CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
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19580: Pricing of Risk in Credit and Equity Index Options - A Role for Option Order Flow?

Pierre Collin-Dufresne and Anders Trolle

19579: Digital Distractions with Peer Influence: The Impact of Mobile App Usage on Academic and Labor Market Outcomes

Panle Barwick, Siyu Chen, Chao Fu and Teng Li

19578: Is physician cost-sharing an alternative to patient cost-sharing?

Tobias Klein and Martin Salm

19577: The Lone Scream in the Dark: Cultural Change and Institutional Transformation in Modern China as seen through Lu Xun’s Novel

Debin Ma

19576: Over- and Underreaction to Information: Belief Updating with Cognitive Constraints

Cuimin Ba, Aislinn Bohren and Alex Imas

19575: Learning from the Past: How History Education Shapes Support for Extreme Ideology

Luca Braghieri and Sarah Eichmeyer

19574: Robust Market Interventions

Andrea Galeotti, Benjamin Golub, Sanjeev Goyal, Eduard Talamas and Omer Tamuz

19573: Ideology and Economic Change: The Contrasting Paths to the Modern Economy in late 19th Century China and Japan

Debin Ma and Jared Rubin

19572: Inequality in Science: Who Becomes a Star?

Anna Airoldi and Petra Moser

19571: Anonymity and Identity Online

Florian Ederer, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham and Kyle Jensen

19570: How parents and firms’ hiring policies affect labor outcomes

Sebastiano Della Lena, Shahir Safi and Yves Zenou

19569: A New Interpretation of U.S. Productivity Growth Dynamics, 1950-2023

Robert J. Gordon and Hassan Sayed

19568: Bargaining foundations for price taking in matching markets

Matthew Elliott and Eduard Talamas

19567: Conduct in the Soft Drink Market: A Mechanism Design Approach

Taisuke Otsu and Martin Pesendorfer

19566: The Collateral Channel within and between countries

Jérôme Héricourt, Jean Imbs and Lise Patureau

19565: Religion as Social Insurance: Evidence from the Great Mississippi Flood of 1927

Philipp Ager, Casper Hansen, Ezra Karger and Lønstrup, Lars

19564: Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections

Richard Calvo, Vincent Pons and Jesse Shapiro

19563: The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions

Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Olivier Coibion and Geoff Kenny

19562: Competitive Markets with Imperfectly Discerning Consumers

Yair Antler and Ran Spiegler

19561: Revisiting the Phillips and Beveridge Curves: Insights from the 2020s Inflation Surge

Pierpaolo Benigno and Gauti Eggertsson

19560: Consumer Protection in Economies with Limited Attention

Paul Heidhues, Johannes Johnen and Köszegi, Botond

19559: Globalization and national commodity cycles: The case of wine in Australia

Kym Anderson

19558: Public Transit Access and Income Segregation

Prottoy Akbar

19557: Industrial Policy: Lessons from Shipbuilding

Panle Barwick, Myrto Kalouptsidi and Nahim Bin Zahur

19556: Foreign Exchange Interventions and Intermediary Constraints

Alex Ferreira, Rory Mullen, Giovanni Ricco, Ganesh Viswanath-Natraj and Zijie Wang

19555: How to Rebuild Ukraine: A Synthesis and Critical Review of Policy Proposals

Becker, Torbjörn, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Beatrice Weder di Mauro

19554: Still Too Big To Fail? Lessons from the first post-Lehman failure of a global systemically important bank

Beatrice Weder di Mauro

19553: Taxing Capital in a Globalized World: The Effects of Automatic Information Exchange

Hjalte Fejerskov Boas, Niels Johannesen, Claus Kreiner, Lauge Larsen and Gabriel Zucman

19552: A Hundred Years of Business Cycles and the Phillips Curve

Lapo Bini, Lucrezia Reichlin and Giovanni Ricco

19551: Access to Opportunity in the Sciences: Evidence from the Nobel Laureates

Paul Novosad, Sam Asher, Catriona Farquharson and Eni Iljazi

19550: Recent Contributions to Theories of Discrimination

Paula Onuchic

19549: The ECB's Climate Activities and Public Trust

Sandra Eickmeier and Luba Petersen

19548: No–Poaching Clauses in Franchise Contracts: Anticompetitive or Efficiency Enhancing?

