CEPR Discussion Papers

From Centre for Economic Policy Research
33 Great Sutton Street, London EC1V 0DX, UK.
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15163: Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect

Ricardo Caballero and Alp Simsek

15162: Cash Crops, Print Technologies and the Politicization of Ethnicity in Africa

Yannick Pengl, Philip Roessler and Valeria Rueda

15161: Foundations of Pseudomarkets: Walrasian Equilibria for Discrete Resources

Antonio Miralles and Marek Pycia

15160: Empirical Productivity Distributions and International Trade

Peter Egger, Katharina Erhardt and Sergey Nigai

15159: Nepotism vs. Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital in Academia (1088--1800)

David de la Croix and Goñi, Marc

15158: A Second Chance? Labor Market Returns to Adult Education Using School Reforms

Patrick Bennett, Richard Blundell and Kjell G Salvanes

15157: Competition and Career Advancement: The Hidden Costs of Paid Leave

Julian Vedeler Johnsen, Hyejin Ku and Kjell G Salvanes

15156: Covid-19 and Firms: Productivity and Government Policies

Nicholas Kozeniauskas, Pedro Moreira and Cezar Santos

15155: R&D Spillovers through RJV Cooperation

Albert Banal-Estanol, Tomaso Duso, Jo Seldeslachts and Szücs, Florian

15154: COVID-19 and Emerging Markets: A SIR Model, Demand Shocks and Capital Flows

Çakmaklı, Cem, Selva Demiralp, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Sevcan Yesiltas

15153: Transport policy for a post-Covid UK

David M Newbery

15152: Narratives and the Economics of the Family

Robert Akerlof and Luis Rayo

15151: The Economic Outcomes of an Ethnic Minority: the Role of Barriers

Kasir (Kaliner), Nitsa and Eran Yashiv

15150: The Heterogeneous Price of a Vote: Evidence from Multiparty Systems, 1993-2017

Yasmine Bekkouche, Julia Cagé and Edgard Dewitte

15149: This Time It’s Different: The Role of Women’s Employment in a Pandemic Recession

Matthias Doepke, Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, Titan Alon and Michele Tertilt

15148: Liquidity Traps in a Monetary Union

Robert Kollmann

15147: Trustworthiness in the Financial Industry

Andrej Gill, Matthias Heinz, Heiner Schumacher and Matthias Sutter

15146: FROEBEL’S GIFTS: HOW THE KINDERGARTEN MOVEMENT CHANGED THE AMERICAN FAMILY

Philipp Ager and Francesco Cinnirella

15145: Permanent Income Shocks, Target Wealth, and the Wealth Gap

Tullio Jappelli and Luigi Pistaferri

15144: Engineering Growth

Felipe Valencia Caicedo and William Maloney

15143: SELECTION INTO ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND SELF-EMPLOYMENT

Ross Levine and Yona Rubinstein

15142: Slow Down Before You Stop: The Effect of the 2010 French Pension Reform on Older Teachers' Sick Leaves

Hippolyte d'Albis, Fougère, Denis and Gouëdard, Pierre

15141: Power, Scrutiny, and Congressmen's Favoritism for Friends' Firm

Quoc-Anh Do, Yen Teik Lee, Bang Dang Nguyen and Kieu-Trang Nguyen

15140: Who Voted for Trump? Populism and Social Capital

Paola Giuliano and Romain Wacziarg

15139: Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits

Tamma Carleton, Amir Jina, Michael Delgado, Michael Greenstone, Trevor Houser, Solomon Hsiang, Andrew Hultgren, Robert Kopp, Kelly McCusker, Ishan Nath, James Rising, Ashwin Rode, Seo, Hee Kwon (Samuel), Arvid Viaene, Jiacan Yuan and Alice Tianbo Zhang

15138: Local Elites as State Capacity: How City Chiefs Use Local Information to Increase Tax Compliance in the D.R. Congo

Balán, Pablo, Augustin Bergeron, Gabriel Tourek and Jonathan Weigel

15137: Pricing group membership

Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay and Antonio Cabrales

15136: Equilibrium Reforms and Endogenous Complexity

Dana Foarta and Massimo Morelli

15135: Who Bears Risk in China's Non-financial Enterprise Debt?

