CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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9824: Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs and Economic Activity

Mark Gertler and Peter Karadi

9823: Oil Price Shocks: Causes and Consequences

Lutz Kilian

9822: The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market

Pietro Veronesi, Pástor, Luboš and Bryan Kelly

9821: Missing Gains from Trade?

Stephen Redding and Marc Melitz

9820: Stabilization policy, rational expectations and price-level versus infl?ation targeting: a survey

A. Patrick Minford and Michael Hatcher

9819: Coal and the European Industrial Revolution

Kevin O'Rourke and Alan Fernihough

9818: We're Number 1: Price Wars for Market Share Leadership

Luis Cabral

9817: Price Distortions in High-Frequency Markets

Jakub Steiner and Colin Stewart

9816: Diversification of Geographic Risk in Retail Bank Networks: Evidence from Bank Expansion after the Riegle-Neal Act

Victor Aguirregabiria and Hui Wang

9815: Markov-Switching Mixed-Frequency VAR Models

Massimiliano Marcellino and Claudia Foroni

9814: X-Games

Ran Spiegler and Kfir Eliaz

9813: Market-based Lobbying: Evidence from Advertising Spending in Italy

Eliana La Ferrara, Stefano DellaVigna and Brian Kinght

9812: The Relevance or Otherwise of the Central Bank's Balance Sheet

David Miles and Jochen Schanz

9811: Microcredit Impacts: Evidence from a Randomized Microcredit Program Placement Experiment by Compartamos Banco

Manuela Angelucci, Jonathan Zinman and Dean Karlan

9810: Can competition reduce quality?

Kurt Brekke and Luigi Siciliani

9809: Heterogenous switching costs

Crémer, Jacques, Gary Biglaiser and Gergely Dobos

9808: Speculation in the Oil Market

Ivan Petrella and Luciana Juvenal

9807: When Does FDI Have Positive Spillovers? Evidence from 17 Transition Market Economies

Jan Svejnar, Katherine Terrell and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

9806: Understanding the Gains from Wage Flexibility: The Exchange Rate Connection

Galí, Jordi and Tommaso Monacelli

9805: How Urbanization Affect Employment and Social Interactions

Yves Zenou

9804: Heterogeneous Peer Effects in Education

Yves Zenou, Eleonora Patacchini and Edoardo Rainone

9803: The Impact of News and the SMP on Realized (Co)Variances in the Eurozone Sovereign Debt Market

Roel Beetsma, Frank de Jong, Massimo Giuliodori and Daniel Widijanto

9802: Never Say Never: Commentary on a Policymaker?s Reflections

Maurice Obstfeld

9801: Mitigating long-run health effects of drought: Evidence from South Africa

Taryn Dinkelman

9800: Testing Macroprudential Stress Tests: The Risk of Regulatory Risk Weights

Robert Engle, Viral Acharya and Diane Pierret

9799: Per-Capita Income as a Determinant of International Trade and Environmental Policies

James Markusen

9798: Capital Controls and Macroprudential Measures: What Are They Good For?

Marcel Fratzscher, Kristin Forbes and Roland Straub

9797: Risk, Insurance and Wages in General Equilibrium

Ahmed Mobarak and Mark Rosenzweig

9796: Inference Based on SVAR Identified with Sign and Zero Restrictions: Theory and Applications

Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco, , and Jonas E. Arias

9795: State dependent monetary policy

Francesco Lippi, Nicholas Trachter and Stefania Ragni

9794: Economic Transition and Private-Sector Labor Demand: Evidence from Urban China

Nancy Qian, ,, Lakshmi Iyer and Xiaoxue Zhao

9793: Foreign Direct Investment and Domestic Entrepreneurship: Blessing or Curse?

