CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
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11645: Implications of Return Predictability across Horizons for Asset Pricing Models

Carlo Favero, Andrea Tamoni, Fulvio Ortu and Haoxi Yang

11644: Is it the "How" or the "When" that Matters in Fiscal Adjustments?

Carlo Favero, Alberto Alesina, Francesco Giavazzi, Armando Miano and Gualtiero Azzalini

11643: Money Illusion and Household Finance

Jean-Robert Tyran and Thomas Thomas

11642: Distorted monopolistic competition

Kristian Behrens, Giordano Mion, Südekum, Jens and Yasusada Murata

11641: Organized Crime, Violence, and Politics

Paolo Pinotti, Alberto Alesina and Salvatore Piccolo

11640: Pegxit Pressure: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard

Kris Mitchener and Goncalo Pina

11639: The Hiring Frictions and Price Frictions Nexus in Business Cycle Models

Eran Yashiv and Renato Faccini

11638: How Much Is That Star in the Window? Professorial Salaries and Research Performance in UK Universities

Gianni De Fraja, Giovanni Facchini and John Gathergood

11637: The growth of multinational firms in the Great Recession

Andrei Levchenko, Vanessa Alviarez and Javier Cravino

11636: Investment Demand and Structural Change

Josep Pijoan-Mas, García-Santana, Manuel and Lucciano Villacorta

11635: Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth

Luigi Guiso, Luigi Pistaferri, Andreas Fagereng and Davide Malacrino

11634: Labor Unemployment Risk and CEO Incentive Compensation

Andrew Ellul, Cong Wang and Kuo Zhang

11633: Government Spending Multipliers under the Zero Lower Bound: Evidence from Japan

Dmitriy Sergeyev, Wataru Miyamoto and Thuy Lan Nguyen

11632: Optimal Ownership of Public Goods in the Presence of Transaction Costs

Patrick Schmitz and Müller, Daniel

11631: Multiple Contracting in Insurance Markets

Thomas Mariotti, Andrea Attar and Salanié, François

11630: The Failure of a Clearinghouse: Empirical Evidence

Guillaume Vuillemey and Vincent Bignon

11629: Gender Differences in Willingness to Compete: The Role of Culture and Institutions

Alison Booth, Elliott Fan, Xin Meng and Dandan Zhang

11628: Taxation of Temporary Jobs: Good Intentions With Bad Outcomes ?

Pierre Cahuc, Olivier Charlot, Franck Malherbet, Benghalem, Hélène and Emeline Limon

11627: Market Integration as a Mechanism of Growth

Wolfgang Keller and Carol Shiue

11626: Frictions in a Competitive, Regulated Market Evidence from Taxis

Alessandro Lizzeri, Guilaume Frechette and Tobias Salz

11625: No Smoking Gun: Private Shareholders, Governance Rules and Central Bank Financial Behavior

Beatrice Weder di Mauro, Bernhard Bartels and Barry Eichengreen

11624: The Inverse Cournot Effect in Royalty Negotiations with Complementary Patents

Gerard Llobet and Jorge Padilla

11623: Multiple Equilibria in Open Economy Models with Collateral Constraints: Overborrowing Revisited

Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie and Martín Uribe

11622: Voter Motivation and the Quality of Democratic Choice

Jean-Robert Tyran and Lydia Mechtenberg

11621: Nation Building: The Role of Central Spending in Education

Francesco Cinnirella and Schüler, Ruth M.

11620: The Legacies of Slavery in and out of Africa

Graziella Bertocchi

11619: Is Optimal Capital-Control Policy Countercyclical In Open-Economy Models With Collateral Constraints?

Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie and Martín Uribe

11618: Joining the dots: The FOMC and the future path of policy rates

Stefan Gerlach and Rebecca Stuart

11617: Origins and implications of family structure across Italian provinces in historical perspective

Graziella Bertocchi and Monica Bozzano

11616: The optimal distribution of population across cities

Frederic Robert-Nicoud, David Albouy, Kristian Behrens and Nathan Seegert

11615: Do Friends Improve Female Education? The Case of Bangladesh

Yves Zenou, Youjin Hahn, Behrooz Hassani-Mahmooei, Asad Islam and Eleonora Patacchini

11614: A Culture of Kinship: Chinese Genealogies as a Source for Research in Demographic Economics

Carol Shiue

11613: Durable Coalitions and Communication: Public versus Private Negotiations

T. Renee Bowen, David Baron and Salvatore Nunnari

11612: Under-Insurance in Human Capital Models with Limited Enforcement

Moritz Kuhn, Tom Krebs and Mark Wright

11611: Two Blades of Grass: The Impact of the Green Revolution

Douglas Gollin, Casper Hansen and Asger Wingender

11610: The Wage Penalty of Dialect-Speaking

Jan C. van Ours and Yuxin Yao

11609: Patterns of Manufacturing Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: From Colonization to the Present

Ewout Frankema, Gareth Austin and Morten Jerven

11608: What is the Expected Return on a Stock?

Ian Martin and Christian Wagner

11607: A positive analysis of bank behaviour under capital requirements

Frederic Malherbe and Saleem Bahaj

11606: European Unemployment Revisited: Shocks, Institutions, Integration

Giuseppe Bertola

11605: France’s Almost Public Private Schools

Giuseppe Bertola

11604: Nascent markets: Understanding the success and failure of new stock markets

Thorsten Beck, Jose Albuquerque de Sousa, Mathijs van Dijk and Peter Bergeijk

11603: Immigrant Crime and Legal Status: Evidence from Repeated Amnesty Programs

Francesco Fasani

11602: Collective Choice in Dynamic Public Good Provision

T. Renee Bowen, George Georgiadis and Nicolas Lambert

11601: Social Ties for Labor Market Access – Lessons from the Migration of East German Inventors

Dietmar Harhoff, Matthias Dorner, Tina Hinz, Karin Hoisl and Stefan Bender

11600: Resolution of International Banks: Can Smaller Countries Cope?

Dirk Schoenmaker

11599: Adaptive state space models with applications to the business cycle and financial stress

Ivan Petrella, Fabrizio Venditti and Davide Delle Monache

11598: Sectoral Trends and Shocks in Australia’s Economic Growth

Kym Anderson

11597: Clicking on Heaven's Door: The Effect of Immigrant Legalization on Crime

Paolo Pinotti

11596: Understanding Gender Differences in Leadership

Lóránth, Gyöngyi, Sule Alan, Seda Ertac and Elif Kubilay

11595: Political Borders and Bank Lending in Post-Crisis America

Andrew Rose and Matthieu Chavaz

11594: Is the output growth rate in NIPA a welfare measure?

Omar Licandro

11593: Firm Dynamics in the Neoclassical Growth Model

Omar Licandro

11592: The Optimal Allocation of Punishments in Tullock Contests

Aner Sela

11591: Strategic Fragmented Markets

Ana Babus and Cecilia Parlatore

11590: Retail Prices in a City

Saul Lach, Alon Eizenberg and Merav Yiftach

11589: Housing, Mortgages, and Self Control

Kathrin Schlafmann

11588: Macroeconomics and Consumption

John Muellbauer

11587: Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts

Alan Taylor, Oscar Jorda and Moritz Schularick

11586: The Career Costs of Children

Christian Dustmann, Katrien Stevens and Jerome Adda

11585: The Perception of Dependence, Investment Decisions, and Stock Prices

Martin Weber and Michael Ungeheuer

11584: Mending the broken link: heterogeneous bank lending and monetary policy pass-through

Fabio Canova, Matteo Ciccarelli and Carlo Altavilla

11583: Vulnerable Growth

Tobias Adrian, Nina Boyarchenko and Domenico Giannone

11582: The Output Costs of Hard and Soft Sovereign Default

Christoph Trebesch and Michael Zabel

11581: Currency Manipulation

Tarek Hassan, Thomas M. Mertens and Tony Zhang

11580: Patents as Substitutes for Relationships

Farzad Saidi and Alminas Zaldokas

11579: Vertical Information Restraints: Pro- and Anti-Competitive Impacts of Minimum Advertised Price Restrictions

