CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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15463: Vertical Integration and Foreclosure: Evidence from Production Network Data

Johannes Boehm and Jan Sonntag

15462: De-Globalisation? Global Value Chains in the Post-COVID-19 Age

Pol Antrà s

15461: An Estimable Model of Production Interactions in Endogenous Networks

Giacomo De Giorgi, Michele Pellizzari and Rodríguez Barraquer, Tomás

15460: Job stability, earnings dynamics, and life-cycle savings

Moritz Kuhn and Gasper Ploj

15459: Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts

Rava Azeredo da Silveira, Yeji Sung and Michael Woodford

15458: Foreign Shocks as Granular Fluctuations

Julian di Giovanni, Andrei Levchenko and Méjean, Isabelle

15457: Monetary Policy with Reserves and CBDC: Optimality, Equivalence, and Politics

Dirk Niepelt

15456: Closing the Gap Between Vocational and General Education? Evidence from University Technical Colleges in England

Stephen Machin, Sandra McNally, Camille Terrier and Guglielmo Ventura

15455: Migration and Fiscal Externality: US vs. Europe

Assaf Razin

15454: Language, Knowledge, and Growth: Evidence from Early Modern Europe

Christine Binzel, Andreas Link and Rajesh Ramachandran

15453: From Dual to Unified Employment Protection: Transition and Steady State

Juan Dolado, Lalé, Étienne and Nawid Siassi

15452: The Spanish Labour Market at the Crossroads: Covid†19 meets the Megatrends

Juan Dolado, Florentino Felgueroso and Juan F Jimeno

15451: Daily Tracker of Global Economic Activity. A Close-Up of the Covid-19 Pandemic

Elena Diaz and Pérez Quirós, Gabriel

15450: The Sources of Fiscal Fluctuations

Antoine Levy, Luca Ricci and Alejandro Werner

15449: Fifty Shades of QE: Comparing Findings of Central Bankers and Academics

Brian Fabo, Martina Jancokova, Elisabeth Kempf and Pástor, Luboš

15448: Search, Showrooming, and Retailer Variety

Heski Bar-Isaac and Sandro Shelegia

15447: Revenge of the Experts: Will COVID-19 Renew or Diminish Public Trust in Science?

Barry Eichengreen, Cevat Giray Aksoy and Orkun Saka

15446: A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models

Filippo Ferroni and Fabio Canova

15445: Screening and Loan Origination Time: Lending Standards, Loan Defaults and Bank Failures

Mikel Bedayo, Jiménez, Gabriel, Jose-Luis Peydro and Raquel Vegas

15444: Storing Power: Market Structure Matters

David Andrés-Cerezo and Natalia Fabra

15443: Institutions and the uneven geography of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Chiara Burlina

15442: How ‘smart’ are Smart Specialisation strategies?

Marco Di Cataldo, Vassilis Monastiriotis and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

15441: Did U.S. Politicians Expect the China Shock?

Matilde Bombardini, Bingjing Li and Francesco Trebbi

15440: Foreign Currency Borrowing of Corporations as Carry Trades: Evidence from India

Viral Acharya and Siddharth Vij

15439: Static and Dynamic Inefficiencies in an Optimizing Model of Epidemics

Pietro Garibaldi, Espen Rasmus Moen and Christopher Pissarides

15438: What a drag it is getting old? Mental health and loneliness beyond age 50

Jan C. van Ours

15437: Do Family Policies Reduce Gender Inequality? Evidence from 60 Years of Policy Experimentation

Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Johanna Posch, Andreas Steinhauer and Josef Zweimueller

15436: The Financial (In)Stability Real Interest Rate, R**

Ozge Akinci, Gianluca Benigno, Marco Del Negro and Albert Queralto

15435: LM tests for joint breaks in the dynamics and level of a long-memory time series

Juan Dolado, Heiko Rachinger and Carlos Velasco

15434: From a common empire to colonial rule: commodity market disintegration in the Near East

Laura Panza

15433: Optimal Subsidies for Prevention of Infectious Disease

Michael Kremer, Heidi Williams, Christopher Snyder and Matthew Goodkin-Gold

15432: It’s what you say and what you buy: A holistic evaluation of the Corporate Credit Facilities

Nina Boyarchenko, Anna Kovner and Or Shachar

15431: Measuring Colonial Extraction: The East India Company’s Rule and the Drain of Wealth (1757-1858)

