CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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17457: Regional variation of GDP per head within China, 1080-1850: Implications for the Great Divergence debate

Stephen Broadberry and Hanhui Guan

17456: Wealth Accumulation and Institutional Capture: the Rise of the Medici and the Fall of the Florentine Republic

Marianna Belloc, Francesco Drago, Mattia Fochesato and Roberto Galbiati

17455: The Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes in a World of Ideas

James Cloyne, Joseba Martinez, Haroon Mumtaz and Paolo Surico

17454: Granular Investors and International Bond Prices: Scarcity-Induced Safety

Ester Faia, Juliana Salomao and Alexia Ventula Veghazy

17453: Ghosting the Tax Authority: Fake Firms and Tax Fraud

Paul Carrillo, Dave Donaldson, Dina Pomeranz and Monica Singhal

17452: World Productivity: 1996 - 2014

Mehrdad Esfahani, John Fernald and Bart Hobijn

17451: Robot Adoption, Worker-Firm Sorting and Wage Inequality: Evidence from Administrative Panel Data

Ester Faia, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Saverio Spinella

17450: The Landscape of CO2 Emissions Across Africa: A Comparative Perspective

Jaime de Melo and Jean-Marc Solleder

17449: Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation

Julian di Giovanni, Kalemli-Özcan, Á¹¢ebnem, Álvaro Silva and Yıldırım, Muhammed A.

17448: Sweden’s COVID-19 Recession: How Foreign and Domestic Infections Struck against Firms and Workers

Anders Akerman, Karolina Ekholm, Torsten Persson and Oskar Skans

17447: Evidence on Expectations of Household Finances

Cocco, João F., Francisco Gomes and Paula Lopes-Cocco

17446: Why Is Exclusivity in Broadcasting Rights Prevalent and Why Does Simple Regulation Fail?

David Martimort and Jerome Pouyet

17445: Responsible Investment and Responsible Consumption

Hendrik Hakenes and Eva Schliephake

17444: Bridging America's Divide on Abortion, Guns and Immigration: An Experimental Study

Michèle Belot and Guglielmo Briscese

17443: The Simple Economics of an External Shock on a Crowdsourced "Bug Bounty Platform"

Aviram Zrahia, Neil Gandal, Sarit Markovich and Michael Riordan

17442: Flow of Ideas: Economic Societies and the Rise of Useful Knowledge

Francesco Cinnirella, Erik Hornung and Julius Koschnick

17441: Central Bank Communication with the General Public: Promise or False Hope?

Alan Blinder, Michael Ehrmann, Jakob de Haan and David-Jan Jansen

17440: Political Adverse Selection

Leonardo Bursztyn, Jonathan Kolstad, Aakaash Rao, Pietro Tebaldi and Noam Yuchtman

17439: The Irish in England

Neil Cummins and Gráda, Cormac Ó

17438: Preparing for the (Non-Existent?) Future of Work

Anton Korinek and Megan Juelfs

17437: Pension information and women’s awareness

Marta Angelici, Daniela Del Boca, Noemi Oggero, Paola Profeta, Maria Rossi and Claudia Villosio

17436: How parenting courses affect families’ time-use? Evidence from an RCT experiment in Italy

Daniela Del Boca, Chiara Pronzato and Lucia Schiavon

17435: Competing for Attention on Information Platforms: The Case of News Outlets

Tim Meyer, Anna Kerkhof, Carmelo Cennamo and Tobias Kretschmer

17434: Acquisitions, Management, and Efficiency in Rwanda's Coffee Industry

Rocco Macchiavello and Ameet Morjaria

17433: The Long-Run Effects of Government Spending

Juan Antolin-Diaz and Paolo Surico

17432: Monetary-Based Asset Pricing: A Mixed-Frequency Structural Approach

Francesco Bianchi, Sydney Ludvigson and Sai Ma

17431: Remote working and the new geography of local service spending

Gianni De Fraja, Jesse Matheson, Paul Mizen, James Rockey and Shivani Taneja

17430: Green versus sustainable loans: The impact on firms' ESG performance

Ozlem Dursun-de Neef, Steven Ongena and Gergana Tsonkova

17429: Improved Causal Inference on Spatial Observations: A Smoothing Spline Approach

Morgan Kelly

17428: A Dynamic Model of Predation

Patrick Rey, Yossi Spiegel and Konrad Stahl

17427: Religious Barriers to Birth Control Access

Olivier Marie and Esmee Zwiers

17426: The End of Market Discipline? Investor Expectations of Implicit Government Guarantees

