CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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16153: Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions: A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons

Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov, Luca Ricci, Alejandro Werner and Rene Zamarripa

16152: The Macroeconomic Impact of Social Unrest

Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov, Samuel Pienknagura and Luca Ricci

16151: The "kill zone": Copying, acquisition and start-ups' direction of innovation

Sandro Shelegia and Massimo Motta

16150: Airbnb and Rental Markets: Evidence from Berlin

Tomaso Duso, Claus Michelsen, Maximilian Schaefer and Kevin Tran

16149: Wind of Change? Cultural Determinants of Maternal Labor Supply

Anna Raute, Barbara Boelmann and Uta Schonberg

16148: The Cross-border Effects of Bank Capital Regulation

Saleem Bahaj and Frederic Malherbe

16147: Bias in expert product reviews

Jan C. van Ours and Ben Vollaard

16146: Capital Inflows and Property Prices: Ethnicity, Education, and Spillovers

Sudipto Dasgupta and Yuk Ying Chang

16145: Outlasting the Pandemic: Corporate Payout and Financing Decisions During Covid-19

Allan Timmermann, Davide Pettenuzzo and Riccardo Sabbatucci

16144: Help to Spend? The Housing Market and Consumption Response to Relaxing the Down Payment Constraint

Belinda Tracey and Neeltje Van Horen

16143: Earnings Inequality and the Minimum Wage: Evidence from Brazil

Christian Moser and Niklas Engbom

16142: Banking on Experience

Hans Degryse, Sotirios Kokas and Raoul Minetti

16141: Short-term Planning, Monetary Policy, and Macroeconomic Persistence

López-Salido, J David, Christopher Gust and Edward Herbst

16140: The 15-Hour Week: Keynes's Prediction Revisited

Nicholas Crafts

16139: Complementarities in Infrastructure: Evidence from Rural India

Oliver Vanden Eynde and Liam Wren-Lewis

16138: Monetary-Fiscal Crosswinds in the European Monetary Union

Lucrezia Reichlin, Giovanni Ricco and Tarbé, Matthieu

16137: The Dynamic Response of Municipal Budgets to Revenue Shocks

Jan Stuhler and Ines Helm

16136: The Societal Responses to COVID-19: Evidence from the G7 Countries

Dennis Snower and Katharina Lima de Miranda

16135: A Generation of Italian Economists

Ugo Panizza, Enrico Nano and Martina Viarengo

16134: Making waves: Monetary policy and its asymmetric spillovers in a globalised world

Luca Dedola, Ca’Zorzi, Michele, Georgios Georgiadis, Marek Jarociński, Livio Stracca and Georg Strasser

16133: Housing market discount rates: Evidence from bargaining and bidding wars

Hans Koster and Jan Rouwendal

16132: Welfare and Output with Income Effects and Taste Shocks

David Baqaee and Ariel Burstein

16131: How Do Households Respond to Job Loss? Lessons from Multiple High-Frequency Data Sets

Claus Kreiner, Asger Lau Andersen, Amalie Jensen, Niels Johannesen and Adam Sheridan

16130: The Impact of Online Competition on Local Newspapers: Evidence from the Introduction of Craigslist

Milena Djourelova, Ruben Durante and Gregory J. Martin

16129: Direct, Spillover and Welfare Effects of Regional Firm Subsidies

Sebastian Siegloch, Wehrhöfer, Nils and Tobias Etzel

16128: Foreign Exchange Volume

Lucio Sarno, Giovanni Cespa, Antonio Gargano and Steven Riddiough

16127: Aging and the Real Interest Rate in Japan: A Labor Market Channel

Ippei Fujiwara and Shigeru Fujita

16126: U.S. Market Concentration and Import Competition

Mary Amiti and Sebastian Heise

16125: Assessing the Stabilizing Effects of Unemployment Benefit Extensions

Antonella Trigari and Alexey Gorn

16124: CIP Deviations, the Dollar, and Frictions in International Capital Markets

Jesse Schreger and Wenxin Du

16123: Credit Supply, Firms, and Earnings Inequality

Christian Moser, Farzad Saidi, Benjamin Wirth and Stefanie Wolter

16122: Will COVID-19 Have Long-Lasting Effects on Inequality? Evidence from Past Pandemics

Jonathan Ostry, Davide Furceri, Prakash Loungani and Pietro Pizzuto

16121: Religion and Persecution

Laura Panza and Umair Khalil

16120: Migration and Labor Market Integration in Europe

David Dorn and Zweimüller, Josef

16119: High-Skilled Services and Development in China

Berthold Herrendorf and Lei Fang

16118: The Evolution of the Earnings Distribution in a Volatile Economy: Evidence from Argentina