Ronald Anderson

15134: Achieving Scale Collectively

Vittorio Bassi, Raffaela Muoio, Tommaso Porzio, Ritwika Sen and Esau Tugume

15133: Financial Frictions: Macro vs Micro Volatility

Renato Faccini, Seungcheol Lee, Ralph Luetticke, Morten Ravn and Tobias Renkin

15132: The Economic Impact of the Black Death

Remi Jedwab, Noel Johnson and Mark Koyama

15131: Slums and Pandemics

Luiz Brotherhood, Tiago Cavalcanti, Daniel Da Mata and Cezar Santos

15130: Ad clutter, time use, and media diversity

Simon Anderson and Martin Peitz

15129: Health vs. Economy: Politically Optimal Pandemic Policy

Desiree Desierto and Mark Koyama

15128: The Stopping Rule and Gender selective mortality: World Evidence

Jean-Marie Baland, Guilhem Cassan and Francois Woitrin

15127: GENERALIZED LINEAR COMPETITION: From pass-through to policy

Christos Genakos, Felix Grey and Robert Ritz

15126: Potential consequences of post-Brexit trade barriers for earnings inequality in the UK

Rachel Griffith, Peter Levell and Agnes Norris Keiller

15125: To What Extent Are Tariffs Offset By Exchange Rates?

Olivier Jeanne and Jeongwon Son

15124: Social Protection Amidst Social Upheaval: Examining the Impact of a Multi-Faceted Program for Ultra-Poor Households in Yemen

Lasse Brune, Dean Karlan, Sikandra Kurdi and Christopher Udry

15123: Procyclical Asset Management and Bond Risk Premia

Alexandru Barbu, Christoph Fricke and Emanuel Moench

15122: Fundamental Disagreement about Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Shuo Cao, Richard Crump, Stefano Eusepi and Emanuel Moench

15121: Designing Disability Insurance Reforms: Tightening Eligibility Rules or Reducing Benefits?

Andreas Haller, Stefan Staubli and Josef Zweimueller

15120: The Impact of Social Security on Pension Claiming and Retirement: Active vs. Passive Decisions

Rafael Lalive, Arvind Magesan and Stefan Staubli

15119: How Laws Affect the Perception of Norms: Empirical Evidence from the Lockdown

Roberto Galbiati, Emeric Henry, Nicolas Jacquemet and Max Lobeck

15118: Real-Time Inequality and the Welfare State in Motion: Evidence from COVID-19 in Spain

Oriol Aspachs, Ruben Durante, Alberto Graziano, Josep Mestres, García-Montalvo, José and Marta Reynal-Querol

15117: A Continuous-Time Model of Financial Clearing

Isaac Sonin and Konstantin Sonin

15116: Investor Sophistication and Portfolio Dynamics

Adrian Buss, Raman Uppal and Grigory Vilkov

15115: Relative Performance Evaluation, Sabotage and Collusion

Matthew Bloomfield, Catarina Marvao and Giancarlo Spagnolo

15114: Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis

Claudia Foroni, Massimiliano Marcellino and Dalibor Stevanovic

15113: Shelving or developing? Optimal policy for mergers with potential competitors

Chiara Fumagalli, Massimo Motta and Emanuele Tarantino

15112: When the Threat is Stronger than the Execution: Trade and Welfare under Oligopoly

Dermot Leahy and J. Peter Neary

15111: Progressive Participation

Dirk Bergemann and Philipp Strack

15110: The Human Side of Structural Transformation

Tommaso Porzio, Federico Rossi and Gabriella Santangelo

15109: Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk

Davide Delle Monache, Andrea De Polis and Ivan Petrella

15108: Risk Preferences at the Time of COVID-19: An Experiment with Professional Traders and Students

Marco Angrisani, Marco Cipriani, Antonio Guarino, Ryan Kendall and Julen Ortiz de Zarate Pina

15107: Caveats for Economists: Epidemiology-Based Modelling of COVID19 and Model Misspecifications

Yinon Bar-On, Tatiana Baron, Ron Milo and Eran Yashiv

15106: Layoffs and Productivity at a Bangladeshi Sweater Factory

Robert Akerlof, Anik Ashraf, Rocco Macchiavello and Atonu Rabbani

15105: "Does Higher Hospital Quality Save Lives? The Association between" "COVID-19 Deaths and Hospital Quality in the USA

Johannes Kunz and Carol Propper

15104: Information, Market Power and Price Volatility

Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann and Stephen Morris

15103: Behavioral Corporate Finance: The Life Cycle of a CEO Career

Marius Guenzel and Ulrike M. Malmendier

15102: Agreements Must Be Kept? Residential Leases during Covid-19

Yael Elster, Itai Ater, David Genesove and Eran Hoffmann

15101: The Distributional Impact of the Pandemic

Hacıoğlu Hoke, Sinem, Känzig, Diego and Paolo Surico

15100: The new hazardous jobs and worker reallocation

Gaetano Basso, Tito Boeri, Alessandro Caiumi and Marco Paccagnella

15099: Semi-flexible Majority Rules for Public Good Provision

Hans Gersbach and Oriol Tejada

15098: Sentimental Business Cycles

Andresa Helena Lagerborg, Evi Pappa and Morten Ravn

15097: Bank-Intermediated Arbitrage

Nina Boyarchenko, Thomas Eisenbach, Pooja Gupta, Or Shachar and Peter Van Tassel

15096: Operational Risk Capital

Thomas Conlon, Xing Huan and Steven Ongena

15095: Expanding Access to Clean Water for the Rural Poor: Experimental Evidence from Malawi

