CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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13863: Exportweltmeister: The Low Returns on Germany’s Capital Exports

Hünnekes, Franziska, Moritz Schularick and Christoph Trebesch

13862: The Economic Costs of Financial Distress

Claudia Custodio, Miguel Ferreira and Emilia Garcia-Appendini

13861: Optimal Transport Networks in Spatial Equilibrium

Pablo Fajgelbaum and Edouard Schaal

13860: Social Media and Polarization

Arthur Campbell, Matthew Leister and Yves Zenou

13859: Formative Experiences and the Price of Gasoline

Christopher Severen and Arthur van Benthem

13858: The Dog that Didn’t Bark: The Curious Case of Lloyd Mints, Milton Friedman and the Emergence of Monetarism

Harris Dellas and George Tavlas

13857: Sentiment and Speculation in a Market with Heterogeneous Beliefs

Ian Martin

13856: Stock Market Wealth and the Real Economy: A Local Labor Market Approach

Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Plamen T. Nenov and Alp Simsek

13855: The Transmission of Shocks in EndogenousFinancial Networks: A Structural Approach

Jonas Heipertz, Amine Ouazad and Romain Ranciere

13854: Dividend Policy Decisions and Ownership Concentration: Evidence from Thai Public Companies

J. Thomas Connelly and Christian Wolff

13853: Identification with External Instruments in Structural VARs under Partial Invertibility

Silvia Miranda-Agrippino and Giovanni Ricco

13852: Pareto-Efficient Tax Deductions

Köhne, Sebastian and Dominik Sachs

13851: Is Employment Polarization Informative About Wage Inequality and Is Employment Really Polarizing?

Jennifer Hunt and Ryan Nunn

13850: Voting with their Money: Brexit and Outward Investment by UK Firms

Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson

13849: Does Drawing Down the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve Help Stabilize Oil Prices?

Lutz Kilian and Xiaoqing Zhou

13848: Funding the Great War and the beginning of the end for British hegemony

Martin Ellison, Thomas Sargent and Andrew Scott

13847: Technology-induced Trade Shocks? Evidence from Broadband Expansion in France

Clément Malgouyres, Thierry Mayer and Clément Mazet-Sonilhac

13846: Did Austerity Cause Brexit?

Thiemo Fetzer

13845: Endogenous Social Connections in Legislatures

Marco Battaglini, Eleonora Patacchini and Edoardo Rainone

13844: Funding and financing infrastructure: The joint-use of public and private finance

Marianne Fay, David Martimort and Stephane Straub

13843: "When Olson Meets Dahl": From Inefficient Groups Formation to Inefficient Policy-Making

David Martimort

13842: Nonlinear Pricing with Average-Price Bias

David Martimort and Lars Stole

13841: Moral Hazard and the Property Rights Approach to the Theory of the Firm

Patrick Schmitz

13840: Is Favoritism a Threat to Chinese Aid Effectiveness? A Subnational Analysis of Chinese Development Projects

Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs, Roland Hodler, Bradley Parks, Paul Raschky and Michael Tierney

13839: Puzzling Exchange Rate Dynamics and Delayed Portfolio Adjustment

Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop

13838: Roman Transport Network Connectivity and Economic Integration

Matthias Flueckiger, Erik Hornung, Mario Larch, Markus Ludwig and Allard Mees

13837: Firm organization with multiple establishments

Anna Gumpert, Henrike Steimer and Manfred Antoni

13836: P-hacking in clinical trials and how incentives shape the distribution of results across phases

Jerome Adda, Christian Decker and Marco Ottaviani

13835: Forward-Looking Policy Rules and Currency Premia

Ilias Filippou and Mark Taylor

13834: Externalities and financial crisis - enough to cause collapse?

