CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
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17557: Stress, Ethnicity, and Prosocial Behavior

Sara Lowes, Johannes Haushofer, Abednego Musau, David David Ndetei, Nathan Nunn, Moritz Poll and Nancy Qian

17556: The Dynamics of a Policy Outcome: Market Response and Bureaucratic Enforcement of a Policy Change

Dana Foarta, Steven Callander and Takuo Sugaya

17555: What are the Macroeconomic Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance?

Tomasz Wieladek and Martin Weale

17554: The Effect of Content Moderation on Online and Offline Hate: Evidence from Germany's NetzDG

Jiménez Durán, Rafael, Müller, Karsten and Carlo Schwarz

17553: Silent Spreaders: Behavior and Equilibrium Under Asymptomatic Infection

Flavio Toxvaerd

17552: The Impact of Firm-level Covid Rescue Policies on Productivity Growth and Reallocation

Jozef Konings, Glenn Magerman and Dieter Van Esbroeck

17551: The Political U: New Evidence on Democracy and Income

Nauro Campos, Fabrizio Coricelli and Marco Frigerio

17550: Anticipated Children and Educational Investment: Evidence from the One-Child Policy in China

Eva Raiber

17549: Innovation Union: Costs and Benefits of Innovation Policy Cooperation

Teodora Borota, Giammario Impullitti and Adam Spencer

17548: Employer Power and Employment in Developing Countries

Nancy Chau, Ravi Kanbur and Vidhya Soundararajan

17547: The Agricultural Wage Gap Within Rural Villages

Ceren Baysan, Kyle Emerick, Elisabeth Sadoulet, Zhimin Li and Manzoor Dar

17546: Adverse Selection as a Policy Instrument: Unraveling Climate Change

Hémous, David, Steve Cicala and Morten Olsen

17545: How Worker Productivity and Wages Grow with Tenure and Experience: The Firm Perspective

Søren Leth-Petersen, Minjoon Lee, Andrew Caplin, Matthew Shapiro and Sæverud, Johan

17544: Data, Competition, and Digital Platforms

Dirk Bergemann and Alessandro Bonatti

17543: Labor Market Power, Self-Employment, and Development

Francesco Amodio, Pamela Medina and Monica Morlacco

17542: Network Games Made Simple

Yves Zenou and Junjie Zhou

17541: Decision Theory and Stochastic Growth

Jakub Steiner, Arthur Robson and Larry Samuelson

17540: Estimating the Laffer Tax Rate on Capital Income: Cross-base Responses Matter!

Lefebvre, Marie-Noëlle, Etienne Lehmann and Michaël Sicsic

17539: Family bargaining and the gender gap in informal care

Helmuth Cremer and Chiara Canta

17538: Polarization and Electoral Balance

Andrea Mattozzi and David Levine

17537: Heterogeneous beliefs and the Phillips curve

Roland Meeks and Francesca Monti

17536: Globalization and Market Power

Giammario Impullitti and Fahad Kazmi

17535: Public housing development and segregation: SRU law in France

Guillaume Chapelle, Laurent Gobillon and Benjamin Vignolles

17534: Culture Clash: Incompatible Reputation Mechanisms and Intergroup Conflict

Vasiliki Fouka and Schläpfer, Alain

17533: Eurozone Government Bond Spreads: A Tale of Different ECB Policy Regimes

Sylvester Eijffinger and Mary Pieterse-Bloem

17532: The Hitchhiker's Guide to Markup Estimation: Assessing Estimates from Financial Data

Maarten De Ridder, Basile Grassi and Giovanni Morzenti

17531: Amazon Entry on Amazon Marketplace

Gregory Crawford, Matteo Courthoud, Regina Seibel and Simon Zuzek

17530: Globotics and macroeconomics: Globalisation and automation of the service sector

Richard Baldwin

17529: Fiscal Policy and the Balance Sheet of the Private Sector

Hans Gersbach, Jean Rochet and Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden

17528: Casualties of border changes: Evidence from nighttime lights and plant exit

Kristian Behrens

17527: Capital Flows and Institutions

Deniz Igan, Alexandre Lauwers and Damien Puy

17526: Tax Wedges, Financial Frictions and Misallocation

Arpad Abraham, Piero Gottardi, Joachim Hubmer and Lukas Mayr

17525: Terrorism and Voting: The Rise of Right-Wing Populism in Germany

Navid Sabet, Marius Liebald and Guido Friebel

17524: Historical anti-fascism and right-wing voting in Italy

Laura Panza, Marco Lecci, Eik Swee and Giulio Zanella

17523: Information Manipulation and Repression: A Theory and Evidence from the COVID Response in Russia

