CEPR Discussion Papers

From C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
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14116: Social Insurance, Information Revelation, and Lack of Commitment

Luigi Iovino and Mikhail Golosov

14115: The Leverage Factor: Credit Cycles and Asset Returns

Alan Taylor and Josh Davis

14114: Using Cost Minimization to Estimate Markups

Jordi Jaumandreu and Ulrich Doraszelski

14113: A Generalized Model of Advertised Sales

Sandro Shelegia and Christopher Wilson

14112: Do Any Economists Have Superior Forecasting Skills?

Allan Timmermann, Ritong Qu and Yinchu Zhu

14111: The Interplay of Economic, Social and Political Fragmentation

,

14110: The Wife's Protector: A Quantitative Theory Linking Contraceptive Technology with the Decline in Marriage

Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner and Karen Kopecky

14109: Affirmative Action and Pre-College Human Capital

Mitra Akhtari and P. Laliberté, Jean-William

14108: Consumption Insurance Against Wage Risk: Family Labor Supply and Optimal Progressive Income Taxation

Dirk Krueger and Chunzan Wu

14107: Price Dividend Ratio and Long-Run Stock Returns: a Score Driven State Space Model

Ivan Petrella, Davide Delle Monache and Fabrizio Venditti

14106: Local Autonomy and Government Spending Multipliers: Evidence from European Regions

Evi Pappa, Akos Valentinyi and Markus Brueckner

14105: Benchmark interest rates when the government is risky

Mikhail Chernov, Patrick Augustin, Lukas Schmid and Dongho Song

14104: On the Relationship Between Domestic Saving and the Current Account: Evidence and Theory for Developing Countries

Evi Pappa, Markus Brueckner and Wojtek Paczos

14103: Searching Forever After

Yair Antler and Benjamin Bachi

14102: The innovation premium to soft skills in low-skilled occuptions

Rachel Griffith, Philippe Aghion, Richard Blundell and Antonin Bergeaud

14101: Brexit: Dynamic Voting with an Irreversible Option

Benny Moldovanu and Frank Rosar

14100: Cheating with (recursive) models

Kfir Eliaz, Ran Spiegler and Yair Weiss

14099: Unconventional Monetary Policy and Auction Cycles of Eurozone Sovereign Debt

Roel Beetsma and Josha van Spronsen

14098: Does Money Talk? Market Discipline through Selloffs and Boycotts

Mariassunta Giannetti, , and Nickolay Gantchev

14097: Fluctuations in Economic Uncertainty and Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks: Evidence Using Daily Surveys from Brazil

Allan Timmermann, Rafael Burjack and Ritong Qu

14096: Taxation and the External Wealth of Nations: Evidence from Bilateral Portfolio Holdings

Harry Huizinga, Maximilian Todtenhaupt, Johannes Voget and Wolf Wagner

14095: Embedded supervision: how to build regulation into blockchain finance

Raphael Auer

14094: A Theory of Falling Growth and Rising Rents

Timo Boppart, Philippe Aghion, Antonin Bergeaud, Peter J. Klenow and Huiyu Li

14093: In Praise of Snapshots

Ravi Kanbur

14092: From Secular Stagnation to Robocalypse? Implications of Demographic and Technological Changes

Juan F Jimeno and Henrique Basso

14091: Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election?

Emily Blanchard, Chad Bown and Davin Chor

14090: Extracting Implicit Country Weights in ECB’s Monetary Policy

Tavares, José and Pereira, Márcia

14089: The vagaries of the sea: evidence on the real effects of money from maritime disasters in the Spanish Empire

Adam Brzezinski, Yao Chen, Nuno Palma and Felix Ward

14088: Naivete and Sophistication in Initial and Repeated Play in Games

Nagore Iriberri and García-Pola, Bernardo

14087: Imperfect Information, Social Norms, and Beliefs in Networks

Yves Zenou and Marc Sommer

14086: School Tracking and Mental Health

Alexandra Roulet, Rikhard Petri Bôckerman, Mika Haapanen and Christopher Jepsen

14085: Rules and Commitment in Communication

,, Guilaume Frechette and Jacopo Perego

14084: The causal effect of education on chronic health conditions in the UK

Carol Propper, Katharina Janke, David Johnston and Michael Shields

14083: Reported MPC and Unobserved Heterogeneity

Luigi Pistaferri

14082: Gender Gaps in Education

Graziella Bertocchi and Monica Bozzano

14081: Economic growth, sectoral structures, and environmental methane footprints

