CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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12839: New Perspectives on the Decline of US Manufacturing Employment

Peter Schott and Justin Pierce

12838: Dangers of a Double-Bottom Line: A Poverty Targeting Experiment Misses Both Targets

Dean Karlan, Adam Osman and Jonathan Zinman

12837: Real interest rates, exchange rates and the ZLB: on Secular Stagnation

Sweder van Wijnbergen

12836: Pay for locally monitored performance? A welfare analysis for teacher attendance in Ugandan primary schools

Clare Leaver, Jacobus Cilliers, Ibrahim Kasirye, Pieter Serneels and Andrew Zeitlin

12835: Firm Sorting and Agglomeration

Gaubert, Cécile

12834: Waiting for my neighbors

Pauli Murto and Sidartha Gordon

12832: Missed Sales and the Pricing of Ancillary Goods

Renato Gomes and Jean Tirole

12831: Some simple Bitcoin Economics

Harald Uhlig and Linda Schilling

12830: Winning by Losing: Evidence on the Long-Run Effects of Mergers

Enrico Moretti, Ulrike M. Malmendier and Florian Peters

12829: Firms and Economic Performance: A View from Trade

Gino Gancia, Alessandra Bonfiglioli and Crinò, Rosario

12828: How Much Consumption Insurance in Bewley Models with Endogenous Family Labor Supply?

Dirk Krueger and Chunzan Wu

12827: The Levered Equity Risk Premium and Credit Spreads: A Unified Framework

Harjoat Bhamra, Lars-Alexander Kuehn and Ilya Strebulaev

12826: Independent fiscal councils: recent trends and performance

Roel Beetsma, Xavier Debrun, Xiangming Fang, Young Kim, Victor Lledo, Samba Mbaye and Xiaoxiao Zhang

12825: The Role of Financial Policy

Roger Farmer

12824: Volatility, diversification and contagion

Enrique Sentana

12823: A Model of Search with Price Discrimination

Natalia Fabra and Mar Reguant

12822: Capital-Skill Complementarity and the Emergence of Labor Emancipation

Francesco Cinnirella, Quamrul Ashraf, Oded Galor, Boris Gershman and Erik Hornung

12821: Resource Misallocation in European Firms: The Role of Constraints, Firm Characteristics and Managerial Decisions

Jan Svejnar, Debora Revoltella, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Christoph Weiss

12820: The Political Economy of Ideas: On Ideas versus Interests in Policymaking

Dani Rodrik and Sharun Mukand

12819: Dancing with the Stars: Innovation through Interactions

Stefanie Stantcheva, Ufuk Akcigit, Santiago Caicedo, Ernest Miguelez and Valerio Sterzi

12818: Property rights on First Nations' reserve land

Anke Kessler and Fernando Aragon

12817: Hedger of Last Resort: Evidence from Brazilian FX Interventions, Local Credit and Global Financial Cycles

Andrea Polo, Rodrigo Gonzalez, Dmitry Khametshin and Peydró, José-Luis

12816: On The Volume of Redistribution: Across Income Levels and Across Groups

Ravi Kanbur

12815: How long do healthy habits last? The role of prices

Marit Hinnosaar

12814: The Value of a Statistical Life in a Dictatorship: Evidence from Stalin

Shlomo Weber, Paul Castaneda Dower and Andrei Markevich

12813: Search and Equilibrium Prices: Theory and Evidence from Retail Diesel

Luis Cabral, Dominik Schober and Oliver Woll

12812: Complementarity, Income, and Substitution: A U(C,N) Utility for Macro

Florin Bilbiie

12811: Can autocracy promote literacy? evidence from a cultural alignment success story

Nuno Palma and Jaime Brown Reis

12810: Randomizing Religion: The Impact of Protestant Evangelism on Economic Outcomes

Dean Karlan, James Choi and Gharad Bryan

12809: International Joint Ventures and Internal versus External Technology Transfer: Evidence from China

Wolfgang Keller, William Ridley, Larry Qiu and Kun Jiang

12808: Real Interest Rates and Productivity in Small Open Economies

Tommaso Monacelli, Luca Sala and Daniele Siena

12807: From Welfare to Warfare: New Deal Spending and Patriotism During World War II

