CEPR Discussion Papers

From C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Centre for Economic Policy Research, 33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX.
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12608: Dinner Table Human Capital and Entrepreneurship

Hans Hvide and Paul Oyer

12607: The Lost Capital Asset Pricing Model

Julien Cujean, Daniel Andrei and Mungo Wilson

12606: Banking Across Borders With Heterogeneous Banks

Friederike Niepmann

12605: Could/Should Jubilee Debt Cancellations be Reintroduced Today?

Charles Goodhart and Michael Hudson

12604: Real Keynesian Models and Sticky Prices

Franck Portier and Paul Beaudry

12603: A Framework for Sustainable Finance

Dirk Schoenmaker

12602: Quality and Gravity in International Trade

Lisandra Flach and Florian Unger

12601: Monetary Policy and Heterogeneity: An Analytical Framework

Florin Bilbiie

12600: A minimal moral hazard central stabilisation capacity for the EMU based on world trade

Roel Beetsma, Simone Cima and Jacopo Cimadomo

12599: The Effect of Investment Constraints on Hedge Fund Investor Returns

Robert Kosowski, Joenväärä, Juha and Pekka Tolonen

12598: Common Ownership Concentration and Corporate Conduct

Martin Schmalz

12597: Revealing Downturns

Martin Schmalz and Sergey Zhuk

12596: Disagreement and Security Design

Martin Schmalz and Juan Ortner

12595: Unionization, Cash, and Leverage

Martin Schmalz

12594: Children and Gender Inequality: Evidence from Denmark

Camille Landais, Henrik Kleven and Jakob Søgaard

12593: Women's Empowerment, the Gender Gap in Desired Fertility, and Fertility Outcomes in Developing Countries

Matthias Doepke and Michele Tertilt

12592: A Sufficient Statistics Approach for Aggregating Firm-Level Experiments

David Thesmar and David Sraer

12591: Are Lemons Sold First? Dynamic Signaling in the Mortgage Market

Manuel Adelino, Kristopher S. Gerardi and Barney Hartman-Glaser

12590: Gunnar Myrdal and Asian Drama in Context

Ravi Kanbur

12589: Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data

Domenico Giannone, Andrea Tambalotti, Argia Sbordone, Brandyn Bok and Daniele Caratelli

12588: Optimal Short-Termism

Dirk Hackbarth, Alejandro Rivera and Tak-Yuen Wong

12587: Real-Estate Agent Commission Structure and Sales Performance

Pieter Gautier, Arjen Siegmann and Aico van Vuuren

12586: From Conflict to Compromise: The importance of mediation in Swedish work stoppages 1907-1927

Kerstin Enflo and Tobias Karlsson

12585: Communication Costs and the Internal Organization of Multi-Plant Businesses: Evidence from the Impact of the French High-Speed

Claire Lelarge, Pauline Charnoz and Corentin Trevien

12584: Interlinked Firms and the Consequences of Piecemeal Regulation

León-Ciliotta, Gianmarco, Jonas Hjort and Christopher Hansman

12583: Money and Monetary Stability in Europe, 1300-1914

Sevket Pamuk, Kıvanç Karaman and Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil

12582: Pioneering into the Past: Regional Literacy Developments in Italy Before Italy

Jacob Weisdorf and Carlo Ciccarelli

12581: Falling Behind and Catching up: India’s Transition from a Colonial Economy

Bishnupriya Gupta

12580: Voting and Peer Effects: Experimental Evidence from Mozambique

Marcel Fafchamps, Pedro Vicente and Ana Vaz

12579: Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs

Ivan Petrella, Juan Antolin-Diaz and Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco

12578: China's "Great Migration'': The impact of the reduction in trade policy uncertainty

Giovanni Facchini, Maggie Liu, Anna Maria Mayda and Minghai Zhou

12577: Occupational Licensing in the European Union: Coverage and Wage Effects

Mario Pagliero and Maria Koumenta

12576: Speed under Sail during the Early Industrial Revolution

Morgan Kelly and Gráda, Cormac Ó

12575: Value for Money? Community Targeting in Vote-Buying and Politician Accountability

Rohini Pande, Jessica Leight, Dana Foarta and Laura Ralston

12574: Spatial Patterns of Development: A Meso Approach

Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou

12573: Emigration during the French Revolution: Consequences in the Short and Longue Durée