Joseph Francois, Fernández-Amador, Octavio, Doris Oberdabernig and Patrick Tomberger

14080: Sector and Importer Determinants of Prices for Traded Intermediates

Joseph Francois, Eddy Bekkers and Miriam Manchin

14079: Trade Wars: Nobody Expects the Spanish Inquisition

Joseph Francois, Eddy Bekkers, Doug R Nelson and Hugo Rojas-Romagosa

14078: Bargaining at Retail Stores: Evidence from Vienna

Sandro Shelegia and Joshua Sherman

14077: Taxing Billionaires: Estate Taxes and the Geographical Location of the Ultra-Wealthy

Enrico Moretti and Daniel Wilson

14076: WTO'ing a Resolution to the China Subsidy Problem

Chad Bown and Jennifer Hillman

14075: Overcoming Free-Riding in Bandit Games

Sven Rady, Hörner, Johannes and Nicolas Klein

14074: Inflation at Risk

López-Salido, J David and Francesca Loria

14073: Mr. Keynes meets the Classics: Government Spending and the Real Exchange Rate

Benjamin Born, Francesco D'Ascanio, Müller, Gernot and Johannes Pfeifer

14072: Austerity and Public debt Dynamics

Carlo Favero and ,

14071: Aristocratic Privilege. Exploiting “Good†Institutions

Kim Oosterlinck, Loredana Ureche-Rangau and Jacques-Marie Vaslin

14070: High-Quality Versus Low-Quality Growth in Turkey - Causes and Consequences

Daron Acemoglu and Üçer, Murat

14069: Measuring and explaining management in schools: New approaches using public data

Daniela Scur, Clare Leaver and Renata Lemos

14068: The Impact of the First Professional Police Forces on Crime

Randi Hjalmarsson and Anna Bindler

14067: The Persistence of the Criminal Justice Gender Gap: Evidence from 200 Years of Judicial Decisions

Randi Hjalmarsson and Anna Bindler

14066: Competing Models

Andrea Prat, Montiel Olea , José Luis, Pietro Ortoleva and Mallesh Pai

14065: Chinese Financial Conditions and their Spillovers to the Global Economy and Markets

Jeremy Lawson, Abigail Watt, Carolina Martinez and Rong Fu

14064: Identifying and Estimating the Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: How to Do It And What Have We Learned?

Barbara Rossi

14063: Lemons and Peaches: A (Robust) Multi-stage Buying Mechanism with Multiple Applications

Hans Gersbach, Akaki Mamageishvili and Oriol Tejada

14062: Household Heterogeneity and the Transmission of Foreign Shocks

Kurt Mitman, Sergio de Ferra and Federica Romei

14061: Do doctors improve the health care of their parents? Evidence from admission lotteries

Bas van der Klaauw, Elisabeth Artmann and Hessel Oosterbeek

14060: Auctions with Unknown Capacities: Understanding Competition among Renewables

Gerard Llobet and Natalia Fabra

14059: “Too young to dieâ€. Deprivation measures combining poverty and premature mortality

Jean-Marie Baland, Benoît Decerf and Guilhem Cassan

14058: The Origination and Distribution of Money Market Instruments: Sterling Bills of Exchange during the First Globalisation

Olivier Accominotti, Delio Lucena and Stefano Ugolini

14057: The Limits of onetary Economics: On Money as a Medium of Exchange in Near-Cashless Credit Economies

Shengxing Zhang and Ricardo Lagos

14056: Impact of Syrian Refugees on Education Outcomes in Jordan

Mohamed Saleh, Ragui Assaad and ,

14055: Insolvency-Illiquidity, Macro Externalities and Regulation

Ester Faia

14054: Behavioral Responses to Wealth Taxes: Evidence from Switzerland

Brülhart, Marius, Jonathan Gruber, Matthias Krapf and Kurt Schmidheiny

14053: US Monetary Policy and International Risk Spillovers

Kalemli-Özcan, Sebnem

14052: Hysteresis from Employer Subsidies

David Seim, Emmanuel Saez and Benjamin Schoefer

14051: On Money As a Latent Medium of Exchange

Shengxing Zhang and Ricardo Lagos

14050: Is There a Zero Lower Bound? The Effects of Negative Policy Rates on Banks and Firms

Mariassunta Giannetti, Carlo Altavilla, Lorenzo Burlon and Sarah Holton

14049: Electoral Sentencing Cycles

Roberto Galbiati, David Abrams and Arnaud Philippe

14048: Rules versus Discretion in Bank Resolution

Lucy White and Ansgar Walther

14047: Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling

Lutz Kilian

14046: Undiscounted Bandit Games

Sven Rady and R Keller

14045: How do trade and communication costs shape the spatial organization of firms?

