CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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14263: Community Origins of Industrial Entrepreneurship in Pre-Independence India

Bishnupriya Gupta, Dilip Mookherjee, Kaivan Munshi and Mario Sanclemente

14262: Pale in Comparison: Jews as a Rural Service Minority

Yannay Spitzer

14261: Cognition, Culture, and State Capacity: Age-Heaping in XIX Century Italy

Brian A'Hearn, Alexia Delfino and Alessandro Nuvolari

14260: Peer Effects in Networks: a Survey

Bramoullé, Yann, Habiba Djebbari and Bernard Fortin

14259: How do machine learning and non-traditional data affect credit scoring? New evidence from a Chinese fintech firm

Leonardo Gambacorta, Yiping Huang, Han Qiu and Jingyi Wang

14258: A Theory of Participation in OTC and Centralized Markets

Jérôme Dugast, Semih Üslü and Pierre-Olivier Weill

14257: Incentive Constrained Risk Sharing, Segmentation, and Asset Pricing

Bruno Biais, Johan Hombert and Pierre-Olivier Weill

14256: Intellectual Property and the Organization of the Global Value Chain

Stefano Bolatto, Alireza Naghavi, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Kejžar, Katja Zajc

14255: Can Global Uncertainty Promote International Trade?

Isaac Baley, Laura Veldkamp and Michael Waugh

14254: Title of Paper: Diversity, Immigration, and Redistribution

Alberto Alesina and Stefanie Stantcheva

14253: The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty

Tarek Hassan, Laurence van Lent, Stephan Hollander and Ahmed Tahoun

14252: How Monetary Policy Shaped the Housing Boom

Philipp Schnabl, Alexi Savov and Itamar Drechsler

14251: RISKY MOMS, RISKY KIDS? FERTILITY AND CRIME AFTER THE FALL OF THE WALL

Arnaud Chevalier and Olivier Marie

14250: Reconsidering the Market Size Effect in Innovation and Growth

Hélène Latzer and Kiminori Matsuyama

14249: Automating Labor: Evidence from Firm-level Patent Data

Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Hémous, David, Morten Olsen and Carlo Zanella

14248: Deterministic Debt Cycles in Open Economies with Flow Collateral Constraints

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe and Uribe, Martín

14247: Monetary Policy Strategies for the Federal Reserve

Lars Svensson

14246: Firm and Worker Dynamics in a Frictional Labor Market

Adrien Bilal, Niklas Engbom, Simon Mongey and Giovanni L. Violante

14245: Household Balance Sheet Channels of Monetary Policy: A Back of the Envelope Calculation for the Euro Area

Jiri Slacalek, Oreste Tristani and Giovanni L. Violante

14244: Optimal Forbearance of Bank Resolution

Linda Schilling

14243: Too many Voters to Fail: Influencing and Political Bargaining for Bailouts

Linda Schilling

14242: Refugees and Foreign Direct Investment: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from U.S. Resettlements

Anna Maria Mayda, Christopher Parsons, Hannah Pham and Pierre-Louis Vézina

14241: Valuing Private Equity Strip by Strip

Arpit Gupta and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

14240: Earnings Dynamics and Firm-Level Shocks

Benjamin Friedrich, Lisa Laun, Costas Meghir and Luigi Pistaferri

14239: Minimum Wage Employment Effects and Labor Market Concentration

Azar, José, Emiliano Huet-Vaughn, Ioana Marinescu, Bledi Taska and Till von Wachter

14238: Local Exposure to School Shootings and Youth Antidepressant Use

Maya Rossin-Slater, Molly Schnell, Hannes Schwandt, Sam Trejo and Lindsey Uniat

14237: Do Firms Respond to Gender Pay Gap Transparency?

Morten Bennedsen, Elena Simintzi, Margarita Tsoutsoura and Daniel Wolfenzon

14236: The Impact of the Opioid Crisis on Firm Value and Investment

Paige Ouimet, Elena Simintzi and Kailei Ye

14235: Market Efficiency in the Age of Big Data

Ian Martin and Stefan Nagel

14234: An Improved Method to Predict Assignment of Stocks into Russell Indexes

Itzhak Ben-David, Francesco Franzoni and Rabih Moussawi

14233: Expansionary Yet Different: Credit Supply and Real Effects of Negative Interest Rate Policy

Margherita Bottero, Camelia Minoiu, Jose-Luis Peydro, Andrea Polo, Andrea Presbitero and Enrico Sette

