeneity, and Multipliers: Utility for HANK

Florin Bilbiie, Fergal Hanks and Sean Lavender

20803: Mobility, Segregation and Inequality: Who Gains from Urban Transportation Improvements?

Prottoy Akbar and Victor Couture

20802: Cohabitation, Child Development, and College Costs

Effrosyni Adamopoulou, Anne Hannusch, Karen Kopecky and Tim Obermeier

20801: The Impact of AI on Global Knowledge Work

Enrique Ide and Eduard Talamas

20800: Long-Run Asset Returns

David Chambers, Elroy Dimson, Antti Ilmanen and Rintamäki, Paul

20799: Interpreting Turbulent Episodes in International Finance

Helene Rey and Vania Stavrakeva

20798: The Lasting Effects of Working while in School: A Long-Term Follow-Up

Mery Ferrando, Noemi Katzkowicz, Diego Ubfal and Thomas Le Barbanchon

20797: Minimum Wages and Informality

Ellora Derenoncourt, Francois Gerard, Lorenzo Lagos and Claire Montialoux

20796: First-Generation Graduates in OECD Countries

Alessandro Fabbri and Michele Pellizzari

20795: Agricultural Prices and the Onset of Civil War

Antonio Ciccone

20794: Information Design with Elicitation and Strategic Coordination

Alessandro Bonatti, Munther Dahleh and Thibaut Horel

20793: Interviews

Elliott Ash, Soumitra Shukla and Jason Sockin

20792: Breaking Parity: Equilibrium Exchange Rates and Currency Premia

Mai Chi Dao, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas and Oleg Itskhoki

20791: The (Un)intended Consequences of Export Restrictions: Evidence from Indonesia

Maarten Bosker, Else-Marie Van Den Herik, Paul Pelzl and Steven Poelhekke

20790: Rethinking Short-Term Real Interest Rates and Term Spreads Using Very Long-Run Data

Kenneth Rogoff, Barbara Rossi and Paul Schmelzing

20789: Commandeering the Customs: An Economic and Legal Perspective on the President's "Emergency" Imposition of "Reciprocal Tariffs"

Gene M. Grossman and Alan O. Sykes

20788: The Public Origins of American Innovation

Andrea Giovanni Gazzani, Joseba Martinez, Filippo Natoli and Paolo Surico

20787: Evaluating Search Cost Models: Estimation and Prediction

Düll, Adrian, Heiko Karle, Simon Martin and Heiner Schumacher

20786: Bilateral Learning Before Trading?

Maarten Janssen and Santanu Roy

20785: Labor-Market Effects of Introducing the 8-Hour Workday

Marius Fredagsvik Gunnesmo and Casper Worm Hansen

20784: Forecasting Dementia Incidence

Jerome Simons, Yuntao Chen, Eric Brunner and Eric French

20783: The Costs of Long Term Care for those with Cognitive Impairments in England

James Banks, Eric French and Jeremy McCauley

20782: The Dynamic Effects of Health on the Employment of Older Workers: Impacts by Gender, Country, and Race

Richard Blundell, Jack Britton, Monica Costa Dias, Eric French and Weijian Zou

20781: Political Information and Network Effects

Georgy Egorov, Sergei Guriev, Maxim Mironov and Ekaterina Zhuravskaya

20780: Bankruptcy Law and the Market for Corporate Influence

Mike Burkart, Samuel Lee and Vladimir Vladimirov

20779: Ordinary Life Insurance: The Best-Performing Financial Asset of the 1930s

Vellore Arthi, G Gary Richardson and Mark Van Orden

20778: Managing Financial Crises

Gianluca Benigno, Alessandro Rebucci and Aliaksandr Zaretski

20777: Portugal's Empire in Africa and Asia, 1415-1975

Nuno Palma

20776: A Loan You Can’t Refuse: Credit Rationing and Organized Crime Infiltration of Distressed Firms

Gianmarco Daniele, Marco De Simoni, Domenico J. Marchetti, Giovanna Marcolongo and Paolo Pinotti

