CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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20773: Walking the Talk? Green Politicians and Pollution Patterns

Michael Koetter and Alexander Popov

20772: The Ripple Effects of China’s College Expansion on American Universities

Ruixue Jia, Gaurav Khanna, Hongbin Li and Yuli Xu

20771: The Causal Effects of Confidence Awareness on Financial Literacy and Behaviour

Ines Lee, Lleó-Bono, Ana, Christopher Rauh and Eileen Tipoe

20770: Dividing the Spoils: Inheritance Institutions and Gender Inequality before Industrialization

Sheilagh Ogilvie and Felix Schaff

20769: Linear Fractional Relative Risk Aversion

Kristian Behrens and Yasusada Murata

20768: Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for Monitoring Financial Markets

Matteo Aquilina, Douglas Araujo, Gaston Gelos, Taejin Park and Fernando Perez-Cruz

20767: Policy Concerns in an Era of Low Fertility: The Role of Social Comparisons and Intensive Parenting

Lukas Mahler, Tertilt, Michèle and Minchul Yum

20766: Why Net Worth is the Wrong Concept for Explaining Consumption: Evidence from Italy

Riccardo DeBonis, Danilo Liberati, John Muellbauer and Concetta Rondinelli

20765: The Third Check: Surplus Extraction, Malthus, and the Origins of Agrarian Civilization

Robert Allen

20764: Positive Tipping Points and Transitional Dynamics: Policies for the Green Transition

Frederick van der Ploeg and Anthony Venables

20763: The International Monetary System in the Last and Next 20 Years Redux

Barry Eichengreen and Raul Razo-Garcia

20762: Exploring Household Adoption and Usage of Generative AI: New Evidence from Italy

Leonardo Gambacorta, Tullio Jappelli and Tommaso Oliviero

20761: Resetting the Innovation Clock: Endogenous Growth through Technological Turnover

Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Timo Boppart and Brouillette, Jean-Félix

20760: Climate Shocks and State Formation: The 1970 Bhola Cyclone and the Birth of Bangladesh

Sultan Mehmood and Ahmed Mobarak

20759: The Demand for Economic Narratives

Sebastian Blesse, Klaus Gruendler, Philipp Heil and Henning Hermes

20758: Is AI Trained on Public Money? Evidence from U.S. Data Centers

Adam Feher, Emilia Garcia-Appendini and Roxana Mihet

20757: The Dynamics of Religious Conversion: Theory and Evidence

Akwasi Ampofo, Umair Khalil, Laura Panza and Francisco Silva

20756: Analytics of the Government Expenditure Multiplier with QE

Vito Polito, Paulo Santos Monteiro and Michael R. Wickens

20755: Firm-to-Firm Access and Private Sector Development

Adam Szeidl

20754: From Global Trade to Local Inequality: The Role of International Relocation of Production

Alcalá, Francisco and Andres Romeu

20753: Household Portfolio and Deposit Insurance: Implications for the Supply of Safe Assets

Pulak Ghosh, Nicola Limodio and Nishant Vats

20752: Rent Sharing and the Gender Bargaining Gap: Evidence from the Banking Sector

Sena Coskun, Hermann Gartner and Ahmet Ali Taskin

20751: Equilibrium Trade Regimes: Power- vs. Rules-Based

Cecilia Carvalho, Daniel Monte and Emanuel Ornelas

20750: The Effect of Migrant Regularization on Labor Exploitation

Francesco Amodio, Elia Benveniste, Mario Francesco Carillo and Marc Riudavets Barcons

20749: Management Practices and Firm Performance during the Great Recession

Florian Englmaier, Galdón Sánchez, José Enrique, Ricard Gil, Michael Kaiser and Helene Strandt

20748: The Future of AI in Capital Markets

Tobias Adrian, Benjamin Mosk and Jason Wu

20747: Africa's Domestic Debt Boom: Evidence from the African Debt Database

Mark Manger, David Mihalyi, Ugo Panizza, Rescia, Niccolò, Christoph Trebesch and Ka Lok Wong

20746: Developing the Mortgage Market: Technology, Property Rights, and Banking

Angelo D'Andrea, Patrick Hitayezu, Kangni Kpodar, Nicola Limodio and Andrea Presbitero

20745: Carry Trade and Currency Crash Risk

Merve Mavus Kutuk and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20744: Credit and Product Innovation in Emerging Markets: Evidence from India

Siddharth Eapen George, Divya Kirti, Nils Lange, Martínez Pería, Maria Soledad and Rajesh Vijayaraghavan

20743: Why Do Couples and Singles Save during Retirement? Household Heterogeneity and its Aggregate Implications

Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French, John Bailey Jones and Rory McGee

