Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk: Smoothing, Asset Pricing and Terms of Trade

Giancarlo Corsetti, Anna Lipinska and Giovanni Lombardo

No 16443, CEPR Discussion Papers from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers

Abstract: Crises and tail events have asymmetric effects across borders, raising the value of arrangements improving insurance of macroeconomic risk. Using a two-country DSGE model, we provide an analytical and quantitative analysis of the channels through which countries gain from sharing (tail) risk. Riskier countries gain in smoother consumption but lose in relative wealth and average consumption. Safer countries benefit from higher wealth and better average terms of trade. Calibrated using the empirical distribution of moments of GDP-growth across countries, the model suggests significant quantitative effects. We offer an algorithm for the correct solution of the equilibrium using DSGE models under complete markets, at higher order of approximation.

Keywords: international risk sharing; Asymmetry; Fat tails; Welfare (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 F41 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021-08
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Related works:
Working Paper: Sharing asymmetric tail risk smoothing, asset pricing and terms of trade (2021)
Working Paper: Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk Smoothing, Asset Pricing and Terms of Trade (2021)
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