Stelios Michalopoulos and Raphael Franck

12572: Commitment vs. Flexibility with Costly Verification

Marina Halac and Pierre Yared

12571: Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Self-Enforcement

Marina Halac and Pierre Yared

12570: Fiscal Rules and Discretion in a World Economy

Marina Halac and Pierre Yared

12569: Experimenting with Career Concerns

Marina Halac and Ilan Kremer

12568: International Evidence on Firm Level Decisions in Response to the Crisis: Shareholders vs. Other Stakeholders*

Franklin Allen, Elena Carletti and Yaniv Grinstein

12567: Procurement Centralization in the EU: the Case of Italy

Francesco Decarolis

12566: Change in urban concentration and economic growth

Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés and Susanne Frick

12565: The Impact of Public Employment: Evidence from Bonn

Daniel Sturm, Sascha Becker and Stephan Heblich

12564: A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation

Lucrezia Reichlin, Thomas Hasenzagl, Filippo Pellegrino and Giovanni Ricco

12563: The Lasting Legacy of Seasonal Influenza: In-Utero Exposure and Labor Market Outcomes

Hannes Schwandt

12562: Wealth Shocks and Health Outcomes: Evidence from Stock Market Fluctuations

Hannes Schwandt

12561: Gender Differences in Alternating-Offer Bargaining: An Experimental Study

Nagore Iriberri and Hernandez-Arenaz, Iñigo

12560: The Fragility of Market Risk Insurance

Ralph Koijen and Motohiro Yogo

12559: Versatile Forward Guidance: Escaping or Switching?

Hans Gersbach, Yulin Liu and Martin Tischhauser

12558: Environmental externalities and free-riding in the household

Seema Jayachandran, Kelsey Jack and Sarojini Rao

12557: The Simple Economics of White Elephants

Gerard Llobet and Juan Jose Ganuza Fernandez

12556: Conventional Power Plants in Liberalized Electricity Markets with Renewable Entry

Gerard Llobet and Jorge Padilla

12555: Distrust and Political Turnover

Nancy Qian, Nathan Nunn and Jaya Wen

12554: Employment Protection Legislation, Labor Courts, and Effective Firing Costs

Juan F Jimeno, Juan Mora-Sanguinetti and Martínez-Matute, Marta

12553: Measuring monetary policy deviations from the Taylor rule

Nuno Palma and Joao Madeira

12552: The Political Boundaries of Ethnic Divisions

Samuel Bazzi and Matthew Gudgeon

12551: Welfare Effects of Housing Transaction Taxes

Terviö, Marko and Määttänen, Niku

12550: Childcare and Commitment within Households

Paula Gobbi

12549: On the Measurement of Upstreamness and Downstreamness in Global Value Chains

Pol Antràs and Davin Chor

12548: Effects of government spending on employment: Evidence from winners and runners-up in procurement auctions

Christine Zulehner, Klaus Gugler and Michael Weichselbaumer

12547: Buyer Group and Buyer Power When Sellers Compete

Doh-Shin Jeon and Domenico Menicucci

12546: On Second Thoughts, Selective Memory, and Resulting Behavioral Biases

Jakub Steiner and Philippe Jehiel

12545: Structural Transformation, Marketization, and Household Production around the World

Georg Duernecker, Berthold Herrendorf and Benjamin Bridgman

12544: Who Becomes an Inventor in America? The Importance of Exposure to Innovation

John van Reenen, Alex Bell, Raj Chetty, Xavier Jaravel and Neviana Petkova

12543: Clustering, Growth, and Inequality in China

Cheng-Gang Xu, Di Guo, Kun Jiang and Xiyi Yang

12542: Meetings and Mechanisms

Pieter Gautier, Xiaoming Cai and Ronald Wolthoff

12541: The Combination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Shocks: A TVP-FAVAR Approach

Evi Pappa and Francesco Molteni

12540: Reconciliating Relational Contracting and Hold-up: A Model of Repeated Negotiations

Goldlücke, Susanne and Sebastian Kranz

12539: Do Lower Minimum Wages for Young Workers Raise their Employment? Evidence from a Danish Discontinuity