Francine Lafontaine, Saattvic Saattvic and Margaret Slade

19547: The Evolution of Child-Related Gender Inequality in Germany and The Role of Family Policies, 1960-2018

Ulrich Glogowsky, Emanuel Hansen, Dominik Sachs and Lüthen, Holger

19546: Fear and Dreams: Understanding the Non-Institutional Sources of Leader Strategy

Bautista, María Angélica, Galán, Juan Sebastián, James A. Robinson, Rafael Torres and Ragnar Torvik

19545: Structural Reforms in the Shadow of Debt Overhang: A Quantitative Perspective

Müller, Andreas, Kjetil Storesletten and Fabrizio Zilibotti

19544: Welfare in the Volunteer’s Dilemma

Marco Battaglini and Thomas R Palfrey

19543: (Not) Thinking about the Future: Inattention and Maternal Labor Supply

Ana Costa-Ramon, Ursina Schaede, Michaela Slotwinski and Brenøe, Anne Ardila

19542: Child Penalties and Parental Role Models: Classroom Exposure Effects

Henrik Kleven, Giulia Olivero and Eleonora Patacchini

19541: The Impact of the Chinese Exclusion Act on the Economic Development of the Western U.S

Joe Long, Carlo Medici, Nancy Qian and Marco Tabellini

19540: Uncertainty and Innovation in Renewable Energy

Luca Bettarelli, Davide Furceri, Pietro Pizzuto and Nadia Shakoor

19539: Economic Policy Challenges for the Age of AI

Anton Korinek

19538: Fiscal Management of Aggregate Demand: The Effectiveness of Labor Tax Credits

Axelle Ferriere and Gaston Navarro

19537: Is Distance from Innovation a Barrier to the Adoption of Artificial Intelligence?

Jennifer Hunt, Iain Cockburn and James Bessen

19536: Misperceptions and Demand for Democracy under Authoritarianism

Daron Acemoglu, Cevat Giray Aksoy, Ceren Baysan, Carlos Molina and Gamze Zeki

19535: From the Convent to Hollywood: The Legacy of Spanish and American Rule in the Philippines

Leticia Arroyo Abad, Jose-Antonio Espin-Sanchez and Noel Maurer

19534: Firm Networks and Global Technology Diffusion

Paulo Bastos, Katherine Stapleton, Daria Taglioni and Hannah Yi Wei

19533: Jobless Development

Franziska Ohnsorge, Richard Rogerson and Zoe Leiyu Xie

19532: A Macroeconomic Model of Banks' Systemic Risk Taking

Jorge Abad, David Martinez-Miera and Javier Suarez

19531: Multimodal Transport Networks

Simon Fuchs and Woan Foong Wong

19530: Institutional Innovation and the Adoption of New Technologies: The Case of Steam

Thor Berger and Vinzent Ostermeyer

19529: Health Inequality and Economic Disparities by Race, Ethnicity, and Gender

Russo, Nicolò, Rory McGee, Mariacristina De Nardi, Margherita Borella and Ross Abram

19528: Monetary Policy and the Drifting Natural Rate of Interest

Sandra Daudignon and Oreste Tristani

19527: The Gravity of Violence

Mathieu Couttenier, Julian Marcoux, Thierry Mayer and Mathias Thoenig

19526: To Fail to Prepare is to Prepare to Fail? Firm Decision-Making Styles in Crises

Jae Cho and Tobias Kretschmer

19525: Should We Stay or Should We Go? Firms’ Decision on Services Mode of Supply

Holger Breinlich and Martina Magli

19524: A Theory of Digital Ecosystems

Paul Heidhues, Köster, Mats and Köszegi, Botond

19523: Bank Fragility and Risk Management

Toni Ahnert, Christoph Bertsch, Agnese Leonello and Robert Marquez

19522: The Distributional Consequences of Trade: Evidence from the Grain Invasion

Stephan Heblich, Stephen Redding and Yanos Zylberberg

19521: Policy Rules and the Inflation Surge: The Case of the ECB

Volker Wieland and Balint Tatar

19520: The Division of Revenues from Unexpected Demand Shocks

Paulo Bastos, Natalia P. Monteiro and Odd Rune Straume

19519: Anti-Social Norms

Leopoldo Fergusson, Jose-Alberto Guerra and James A. Robinson

19518: Culture, Institutions and Social Equilibria: A Framework

Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson

19517: Mining Chinese Historical Sources At Scale: A Machine Learning-Approach to Qing State Capacity

