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The Regional Keynesian Cross

Marco Bellifemine, Adrien Couturier and Rustam Jamilov

No 21076, CEPR Discussion Papers from Centre for Economic Policy Research

Abstract: We study how regional heterogeneity shapes the aggregate transmission of monetary policy and its distributional implications across space. We build a multi-region Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian model with 3,140 U.S. counties and cross-county differences in (i) intertemporal Marginal Propensities to Consume (MPCs) and (ii) non-tradable employment shares. We analytically characterize the nationwide consumption response to monetary policy in terms of the joint distribution of (i) and (ii). Using U.S. and Italian micro-data, we construct novel empirical measures of regional MPCs to validate our theory. Quantitatively, geographic heterogeneity leads to large distributional consequences of monetary policy across space and can sizably amplify its aggregate effects.

Keywords: Monetary; policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E12 E21 E23 E52 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2026-01
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