CEPR Discussion Papers

From C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
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12808: Real Interest Rates and Productivity in Small Open Economies

Tommaso Monacelli, Luca Sala and Daniele Siena

12807: From Welfare to Warfare: New Deal Spending and Patriotism During World War II

Hans-Joachim Voth and Bruno Caprettini

12806: Financial crises and political radicalization: How failing banks paved Hitler's path to power

Hans-Joachim Voth, Sebastian Doerr, Stefan Gissler and Peydró, José-Luis

12805: News and Archival Information in Games

Ran Spiegler

12804: Incentive Compatible Estimators

Kfir Eliaz and Ran Spiegler

12803: Power to the Periphery? The failure of Regional Convergence in Canada, 1890-2006

Rosés, Joan R. and Chris Minns

12802: Benefit reentitlement conditions in unemployment insurance schemes

Torben M Andersen, Michael Svarer and Kristoffersen, Mark Strøm

12801: The Tyranny of the Single Minded: Guns, Environment, and Abortion

Paola Conconi, Laurent Bouton, Francisco Pino and ,

12800: Financial Intermediary Capital

Adriano Rampini and S Viswanathan

12799: Income Inequality in France, 1900-2014: Evidence from Distributional National Accounts (DINA)

Thomas Piketty, Bertrand Garbinti and Jonathan Goupille-Lebret

12798: Forensics, Elasticities and Benford's Law

Beata Javorcik and Banu Demir

12797: Policy Experimentation, Redistribution and Voting Rules

T. Renee Bowen and Vincent Anesi

12796: Effectiveness of Connected Legislators

Marco Battaglini, Valerio Leone Sciabolazza and Eleonora Patacchini

12795: Beyond Tariff Reductions: What Extra Boost From Trade Agreement Provisions?

Swati Dhingra, Rebecca Freeman and Eleonora Mavroeidi

12794: On the Direct and Indirect Real Effects of Credit Supply Shocks

García-Santana, Manuel, Laura Alfaro and Enrique Moral-Benito

12793: The Search for a Euro Area Safe Asset

Jeromin Zettelmeyer and Alvaro Leandro

12792: Identifying Network Ties from Panel Data: Theory and an Application to Tax Competition

Aureo de Paula, Imran Rasul and Pedro Souza

12791: Regulatory Competition in Banking: A General Equilibrium Approach

Hans Gersbach, Hans Haller and Stylianos Papageorgiou

12790: What drives the legalization of immigrants? Evidence from IRCA

Giovanni Facchini, Alessandra Casarico and Tommaso Frattini

12789: A Theory of Small Campaign Contributions

Micael Castanheira, Laurent Bouton and Allan Drazen

12788: The US Gains From Trade: Valuation Using the Demand for Foreign Factor Services

Arnaud Costinot and Rodríguez-Clare, Andres

12787: Equilibrium Indeterminacy with Parental Altruism

Pietro Reichlin

12786: The Dynamic Effects of Computerized VAT Invoices on Chinese Manufacturing Firms

Nancy Qian, Yu Liu, Jaya Wen and Haichao Fan

12785: Democratic Tipping Points

Antonio Ciccone

12784: Debt Overhang and Investment Efficiency

Marcin Wolski, Francesca Barbiero and Alexander Popov

12783: BKK the EZ Way. International Long-Run Growth News and Capital Flows

Mariano Croce, Ric Colacito, Steven Ho and Philip Howard

12782: Specializing in Generality: Firm Strategies When Intermediate Markets Work

Alfonso Gambardella, Raffaele Conti and Elena Novelli

12781: Tax Evasion and Inequality

Gabriel Zucman, Niels Johannesen and Alstadsæter, Annette

12780: Wealth Taxation and Wealth Accumulation: Theory and Evidence from Denmark

Gabriel Zucman, Katrine Jakobsen, Kristian Jakobsen and Henrik Kleven

12779: Who Owns the Wealth in Tax Havens? Macro Evidence and Implications for Global Inequality

Gabriel Zucman, Alstadsæter, Annette and Niels Johannesen

12778: Capital Markets and Grain Prices: Assessing the Storage Cost Approach

Wolfgang Keller, , and Xin Wang

12777: Sovereign Defaults in Court

Christoph Trebesch, Julian Schumacher and Henrik Enderlein

12776: The Informational Effects of Tightening Oil and Gas Disclosure Rules

Gaizka Ormazabal, Marc Badia, Miguel Duro and Bjørn Jørgensen

12775: The Role of Stakeholders in Corporate Governance: A View from Accounting Research