Natalia Lamberova and Konstantin Sonin

17522: Climate change around the world

Per Krusell and Anthony Smith

17521: Competition and the Phillips Curve

Ippei Fujiwara and Kiminori Matsuyama

17520: To Own or to Rent? The Effects of Transaction Taxes on Housing Markets

Lu Han, L. Rachel Ngai and Kevin Sheedy

17519: National Accounts in a World of Naturally Occurring Data: A Proof of Concept for Consumption

Gergely Buda, Vasco Carvalho, Stephen Hansen, Alvaro Ortiz, Tomasa Rodrigo and Rodríguez Mora, José V

17518: Risk Aversion and Favorite-Longshot Bias in a Competitive Fixed-Odds Betting Market

Karl Whelan

17517: Free entry in a Cournot market with overlapping ownership

Xavier Vives and Orestis Vravosinos

17516: Is Physical Climate Risk Priced? Evidence from Regional Variation in Exposure to Heat Stress

Viral Acharya, Timothy Johnson, Suresh Sundaresan and Tuomas Tomunen

17515: US Taxation of Gambling Winnings and Incentives to Bet

Karl Whelan

17514: The Burst of High Inflation in 2021-22: How and Why Did We Get Here?

Ricardo Reis

17513: Do the Long-term Unemployed Benefit from Automated Occupational Advice during Online Job Search?

Michèle Belot, Philipp Kircher and Paul Muller

17512: Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions

Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark and Massimiliano Marcellino

17511: Intermediaries’ Substitutability and Financial Network Resilience: A Hyperstructure Approach

Olivier Accominotti, Delio Lucena and Stefano Ugolini

17510: Social Protection and Social Distancing During the Pandemic: Mobile Money Transfers in Ghana

Dean Karlan, Matt Lowe, Robert Osei, Isaac Osei-Akoto, Benjamin N. Roth and Christopher Udry

17509: Movables as Collateral and Corporate Credit: Loan-Level Evidence from Legal Reforms across Europe

Steven Ongena, Walid Saffar, Yuan Sun and Lai Wei

17508: Firm net worth, external finance premia and monitoring cost: Estimates based on firm-level data

,, Sarah Lein and ,

17507: Asset Overhang and Technological Change

Hans Degryse, Tarik Roukny and Joris Tielens

17506: Backlash Against Expert Recommendations: Reactions to COVID-19 Advice in Latin America

Facundo Albornoz, Nicolas Bottan, Guillermo Cruces, Bridget Hoffmann and Maria Lombardi

17505: Ethnic Clustering in Schools and Early Career Outcomes

Caroline Chuard, Annatina Aerne, Simone Balestra, Beatrix Eugster and Roland Hodler

17504: Violence Against Women at Work

Abigail Adams-Prassl, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix and Ning Zhang

17503: The Impact of Absent Coworkers on Productivity in Teams

Sam Hoey, Thomas Peeters and Jan C. van Ours

17502: Screening with Persuasion

Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann and Stephen Morris

17501: Modern Monetary Theory: the post-Crisis economy misunderstood?

Chunping Liu, A. Patrick Minford and Zhirong Ou

17500: Quantifying Racial Discrimination in the 1944 G.I. Bill

Maya Eden

17499: Measuring Valuation of Liquidity with Penalized Withdrawals

David Coyne, Itzik Fadlon and Tommaso Porzio

17498: Is Capital Account Convertibility Required for the Renminbi to Acquire Reserve Currency Status?

Barry Eichengreen, Camille Macaire, Arnaud Mehl, Eric Monnet and Alain Naef

17497: Wide or Narrow? Competition and Scope in Financial Intermediation

Matteo Benetton, Greg Buchak and Claudia Robles-Garcia

17496: Government bond rates and interest expenditure of large euro area member states: A scenario analysis

Veronika Grimm, Lukas Noeh and Volker Wieland

17495: The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firm Decisions

Saten Kumar, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Olivier Coibion

17494: Labor Misallocation Across Firms and Regions

Sebastian Heise and Tommaso Porzio

17493: Growth in the African Urban Hierarchy

J. Vernon Henderson, Cong Peng and Anthony Venables

17492: Estimating Intergenerational and Assortative Processes in Extended Family Data

