CEPR Discussion Papers

From C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
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15418: Binary Choice with Asymmetric Loss in a Data-Rich Environment: Theory and an Application to Racial Justice

Eric Ghysels, Andrii Babii, Xi Chen and Rohit Kumar

15417: Persistence – Myth and Mystery

Hans-Joachim Voth

15416: Subsidizing the spread of COVID19: Evidence from the UK's Eat-Out-to-Help-Out scheme

Thiemo Fetzer

15415: Predistribution vs. Redistribution: Evidence from France and the U.S

Thomas Piketty, Antoine Bozio, Bertrand Garbinti, Jonathan Goupille-Lebret and Malka Guillot

15414: The Geopolitics of International Trade in Southeast Asia

A. Kerem Coşar and Benjamin Thomas

15413: Financial Policymaking after Crises: Public vs. Private Interest

Paul De Grauwe, Orkun Saka and Yuemei Ji

15412: Monopsony, Skills, and Labor Market Concentration

Kjell G Salvanes, Samuel Dodini, Michael Lovenheim and Willén, Alexander

15411: Discrete Mixtures of Normals Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimators of Structural Vector Autoregressions

Enrique Sentana and Gabriele Fiorentini

15410: Civil Liberties in Times of Crisis

Stefanie Stantcheva, Marcella Alsan, Luca Braghieri, Sarah Eichmeyer, Minjeong Joyce Kim and David Yang

15409: Location, Location, Location: Manufacturing and House Price Growth

Nir Jaimovich, Stephen Terry and Nicolas Vincent

15408: Rational Inattention: A Review

Bartosz Maćkowiak, MatÄ›jka, Filip and Mirko Wiederholt

15407: Designing an International Economic Order: A Research Agenda

T. Renee Bowen and James Broz

15406: Agenda-Setter Power Dynamics: Learning in Multi-Issue Bargaining

T. Renee Bowen, Stefan Krasa and Ilwoo Hwang

15405: Populist Leaders and the Economy

Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick and Christoph Trebesch

15404: Stock Market Spillovers via the Global Production Network: Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy

Galina Hale and Julian di Giovanni

15403: A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth

Christiane Baumeister and Pierre Guérin

15402: Revisiting Productivity Dynamics in Europe: A New Measure of Utilization-Adjusted TFP Growth

Diego Comin, Javier Quintana Gonzalez, Tom Schmitz and Antonella Trigari

15401: Competitive Gerrymandering and the Popular Vote

Felix Bierbrauer and Mattias K Polborn

15400: Not an ordinary bank but a great engine of state: the bank of England and the British economy, 1694-1844

Patrick O'Brien and Nuno Palma

15399: Judge Bias in Labor Courts and Firm Performance

Pierre Cahuc, Carcillo, Stéphane, Patault, Bérengère and Flavien Moreau

15398: Dynastic Control without Ownership: Evidence from Post-war Japan

Morten Bennedsen, Vikas Mehrotra, Jungwook Shim and Yupana Wiwattanakantang

15397: Exchange Rates and Prices: Evidence from the 2015 Swiss Franc Appreciation

Raphael Auer, Sarah Lein and Ariel Tomas Burstein

15396: Industrial Clusters, Networks and Resilience to the Covid-19 Shock in China

Dilip Mookherjee, Ruochen Dai, Yingyue Quan and Xiaobo Zhang

15395: Dissecting Idiosyncratic Earnings Risk

Kjetil Storesletten, Elin Halvorsen, Hans Holter and Serdar Ozkan

15394: How Should Tax Progressivity Respond to Rising Income Inequality

Kjetil Storesletten, Jonathan Heathcote and Giovanni Violante

15393: Macroeconomic Outcomes and COVID-19: A Progress Report

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús and Charles Jones

15392: Does lasting behavior change require knowledge change? Evidence from savings interventions for young adults

Dean Karlan, Samantha Horn, Julian C. Jamison and Jonathan Zinman

15391: Personal Values and Cyber Risk-Taking

Neil Gandal, Zohar Weinstein and Sonia Roccas

15390: Evaluating the Effectiveness of Policies Against a Pandemic

Alexander Ludwig, Alemán, Christian, Christopher Busch and Santaeulà lia-Llopis, Raül

15389: Grantmaking

Marco Ottaviani

15388: Piecewise-Linear Approximations and Filtering for DSGE Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints

Frank Schorfheide, S. Boragan Aruoba, Pablo Cuba-Borda, Kenji Hilga-Flores and Sergio Villalvazo