Andres Blanco, Bernardo Díaz de Astarloa, Andres Drenik, Christian Moser and Danilo Trupkin

16117: Earnings Inequality and Dynamics in the Presence of Informality: The Case of Brazil

Niklas Engbom, Gustavo Gonzaga, Christian Moser and Roberta Olivieri

16116: THE STATE CAPACITY CEILING ON TAX RATES: EVIDENCE FROM RANDOMIZED TAX ABATEMENTS IN THE DRC

Jonathan Weigel, Augustin Bergeron and Gabriel Tourek

16115: Race-related Research in Economics and Other Social Sciences

Imran Rasul, Arun Advani, Elliott Ash and David Cai

16114: The Cross-Sectional Implications of the Social Discount Rate

Maya Eden

16113: Some Economics of Movie Exhibition: Increasing Returns and Imax Revenue Premium

Pascal Courty

16112: Lockdowns as options

Sweder van Wijnbergen

16111: Market Structure, Investment and Technical Efficiencies in Mobile Telecommunications

Marc Ivaldi, Jonathan Elliott, Georges Vivien Houngbonon and Paul Scott

16110: How Resilient Is Mortgage Credit Supply? Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic

Aurel Hizmo, Lauren Lambie-Hanson, James Vickery and Paul Willen

16109: Have Risk Premia Vanished?

Allan Timmermann and Simon Smith

16108: Worse Than You Think: Public Debt Forecast Errors in Advanced and Developing Economies

Jonathan Ostry, Julia Estefania Flores, Davide Furceri and Siddharth Kothari

16107: Platform Competition and Online Communities: Evidence from Game Wikis

Tobias Kretschmer and Johannes Loh

16106: Regulating Platforms as Utilities? A Business Model Perspective

Tobias Kretschmer and ,

16105: The Cross-Section of Household Preferences

Laurent Calvet, John Campbell, Francisco Gomes and Paolo Sodini

16104: Friday Morning Fever. Evidence from a Randomized Experiment on Sick Leave Monitoring in the Public Sector

Tito Boeri, Edoardo Di Porto, Paolo Naticchioni and Vincenzo Scrutinio

16103: Formation of College Plans: Expected Returns, Preferences and Adjustment Process

Ghazala Azmat and Katja Kaufmann

16102: Losing on the Home Front? Battlefield Casualties, Media, and Public Support for Foreign Interventions

Oliver Vanden Eynde, Thiemo Fetzer, Pedro CL Souza and Austin L. Wright

16101: Spending Allocation under Nominal Uncertainty: A Model of Effective Price Rigidity

Luigi Paciello and Gaetano Gaballo

16100: The Perils of Friendly Oversight

Dino Gerardi, Ignacio Monzon and Edoardo Grillo

16099: Understanding Performance in Test Taking: The Role of Question Difficulty Order

Nagore Iriberri, Lina Anaya, Pedro Rey Biel and Gema Zamarro

16098: The Political Economy of Preferential Trade Agreements: An Empirical Investigation

Giovanni Facchini, Peri Silva and Gerald Willmann

16097: QUANTIFYING MARKET POWER AND BUSINESS DYNAMISM IN THE MACROECONOMY

Jan Eeckhout, Jan De Loecker and Simon Mongey

16096: Optimal Price Targeting

Adam Smith, Stephan Seiler and Ishant Aggarwal

16095: Maternal labor supply: Perceived returns, constraints, and social norms

Christopher Rauh, Teodora Boneva and Katja Kaufmann

16094: Household Debt Overhang Did Hardly Cause a Larger Spending Fall during the Financial Crisis in Australia

Lars Svensson

16093: Trade Protection, Stock-Market Returns, and Welfare

Mary Amiti, Sang Hoon Kong and David Weinstein

16092: Freedom of the Press? Catholic Censorship during the Counter-Reformation

Sascha Becker, Francisco Pino and ,

16091: Equilibrium Securitization with Diverse Beliefs

Shengxing Zhang, Andrew Ellis and Michele Piccione

16090: Imports and the CO2 Emissions of Firms

Rikard Forslid, , and Ossian Prane

16089: Credit Horizons

Shengxing Zhang, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki and John Moore

16088: Fiscal Policy Challenges for Latin America during the Next Stages of the Pandemic: The Need for a Fiscal Pact

Mauricio Cardenas, Luca Ricci, Jorge E Roldos and Alejandro Werner

16087: Gainers and Losers from Market Integration

Hans Gersbach and Hans Haller

16086: A Lingua Franca for Kurdish Populations

Shlomo Weber, Sacha Bourgeois-Gironde, Victor Ginsburgh and Hossein Hassani

16085: Local Public Goods and the Spatial Distribution of Economic Activity

Arthur Guillouzouic and Joan Monras

16084: Selecting the Most Effective Nudge: Evidence from a Large-Scale Experiment on Immunization