Wolfgang Keller, Carol Shiue and Sen Yan

19516: Cross-Border Shopping: Evidence and Welfare Implications for Switzerland

Ariel Burstein, Sarah Lein and Jonathan Vogel

19515: The Rapid Adoption of Generative AI

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and David Deming

19514: Discrimination and Preference Primitives

William Bazley, Carina Cuculiza and George Korniotis

19513: Grit, Preferences, and Investor Behavior

William Bazley, Sima Jannati and George Korniotis

19512: Stock Market Ownership Transitions

Yosef Bonaparte, George Korniotis, Alok Kumar, Alexander Michaelides and Yuxin Zhang

19511: Inflation, Monetary Policy, and Portfolio Decisions of U.S. Households

Yosef Bonaparte, George Korniotis, Alok Kumar and Melina Vosse

19510: Cultural Remittances and Modern Fertility

Mickael Melki, Hillel Rapoport, Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg

19509: The Historical Roots of Modern Culture: Evidence of ‘Moral Sentiments’?

Alex Karalis-Isaac and Marcus Miller

19508: Currency Centrality in Equity Markets, Exchange Rates and Global Financial Cycles

Helene Rey, Vania Stavrakeva and Jenny Tang

19507: Creative and Strategic Capabilities of Generative AI: Evidence from Large-Scale Experiments

Noah Bohren, Rustamdjan Hakimov and Rafael Lalive

19506: The Global Cross-Section of Corporate Bonds: Market, Maturity and Liquidity

Geert Bekaert, Roberto De Santis and Tomas Mondino

19505: Using Post-Double Selection Lasso in Field Experiments

Jacobus Cilliers, Nour Elashmawy and David McKenzie

19504: Does Weaker Employment Protection Lower the Cost of Job Loss?

Marco Francesconi and Daniela Sonedda

19503: Media Consolidation

Gregory J. Martin, Nicola Mastrorocco, Joshua McCrain and Arianna Ornaghi

19502: The Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy Has Real Effects

Anne-Laure Delatte, Pranav Garg and Jean Imbs

19501: Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents

Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

19500: Regulation and Frontier Housing Supply

Dan Ben-Moshe and David Genesove

19499: Have autocrats governed for the long term?

Emanuele Millemaci, Fabio Monteforte and Jonathan Temple

19498: Heterogeneity in Expectations and House Price Dynamics

Alexander Ludwig, Jochen Mankart, Jorge Quintana and Mirko Wiederholt

19497: Financial Statements and Macroeconomic Dynamics

Davide Pettenuzzo, Riccardo Sabbatucci and Allan Timmermann

19496: CHILE

Efstathios Avdis and Sergei Glebkin

19495: Measuring Trends in Work From Home: Evidence from Six U.S. Datasets

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, Aidan Caplan and Tristan Caplan

19494: Hours Worked and Lifetime Earnings Inequality

Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin and Richard Rogerson

19493: Masculinity Around the World

Ralph De Haas, Victoria Baranov, Ieda Matavelli and Pauline Grosjean

19492: Changing the Board Game: Horizontal Spillovers of Gender Quotas

Luigi Guiso, Fabiano Schivardi and Luana Zaccaria

19491: Repurchases for Price Impact: Evidence from Fragile Stocks

David Schumacher, Massimo Massa and Yan Wang

19490: Boots on the Grounds: The Value of International Locations in Asset Management

Allaudeen Hameed, Massimo Massa and Zhenghui Ni

19489: Issuer Term Variability, Bond Yield Spreads, and Reaching for Yield

Gi H. Kim and Massimo Massa

19488: Financial Intermediaries vs. Capital Allocation: The Forgotten Role of Mutual Funds

Massimo Massa, Yanbo Wang and Hong Zhang

19487: Judges Judging Judges: Partisanship and Politics in the Federal Circuit Courts of Appeals

Alma Cohen and Rajeev Dehejia

19486: Comparing Two Methods for Testing the Efficiency of Sports Betting Markets

Tadgh Hegarty and Karl Whelan

19485: Testing the Waters: How Firms Enter New Markets

Carsten Eckel, Jäkel, Ina, Luca Macedoni and Raymond Riezman

19484: Estimating Choice Models with Unobserved Expectations over Attributes

Mathias Reynaert, Wenxuan Xu and Hanlin Zhao

19483: Nowcasting Recession Risk

Francesco Furno and Domenico Giannone

19482: Incentive Compatibility and Belief Restrictions

Antonio Penta and Mariann Ollar

19481: On the Investment Network and Development

Lucia Casal and Julieta Caunedo