Gaizka Ormazabal

12774: Race, Representation and Local Governments in the US South: the effect of the Voting Rights Act

Giovanni Facchini, Andrea Bernini and Cecilia Testa

12773: Horizontal Mergers and Innovation

Bruno Jullien and Yassine Lefouili

12772: The Legacy of Colonial Medicine in Central Africa

Sara Lowes and Eduardo Montero

12771: Connecting the Countryside via E-Commerce: Evidence from China

Benjamin Faber, Lizhi Liu, Yizhen Gu and Victor Couture

12770: The Household Fallacy

Roger Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk

12769: Prices and Inflation when Government Bonds are Net Wealth

Marcus Hagedorn

12768: Plotting interest rates: The FOMC’s projections and the economy

Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart

12767: Common Factors of Commodity Prices

Domenico Giannone, Laurent Ferrara and Simona Delle Chiaie

12766: Macroprudential FX Regulations: Shifting the Snowbanks of FX Vulnerability?

Kristin Forbes, Toni Ahnert, Christian Friedrich and Dennis Reinhardt

12765: Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises - The Role of Information Shocks

Peter Karadi and Marek Jarociński

12764: The Economics of Supranational Bank Supervision

Thorsten Beck, Wolf Wagner and Consuelo Silva-Buston

12763: A Dialogue between a Populist and an Economist

Antonio Spilimbergo, Tito Boeri, Prachi Mishra and Chris Papageorgiou

12762: Beauty Contests and the Term Structure

Martin Ellison and Andreas Tischbirek

12761: The Capital Markets Union: Key Challenges

Pástor, Luboš and Franklin Allen

12760: Expected Correlation and Future Market Returns

Adrian Buss, Grigory Vilkov and ,

12759: Horizontal Mergers and Product Innovation

Tommaso Valletti, Gregor Langus and Giulio Federico

12758: Global Alcohol Markets: Evolving Consumption Patterns, Regulations and Industrial Organizations

Kym Anderson, Giulia Meloni and Johan Swinnen

12757: Learning from Nationally Determined Contributions

Carlo Carraro, Joseph Aldy, William Pizer, Keigo Akimoto, Massimo Tavoni and Lara Aleluia Reis

12756: Government education expenditures, pre-primary education and school performance: A cross-country analysis

Daniela Del Boca, Chiara Monfardini and Sarah See

12755: Financial Policy

,

12754: Early Gender Gaps Among University Graduates

Marco Francesconi and Matthias Parey

12753: Ramsey Taxation in the Global Economy

Pedro Teles, Juan Pablo Nicolini and Varadarajan Chari

12752: Firm performance and participation in public procurement: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Marco Sanfilippo

12751: Preventives Versus Treatments Redux: Tighter Bounds on Distortions in Innovation Incentives with an Application to the Global D

Michael Kremer and Christopher Snyder

12750: Sovereign Default: The Role of Expectations

Pedro Teles, ,, Gaston Navarro and Juan Pablo Nicolini

12749: Regional Economic Development in Europe, 1900-2010: a description of the Patterns

Nikolaus Wolf and Rosés, Joan R.

12748: Firm-Specific Training

Leonardo Felli and Christopher J Harris

12747: Computerizing Industries and Routinizing Jobs: Explaining Trends in Aggregate Productivity

Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, Yongseok Shin and Sangmin Aum

12746: War of the Waves: Radio and Resistance During World War II

Guido Tabellini, Francesco Sobbrio and Stefano Gagliarducci

12745: Roman Roads to Prosperity: Persistence and Non-Persistence of Public Goods Provision

Carl-Johan Dalgaard, Nicolai Kaarsen, Ola Olsson and Pablo Selaya

12744: Childless Aristocrats. Inheritance and the extensive margin of fertility

Paula Gobbi and Goñi, Marc

12743: How Much Market Access? A Case study of Jordan’s Exports to the EU

Jaime de Melo, Brunelin, Stéphanie and Alberto Portugal-Perez

12742: Loan Contract Structure and Adverse Selection: Survey Evidence from Uganda

,, Andreas Madestam, Miri Stryjan and Christian Ahlin

12741: The Effects of Foreign Aid on Refugee Flows

Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs and Sarah Langlotz

12740: The culture of overconfidence

V Bhaskar and Caroline Thomas

12739: Price Level Targeting with Evolving Credibility

Seppo Honkapohja and Kaushik Mitra

12738: Do Dutch dentists extract monopoly rents?