15387: Offshoring and Inflation

Diego Comin and Robert Johnson

15386: Efficient Policy Interventions in an Epidemic

Piero Gottardi and Alberto Bisin

15385: Granular Credit Risk

Helene Rey, Sigurd Galaasen, Rustam Jamilov and Ragnar Juelsrud

15384: Fiscal transfers, local government, and entrepreneurship

Steven Ongena and Piotr Danisewicz

15383: Measuring Price Selection in Microdata - It's Not There

Peter Karadi, Raphael Schoenle and Jesse Wursten

15382: Fiscal policy in Europe: a helicopter view

Florin Bilbiie, Tommaso Monacelli and Roberto Perotti

15381: Mortgage Market Disruptions

Paolo Surico, Philippe Bracke, Karen Croxson, Daoud Fakhri and Tommaso Valletti

15380: Accounting for Growth in Spain, 1850-2019

Leandro Prados de la Escosura and Rosés, Joan R.

15379: Competition in a spatially-differentiated product market with negotiated prices

Howard Smith, Walter Beckert and Yuya Takahashi

15378: Uncertainty, Contracting, and Beliefs in Organizations

Paolo Fulghieri and David Dicks

15377: Arrovian Efficiency and Auditability in the Allocation of Discrete Resources

Marek Pycia and M. Utku Ãœnver

15376: Profit-splitting Rules and the Taxation of Multinational Digital Platforms

Gabrielle Demange and Francis Bloch

15375: An annual index of Irish industrial production, 1840-1913

Kevin O'Rourke, Kenny, Seán and Jason Lennard

15374: Gravity with Granularity

Holger Breinlich, Harald Fadinger, Volker Nocke and Nicolas Schutz

15373: Expectations, Infections, and Economic Activity

Martin Eichenbaum, Miguel Godinho de Matos, Francisco Lima, Rebelo, Sérgio and Mathias Trabandt

15372: China's Dazzling Transport-infrastructure Growth: Measurement and Effects

Peter Egger, Gabriel Loumeau and Nicole Loumeau

15371: Preparing for a pandemic: Spending dynamics and panic buying during the COVID-19 first wave

Martin O'Connell, Aureo de Paula and Kate Smith

15370: Income Risk and Stock Market Entry/Exit Decisions

George Korniotis, Yosef Bonaparte and Alok Kumar

15369: The Dynamic Impact of Exporting on Firm R&D Investment

Florin Maican, Matilda Orth, Mark Roberts and Van Anh Vuong

15368: Exploring Differences in Household Debt Across the United States and Euro Area Countries

Michael Ehrmann, Dimitris Christelis and Dimitris Georgarakos

15367: The Reversal Interest Rate: A Critical Review

Rafael Repullo

15366: Designing Central Bank Digital Currencies

Giovanni Dell'ariccia, Itai Agur and Anil Ari

15365: Monetary Policy in the Next Recession?

Stephen Cecchetti, Michael Feroli, Anil Kashyap, Catherine L. Mann and Kermit Schoenholtz

15364: Capital in Spain, 1850-2019

Leandro Prados de la Escosura

15363: Rise of the central bank digital currencies: drivers, approaches and technologies

Raphael Auer, Jon Frost and Giulio Cornelli

15362: Historical Data: Where to Find Them, How to Use Them

Paola Giuliano and Andrea Matranga

15361: (S)Cars and the Great Recession

Morten Ravn, Orazio Attanasio, Kieran Larkin and Mario Padula

15360: Bottom-up Markup Fluctuations

Basile Grassi, Ariel Tomas Burstein and Vasco Carvalho

15359: An Adaptive Targeted Field Experiment: Job Search Assistance for Refugees in Jordan

Simon Quinn, Stefano Caria, Grant Gordon, Maximilian Kasy, Soha Shami and Alexander Teytelboym

15358: Work, care and gender during the Covid-19 crisis

Barbara Petrongolo and Claudia Hupkau

15357: Fintech and big tech credit: a new database

Leonardo Gambacorta, Giulio Cornelli, Jon Frost, Raghavendra Rau, Robert Wardrop and Tania Ziegler

15356: Task Allocation and On-the-job Training

Leeat Yariv, Mariagiovanna Baccara and SangMok Lee

15355: Is Environmentalism the Right Strategy to Decarbonize the World?