Hans-Joachim Voth and Bruno Caprettini

12806: Financial crises and political radicalization: How failing banks paved Hitler's path to power

Hans-Joachim Voth, Sebastian Doerr, Stefan Gissler and Peydró, José-Luis

12805: News and Archival Information in Games

Ran Spiegler

12804: Incentive Compatible Estimators

Kfir Eliaz and Ran Spiegler

12803: Power to the Periphery? The failure of Regional Convergence in Canada, 1890-2006

Rosés, Joan R. and Chris Minns

12802: Benefit reentitlement conditions in unemployment insurance schemes

Torben M Andersen, Michael Svarer and Kristoffersen, Mark Strøm

12801: The Tyranny of the Single Minded: Guns, Environment, and Abortion

Paola Conconi, Laurent Bouton, Francisco Pino and ,

12800: Financial Intermediary Capital

Adriano Rampini and S Viswanathan

12799: Income Inequality in France, 1900-2014: Evidence from Distributional National Accounts (DINA)

Thomas Piketty, Bertrand Garbinti and Jonathan Goupille-Lebret

12798: Forensics, Elasticities and Benford's Law

Beata Javorcik and Banu Demir

12797: Policy Experimentation, Redistribution and Voting Rules

T. Renee Bowen and Vincent Anesi

12796: Effectiveness of Connected Legislators

Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza and Eleonora Patacchini

12795: Beyond Tariff Reductions: What Extra Boost From Trade Agreement Provisions?

Swati Dhingra, Rebecca Freeman and Eleonora Mavroeidi

12794: On the Direct and Indirect Real Effects of Credit Supply Shocks

García-Santana, Manuel, Laura Alfaro and Enrique Moral-Benito

12793: The Search for a Euro Area Safe Asset

Jeromin Zettelmeyer and Alvaro Leandro

12792: Identifying Network Ties from Panel Data: Theory and an Application to Tax Competition

Aureo de Paula, Imran Rasul and Pedro Souza

12791: Regulatory Competition in Banking: A General Equilibrium Approach

Hans Gersbach, Hans Haller and Stylianos Papageorgiou

12790: What drives the legalization of immigrants? Evidence from IRCA

Giovanni Facchini, Alessandra Casarico and Tommaso Frattini

12789: A Theory of Small Campaign Contributions

Micael Castanheira, Laurent Bouton and Allan Drazen

12788: The US Gains From Trade: Valuation Using the Demand for Foreign Factor Services

Arnaud Costinot and Rodríguez-Clare, Andres

12787: Equilibrium Indeterminacy with Parental Altruism

Pietro Reichlin

12786: The Dynamic Effects of Computerized VAT Invoices on Chinese Manufacturing Firms

Nancy Qian, Yu Liu, Jaya Wen and Haichao Fan

12785: Democratic Tipping Points

Antonio Ciccone

12784: Debt Overhang and Investment Efficiency

Marcin Wolski, Francesca Barbiero and Alexander Popov

12783: BKK the EZ Way. International Long-Run Growth News and Capital Flows

Mariano Croce, Ric Colacito, Steven Ho and Philip Howard

12782: Specializing in Generality: Firm Strategies When Intermediate Markets Work

Alfonso Gambardella, Raffaele Conti and Elena Novelli

12781: Tax Evasion and Inequality

Gabriel Zucman, Niels Johannesen and Alstadsæter, Annette

12780: Wealth Taxation and Wealth Accumulation: Theory and Evidence from Denmark

Gabriel Zucman, Katrine Jakobsen, Kristian Jakobsen and Henrik Kleven

12779: Who Owns the Wealth in Tax Havens? Macro Evidence and Implications for Global Inequality

Gabriel Zucman, Alstadsæter, Annette and Niels Johannesen

12778: Capital Markets and Grain Prices: Assessing the Storage Cost Approach

Wolfgang Keller, , and Xin Wang

12777: Sovereign Defaults in Court

Christoph Trebesch, Julian Schumacher and Henrik Enderlein

12776: The Informational Effects of Tightening Oil and Gas Disclosure Rules

Gaizka Ormazabal, Marc Badia, Miguel Duro and Bjørn Jørgensen

12775: The Role of Stakeholders in Corporate Governance: A View from Accounting Research