Nadine Ketel, Hessel Oosterbeek, Edwin Leuven and Bas van der Klaauw

12737: Liquidity Regimes and Optimal Dynamic Asset Allocation

Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Kent Daniel and Mehmet Saglam

12736: The Effect of the H-1B Quota on the Employment and Selection of Foreign-Born Labor

Anna Maria Mayda, Francesc Ortega, Giovanni Peri and Chad Sparber

12735: The labor market integration of refugees to the United States: Do entrepreneurs in the network help?

Anna Maria Mayda, Jean-François Maystadt and Olivier Dagnelie

12734: Monetary Policy and Inequality under Labor Market Frictions and Capital-Skill Complementarity

Juan Dolado, Gergő Motyovszki and Evi Pappa

12733: Learning When to Quit: An Empirical Model of Experimentation

Emanuele Tarantino, Timothy S. Simcoe and Bernhard Ganglmair

12732: Does the Potential to Merge Reduce Competition?

Dirk Hackbarth and Bart Taub

12731: The Greek Justice System: Collapse and Reform

Elias Papaioannou and Stavroula Karatza

12730: Coordinated Capacity Reductions and Public Communication in the Airline Industry

Federico Ciliberto, Gaurab Aryal and Benjamin Leyden

12729: Unclogging the Credit Channel: on the Macroeconomics of Banking frictions

Sweder van Wijnbergen and Egle Jakucionyte

12728: Exports and labor costs: Evidence from a French Policy

Thierry Mayer and Clément Malgouyres

12727: Misallocation: Markups and Technology

Christian Bayer, Ariel Mecikovsky and Matthias Meier

12726: Understanding the Effects of Granting Work Permits to Undocumented Immigrants

Joan Monras, Vázquez-Grenno, Javier and Ferran Elias

12725: Regional lobbying and Structural funds. Do regional representation offices in Brussels deliver?

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Julie Courty

12724: Waiting for the payday? The market for startups and the timing of entrepreneurial exit

Rønde, Thomas, Ashish Arora and Andrea Fosfuri

12723: The Optimal Inflation Target and the Natural Rate of Interest

Galí, Jordi, Philippe Andrade, Hervé Le Bihan and Julien Matheron

12722: Firms' Expectations of New Orders, Employment, Costs and Prices: Evidence from Micro Data

Lena Boneva, James Cloyne, Martin Weale and Tomasz Wieladek

12721: AI as the next GPT: a Political-Economy Perspective

Manuel Trajtenberg

12720: Agency Conflicts over the Short and Long Run: Short-termism, Long-termism, and Pay-for-Luck

Erwan Morellec, Sebastian Gryglewicz and Simon Mayer

12719: Perceived Wages and the Gender Gap in STEM Fields

Aderonke Osikominu and Gregor Pfeifer

12718: (The Struggle for) Refugee Integration into the Labour Market: Evidence from Europe

Tommaso Frattini, Francesco Fasani and Luigi Minale

12717: Optimal Taxes on Capital in the OLG Model with Uninsurable Idiosyncratic Income Risk

Dirk Krueger and Alexander Ludwig

12716: Quantile Factor Models

Juan Dolado, Liang Chen and Jesus Gonzalo

12715: Banker My Neighbour: Matching and Financial Intermediation in Savings Groups

Marcel Fafchamps and Rachel Cassidy

12714: Intuitive Donating: Testing One-Line Solicitations for $1 Donations in a Large Online Experiment

Dean Karlan and Samantha Horn

12713: Uncertainty and Economic Activity: A Multi-Country Perspective

Alessandro Rebucci, Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi and Mohammad Pesaran

12712: The Price of Gold: Dowry and Death in India

Selim Gulesci, Sonia Bhalotra and Abhishek Chakravarty

12711: “Since you’re so rich, you must be really smartâ€: Talent and the Finance Wage Premium

Strömberg, Per, Daniel Metzger and Böhm, Michael

12710: What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data

Ruediger Bachmann and Peter Zorn

12709: Communication in Context: Interpreting Promises in an Experiment on Competition and Trust

Alessandra Casella, Navin Kartik, Luis Sanchez and Turban, Sébastien