Saul Estrin, Utz Weitzel, Danakol, Seçil Hülya and Paul Reynolds

9792: Has the U.S. Finance Industry Become Less Efficient? On the Theory and Measurement of Financial Intermediation

Thomas Philippon

9791: On absolute auctions and secret reserve prices

Philippe Jehiel and Laurent Lamy

9790: On discrimination in procurement auctions

Philippe Jehiel and Laurent Lamy

9789: Incentive Pay and Performance: Insider Econometrics in a Multi-Unit Firm

Jan Svejnar and Hein Bogaard

9788: Does Wealth Inequality Matter for Growth? The Effect of Billionaire Wealth, Income Distribution, and Poverty

Jan Svejnar and Sutirtha Bagchi

9787: Technological Foundations of Political Instability

Konstantin Sonin, Dmitry Dagaev, Natalia Lamberova and Anton Sobolev

9785: Efficient Competition through Cheap Talk: Competing Auctions and Competitive Search without Ex Ante Price Commitment

Philipp Kircher and Kyungmin Kim

9784: Unintended Consequences of LOLR Facilities: The Case of Illiquid Leverage

Viral Acharya and Bruce Tuckman

9783: Mapping Crisis-Era Protectionism in the Asia-Pacific Region

Simon Evenett

9782: Mapping Crisis-Era Protectionism in Latin America and the Caribbean

Simon Evenett

9781: A Fragmenting Global Economy: A Weakened WTO, Mega FTAs, and Murky Protectionism

Vinod K Aggarwal and Simon Evenett

9780: The Doha Round Impasse: A Graphical Account

Simon Evenett

9779: Emerging Economies, Productivity Growth, and Trade with Resource-Rich Economies by 2030

Kym Anderson and Anna Strutt

9778: A high frequency assessment of the ECB Securities Markets Programme

Eric Ghysels, Simone Manganelli, , and Julien Idier

9777: Do inventors talk to strangers? On proximity and collaborative knowledge creation

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Max Nathan and Riccardo Crescenzi

9776: When Credit Dries Up: Job Losses in the Great Recession

Samuel Bentolila, Marcel Jansen, Jiménez, Gabriel and Sonia Ruano

9775: Childcare Subsidies and Household Labor Supply

Nezih Guner, Gustavo Ventura and Remzi Kaygusuz

9774: Monopoly Insurance with Endogenous Information

Johan Lagerlof and Schottmüller, Christoph

9773: Follow the Money: Methods for Identifying Consumption and Investment Responses to a Liquidity Shock

Jonathan Zinman, Dean Karlan and Adam Osman

9772: Baumol?s cost disease and the sustainability of the welfare state

Torben M Andersen and Claus Kreiner

9771: Carry

Tobias J Moskowitz, Lasse Pedersen, Ralph Koijen and Evert B. Vrugt

9770: Small and large price changes and the propagation of monetary shocks

Fernando Alvarez, Francesco Lippi and ,

9769: Buffett?s Alpha

Lasse Pedersen, Andrea Frazzini and David Kabiller

9768: Do High-Frequency Financial Data Help Forecast Oil Prices? The MIDAS Touch at Work

Lutz Kilian and Christiane Baumeister

9767: Safe Assets, Liquidity and Monetary Policy

Pierpaolo Benigno and Salvatore Nisticò

9766: Why are some regions more innovative than others? The role of firm size diversity

Iain Cockburn, Ajay Agrawal, Alberto Galasso and Alexander Oettl

9765: Comparative Advantage and Optimal Trade Policy

Dave Donaldson, Arnaud Costinot, Iván Werning and Jonathan Vogel

9764: Crowding Out Redefined: The Role of Reserve Accumulation

Carmen Reinhart and Takeshi Tashiro

9763: The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s

A. Patrick Minford, Zhirong Ou and Jingwen Fan

9762: The distinct effects of Information Technology and Communication Technology on firm organization

John van Reenen, Nicholas Bloom, Luis Garicano and Raffaella Sadun

9761: Sovereign Debt Markets in Turbulent Times: Creditor Discrimination and Crowding-Out Effects

Jaume Ventura, Fernando Broner, Martín, Alberto and Aitor Erce

9760: Resetting the Urban Network: 117-2012

Guy Michaels and Ferdinand Rauch

9759: The Great Pyramids of America: A Revised History of US Business Groups, Corporate Ownership and Regulation, 1930-1950

Yishay Yafeh, Eugene Kandel and ,

9758: Are the Benefits of Export Support Durable? Evidence from Tunisia

Aaditya Mattoo, Olivier Cadot, Julien Gourdon and Ana Fernandes

9757: After-school care and parents? labor supply

Michael Lechner, Christina Felfe and Petra Thiemann

9756: Some Lessons from Six Years of Practical Inflation Targeting

Lars Svensson

9755: Speculation, Risk Premia and Expectations in the Yield Curve

Kristoffer Nimark and Francisco Barillas

9754: Banking Integration and House Price Comovement

David Thesmar, Augustin Landier and David Sraer

9753: Facilitating Consumer Learning in Insurance Markets?What Are the Welfare Effects?