Dolores Collado, Ortuño-Ortin, Ignacio and Jan Stuhler

17491: Refinancing Cross-Subsidies in the Mortgage Market

Jack Fisher, Alessandro Gavazza, Lu Liu, Tarun Ramadorai and Jagdish Tripathy

17490: The remarkable stability of the US manufacturing markups

Jordi Jaumandreu

17489: Designing Pension Plans According to Consumption-Savings Theory

Kathrin Schlafmann, Ofer Setty and Roine Vestman

17488: Does the Invisible Hand Efficiently Guide Entry and Exit? Evidence from a Vegetable Market Experiment in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Greg Fischer, Dean Karlan, Matt Lowe and Benjamin N. Roth

17487: From Public Labs to Private Firms: Magnitude and Channels of R&D Spillovers

Antonin Bergeaud, Arthur Guillouzouic, Emeric Henry and Clément Malgouyres

17486: Patents that Match your Standards: Firm-level Evidence on Competition and Innovation

Antonin Bergeaud, Julia Schmidt and Riccardo Zago

17485: How Robust are Robust Measures of PCE Inflation?

Sergio Ocampo, Raphael Schoenle and Dominic Smith

17484: Selecting the Best when Selection is Hard

Mikhail Drugov, Margaret Meyer and Möller, Marc

17483: Inequality and Growth: A Review on a Great Open Debate in Economics

Enea Baselgia and Reto Foellmi

17482: Rise and Fall of Empires in the Industrial Era: A Story of Shifting Comparative Advantages

Roberto Bonfatti and Kerem Cosar

17481: Does voluntary information disclosure lead to less cooperation than mandatory disclosure? Evidence from a sequential prisoner’s

Georg Kirchsteiger, Tom Lenaerts and Remi Suchon

17480: Epidemics in Space: Control, Targeting and Delegation

Darren Hoover and Flavio Toxvaerd

17479: Macroprudential policy and the role of institutional investors in housing markets

Muñoz, Manuel A. and Frank Smets

17478: Motivated Skepticism

Jeanne Hagenbach and ,

17477: Norms and the evolution of leaders’ followership

Antonio Cabrales and Esther Hauk

17476: Ancestral Livelihoods and Moral Universalism: Evidence from Transhumant Pastoralist Societies

Etienne Le Rossignol and Sara Lowes

17475: How did the European Marriage Pattern Persist? Social versus Familial Inheritance: England and Quebec, 1650-1850

Gregory Clark, Neil Cummins and Matthew Curtis

17474: Women in economics: the role of gendered references at entry in the profession

Audinga Baltrunaite, Alessandra Casarico and Lucia Rizzica

17473: New Pricing Models, Same Old Phillips Curves?

Adrien Auclert, Rodolfo Rigato, Matthew Rognlie and Ludwig Straub

17472: Uncertainty Shocks, Capital Flows, and International Risk Spillovers

Ozge Akinci, Kalemli-Özcan, Á¹¢ebnem and Albert Queralto

17471: Can decentralisation help address poverty and social exclusion in Europe?

Vassilis Tselios and Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés

17470: What Motivates Leaders to Invest in Nation-Building?

Paola Giuliano, Bryony Reich and Alessandro Riboni

17469: Labor Supply and Firm Size

Lin Shao, Faisal Sohail and Emircan Yurdagul

17468: Mistaking Noise for Bias: Victimhood and Hutu-Tutsi Reconciliation in East Africa

Arthur Blouin and Sharun Mukand

17467: Research Joint Ventures: The Role of Financial Constraints

Philipp Brunner, Igor Letina and Armin Schmutzler

17466: Trade Policy and Global Sourcing: An Efficiency Rationale for Tariff Escalation

Pol Antrà s, Teresa Fort, Gutiérrez, Agustín and Felix Tintelnot

17465: A Luna-tic Stablecoin Crash

Harald Uhlig

17464: Dynastic Home Equity

Matteo Benetton, Marianna Kudlyak and ,

17463: The Pro-competitive Effects of Trade Agreements

Meredith Crowley, Lu Han and ,

17462: Expecting Floods: Firm Entry, Employment, and Aggregate Implications

Ruixue Jia, , and Victoria Xie

17461: Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees

Todd Clark, Florian Huber, Gary Koop, Massimiliano Marcellino and Michael Pfarrhofer

17460: Training, Communications Patterns, and Spillovers Inside Organizations

Miguel Espinosa Farfan and Christopher T. Stanton

17459: British Business Cycles, 1270-1870

Stephen Broadberry, ,, Alexander Klein, Mark Overton and Bas van Leeuwen

17458: Catching-up and falling behind: Russian economic growth, 1690s-1880s

Stephen Broadberry and Elena Korchmina