Pilar Nogues-Marco

15430: Credit Constraints, Labor Productivity and the Role of Regional Institutions: Evidence from Manufacturing Firms in Europe

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés, Roberto Ganau, Kristina Maslauskaite and Monica Brezzi

15429: Stereotypes in Financial Literacy: Evidence from PISA

Annamaria Lusardi and Laura Bottazzi

15428: Bewley Banks

Tommaso Monacelli and Rustam Jamilov

15427: Anatomy of Technology in the Firm

Xavier Cirera, Diego Comin, Marcio Cruz and Kyung Min Lee

15426: Child Labour and Global Value Chains

Cristian Ugarte, Marcelo Olarreaga and Gady Saiovici

15425: Informing WTO Reform: Dispute Settlement Performance, 1995-2020

Petros C. Mavroidis and Maarja Saluste

15424: COVID-19, public procurement regimes and trade policy

Bernard Hoekman, Anirudh Shingal, Varun Eknath and Viktoriya Ereshchenko

15423: The Scars of Supply Shocks

Luca Fornaro and Martin Wolf

15422: Expectations-driven liquidity traps: Implications for monetary and fiscal policy

Taisuke Nakata and Sebastian Schmidt

15421: Asymmetric information, strategic transfers, and the design of long-term care policies

Chiara Canta and Helmuth Cremer

15420: Gig-jobs: stepping stones or dead ends?

Adrian Adermon and Lena Hensvik

15419: Climate Change Mitigation Policies: Aggregate and Distributional Effects

Tiago Cavalcanti, Zeina Hasna and Cezar Santos

15418: Binary Choice with Asymmetric Loss in a Data-Rich Environment: Theory and an Application to Racial Justice

Andrii Babii, Xi Chen, Eric Ghysels and Rohit Kumar

15417: Persistence – Myth and Mystery

Hans-Joachim Voth

15416: Subsidizing the spread of COVID19: Evidence from the UK's Eat-Out-to-Help-Out scheme

Thiemo Fetzer

15415: Predistribution vs. Redistribution: Evidence from France and the U.S

Antoine Bozio, Bertrand Garbinti, Jonathan Goupille-Lebret, Malka Guillot and Thomas Piketty

15414: The Geopolitics of International Trade in Southeast Asia

A. Kerem Coşar and Benjamin Thomas

15413: Financial Policymaking after Crises: Public vs. Private Interest

Orkun Saka, Yuemei Ji and Paul De Grauwe

15412: Monopsony, Skills, and Labor Market Concentration

Samuel Dodini, Michael Lovenheim, Kjell G Salvanes and Willén, Alexander

15411: Discrete Mixtures of Normals Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimators of Structural Vector Autoregressions

Gabriele Fiorentini and Enrique Sentana

15410: Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis

Marcella Alsan, Luca Braghieri, Sarah Eichmeyer, Minjeong Joyce Kim, Stefanie Stantcheva and David Yang

15409: Location, Location, Location: Manufacturing and House Price Growth

Nir Jaimovich, Stephen Terry and Nicolas Vincent

15408: Rational Inattention: A Review

Bartosz Maćkowiak, Filip Matejka and Mirko Wiederholt

15407: Designing an International Economic Order: A Research Agenda

T. Renee Bowen and J. Lawrence Broz

15406: Agenda-Setter Power Dynamics: Learning in Multi-Issue Bargaining

T. Renee Bowen, Stefan Krasa and Ilwoo Hwang

15405: Populist Leaders and the Economy

Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick and Christoph Trebesch

15404: Stock Market Spillovers via the Global Production Network: Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy

Julian di Giovanni and Galina Hale

15403: A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth

Christiane Baumeister and Pierre Guérin

15402: Revisiting Productivity Dynamics in Europe: A New Measure of Utilization-Adjusted TFP Growth

Diego Comin, Javier Quintana Gonzalez, Tom Schmitz and Antonella Trigari

15401: Competitive Gerrymandering and the Popular Vote

Felix Bierbrauer and Mattias K Polborn

15400: Not an ordinary bank but a great engine of state: the bank of England and the British economy, 1694-1844

Patrick O'Brien and Nuno Palma

15399: Judge Bias in Labor Courts and Firm Performance

Pierre Cahuc, Carcillo, Stéphane, Patault, Bérengère and Flavien Moreau

15398: Dynastic Control without Ownership: Evidence from Post-war Japan

Morten Bennedsen, Vikas Mehrotra, Jungwook Shim and Yupana Wiwattanakantang

15397: Exchange Rates and Prices: Evidence from the 2015 Swiss Franc Appreciation