20775: The Economics of Infectious Diseases

Christopher Auld, Eli P Fenichel and Flavio Toxvaerd

20774: Administrative Capacity in Public Procurement: Evidence and Mechanisms

Audinga Baltrunaite, Sauro Mocetti and Gabriele Rovigatti

20773: Walking the Talk? Green Politicians and Pollution Patterns

Michael Koetter and Alexander Popov

20772: The Ripple Effects of China’s College Expansion on American Universities

Ruixue Jia, Gaurav Khanna, Hongbin Li and Yuli Xu

20771: The Causal Effects of Confidence Awareness on Financial Literacy and Behaviour

Ines Lee, Lleó-Bono, Ana, Christopher Rauh and Eileen Tipoe

20770: Dividing the Spoils: Inheritance Institutions and Gender Inequality before Industrialization

Sheilagh Ogilvie and Felix Schaff

20769: Linear Fractional Relative Risk Aversion

Kristian Behrens and Yasusada Murata

20768: Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for Monitoring Financial Markets

Matteo Aquilina, Douglas Araujo, R. Gaston Gelos, Taejin Park and Fernando Perez-Cruz

20767: Policy Concerns in an Era of Low Fertility: The Role of Social Comparisons and Intensive Parenting

Lukas Mahler, Tertilt, Michèle and Minchul Yum

20766: Why Net Worth is the Wrong Concept for Explaining Consumption: Evidence from Italy

Riccardo DeBonis, Danilo Liberati, John Muellbauer and Concetta Rondinelli

20765: The Third Check: Surplus Extraction, Malthus, and the Origins of Agrarian Civilization

Robert Allen

20764: Positive Tipping Points and Transitional Dynamics: Policies for the Green Transition

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Anthony Venables

20763: The International Monetary System in the Last and Next 20 Years Redux

Barry Eichengreen and Raul Razo-Garcia

20762: Exploring Household Adoption and Usage of Generative AI: New Evidence from Italy

Leonardo Gambacorta, Tullio Jappelli and Tommaso Oliviero

20761: Resetting the Innovation Clock: Endogenous Growth through Technological Turnover

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Timo Boppart and Brouillette, Jean-Félix

20760: Climate Shocks and State Formation: The 1970 Bhola Cyclone and the Birth of Bangladesh

Sultan Mehmood and Ahmed Mobarak

20759: The Demand for Economic Narratives

Sebastian Blesse, Klaus Gruendler, Philipp Heil and Henning Hermes

20758: Is AI Trained on Public Money? Evidence from U.S. Data Centers

Adam Feher, Emilia Garcia-Appendini and Roxana Mihet

20757: The Dynamics of Religious Conversion: Theory and Evidence

Akwasi Ampofo, Umair Khalil, Laura Panza and Francisco Silva

20756: Analytics of the Government Expenditure Multiplier with QE

Vito Polito, Paulo Santos Monteiro and Michael R. Wickens

20755: Firm-to-Firm Access and Private Sector Development

Adam Szeidl

20754: From Global Trade to Local Inequality: The Role of International Relocation of Production

Alcalá, Francisco and Andres Romeu

20753: Household Portfolio and Deposit Insurance: Implications for the Supply of Safe Assets

Pulak Ghosh, Nicola Limodio and Nishant Vats

20752: Rent Sharing and the Gender Bargaining Gap: Evidence from the Banking Sector

Sena Coskun, Hermann Gartner and Ahmet Ali Taskin

20751: Equilibrium Trade Regimes: Power- vs. Rules-Based

Cecilia Carvalho, Daniel Monte and Emanuel Ornelas

20750: The Effect of Migrant Regularization on Labor Exploitation

Francesco Amodio, Elia Benveniste, Mario Francesco Carillo and Marc Riudavets Barcons

20749: Management Practices and Firm Performance during the Great Recession

Florian Englmaier, Galdón Sánchez, José Enrique, Ricard Gil, Michael Kaiser and Helene Strandt