Marcus Miller and Lei Zhang

13833: From Local to Global: A Unified Theory of Public Basic Research

Hans Gersbach, Ulrich Schetter and Samuel Schmassmann

13832: Prudential Monetary Policy

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

13831: Bank Assets, Liquidity and Credit Cycles

Federico Lubello, Ivan Petrella and Emiliano Santoro

13830: Using Survey Questions to Measure Preferences: Lessons from an Experimental Validation in Kenya

Michal Bauer, Julie Chytilová and Edward Miguel

13829: The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction: Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia

Samuel Bazzi, Robert Blair, Christopher Blattman, Oeindrila Dube, Matthew Gudgeon and Richard Peck

13828: Motivating employees through career paths

Heski Bar-Isaac and Raphaël Levy

13827: GVCs and Trade Elasticities with Multistage Production

Robert Johnson and Andreas Moxnes

13826: The Effects of Working while in School: Evidence from Employment Lotteries

Thomas Le Barbanchon, Diego Ubfal and Federico Araya

13825: Chaebols and firm dynamics in Korea

Philippe Aghion, Sergei Guriev and Kangchul Jo

13824: Runoff Elections in the Laboratory

Laurent Bouton, Jorge Gallego, Aniol Llorente-Saguer and Rebecca Morton

13823: Crime and Networks: 10 Policy Lessons

Matthew Lindquist and Yves Zenou

13822: Social Connectedness in Urban Areas

Michael Bailey, Patrick Farrell, Theresa Kuchler and Ströbel, Johannes

13821: Patterns of Competitive Interaction

Mark Armstrong and John Vickers

13820: Economic Geography Aspects of the Panama Canal

Stephan Maurer and Ferdinand Rauch

13819: A Model of Fickle Capital Flows and Retrenchment

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

13818: The effects of market integration during the first globalization: a multi-market approach

David Chilosi and Giovanni Federico

13817: Optimal Monetary Policy when Information is Market-Generated

Kenza Benhima and Isabella Blengini

13816: (Macro) Prudential Taxation of Good News

Jean Flemming, Jean-Paul L'Huillier and Facundo Piguillem

13815: A Risk-centric Model of Demand Recessions and Speculation

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

13814: Defeating Crime? An Economic Analysis of Cannabis Legalization Policies

Emmanuelle Auriol, Alice Mesnard and Tiffanie Perrault

13813: REVISITING THE ECONOMIC CASE FOR FISCAL UNION IN THE EURO AREA

Helge Berger and Giovanni Dell'ariccia

13812: Strategic Trading as a Response to Short Sellers

Marco Di Maggio, Francesco Franzoni, Massimo Massa and Roberto Tubaldi

13811: Ease vs. noise: Long-run changes in the value of transport (dis)amenities

Gabriel Ahlfeldt, Volker Nitsch and Nicolai Wendland

13810: Good for the Environment, Good for Business: Foreign Acquisitions and Energy Intensity

Arlan Brucal, Beata Javorcik and Inessa Love

13809: Empirical evidence on repeated sequential games

Riccardo Ghidoni and Sigrid Suetens

13808: Individual Consequences of Occupational Decline

Per-Anders Edin, Tiernan Evans, Georg Graetz, Hernnäs, Sofia and Guy Michaels

13807: Regulatory Interventions in Consumer Financial Markets: The Case of Credit Cards

Manolis Galenianos and Alessandro Gavazza

13806: Motivational Goal Bracketing: An Experiment

Alexander Koch and Julia Nafziger

13805: The Impact of Car Pollution on Infant and Child Health: Evidence from Emissions Cheating

Diane Alexander and Hannes Schwandt

13804: Intertemporal Evidence on the Strategy of Populism

Gloria Gennaro, Giampaolo Lecce and Massimo Morelli

13803: Monetary Policy for a Bubbly World

Vladimir Asriyan, Luca Fornaro, Martín, Alberto and Jaume Ventura

13802: Who Is Afraid of Machines?

Sotiris Blanas, Gino Gancia and Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee

13801: Use and Abuse of Regulated Prices in Electricity Markets: "How to Regulate Regulated Prices?"

David Martimort, Jerome Pouyet and Carine Staropoli

13800: The Impact of Abortion on Crime and Crime-Related Behavior

Randi Hjalmarsson, Andreea Mitrut and Cristian Pop-Eleches

13799: Technology Gaps, Trade and Income

Thomas Sampson

13798: The macroeconomic impact of Trump

Benjamin Born, Müller, Gernot, Moritz Schularick and SedlÃ¡Ä ek, Petr

13797: The Industrial Revolution in Services

Chang-Tai Hsieh and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

13796: International Comovement in the Global Production Network

Zhen Huo, Andrei Levchenko and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