Jacques Thisse, Toshitaka Gokan and Sergey Kichko

14044: Procuring Medical Devices: Evidence from Italian Public Tenders

Francesco Decarolis and Vincenzo Atella

14043: A Theory of Simplicity in Games and Mechanism Design

Marek Pycia and Peter Troyan

14042: Reopening Pandora’s Box in Search of a WTO-Compatible Industrial Policy? The Brazil -Taxation Dispute

Emanuel Ornelas and Laura Puccio

14041: Are political and economic integration intertwined?

Tommaso Frattini, Bernt Bratsberg, Giovanni Facchini and Anna Rosso

14040: The geography of EU discontent

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Lewis Dijkstra and Hugo Poelman

14039: Trading and shareholder democracy

Doron Levit, Nadya Malenko and Ernst Maug

14038: Video Killed the Radio Star? Online Music Videos and Recorded Music Sales

Tobias Kretschmer and Christian Peukert

14037: The FOMC Risk Shift

Maik Schmeling, Andreas Schrimpf and Tim Kroencke

14036: Information Acquisition and Diffusion in Markets

Maarten Janssen and Atabek Atayev

14035: Market Definition and Competition Policy Enforcement in the Pharmaceutical Industry

Georges Siotis, Carmine Ornaghi and Micael Castanheira

14034: The Dollar During the Great Recession: US Monetary Policy Signaling and The Flight To Safety

Vania Stavrakeva and Jenny Tang

14033: Technology Treaties and Climate Change

Hans Gersbach and Marie-Catherine Riekhof

14032: What drives implementation of the European Union’s policy recommendations to its member countries?

Guntram Wolff and Konstantinos Efstathiou

14031: Tying in evolving industries, when future entry cannot be deterred

Chiara Fumagalli and Massimo Motta

14030: Monetary policy for commodity booms and busts

Silvana Tenreyro, Thomas Drechsel and Michael McLeay

14029: Can Risk Be Shared Across Investor Cohorts? Evidence from a Popular Savings Product

Johan Hombert and Victor Lyonnet

14028: When Correspondence Studies Fail to Detect Hiring Discrimination

Pierre Cahuc, Carcillo, Stéphane, Andreea Minea and Marie-Anne Valfort

14027: Transition from plan to market, height and well-being

Sergei Guriev, Alicia Adsera, Francesca Dalla Pozza, Lukas Kleine-Rueschkamp and Elena Nikolova

14026: Population aging and structural transformation

Andrei Levchenko, Javier Cravino and Marco Rojas

14025: When the U.S. catches a cold, Canada sneezes: a lower-bound tale told by deep learning

Vadym Lepetyuk and Serguei Maliar

14024: Will Artificial Intelligence Replace Computational Economists Any Time Soon?

Serguei Maliar and Pablo Winant

14023: The Primary Cause of European Inflation in 1500-1700: Precious Metals or Population? The English Evidence

Jacques Melitz and Anthony Edo

14022: 3G Internet and Confidence in Government

Ekaterina Zhuravskaya, Sergei Guriev and Nikita Melnikov

14021: Threats to Central Bank Independence: High-Frequency Identification with Twitter

Francesco Bianchi, Thilo Kind and Howard Kung

14020: Hidden Wealth

Neil Cummins

14019: Dominance and the pre-emption of competition following the Servier and Paroxetine GSK judgments

Georges Siotis, Vilen Lipatov and Damien Neven

14018: Family Ownership and Antitrust Violations

Mario Amore and Riccardo Marzano

14017: Stock Market's Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission: The Cash Flow Effect

Gürkaynak, Refet, Sang Seok Lee and Hatice Karasoy Can