Raphael Auer, Ariel Burstein and Sarah Lein

15396: Industrial Clusters, Networks and Resilience to the Covid-19 Shock in China

Ruochen Dai, Dilip Mookherjee, Yingyue Quan and Xiaobo Zhang

15395: Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk

Elin Halvorsen, Hans Holter, Serdar Ozkan and Kjetil Storesletten

15394: How Should Tax Progressivity Respond to Rising Income Inequality

Jonathan Heathcote, Kjetil Storesletten and Giovanni L. Violante

15393: Macroeconomic Outcomes and COVID-19: A Progress Report

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús and Charles Jones

15392: Does lasting behavior change require knowledge change? Evidence from savings interventions for young adults

Samantha Horn, Julian C. Jamison, Dean Karlan and Jonathan Zinman

15391: Personal Values and Cyber Risk-Taking

Zohar Weinstein, Sonia Roccas and Neil Gandal

15390: Evaluating the Effectiveness of Policies Against a Pandemic

Christian Aleman, Christopher Busch, Alexander Ludwig and Santaeulà lia-Llopis, Raül

15389: Grantmaking

Marco Ottaviani

15388: Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints

S. Boragan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda, Kenji Hilga-Flores, Frank Schorfheide and Sergio Villalvazo

15387: Offshoring and Inflation

Diego Comin and Robert Johnson

15386: Efficient Policy Interventions in an Epidemic

Alberto Bisin and Piero Gottardi

15385: Granular Credit Risk

Sigurd Galaasen, Rustam Jamilov, Ragnar Juelsrud and Helene Rey

15384: Fiscal transfers, local government, and entrepreneurship

Piotr Danisewicz and Steven Ongena

15383: Measuring Price Selection in Microdata - It's Not There

Peter Karadi, Raphael Schoenle and Jesse Wursten

15382: Fiscal policy in Europe: a helicopter view

Florin Bilbiie, Tommaso Monacelli and Roberto Perotti

15381: Mortgage Market Disruptions

Philippe Bracke, Karen Croxson, Daoud Fakhri, Paolo Surico and Tommaso Valletti

15380: Accounting for Growth in Spain, 1850-2019

Leandro Prados de la Escosura and Rosés, Joan R.

15379: Competition in a spatially-differentiated product market with negotiated prices

Walter Beckert, Howard Smith and Yuya Takahashi

15378: Uncertainty, Contracting, and Beliefs in Organizations

David Dicks and Paolo Fulghieri

15377: Arrovian Efficiency and Auditability in the Allocation of Discrete Resources

Marek Pycia and M. Utku Ãœnver

15376: Profit-splitting Rules and the Taxation of Multinational Digital Platforms

Francis Bloch and Gabrielle Demange

15375: An annual index of Irish industrial production, 1840-1913

Sean Kenny, Jason Lennard and Kevin O'Rourke

15374: Gravity with Granularity

Holger Breinlich, Harald Fadinger, Volker Nocke and Nicolas Schutz

15373: Expectations, Infections, and Economic Activity

Martin Eichenbaum, Miguel Godinho de Matos, Francisco Lima, Sergio Rebelo and Mathias Trabandt

15372: China's Dazzling Transport-infrastructure Growth: Measurement and Effects

Peter Egger, Nicole Loumeau and Gabriel Loumeau

15371: Preparing for a pandemic: Spending dynamics and panic buying during the COVID-19 first wave

Martin O'Connell, Aureo de Paula and Kate Smith

15370: Income Risk and Stock Market Entry/Exit Decisions

Yosef Bonaparte, George Korniotis and Alok Kumar

15369: The Dynamic Impact of Exporting on Firm R&D Investment

Florin Maican, Matilda Orth, Mark Roberts and Van Anh Vuong

15368: Exploring Differences in Household Debt Across the United States and Euro Area Countries

Dimitris Christelis, Michael Ehrmann and Dimitris Georgarakos

15367: The Reversal Interest Rate: A Critical Review

Rafael Repullo

15366: Designing Central Bank Digital Currencies

Itai Agur, Anil Ari and Giovanni Dell'ariccia

15365: Monetary Policy in the Next Recession?

Stephen Cecchetti, Michael Feroli, Anil K Kashyap, Catherine L. Mann and Kermit Schoenholtz

15364: Capital in Spain, 1850-2019

Leandro Prados de la Escosura