13795: Kinks and Gains from Credit Cycles

Henrik Jensen, Søren Hove Ravn and Emiliano Santoro

13794: The ties that bind: implicit contracts and management practices in family-run firms

Renata Lemos and Daniela Scur

13793: Price Discrimination in the Information Age: Prices, Poaching, and Privacy with Personalized Targeted Discounts

Simon Anderson, Alicia Baik and Nathan Larson

13792: The Armistice of the Sexes: Gender Complementarities in the Production Function

Raphael Espinoza, Jonathan Ostry and Chris Papageorgiou

13791: Corporate cash holdings: Stock liquidity and the repurchase motive

Kjell Nyborg and Zexi Wang

13790: Inaccurate Statistical Discrimination: An Identification Problem

Aislinn Bohren, Kareem Haggag, Alex Imas and Devin Pope

13789: Are Referees and Editors in Economics Gender Neutral?

David Card, Stefano DellaVigna, Patricia Funk and Nagore Iriberri

13788: Active Short Selling by Hedge Funds

Ian Appel, Jordan Bulka and Vyacheslav Fos

13787: Risk Management in Financial Institutions

Adriano Rampini, S. Viswanathan and Guillaume Vuillemey

13786: Information, Mobile Communication, and Referral Effects

Panle Barwick, Yanyan Liu, Eleonora Patacchini and Qi Wu

13785: Trading Up and the Skill Premium

Nir Jaimovich, Sergio Rebelo, Arlene Wong and Miao Ben Zhang

13784: Effective policies and social norms in the presence of driverless cars: Theory and experiment

Antonio Cabrales, Ryan Kendall and Sánchez, Angel

13783: The Standard Errors of Persistence

Morgan Kelly

13782: The gender gap in informal child care: theory and some evidence from Italy

Francesca Barigozzi, Helmuth Cremer and Chiara Monfardini

13781: Treatment Effects with Heterogeneous Externalities

Eleonora Patacchini and Edoardo Rainone

13780: When Dad Can Stay Home: Fathers’ Workplace Flexibility and Maternal Health

Petra Persson and Maya Rossin-Slater

13779: Diversity and Conflict

Eren Arbatlı, Cemal, Quamrul Ashraf, Oded Galor and Marc Klemp

13778: On the Equivalence of Private and Public Money

Markus Brunnermeier and Dirk Niepelt

13777: Buyers' Role in Innovation Procurement

Francesco Decarolis, Gaétan de Rassenfosse, Leonardo M. Giuffrida, Elisabetta Iossa, Vincenzo Mollisi, Emilio Raiteri and Giancarlo Spagnolo

13776: Financial Crises and Liberalisation: Progress or Reversals?

Orkun Saka, Nauro Campos, Paul De Grauwe, Yuemei Ji and Angelo Martelli

13775: Resolving New Keynesian Anomalies with Wealth in the Utility Function

Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez

13774: Job Seekers' Perceptions and Employment Prospects: Heterogeneity, Duration Dependence and Bias

Andreas Mueller, Johannes Spinnewijn and Giorgio Topa

13773: Disincentives from Redistribution: Evidence on a Dividend of Democracy

Rupert Sausgruber, Axel Sonntag and Jean-Robert Tyran

13772: Good Dispersion, Bad Dispersion

Matthias Kehrig and Nicolas Vincent

13771: Friendship Networks and Political Opinions

Yann Algan, Nicolo Dalvit, Quoc-Anh Do, Alexis Le Chapelain and Yves Zenou

13770: What Do Employee Referral Programs Do?

Guido Friebel, Matthias Heinz, Mitchell Hoffman and Nick Zubanov

13769: Economic incentives, childcare and gender identity norms

Andrea Ichino, Martin Olsson, Barbara Petrongolo and Peter Skogman Thoursie

13768: Trade and Worker Deskilling

Rui Costa, Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin

13767: The Detrimental Effect of Job Protection on Employment: Evidence from France

Pierre Cahuc, Franck Malherbet and Julien Prat

13766: Standing on the shoulders of science

Joshua Krieger, Monika Schnitzer and Martin Watzinger

13765: Identifying Modern Macro Equations with Old Shocks

Régis Barnichon and Geert Mesters

13764: Local Search Markets and External Competition

Patrick Legros and Konrad Stahl