Johan Lagerlof and Schottmüller, Christoph

9752: The Allocation of Time in Sleep: a Social Network Model with Sampled Data

Eleonora Patacchini, Xiaodong Liu and Edoardo Rainone

9751: Structural Empirical Evaluation of Job Search Monitoring

Gerard van den Berg and Bas van der Klaauw

9750: Financial and Sovereign Debt Crises: Some Lessons Learned and Those Forgotten

Kenneth Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart

9749: Impure Prosocial Motivation in Charity Provision: Warm-Glow Charities and Implications for Public Funding

Kimberley Scharf

9748: Economic Reforms and Industrial Policy in a Panel of Chinese Cities

Fabrizio Zilibotti, Simon Alder and Lin Shao

9747: Contracting With Synergies

Itay Goldstein, Alex Edmans and John Zhu

9746: Human Capital and Fertility in Chinese Clans Before Modern Growth

Carol Shiue

9745: An allegory of the political influence of the top 1%

John Roemer and Philippe De Donder

9744: Quality, Trade, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Natalie Chen and Luciana Juvenal

9743: Risking Other People?s Money

Jean-Robert Tyran, Ola Andersson, Hakan Holm and Wengström, Erik

9742: Market Deregulation and Optimal Monetary Policy in a Monetary Union

Fabio Ghironi, Giuseppe Fiori and Matteo Cacciatore

9741: People, Places and Public Policy: Some Simple Welfare Economics of Local Economic Development Programs

Enrico Moretti and Patrick Kline

9740: Targeting ultra-poor households in Honduras and Peru

Dean Karlan and Bram Thuysbaert

9739: Liquidity and Governance

Alexander Ljungqvist, Kerry Back and Tao Li

9738: Anchoring the Yield Curve Using Survey Expectations

Raffaella Giacomini, Giuseppe Ragusa and Carlo Altavilla

9737: Giffen?s Good: A case of mistaken identification

Liam Brunt

9736: Spillover effects of studying with immigrant students; a quantile regression approach

Jan C. van Ours and Asako Ohinata

9735: Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data

John Muellbauer, Janine Aron, Neil Rankin and Kenneth Creamer

9734: When Ideas Trump Interests: Preferences, World Views, and Policy Innovations

Dani Rodrik

9733: Environmental Policy and Directed Technical Change in a Global Economy: The Dynamic Impact of Unilateral Environmental Policies

Hémous, David

9732: Firm Dynamics, Job Turnover, and Wage Distributions in an Open Economy

James Tybout, Nezih Guner and A. Kerem Coşar

9731: Discretion vs. Timeless Perspective under Model-consistent Stabilization Objectives

Ivan Petrella, Raffaele Rossi and Emiliano Santoro

9730: Landownership Concentration and the Expansion of Education

Francesco Cinnirella and Erik Hornung

9729: The Effects of the Saving and Banking Glut on the U.S. Economy

Andrea Tambalotti, Giorgio Primiceri and Alejandro Justiniano

9728: Financial Constraints and Moral Hazard: The Case of Franchising

Kühn, Kai-Uwe, Francine Lafontaine and Ying Fan

9727: Why Plaintiffs' Attorneys Use Contingent and Defense Attorneys Fixed Fee Contracts

Winand Emons and Claude Fluet

9726: Guns and Votes

Maurizio Zanardi, Paola Conconi, Laurent Bouton and Francisco Pino

9725: Risky Investments with Limited Commitment

Thomas Cooley, Ramon Marimon and Vincenzo Quadrini

9724: Bibliometric Evaluation vs. Informed Peer Review: Evidence from Italy

Tullio Jappelli, Franco Peracchi, Graziella Bertocchi, Alfonso Gambardella and Carmela A Nappi