Heski Bar-Isaac and John Asker

11578: Achieving Price Stability by Manipulating the Central Bank's Payment on Reserves

Robert Hall

11577: The Optimal Use of Government Purchases for Stabilization

Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez

11576: A Macrofinance View of U.S. Sovereign CDS Premiums

Mikhail Chernov, Lukas Schmid and Andres Schneider

11575: Grantbacks, Territorial Restraints, and the Type of Follow-On Innovation: The "But for..." Defense

Katharine Rockett, Régibeau, Pierre and Masahito Ambashi

11574: When rationing plays a Role

Daniela Del Boca, Chiara Pronzato and Giuseppe Sorrenti

11573: Transfers to Households with Children and Child Development

Daniela Del Boca, Christopher Flinn and Matthew Wiswall

11572: Earnings losses and labor mobility over the lifecycle

Moritz Kuhn and Philip Jung

11571: Influencing Connected Legislators

Marco Battaglini and Eleonora Patacchini

11570: Market Potential and Global Growth over the Long Twentieth Century

Dennis Novy and David Jacks

11569: Demographic Dynamics and Long-Run Development: Insights for the Secular Stagnation Debate

Uwe Sunde, Matteo Cervellati and Klaus Zimmermann

11568: The New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve: Calvo vs. Rotemberg

Benjamin Born and Johannes Pfeifer

11567: Leverage and Risk Weighted Capital Requirements

Leonardo Gambacorta and Sudipto Karmakar

11566: Ordered Consumer Search

Mark Armstrong

11565: Risk-Based Capital Requirements for Banks and International Trade

Banu Demir, Evren Örs, and Tomasz Michalski

11564: On the benefits of set-asides

Laurent Lamy and Philippe Jehiel

11563: Self-Control and Peer Groups: An Empirical Analysis

Eleonora Patacchini, Marco Battaglini and Carlos Díaz

11562: On the Origins of Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Sibling Correlations

Mirjam Praag, Matthew Lindquist, Joeri Sol and Theodor Vladasel

11561: Frictional Unemployment with Stochastic Bubbles

Etienne Wasmer and Guillaume Vuillemey

11560: Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs: A Non-Parametric Approach

Massimiliano Marcellino, George Kapetanios and Fabrizio Venditti

11559: Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models

Massimiliano Marcellino and Angela Abbate

11558: Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis?

Massimiliano Marcellino, Knut Are Aastveit, Andrea Carriero and Todd Clark

11557: On the Economics and Politics of Refugee Migration

Francesco Fasani, Christian Dustmann, Uta Schonberg, Tommaso Frattini and Luigi Minale

11556: Occupational choice in early industrializing societies: Experimental evidence on the income and health effects of industrial an

Christopher Blattman and Stefan Dercon

11555: Global Firms

Stephen Redding, Andrew Bernard, J. Jensen and Peter Schott

11554: Labor Markets and Poverty in Village Economies

Imran Rasul, Oriana Bandiera, Narayan Das, Selim Gulesci and Munshi Sulaiman

11553: Shifting Frontiers in Global Resource Wealth: The Role of Policies and Institutions

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg, Rabah Arezki and Frederik Toscani

11552: Second-Best Renewable Subsidies to De-Carbonize the Economy: Commitment and the Green Paradox

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Armon Rezai

11551: What drives employment growth and social inclusion in EU regions?

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Marco Di Cataldo

11550: The Effect of a Merger on Investments

Emanuele Tarantino and Massimo Motta

11549: Financing Smallholder Agriculture: An Experiment wth Agent-Intermediated Microloans in India

Dilip Mookherjee, Pushkar Maitra, Sandip Mitra, Alberto Motta and Sujata Visaria

11548: Asymmetric Information and Middleman Margins: An Experiment with Indian Potato Farmers

Dilip Mookherjee, Maximo Torero, Sandip Mitra and Sujata Visaria

11547: Income Differences and Input-Output Structure

Harald Fadinger, Mariya Teteryatnikova and Christian Ghiglino

11546: Globalization, Inequality and Welfare

Oleg Itskhoki, Pol Antràs and Alonso de Gortari