Pascaline Dupas, Basimenye Nhlema, Zachary Wagner, Aaron Wolf and Emily Wroe

15094: What kind of EU fiscal capacity? Evidence from a randomized survey experiment in five European countries in times of corona

Roel Beetsma, Brian Burgoon, Francesco Nicoli, Anniek de Ruijter and Frank Vandenbroucke

15093: Gender Differences in Wage Expectations: The Role of Biased Beliefs

Stephanie Briel, Aderonke Osikominu, Gregor Pfeifer, Mirjam Reutter and Sascha Satlukal

15092: Filtered and Unfiltered Treatment Effects with Targeting Instruments

Sokbae (Simon) Lee and Salanié, Bernard

15091: The Long Shadow of the Spanish Civil War

Ana Tur-Prats and Felipe Valencia Caicedo

15090: China's Foreign Trade and Investment, 1800 - 1950

Wolfgang Keller and Carol Shiue

15089: Political activism when voters have a limited attention span

Iwan Barankay

15088: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics

Tobias Adrian, Nina Boyarchenko and Domenico Giannone

15087: The Economic Effects of COVID-19 Containment Measures

Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri, Jonathan Ostry and Nour Tawk

15086: The Effect of Containment Measures on the COVID-19 Pandemic

Pragyan Deb, Davide Furceri, Jonathan Ostry and Nour Tawk

15085: Challenges of Change: An Experiment Promoting Women to Managerial Roles in the Bangladeshi Garment Sector

Rocco Macchiavello, Andreas Menzel, Atonu Rabbani and Christopher Woodruff

15084: Determinants of Economies of Scope in Retail

Florin Maican and Matilda Orth

15083: Heterogeneity and Wage Inequalities over the Life Cycle

Thierry Magnac and Sébastien Roux

15082: Application Costs and Congestion in Matching Markets

YingHua He and Thierry Magnac

15081: The economics of deferral and clawback requirements

Florian Hoffmann, Roman Inderst and Marcus Opp

15080: Robots and the rise of European superstar firms

Joel Stiebale, Südekum, Jens and Nicole Woessner

15079: The Hidden Costs of Strategic Opacity

Ana Babus and Maryam Farboodi

15078: Choosing Institutional over Economic Integration: Are There Growth Effects?

Nauro Campos, Fabrizio Coricelli and Luigi Moretti

15077: Demographic Shocks and Women's Labor Market Participation: Evidence from the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in India

James Fenske, Bishnupriya Gupta and Song Yuan

15076: Populism and the First Wave of Globalization: Evidence from the 1892 US Presidential Election

Alexander Klein, Karl Gunnar Persson and Paul Sharp

15075: "Soft" Affirmative Action and Minority Recruitment

Daniel Fershtman and Alessandro Pavan

15074: Firms, Failures, and Fluctuations: The Macroeconomics of Supply Chain Disruptions

Daron Acemoglu and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

15073: The risk of being a fallen angel and the corporate dash for cash in the midst of COVID

Viral Acharya and Sascha Steffen

15072: Privacy Protection, Security, and Consumer Retention

Bruno Jullien, Yassine Lefouili and Michael Riordan

15071: The Economics of Platforms: A Theory Guide for Competition Policy

Bruno Jullien and Wilfried Sand-Zantman

15070: Do institutional investors stabilize equity markets in crisis periods? Evidence from COVID-19

Simon Glossner, Pedro Pinto Matos, Stefano Ramelli and Alexander Wagner

15069: The Impact of Alternative Forms of Bank Consolidation on Credit Supply and Financial Stability

Sergio Mayordomo, Nicola Pavanini and Emanuele Tarantino

15068: International Friends and Enemies

Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Stephen Redding

15067: Understanding the German criticism of the Target system and the role of central bank capital

Roberto Perotti

15066: Mergers with Differentiated Products: Where do we Stand?

Tommaso Valletti and Hans Zenger

15065: A Quantitative Model for the Integrated Policy Framework

Tobias Adrian, Christopher Erceg, Lindé, Jesper, Pawel Zabczyk and Jianping Zhou

15064: Advertising Arbitrage

Sergey Kovbasyuk and Marco Pagano