Viral Acharya, Deniz Anginer and A. Joseph Warburton

17425: The Value of Choice - Evidence from an Incentivized Survey Experiment

Grüner, Hans Peter and Rohde, Linnéa Marie

17424: The Power of Connections: Colonialism, Nationalism, and Corporate Performance in Egypt, 1890 - 1950

Cihan Artunç and Mohamed Saleh

17423: Investing with the Government: A Field Experiment in China

Emanuele Colonnelli, Bo Li and Ernest Liu

17422: Gender Gaps in Academia: Global Evidence over the Twentieth Century

Alessandro Iaria, Carlo Schwarz and Fabian Waldinger

17421: Firm-level Technological Change and Skill Demand

Attila Lindner, Balazs Murakozy, Balazs Reizer and Ragnhild Schreiner

17420: Shattered Housing

Jonas Happel, Yigitcan Karabulut, Schäfer, Larissa and Selale Tuzel

17419: Worker Runs

Florian Hoffmann and Vladimir Vladimirov

17418: Negotiating Compensation

Florian Hoffmann and Vladimir Vladimirov

17417: Hedge Fund Performance: A Quantitative Survey

Fan Yang, Tomas Havranek, Zuzana Irsova and Jiri Novak

17416: Missing girls in Liberal Italy, 1861-1921

Beltrán Tapia, Francisco and Gabriele Cappelli

17415: The Impact of Foreign Sanctions on Firm Performance in Russia

Luu Duc Toan Huynh, Khanh Hoang and Steven Ongena

17414: The Long-Run Development Impacts of Agricultural Productivity Gains: Evidence from Irrigation Canals in India

Sam Asher, Alison Campion, Douglas Gollin and Paul Novosad

17413: When two experts are better than one: The example of shareholder voting

Berno Buechel, Lydia Mechtenberg and Alexander Wagner

17412: Cultural Origins of Investment Behavior

Andreas Ek, Gunes Gokmen and Kaveh Majlesi

17411: People Are Less Risk-Averse than Economists Think

Ali Elminejad , Tomas Havranek and Zuzana Irsova

17410: Measuring Brexit Uncertainty: A Machine Learning and Textual Analysis Approach

Wanyu Chung, Duiyi Dai and Robert Elliott

17409: Armington Elasticities and the Third-Country Effects of Trade Wars

Wei Li, Bin Qiu, Zi Wang, Yanbo Zeng and Yuan Zi

17408: Politics at Work

Emanuele Colonnelli, Valdemar Pinho Neto and Edoardo Teso

17407: The Central Bank, the Treasury, or the Market: Which One Determines the Price Level?

Barthélemy, Jean, Eric Mengus and Guillaume Plantin

17406: The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications

Michael Weber, Francesco D'Acunto, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion

17405: Investment and Patent Licensing in the Value Chain

Gerard Llobet and Damien Neven

17404: The Sale of Data: Learning Synergies Before M&As

Antoine Dubus and Patrick Legros

17403: Cyber Risk and Security Investment

Toni Ahnert, Michael Brolley, David Cimon and Ryan Riordan

17402: The Political Polarization of Corporate America

Vyacheslav Fos, Elisabeth Kempf and Margarita Tsoutsoura

17401: Market Effects of Sponsored Search Auctions

Massimo Motta and Antonio Penta

17400: Startup Types and Macroeconomic Performance in Europe

Ralph De Haas, Vincent Sterk and Neeltje Van Horen

17399: Search Costs and Diminishing Sensitivity

Heiko Karle, Florian Kerzenmacher, Heiner Schumacher and Frank Verboven

17398: The Causal Effects of Education on Age at Marriage and Marital Fertility

Neil Cummins

17397: Excess Savings and Twin Deficits: The Transmission of Fiscal Stimulus in Open Economies

Rishabh Aggarwal, Adrien Auclert, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

17396: Deep historical roots, culture choice and the ‘New World Order’

Marcus Miller

17395: International trade spillovers from domestic COVID-19 lockdowns

Shekhar Aiyar, Davide Malacrino, Adil Mohommad and Andrea Presbitero

17394: Preferred Habitat and Monetary Policy Through the Looking-Glass

Giacomo Carboni and Martin Ellison

17393: Health and Economic Growth: Reconciling the Micro and Macro Evidence

David Bloom, David Canning, Rainer Kotschy, Klaus Prettner and Schünemann, Johannes