Claus Kreiner, Daniel Reck and Peer Skov

12538: Goals and Gaps: Educational Careers of Immigrant Children

Eliana La Ferrara, Michela Carlana and Paolo Pinotti

12537: The Effectiveness of Hiring Credits

Thomas Le Barbanchon, Pierre Cahuc and Carcillo, Stéphane

12536: Declining Competition and Investment in the U.S

Thomas Philippon and German Gutierrez

12535: Credit controls as an escape from the trilemma. The Bretton Woods experience

Eric Monnet

12534: The Macroeconomic Effects of Trade Tariffs: Revisiting the Lerner Symmetry Result

Jesper Lindé and Andrea Pescatori

12533: Should We Use Linearized Models To Calculate Fiscal Multipliers?

Jesper Lindé and Mathias Trabandt

12532: Structural Interpretation of Vector Autoregressions with Incomplete Identification: Revisiting the Role of Oil Supply and Deman

Christiane Baumeister and James Hamilton

12531: How Far Can Economic Incentives Explain the French Fertility and Education Transition?

David de la Croix and Faustine Perrin

12530: Weak States: Causes and Consequences of the Sicilian Mafia

Daron Acemoglu, Giacomo De Luca and Giuseppe De Feo

12529: Distortion by Audit: Evidence from Public Procurement

Dina Pomeranz, Maria Paula Gerardino and Stephan Litschig

12528: Sticky Expectations and the Profi tability Anomaly

David Thesmar, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Philipp Krueger and Augustin Landier

12527: New Experimental Evidence on Expectations Formation

David Thesmar, Augustin Landier and Yueran Ma

12526: CAPM-Based Company (Mis)valuations

David Thesmar, Clemens Otto and Jacques Olivier

12525: Discriminatory Pricing of Over-The-Counter Derivatives

Harald Hau, Peter Hoffmann, Sam Langfield and Yannick Timmer

12524: Horizontal and Vertical Polarization: Task-Specific Technological Change in a Multi-Sector Economy

Sang Yoon (Tim) Lee and Yongseok Shin

12523: Man vs. Machine in Predicting Successful Entrepreneurs: Evidence from a Business Plan Competition in Nigeria

David McKenzie and Dario Sansone

12522: The Rise and Fall of Consumption in the '00s. A Tangled Tale

Sørensen, Bent E, Dmytro Hryshko, Maria Luengo-Prado and Yuliya Demyanyk

12521: Classical or Gravity? Which trade model best matches the UK facts?

A. Patrick Minford and Yongdeng Xu

12520: Exploiting MIT Shocks in Heterogeneous-Agent Economies: The Impulse Response as a Numerical Derivative

Kurt Mitman and Timo Boppart

12519: Secular Trends and Technological Progress

Enrico Perotti and Döttling, Robin

12518: Vertical Integration, Supplier Behavior, and Quality Upgrading among Exporters

León-Ciliotta, Gianmarco, Jonas Hjort, Christopher Hansman and Matthieu Teachout

12517: Welfare and Redistribution in Residential Electricity Markets with Solar Power

Nicola Pavanini, Fabian Feger and Doina Radulescu

12516: URBANIZATION PATTERNS, INFORMATION DIFFUSION AND FEMALE VOTING IN RURAL PARAGUAY

León-Ciliotta, Gianmarco, Alberto Chong, Martín Valdivia, Vivian Roza and Gabriela Vega

12515: The Effect of School Starting Age on Special Needs Incidence and Child Development into Adolescence

Beatrix Eugster, Simone Balestra and Helge Liebert

12514: Beetles: Biased Promotions and Persistence of False Belief

Pascal Michaillat and George Akerlof

12513: Fund Tradeoffs

Pástor, Luboš, Robert Stambaugh and Lucian Taylor

12512: The Contingent Effect of Alliance Design on Alliance Dynamics and Performance: An Experimental Study

Tobias Kretschmer, Albert Banal-Estanol, Jo Seldeslachts and Debrah Meloso

12511: Duplicative research, mergers and innovation

Vincenzo Denicolo and Michele Polo

12510: When is foreign exchange intervention effective? Evidence from 33 countries

Lucio Sarno, Marcel Fratzscher, Oliver Gloede, Lukas Menkhoff and Stöhr, Tobias

12509: The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870-2015

Alan Taylor, Katharina Knoll, ,, Moritz Schularick and Oscar Jorda