Esther Duflo, Abhijit Banerjee, John Floretta, Anna Schrimpf, Anirudh Sankar, Francine Loza, Harini Kannan, Matthew Jackson, Arun G. Chandrasekhar, Maheshwor Shrestha and Suresh Dalpath

16083: Real and Private Value Assets

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, William Goetzmann and Christophe Spaenjers

16082: The U.S. Public Debt Valuation Puzzle

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Zhengyang Jiang, Hanno Lustig and Mindy Xiaolan

16081: Financial and Total Wealth Inequality with Declining Interest Rates

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Dan Greenwald, Matteo Leombroni and Hanno Lustig

16080: Flattening the Curve: Pandemic-Induced Revaluation of Urban Real Estate

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Arpit Gupta, Vrinda Mittal and Jonas Peeters

16079: How Does Monetary Policy Affect Income and Wealth Inequality? Evidence from Quantitative Easing in the Euro Area

Michele Lenza and Jiri Slacalek

16078: A Policy Matrix for Inclusive Growth

Stefanie Stantcheva and Dani Rodrik

16077: The Fundamental Surplus Strikes Again

Lars Ljungqvist and Thomas Sargent

16076: The Dynamics of Return Migration, Human Capital Accumulation, and Wage Assimilation

Christian Dustmann, Jerome Adda and Joseph-Simon Goerlach

16075: "Crime and Punishment?" How Russian Banks Anticipated and Dealt with Global Financial Sanctions

Steven Ongena, Mikhail Mamonov and Anna Pestova

16074: Decision rules for long-term value creation

Dirk Schoenmaker, Willem Schramade and Reinier De Adelhart Toorop

16073: A Model of Long-Term Value Creation

Dirk Schoenmaker, Lars Kurznack and Willem Schramade

16072: Firm growth in times of crisis

Jozef Konings and Aigerim Yergabulova

16071: The Economic Ripple Effects of COVID-19

Francisco Buera, Roberto Fattal Jaef, Hugo Hopenhayn, Pablo Neumeyer and Yongseok Shin

16070: The Great COVID-19 Vaccine Rollout: Behavioral and Policy Responses

Flavio Toxvaerd and Christopher Auld

16069: The Toll of Tariffs: Protectionism, Education and Fertility in Late 19th Century France

Vincent Bignon and García-Peñalosa, Cecilia

16068: Real Responses to Anti-tax Avoidance: Evidence from the UK Worldwide Debt Cap

Katarzyna Bilicka, Jing Xing and Yaxuan Qi

16067: The Fruits of El Dorado: The Global Impact of American Precious Metals

Nuno Palma and Leticia Arroyo Abad

16066: Achievement Rank Affects Performance and Major Choices in College

Zölitz, Ulf, Benjamin Elsner and Ingo Isphording

16065: Uncertainty in the Analytic Climate Economy

Christian Traeger

16064: Managerial Talent and Managerial Practices: Are They Complements?

Audinga Baltrunaite, Giulia Bovini and Sauro Mocetti

16063: Opening up Military Innovation:Causal Effects of ‘Bottom-Up’ Reforms to U.S. Defense Research

John van Reenen, Sabrina Howell and Jason Rathje

16062: Technology, Market Structure and the Gains from Trade

Giammario Impullitti, Omar Licandro and Pontus Rendahl

16061: Limits to Private Climate Change Mitigation

Dalya Elmalt and Divya Kirti

16060: Corruption and Firm Growth: Evidence from around the World

Sergei Guriev, Raymond Fisman, Carolin Ioramashvili and Alexander Plekhanov

16059: Household Debt Overhang Did Hardly Cause a Larger Spending Fall during the Financial Crisis in the UK

Lars Svensson

16058: Exchange Rates and Sovereign Risk

Lucio Sarno, Pasquale Della Corte, Maik Schmeling and Christian Wagner

16057: The Best at the Top? Candidate Ranking Strategies under Closed List Proportional Representation

Nicolas Sahuguet, Crutzen, Benoît Sy and Hideo Konishi

16056: Board composition and performance of state-owned enterprises: Quasi-experimental evidence

Audinga Baltrunaite, Mario Cannella, Sauro Mocetti and Giacomo Roma

16055: The Long-Run Impact of the Dissolution of the English Monasteries

James A. Robinson, Leander Heldring and Sebastian Vollmer

16054: The Real Effects of Bank Runs. Evidence from the French Great Depression (1930-1931)

Eric Monnet, , and Stefano Ungaro