20742: Labor Supply and the Pension Contribution-Benefit Link

Eric French, Attila Lindner, O’Dea, Cormac and Tom Zawisza

20741: Imagine your Life at 25: Gender Conformity and Later-Life Outcomes

Sreevidya Ayyar, Uta Bolt, Eric French and O’Dea, Cormac

20740: Long-Term Care in England

James Banks, Jeremy McCauley and Eric French

20739: Retirement Policy in a Post-Covid World

Karolos Arapakis and Eric French

20738: Medical Spending Risk among Older Households by Race

Karolos Arapakis, Eric French, John Bailey Jones and Jeremy McCauley

20737: Private Credit: Risks and Benefits of a Maturity Wall

Rui Albuquerque and Adam Zawadowski

20736: Financial Technology and the Inequality Gap

Roxana Mihet

20735: Non-Financial Liabilities and Effective Corporate Restructuring

Bo Becker, Jens Josephson and Hongyi Xu

20734: Reputation for Confidence

Gáti, Laura and Amy Handlan

20733: Growth, Interrupted: How Crises Delay Global Convergence

Patrick Imam and Jonathan Temple

20732: The Effects of Fiscal Consolidations on the Debt Distribution

Francesco Frangiamore, Davide Furceri, Domenico Giannone, Faizaan Kisat and Pietro Pizzuto

20731: Transshipment Hubs, Trade, and Supply Chains

Anh Do, Sharat Ganapati, Woan Foong Wong and Oren Ziv

20730: Paying for Euroscepticism

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Lewis Dijkstra and Chiara Dorati

20729: The Polarization Paradox: Why More Connections Can Divide Us

Arthur Campbell, Matthew Leister, Philip Ushchev and Yves Zenou

20728: Pharmaceutical Regulation and Incentives for Innovation in an International Perspective

Pierre Dubois

20727: Macroeconomic Forecasting and Machine Learning

Ta-Chung Chi, Ting-Han Fan, Raffaele Ghigliazza, Domenico Giannone and Wang, Zixuan (Kevin)

20726: Diversion Research

Bramoullé, Yann, Figuières, Charles and Mathis Preti

20725: Build Better Health: Evidence from Ireland on Housing Quality and Mortality

Alan de Bromhead, Ronan C. Lyons and Johann Ohler

20724: A Simple Model of Geopolitical Risk and Sanctions

Vivien Lewis and Sirikorn Puangjit

20723: When Non-Uniform Carbon Prices are Efficient and Fair: Implications for Transfer Schemes and Carbon Markets

Marc Fleurbaey, Ulrike Kornek and Ottmar Edenhofer

20722: Payment Frictions, Capital Flows, and Exchange Rates

Marco Reuter, Itai Agur, Alexander Copestake, Martínez Pería, Maria Soledad and Ken Teoh

20721: Income, Democracy, and Growth: Reconciling Evidence and Theory

Matteo Cervellati, Gerrit Meyerheim and Uwe Sunde

20720: On the Limits of Hedging Inflation Risk in Investment Portfolios

Damiaan Chen, Roel Beetsma and Sweder van Wijnbergen

20719: Crypto Carry

Maik Schmeling, Andreas Schrimpf and Karamfil Todorov

20718: Dynamic Effects of Health Insurance Reform

Jan Boone

20717: How Do Rising Temperatures Affect Inflation Expectations?

Dimitris Georgarakos, Geoff Kenny, Justus Meyer and Maarten van Rooij

20716: A State Theory of Price Levels

Barthélemy, Jean, Eric Mengus and Guillaume Plantin

20715: Identity and Institutional Change: Evidence from First Names in Germany, 1700–1850

Matthias Weigand, Cathrin Mohr and Davide Cantoni

20714: Building Consistent Territorial Units over Time: A Graph-Based Method for Historical Municipal Boundaries in Italy

Paolo Buonanno, Bianca Cattaneo, Giampaolo Lecce, Vitantonio Mariella and Laura Ogliari

20713: Social Learning among Urban Manufacturing Firms: Energy-Efficient Motors in Bangladesh

Ritam Chaurey, Gaurav Nayyar, Siddharth Sharma and Eric Verhoogen

20712: More to Live for: Health Investment Responses to Expected Retirement Wealth in Chile

Grant Miller, Nieves Valdes and Vera-Hernández, Marcos

20711: Multiproduct Firms, Refunds and Product Returns

Sebastian Ertner and Maarten Janssen

20710: What the Mercantilists Got Right

Dani Rodrik

20709: Mobile Broadband and the Decline of Incumbency Advantage

Sergei Guriev, Nikita Melnikov, Joana Escorcio Silva and Ekaterina Zhuravskaya

20708: Demand Steering through the Smokescreen of Stockouts: Evidence from Cigarette Vending Machines

Pablo Casas-Arce, Asis Martinez-Jerez and Helena Perrone

20707: Drivers of Switching in Autoinsurance: Evidence from Observable and Exogenous Consideration Sets