Jacques Thisse, Marco Marini and Ornella Tarola

15354: Priority Roads: the Political Economy of Africa's Interior-to-Coast Roads

Roberto Bonfatti, Yuan Gu and Steven Poelhekke

15353: Grandparents, Moms, or Dads? Why children of teen mothers do worse in life

Paul Devereux, Anna Aizer and Kjell G Salvanes

15352: Finance and Technology: What is changing and what is not

Stephen Cecchetti and Kermit Schoenholtz

15351: The Stable Transformation Path

Francisco Buera, Joseph Kaboski, Martí Mestieri and Daniel O'Connor

15350: Trade Unions and the Welfare of Rural-Urban Migrant Workers in China

Alison Booth, Richard Freeman, Xin Meng and Jilu Zhang

15349: Collateral Damage: The Legacy of the Secret War in Laos

Felipe Valencia Caicedo and Juan Riano

15348: Money, Banking, and Old-School Historical Economics

Eric Monnet and Francois Velde

15347: The History and Politics of Public Debt Accounting

Eric Monnet and Truong-Loï, Blaise

15346: Deep Learning Classification: Modeling Discrete Labor Choice

Serguei Maliar

15345: The Ancient Origins of the Wealth of Nations

Marc Klemp, Quamrul Ashraf and Oded Galor

15344: The Political Economics of Non-democracy

Konstantin Sonin and Georgy Egorov

15343: Institutional fragility, breakdown of trust: a model of social unrest in Chile

Velasco, Andrés and Robert Funk

15342: Regulatory Measures to Dismantle Pyramidal Business Groups: Evidence from the United States, Japan, Korea and Israel

Yishay Yafeh, Assaf Hamdani and Konstantin Kosenko

15341: A q Theory of Internal Capital Markets

Xavier Giroud, Min Dai, Wei Jiang and Neng Wang

15340: Imported or Home Grown? The 1992-3 EMS Crisis

Barry Eichengreen and Alain Naef

15339: Dominant Currencies: How firms choose currency invoicing and why it matters

Oleg Itskhoki, Mary Amiti and Jozef Konings

15338: Occupational Licensing and the Gender Wage Gap

Mario Pagliero, Maria Koumenta and Davud Rostam-Afschar

15337: The Global Factor Structure of Exchange Rates

Andrea Vedolin, Sofonias Alemu Korsaye and Fabio Trojani

15336: Legal Air Cover

Ugo Panizza, Patrick Bolton and Mitu Gulati

15335: Central bank digital currency in an open economy

Arnaud Mehl, Livio Stracca and Massimo Ferrari Minesso

15334: The Crisis and Job Guarantees in Urban India

Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin

15333: Recruitment, Effort, and Retention Effects of Performance Contracts for Civil Servants: Experimental Evidence from Rwandan Prim

Clare Leaver, Owen Ozier, Pieter Serneels and Andrew Zeitlin

15332: Who Should Work from Home during a Pandemic? The Wage-Infection Trade-off

Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee, Sangmin Aum and Yongseok Shin

15331: De-globalization: Driven by Global Crises?

Assaf Razin

15330: Should we trust cross sectional multiplier estimates?

Fabio Canova

15329: The Optimal Allocation of Covid-19 Vaccines

Ana Babus, Sanmay Das and SangMok Lee

15328: Global Financial Cycle and Liquidity Management

Olivier Jeanne and Damiano Sandri

15327: Colonial legacies: Shaping African cities

J. Vernon Henderson, Cong Peng and Neeraj Baruah

15326: The Gravitational Constant?

Kevin O'Rourke, David Jacks and Alan Taylor

15325: The Indirect Fiscal Benefits of Low-Skilled Immigration

Dominik Sachs and Mark Colas

15324: Collective Information Acquisition

Kfir Eliaz and Ran Eilat

15323: SME Failures Under Large Liquidity Shocks: An Application to the COVID-19 Crisis

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Kalemli-Özcan, Á¹¢ebnem, Veronika Penciakova and Nick Sander

15322: Monetary Policy with a Central Bank Digital Currency: The Short and the Long Term

Hans Gersbach and Böser, Florian

15321: The Impact of Pessimistic Expectations on the Effects of COVID-19-Induced Uncertainty in the Euro Area

Federico Ravenna, Giovanni Pellegrino and Züllig, Gabriel

15320: The German Federal Constitutional Court Ruling and the European Central Bank's Strategy

Volker Wieland and Lars Feld

15319: Non-Random Exposure to Exogenous Shocks: Theory and Applications

Kirill Borusyak and Peter Hull