17392: Microfoundations of Low-Frequency High-Impact Decisions

Alfonso Gambardella, Arnaldo Camuffo, Fabio Maccheroni, Massimo Marinacci and Andrea Pignataro

17391: Estimating Nonlinear Heterogeneous Agents Models with Neural Networks

Hanno Kase, Leonardo Melosi and Matthias Rottner

17390: Monetary Mystique and the Fed’s Path Toward Increased Transparency

Lars E.O. Svensson

17389: The impact of mechanisation on wages and employment: evidence from the diffusion of steam power

Leonardo Ridolfi, Carla Salvo and Jacob Weisdorf

17388: COVID-19 vaccine supply chains and the Defense Production Act

Chad Bown

17387: Using Equity Market Reactions to Infer Exposure to Trade Liberalization

Anew Greenland, Mihai Ion, John Lopresti and Peter Schott

17386: A shot at economic prosperity: Long-term effects of India’s childhood immunization program on earnings and consumption expend

Amit Summan, Arindam Nandi and David Bloom

17385: Global Innovation and Knowledge Diffusion

Nelson Lind and Natalia Ramondo

17384: Did the global financial crisis and the pandemic induce persistent deflation avoidance in major central banks?

Alex Cukierman

17383: The Research University, Invention, and Industry: Evidence from German History

Jeremiah Dittmar and Ralf Meisenzahl

17382: Organizational Dynamics: Culture, Design, and Performance

Timothy Besley and Torsten Persson

17381: Global Stagflation

Jongrim Ha, Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge

17380: Fighting Populism on Its Own Turf: Experimental Evidence

Vincenzo Galasso, Massimo Morelli, Tommaso Nannicini and Piero Stanig

17379: Validating DSGE Models through Dynamic Factor Models

Mario Forni, Luca Gambetti, Marco Lippi and Luca Sala

17378: Where Do We Stand With “Whatever It Takes†?

Karl Whelan

17377: The Returns to Face-to-Face Interactions: Knowledge Spillovers in Silicon Valley

David Atkin, Keith Chen and Anton Popov

17376: Temporary Layoffs, Loss-of-Recall, and Cyclical Unemployment Dynamics

Mark Gertler, Christopher Huckfledt and Antonella Trigari

17375: Does Information Affect Homophily?

Yana Gallen and Melanie Wasserman

17374: College Openings and Local Economic Development

Francesco Berlingieri, Christina Gathmann and Matthias Quinckhardt

17373: Gender Differences in STEM Persistence after Graduation

Judith Delaney and Paul Devereux

17372: Marketing Investment and Intangible Brand Capital

Bart Bronnenberg, Jean-Pierre Dube and Chad Syverson

17371: The Regional Development Trap in Europe

Andreas Diemer, Simona Iammarino, Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Michael Storper

17370: Relative Investor Sentiment Measurement

Xiang Gao, Kees Koedijk, Thomas Walther and Zhan Wang

17369: Explaining Deviations from Okun's Law

Claudia Foroni and Francesco Furlanetto

17368: Greenhouse Gas Mitigation and Price-driven Growth in a Baumol-Solow-Swan Economy

Michael Burda and Leopold Zessner-Spitzenberg

17367: Private Monopoly and Restricted Entry - Evidence from the Notary Profession

Frank Verboven and Biliana Yontcheva

17366: Historical Newspaper Data: A Researcher's Guide and Toolkit

Brian Beach and W Hanlon

17365: Is Hospital Quality Predictive of Pandemic Deaths? Evidence from US Counties

Johannes Kunz and Carol Propper

17364: (Machine) Learning What Policies Value

Daniel Björkegren, Joshua Blumenstock and Samsun Knight

17363: Advising the management: A theory of shareholder engagement

Ali Kakhbod, Uliana Loginova, Andrey Malenko and Nadya Malenko

17362: European Funds and Firm Performance: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Mesquita Gabriel, José, João Pereira Dos Santos and Tavares, José

17361: Policy-Making, Trust and the Demand for Public Services: Evidence from a Mass Sterilizations Campaign

Gianmarco Leon-Ciliotta, Dijana Zejcirovic and Fernández Bazán, Fernando

17360: Myopic Fiscal Objectives and Long-Run Monetary Efficiency

Gaetano Gaballo and Eric Mengus

17359: The political economy of financing climate policy – Evidence from the solar PV subsidy programs

Olivier De Groote, Axel Gautier and Frank Verboven

17358: Social Media Influence Mainstream Media: Evidence from Two Billion Tweets

Julia Cagé, Hervé, Nicolas and Mazoyer, Béatrice