Gaizka Ormazabal

12774: Race, Representation and Local Governments in the US South: the effect of the Voting Rights Act

Giovanni Facchini, Andrea Bernini and Cecilia Testa

12773: Horizontal Mergers and Innovation

Bruno Jullien and Yassine Lefouili

12772: The Legacy of Colonial Medicine in Central Africa

Sara Lowes and Eduardo Montero

12771: Connecting the Countryside via E-Commerce: Evidence from China

Benjamin Faber, Lizhi Liu, Yizhen Gu and Victor Couture

12770: The Household Fallacy

Roger Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk

12769: Prices and Inflation when Government Bonds are Net Wealth

Marcus Hagedorn

12768: Plotting interest rates: The FOMC’s projections and the economy

Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart

12767: Common Factors of Commodity Prices

Domenico Giannone, Laurent Ferrara and Simona Delle Chiaie

12766: Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability?

Kristin Forbes, Toni Ahnert, Christian Friedrich and Dennis Reinhardt

12765: Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises - The Role of Information Shocks

Peter Karadi and Marek Jarociński

12764: The Economics of Supranational Bank Supervision

Thorsten Beck, Wolf Wagner and Consuelo Silva-Buston

12763: A Dialogue between a Populist and an Economist

Antonio Spilimbergo, Tito Boeri, Prachi Mishra and Chris Papageorgiou

12762: Beauty Contests and the Term Structure

Martin Ellison and Andreas Tischbirek

12761: The Capital Markets Union: Key Challenges

Pástor, Luboš and Franklin Allen

12760: Expected Correlation and Future Market Returns

Adrian Buss, Grigory Vilkov and ,

12759: Horizontal Mergers and Product Innovation

Tommaso Valletti, Gregor Langus and Giulio Federico

12758: Global Alcohol Markets: Evolving Consumption Patterns, Regulations and Industrial Organizations

Kym Anderson, Giulia Meloni and Johan Swinnen

12757: Learning from Nationally Determined Contributions

Carlo Carraro, Joseph Aldy, William Pizer, Keigo Akimoto, Massimo Tavoni and Lara Aleluia Reis

12756: Government education expenditures, pre-primary education and school performance: A cross-country analysis

Daniela Del Boca, Chiara Monfardini and Sarah See

12755: Financial Policy

,

12754: Early Gender Gaps Among University Graduates

Marco Francesconi and Matthias Parey

12753: Ramsey Taxation in the Global Economy

Pedro Teles, Juan Pablo Nicolini and Varadarajan Chari

12752: Firm performance and participation in public procurement: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Marco Sanfilippo

12751: Preventives Versus Treatments Redux: Tighter Bounds on Distortions in Innovation Incentives with an Application to the Global D

Michael Kremer and Christopher Snyder

12750: Sovereign Default: The Role of Expectations

Pedro Teles, ,, Gaston Navarro and Juan Pablo Nicolini

12749: Regional Economic Development in Europe, 1900-2010: a description of the Patterns

Nikolaus Wolf and Rosés, Joan R.

12748: Firm-Specific Training

Leonardo Felli and Christopher J Harris

12747: Computerizing Industries and Routinizing Jobs: Explaining Trends in Aggregate Productivity

Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, Yongseok Shin and Sangmin Aum

12746: War of the Waves: Radio and Resistance During World War II

Guido Tabellini, Francesco Sobbrio and Stefano Gagliarducci

12745: Roman Roads to Prosperity: Persistence and Non-Persistence of Public Goods Provision

Carl-Johan Dalgaard, Nicolai Kaarsen, Ola Olsson and Pablo Selaya

12744: Childless Aristocrats. Inheritance and the extensive margin of fertility

Paula Gobbi and Goñi, Marc

12743: How Much Market Access? A Case study of Jordan’s Exports to the EU

Jaime de Melo, Brunelin, Stéphanie and Alberto Portugal-Perez

12742: Loan Contract Structure and Adverse Selection: Survey Evidence from Uganda

,, Andreas Madestam, Miri Stryjan and Christian Ahlin

12741: The Effects of Foreign Aid on Refugee Flows

Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs and Sarah Langlotz

12740: The culture of overconfidence

V Bhaskar and Caroline Thomas

12739: Price Level Targeting with Evolving Credibility

Seppo Honkapohja and Kaushik Mitra