14232: Global Market Inefficiencies

Söhnke Bartram and Mark Grinblatt

14231: Granular Search, Market Structure, and Wages

Gregor Jarosch, Jan Sebastian Nimczik and Isaac Sorkin

14230: Global Risk Sharing through Trade in Goods and Assets: Theory and Evidence

Inga Heiland

14229: Who's Paying for the U.S. Tariffs? A Longer-Term Perspective

Mary Amiti, Stephen Redding and David Weinstein

14228: Trade, Transportation and the Environment

Rikard Forslid

14227: Measuring Productivity: Lessons from Tailored Surveys and Productivity Benchmarking

David Atkin, Amit Khandelwal and Adam Osman

14226: The Economic Value of Breaking Bad: Misbehavior, Schooling and the Labor Market

Yu Zheng, Victor Ronda and Nicholas Papageorge

14225: Too Much Data: Prices and Inefficiencies in Data Markets

Daron Acemoglu, Ali Makhdoumi, Azarakhsh Malekian and Asuman Ozdaglar

14224: Macroprudential and monetary policy: loan-level evidence from reserve requirements

Cecilia Dassatti Camors, Jose-Luis Peydro, Francesc Rodriguez Tous and Sergio Vicente

14223: The Wrong Kind of AI? Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Labor Demand

Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo

14222: Unravelling Trade Integration: Local Labour Market Effects of the Brexit Vote

Beata Javorcik, Ben Kett, Katherine Stapleton and Layla O'Kane

14221: On Fintech and Financial Inclusion

Thomas Philippon

14220: Does a Currency Union Need a Capital Market Union? Risk Sharing via Banks and Markets

Joseba Martinez, Thomas Philippon and Markus Sihvonen

14219: The Failure of Free Entry

German Gutierrez and Thomas Philippon

14218: Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Limited Enforcement

Marina Halac and Pierre Yared

14217: The Long-Term Effects of California’s 2004 Paid Family Leave Act on Women’s Careers: Evidence from U.S. Tax Data

Martha Bailey, Tanya Byker, Elena Patel and Shanthi Ramnath

14216: Monetary Union and Financial Integration

Luca Fornaro

14215: Urban growth and its aggregate implications

Diego Puga and Gilles Duranton

14214: Historical Social Contracts and their Legacy: A Disaggregated Analysis of the Medieval Republics

Paolo Buonanno, Matteo Cervellati, Sara Lazzaroni and Giovanni Prarolo

14213: Inputs, Incentives, and Self-selection At the Workplace

Francesco Amodio and Miguel Martinez-Carrasco

14212: Foreign Currency Loans and Credit Risk: Evidence from U.S. Banks

Friederike Niepmann and Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr

14211: Immigration and Preferences for Redistribution in Europe

Alberto Alesina, Elie Murard and Hillel Rapoport

14210: Electoral Competition with Fake News

Gene Grossman and Elhanan Helpman

14209: Reservation Raises: The Aggregate Labor Supply Curve at the Extensive Margin

Preston Mui and Benjamin Schoefer

14208: Jobs and Matches: Quits, Replacement Hiring, and Vacancy Chains

Yusuf Mercan and Benjamin Schoefer

14207: The Banking View of Bond Risk Premia

Valentin Haddad and David Sraer

14206: Atlantic Trade and the Decline of Conflict in Europe

Reshad Ahsan, Laura Panza and Yong Song

14205: High School Rank in Math and English and the Gender Gap in STEM

Judith Delaney and Paul Devereux

14204: Markups, Quality, and Trade Costs

Natalie Chen and Luciana Juvenal

14203: Trade, Productivity and (Mis)allocation

Antoine Berthou, John Jong-Hyun Chung, Kalina Manova and Charlotte Sandoz

14202: Trust in the Central Bank and Inflation Expectations

Dimitris Christelis, Dimitris Georgarakos, Tullio Jappelli and Maarten van Rooij

14201: The Natural Rate Puzzle: Global Macro Trends and the Market-Implied r*

Josh Davis, Cristian Fuenzalida and Alan Taylor

14200: How the Wealth Was Won: Factor Shares as Market Fundamentals

Daniel Greenwald, Martin Lettau and Sydney Ludvigson

14199: All You Need is Cash: Corporate Cash Holdings and Investment after the Financial Crisis

Andreas Joseph, Christiane Kneer and Neeltje Van Horen

14198: African institutions under colonial rule

Jutta Bolt and Leigh Gardner

14197: Spatial Wage Gaps in Frictional Labor Markets

Sebastian Heise and Tommaso Porzio

14196: Are marriage-related taxes and Social Security benefits holding back female labor supply?

Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi and Fang Yang

14195: Inflation Dynamics: Dead, Dormant, or Determined Abroad?

Kristin Forbes

14194: Settlement Location Shapes Refugee Integration: Evidence from Post-war Germany

Sebastian Braun and Nadja Dwenger

14193: Trade From Space: Shipping Networks and The Global Implications of Local Shocks

Inga Heiland, Andreas Moxnes, Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe and Yuan Zi

14192: Three different tribes: how the relationship between economics and economic history has evolved in the 21st century

Martina Cioni, Giovanni Federico and Michelangelo Vasta

14191: Conceptual Aspects of Global Value Chains

Pol Antrà s

14190: Does Scarcity of Female Instructors Create Demand for Diversity among Students? Evidence from an M-Turk Experiment

Patricia Funk, Nagore Iriberri and Giulia Savio

14189: Estimating the Costs and Benefits of Fuel-Economy Standards

Antonio Bento, Mark Jacobsen, Christopher Knittel and Arthur van Benthem

14188: Mergers and Innovation Portfolios

Moraga-González, José-Luis, Evgenia Motchenkova and Saish Nevrekar

14187: Capital Flows, Real Estate, and Local Cycles: Evidence from German Cities, Banks, and Firms

Peter Bednarek, Daniel te Kaat, Chang Ma and Alessandro Rebucci

14186: Capital Controls: A Survey of the New Literature

Alessandro Rebucci and Chang Ma

14185: The importance of beliefs in shaping macroeconomic outcomes

Roger Farmer

14184: Housing insecurity, homelessness and populism: Evidence from the UK

Thiemo Fetzer, Srinjoy Sen and Pedro Souza

14183: Abortions, Brexit and Trees

Andreas Kleiner and Benny Moldovanu

14182: Ethnic Conflicts and the Informational Dividend of Democracy

Jérémy Laurent-Lucchetti, Dominic Rohner and Mathias Thoenig

14181: Services Trade Policies and Economic Integration: New Evidence for Developing Countries

Bernard Hoekman and Ben Shepherd

14180: Why are Average Hours Worked Lower in Richer Countries?

Alexander Bick, Fuchs-Schündeln, Nicola, David Lagakos and Hitoshi Tsujiyama

14179: Marriage, Fertility, and Cultural Integration in Italy

Alberto Bisin and Giulia Tura

14178: Rural Transformation, Inequality, and the Origins of Microfinance

Marvin Suesse and Nikolaus Wolf

14177: Actors in the Child Development Process

Daniela Del Boca, Christopher Flinn, Ewout Verriest and Matthew Wiswall

14176: Exchange Rates and Consumer Prices: Evidence from Brexit

Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson

14175: Labour Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys

Rafael Di Tella and Dani Rodrik

14174: Signaling Safety

Roni Michaely, Stefano Rossi and Michael Weber

14173: Trade Networks and Firm Value: Evidence from the US-China Trade War

Yi Huang, Chen Lin, Sibo Liu and Heiwai Tang

14172: Acquisition for Sleep

Norbäck, Pehr-Johan, Charlotta Olofsson and Lars Persson

14171: Sustainable Investing in Equilibrium

Pástor, Luboš, Robert Stambaugh and Lucian Taylor

14170: The Employment Effects of Ethnic Politics

Francesco Amodio, Giorgio Chiovelli and Sebastian Hohmann

14169: Disability Insurance: Error Rates and Gender Differences

Hamish Low and Luigi Pistaferri

14168: Decoupling the CES distribution circle with quality and beyond: equilibrium distributions and the CES-Logit nexus

Simon Anderson and André de Palma

14167: Betting on the Lord: Lotteries and Religiosity in Haiti

Emmanuelle Auriol, Diego Delissaint, Maleke Fourati, Josepa Miquel-Florensa and Paul Seabright

14166: Merger Policy in Digital Markets: An Ex-Post Assessment

Elena Argentesi, Paolo Buccirossi, Emilio Calvano, Tomaso Duso, Alessia Marrazzo and Salvatore Nava

14165: The Effects of Immigration on the Economy: Lessons from the 1920s Border Closure

Ran Abramitzky, Philipp Ager, Leah Boustan, Elior Cohen and Casper Hansen

14164: The U.S.-Chinese Trade War: An Event Study of Stock-Market Responses

Peter Egger and Jiaqing Zhu