Helena Perrone and Fabricio Valiati

20706: Gender Gaps in Patience, Risk-Taking, Trust, and Prosociality Have Declined across Birth Cohorts

Rainer Kotschy and Uwe Sunde

20705: Conflict and Investment: A Review Across Health, Fertility, Education, and Economic Activity

Michele Di Maio and Uwe Sunde

20704: Decomposing Comparative Development 1880-2020: A Quantitative Dynamic Analysis

Matteo Cervellati, Gerrit Meyerheim and Uwe Sunde

20703: Auctions vs. Negotiations: The Role of the Payment Structure

Florian Hoffmann and Vladimir Vladimirov

20702: Disclosure, Patenting, and Trade Secrecy

Arnoud Boot and Vladimir Vladimirov

20701: Skill Disruption and Post-Acquisition Employee Exit

Johannes Loh, Pooyan Khashabi and Tobias Kretschmer

20700: Two-Sided Market Pricing with Heterogeneous Users: Theory and App-lication

Simon Anderson and Ozlem Bedre Defolie

20699: Public-Private Partnerships, Asymmetric Information, and Incomplete Contracts

Patrick W. Schmitz

20698: Ambiguity and the Variance of Gambles

Karl Whelan

20697: Work Intensity and Welfare Across Countries and Over Time

Alcalá, Francisco

20696: Left Over or Opting Out? Squeeze, Mismatch and Surplus in Chinese Marriage Markets

Pauline Rossi and Yun Xiao

20695: The Impact of Interest: Firms' Investment Sensitivity to Interest Rates

Lea Best, Benjamin Born and Manuel Menkhoff

20694: Sources of Consumer Information

Koessler, Frédéric and Renault, Régis

20693: Investing in Human Capital During Wartime: Experimental Evidence from Ukraine

Lelys Dinarte-Diaz, James Gresham, Renata Lemos, Harry A. Patrinos and Rony Rodriguez-Ramirez

20692: The Causal Effect of Parents' Education on Children's Earnings

Lee, Sang Yoon (Tim), Nicolas Roys and Ananth Seshadri

20691: Labor Markets, Financial Crises, and Inflation: Jobless and Wageless Recoveries

Guillermo Calvo, Emilio Colombi, Fabrizio Coricelli and Pablo Ottonello

20690: Export Controls and Innovation in Sanctioned Countries

Xueyue Liu, Yu Liu, Alexey Makarin and Jaya Wen

20689: For Better or for Babies: Fertility Constraints and Marriage in China

Lucie Giorgi and Eva Raiber

20688: Demographic Trends and Government Debt Dynamics in the US and Europe

Carlo A. Favero and Dev Srivastava

20687: The Inflationary Footprint of Fiscal Policy: Evidence from Disaggregated U.S. Spending

Guido Ascari, Anna Florio, Alessandro Gobbi and Leonardo Melosi

20686: Data, Power and Emissions: The Environmental Cost of AI

Alessandra Bonfiglioli, Crinò, Rosario, Mattia Filomena and Gino Gancia

20685: The Labor Market Consequences of Acquisitions

Jakob Elias Beuschlein, Sigurdsson, Jósef and Horng Chern Wong

20684: Financial Value of Nature: Coastal Housing Markets, Mangroves, and Climate Resilience

Teng Liu, Brook Constantz, Galina Hale and Michael Beck

20683: Bridging Quasi-Experimental and Structural Approaches for Robust Evaluation of US Airline Mergers

Gaurab Aryal, Anirban Chattopadhyaya and Federico Ciliberto

20682: Political Polarization and Human Capital Allocation

David Martinez-Miera and Carlos Sunyer

20681: Ex Machina: Financial Stability in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

Kartik Anand, Sophia Kazinnik, Agnese Leonello and Ettore Panetti

20680: FCI-Plot: Central Bank Communication Through Financial Conditions

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

20679: Global Trends in Innovation Patterns: A Complexity Approach

Christian Chacua, Shreyas Gadgin Matha, Matte Hartog, Ricardo Hausmann and Muhammed Yildirim

20678: Innovation Policies Under Economic Complexity

Christian Chacua, Shreyas Gadgin Matha, Matte Hartog, Ricardo Hausmann and Muhammed Yildirim

20677: Tariffs as Fiscal Policy

Kimberly Clausing and Maurice Obstfeld

20676: Air Quality and Conferences' Engagement

Gazzè, Ludovica, Tanu Gupta, Allen Huang, Valentina Londono, Santiago Saavedra and Mattie Toma

20675: Systemic Cyber Risk: Linking Measurement, Market Incentives, and Policy

Susan Athey, Neil Gandal and Tyler Moore

20674: Specialization in Banking

Kristian Blickle, Cecilia Parlatore Siritto and Anthony Saunders